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Dr David Paul of VectorVest discusses market timing, #PSN, #VCP, #FORT & #SQZ on Core Finance TV
Dr David Paul of VectorVest discusses market timing, Persimmon #PSN, Victoria #VCP, Forterra #FORT & Serica Energy #SQZ with Nick ‘Moose’ Batsford on Core Finance TV.
You can examine these trading opportunities and a host of other similar stocks for a single payment of £5.95. This gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-week trial, where members enjoy unlimited access to VectorVest UK & U.S., plus VectorVest University for on-demand strategies and training. Link here for more info.
Buy Restaurant Group #RTN says Vectorvest. A clear investment case given the growth in earnings and free cash flow.
London based Restaurant Group (RTN.L) currently operates 498 restaurants and pub restaurants throughout the UK. Its principal trading brands are Frankie & Benny’s, Chiquito, Coast to Coast and Brunning & Price. It also operates a multi-brand Concessions business, which trades principally in UK airports.
Examine this trading opportunity and a host of other similar stocks. A single payment of £5.95 gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial. More here
On March 7th2018, RTN reported final results for the year ending December 31st2017. The Company said that the cost reduction programme of £10m had delivered ahead of plan and was being reinvested into the leisure business. Total sales fell 1.8% on a 52 week comparable basis, and an exceptional pre-tax charge of £13.2m saw adjusted EBITDA fall to £95.1m (2016: £121.0m). However RTN saw continued strong free cash flow rise to £84.9m (2016: £78.9m), with net bank debt falling to £21.6m at year-end (2016: £28.3m). CEO Andy McCue said: “As expected, 2017 was a transitional year for the Group, with significant investments made in price and proposition within our Leisure business, which is driving improving volume momentum. We start 2018 with a significantly more competitive offering in our Leisure business, a strengthened pipeline of growth opportunities in both our Pubs and Concessions businesses, and a leaner, faster and more focused organisation.”
The GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) is a key VectorVest metric that frequently flags up a change in fortunes, often before any official announcement from the company itself. The GRT for RTN moved into positive territory during January 2018, and has continued climbing higher all the way through to today’s GRT rating of 19%, which VectorVest considers to be very good. Although the RS (Relative Safety) metric only registers a fair rating of 0.97 (scale of 0.00 to 2.00), at 279p RTN trades well below the current VectorVest valuation of 342p per share.
The chart of RTN.L is shown above in my normal format. Earnings per share (EPS) has doubled over the past year and the share has moved from overvalued to undervalued in this period. Technically the share has broken out of a downsloping channel and also charted a double bottom on a much longer term view (not shown). The share is on a VectorVest buy signal.
Summary: A well-run restaurant business can be a real cash cow, and in the case of RTN the costs savings and operational streamlining from the management team during 2017 really do seem now to be delivering results. Although the fair RS rating tends to push RTN into the domain of the more adventurous investor, given the growth in the rate of earnings and free cash flow, VectorVest believes a clear investment case now exists for this London based group. Buy.
Dr David Paul
April 18th 2018
Readers can examine trading opportunities on RTN and a host of other similar stocks for a single payment of £5.95. This gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial, where members enjoy unlimited access to VectorVest UK & U.S., plus VectorVest University for on-demand strategies and training. Link here to view.
VectorVest Unisearch
On VectorVest a simple search using the Unisearch tool will quickly find shares that are undervalued with good fundamentals that have just issued a Buy recommendation. This will give the active trader a short list of many high probability trading opportunities each week. Traders now have the opportunity to spend five weeks discovering VectorVest’s unique simplicity, automation and independent guidance. Just £5.95 buys a 30-day trial to enable deep exploration, or how the system can assist in smarter trading in as little as 10 minutes a day. Powerful tools. Proven strategies. Unique Perspectives.
Link here for more info and to set up a trial.
European Financial Publishing Limited T/A VectorVest UK (VectorVest) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under register number 543038. You should remember that the value of investments and the income derived therefrom may fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount that you invest. Past performance is not a reliable guide to the future. This material is directed only at persons in the UK and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities. If investors are in any doubt of the suitability of an investment given their individual circumstances, they are recommended to contact an investment manager or independent financial adviser who may be able to provide tailored advice. Opinions expressed whether in general or both on the performance of individual securities and in a wider economic context represent the views of VectorVest at the time of preparation. They are subject to change and should not be interpreted as investment advice. VectorVest and connected companies, clients, directors, employees and other associates, may have a position in any security, or related financial instrument, issued by a company or organisation mentioned on this site. European Financial Publishing Limited is a company incorporated in Scotland under Company Number SC357322 with its registered address at Exchange Tower, 19 Canning Street, Edinburgh EH3 8EH. Email: support@VectorVest.com
Harry Potter still casts a spell over Bloomsbury Publishing #BMY revenues. Buy in run up to FY results next month, says VectorVest.
London based Bloomsbury Publishing Plc (BMY.L) is a leading independent publishing house established in 1986. It has companies in London, New York, Sydney and Delhi. It publishes media and electronic reference material, children books, fiction and non-fiction books, audiobooks, scholarly imprints, library of reference materials, educational books, dictionary and language books, literary, adult non-fiction books, academic books and journals, and sports yearbooks.
Examine this trading opportunity and a host of other similar stocks. A single payment of £5.95 gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial. More here
On March 19th2018, BMY published a trading update for the year ended 28 February 2018. The company said that revenues will be slightly ahead of expectations, but profits will be well ahead of the Board’s expectations. This follows excellent sales, particularly in January and February, with lower than anticipated returns, driven by certain titles including Tom Kerridge’s Lose Weight For Good, which has been number one in the Overall Nielsen BookScan UK chart for four weeks since its publication on December 28th 2018. In addition, the net cash balance is now expected to be around £25m, significantly ahead of expectations. Final results for the year will be published on 22 May 2018.
An upward move in the GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) metric was picked up by VectorVest as far back as October 2017. This growth continued all the way through to today’s GRT rating of 22%, which VectorVest considers to be excellent. Although the RS (Relative Safety) metric only registers a fair rating of 1.00 (scale of 0.00 to 2.00), trading at 183p the stock is still way below the current VectorVest valuation of 219p per share.
A weekly chart of BMY.L is shown above over the past two years. The share has recently been revalued positively by the VectorVest program. This is a strong leading indicator of a move in the share price. Technically the share has been trading sideways but charting rising bottoms as shown by the trendline on the chart which suggests a breakout in the share price.
Summary: Historically of course, most of us subconsciously attribute any success enjoyed by BMY to the phenomenally successful Harry Potter series. VectorVest however have long appreciated that BMY is anything but a one trick pony: as publishers of Wisdens, Whos Who, Independent School Yearbooks and a raft of other publishing companies within the group, this is a highly resilient and investable company. The recent trading update provides further evidence of this, and combined with an excellent GRT of 22%, BMY is rated a buy at VectorVest in the run up to the results on May 22nd.
Dr David Paul
April 11th 2018
Readers can examine trading opportunities on BMY and a host of other similar stocks for a single payment of £5.95. This gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial, where members enjoy unlimited access to VectorVest UK & U.S., plus VectorVest University for on-demand strategies and training. Link here to view.
VectorVest Unisearch
On VectorVest a simple search using the Unisearch tool will quickly find shares that are undervalued with good fundamentals that have just issued a Buy recommendation. This will give the active trader a short list of many high probability trading opportunities each week. Traders now have the opportunity to spend five weeks discovering VectorVest’s unique simplicity, automation and independent guidance. Just £5.95 buys a 5 week trial to enable deep exploration, or how the system can assist in smarter trading in as little as 10 minutes a day. Powerful tools. Proven strategies. Unique Perspectives.
Link here for more info and to set up a trial.
European Financial Publishing Limited T/A VectorVest UK (VectorVest) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under register number 543038. You should remember that the value of investments and the income derived therefrom may fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount that you invest. Past performance is not a reliable guide to the future. This material is directed only at persons in the UK and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities. If investors are in any doubt of the suitability of an investment given their individual circumstances, they are recommended to contact an investment manager or independent financial adviser who may be able to provide tailored advice. Opinions expressed whether in general or both on the performance of individual securities and in a wider economic context represent the views of VectorVest at the time of preparation. They are subject to change and should not be interpreted as investment advice. VectorVest and connected companies, clients, directors, employees and other associates, may have a position in any security, or related financial instrument, issued by a company or organisation mentioned on this site. European Financial Publishing Limited is a company incorporated in Scotland under Company Number SC357322 with its registered address at Exchange Tower, 19 Canning Street, Edinburgh EH3 8EH. Email: support@VectorVest.com
Buy Concurrent Technologies #CNC says VectorVest. Bullish charting configuration supported by steadily improving fundamentals
Colchester-based Concurrent Technologies Plc (CNC.L) develops and manufactures high-end embedded computer products for use in a wide range of high performance applications within the telecommunications, defence, security, telemetry, scientific and aerospace markets. Using mainly Intel® processors, including the latest generation Intel® Core™ i7 processors, Intel® Xeon® and Intel® Atom™ processors, the Company offers a wide range of computer products which are designed to be compliant with industry specifications including those for products used in extremely harsh environments. Other processors now include NVIDIA® Tegra® K1 devices.
Examine this trading opportunity and a host of other similar stocks. A single payment of £5.95 gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial. More here
On December 21st 2017, CNC published a trading update for the year ending 31 Dec 2017, and confirmed that it expects trading for 2017 to be broadly in line with market expectations. On March 8th 2018 CNC confirmed it would pay a second interim dividend of 1.30p per share on March 29th. Following a series of new product launches and developments during Q1 2018, CNC confirmed that full year results are to be published on April 4th 2018.
The nascent value within CNC triggered an RV (Relative Value) charting move in December 2017, which has continued to build during Q1 2018 on the back of multiple product launches. RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential where CNC now scores 1.47, an excellent number on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CNC also scores an excellent GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) of 27%, and while the RS (Relative Safety) metric only registers a fair rating of 0.95 (scale of 0.00 to 2.00), trading at 83p the stock is still way below the current VectorVest valuation of 120p per share.
The chart of CNC.L is shown above over the past 15 months using my normal format. The share moved strongly upwards during March and April 2017 ahead of the published earnings per share (EPS) results. Since this time the share has charted a double bottom formation which after an advance is a very bullish phenomena. The technical target from the double bottom formation is similar to the VectorVest valuation of 120p. The share is currently on a Buy recommendation on VectorVest.
Summary: Having hit year highs of 96p a year ago, the charting picture for this niche computer product manufacturer is now looking very bullish at the current 83p. The raft of product launches during Q1, plus a 4.8% increase in the full year dividend payout shows a company in steady rather than spectacular growth mode, but nonetheless VectorVest takes the view that CNC currently offers significant growth potential. Buy.
Dr David Paul
April 4th 2018
Readers can examine trading opportunities on CNC and a host of other similar stocks for a single payment of £5.95. This gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial, where members enjoy unlimited access to VectorVest UK & U.S., plus VectorVest University for on-demand strategies and training. Link here to view.
VectorVest Unisearch
On VectorVest a simple search using the Unisearch tool will quickly find shares that are undervalued with good fundamentals that have just issued a Buy recommendation. This will give the active trader a short list of many high probability trading opportunities each week. Traders now have the opportunity to spend five weeks discovering VectorVest’s unique simplicity, automation and independent guidance. Just £5.95 buys a 5 week trial to enable deep exploration, or how the system can assist in smarter trading in as little as 10 minutes a day. Powerful tools. Proven strategies. Unique Perspectives.
Link here for more info and to set up a trial.
European Financial Publishing Limited T/A VectorVest UK (VectorVest) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under register number 543038. You should remember that the value of investments and the income derived therefrom may fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount that you invest. Past performance is not a reliable guide to the future. This material is directed only at persons in the UK and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities. If investors are in any doubt of the suitability of an investment given their individual circumstances, they are recommended to contact an investment manager or independent financial adviser who may be able to provide tailored advice. Opinions expressed whether in general or both on the performance of individual securities and in a wider economic context represent the views of VectorVest at the time of preparation. They are subject to change and should not be interpreted as investment advice. VectorVest and connected companies, clients, directors, employees and other associates, may have a position in any security, or related financial instrument, issued by a company or organisation mentioned on this site. European Financial Publishing Limited is a company incorporated in Scotland under Company Number SC357322 with its registered address at Exchange Tower, 19 Canning Street, Edinburgh EH3 8EH. Email: support@VectorVest.com
Buy Gulf Keystone Petroleum #GKP says VectorVest. The stock currently offers a decent investment proposition to investors with an appetite for risk
Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP.L) is a leading independent operator and producer in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq and the operator of the Shaikan field with current production capacity of 40,000 barrels of oil per day. The Kurdistan Region of Iraq segment consists of the Shaikan, Ber Bahr blocks and the Erbil office, which provides support to the operations in Kurdistan. The UK segment provides geological, geophysical, engineering and corporate services to the Company.
Examine this trading opportunity and a host of other similar stocks. A single payment of £5.95 gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial. More here
On January 22nd 2018, GKP published an operational and corporate update. GKP confirmed a net cash position of $157m as at Jan 19th 2018, and said gross production guidance for 2018 is being set at 27,000-32,000 bopd. The lower range compared to 2017 is due to the need to install downhole pumps in some wells, which are part of the investment programme delayed into 2018. GKP confirmed a strong safety performance in 2017 and into 2018 with no lost-time incidents at the Shaikan field. Operations in the area remain secure, and a plant uptime of 99% in 2017 helped contribute to an average gross production of 35,298 barrels of oil per day, in the middle of GKP’s guidance range of 32,000-38,000 bopd for the year. Subject to resolution of commercials and the Kurdistan Regional Govt continuing regular payment of monthly invoices, GKP intends on investing this year in wells and facilities to expand production capacity to 55,000 bopd. CEO Jón Ferrier said the board are “very pleased with the progress made to date on the commercial and operational matters to implement this and look forward to concluding commercial matters in the near future.“ Group FY results will be announced on Wed 11 April 2018.
Despite GKP’s region of operations and the comparatively uncertain geopolitical picture, the company has over the past few months triggered a series of positive VectorVest metrics that cannot be ignored. In late December 2017, the VectorVest RT (Relative Timing) metric leapt higher, alerting members to a growth opportunity. RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock’s price trend, and despite the stock currently trading at year highs of 130p, GKP still logs a current rating of 1.29 on this metric, which is vey good on a scale of 0.00 – 2.00. Other high scoring metrics include a GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) of 30%, which VectorVest considers excellent. The uncertain geopolitical picture previously mentioned weighs on the RS (Relative Safety) metric, where GKP scores a poor rating of 0.82 (scale of 0.00 to 2.00), but despite this, trading at 130p the stock is still considerably undervalued against a current VectorVest valuation of 179p per share.
The chart of GKP.L is shown above over the past nine months. The share in this time has charted a treble bottom pattern and over the last few weeks a rising low. Price support within the rising low on the 12th February 2018 arrived at a previous swing top which was charted last November 2017. This is bullish price action. The share is undervalued with an excellent price appreciation potential (RV) and is on a BUY recommendation.
Summary: GKP is probably one of the most familiar stocks to the investing community, on account of some huge historical share price movements and a somewhat chequered history. Regardless, as a trading and investing instrument, GKP currently offers a decent investment proposition to investors with an appetite for risk. Despite the poor RS (Relative Safety) rating, VectorVest takes the view that GKP offers significant upside given plans to the expand production facility. The very good RT (Relative Timing) rating in the run up to the results warrants a VectorVest buy rating, but investors are advised to run a close stop loss.
Dr David Paul
March 28th 2018
Readers can examine trading opportunities on GKP and a host of other similar stocks for a single payment of £5.95. This gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial, where members enjoy unlimited access to VectorVest UK & U.S., plus VectorVest University for on-demand strategies and training. Link here to view.
VectorVest Unisearch
On VectorVest a simple search using the Unisearch tool will quickly find shares that are undervalued with good fundamentals that have just issued a Buy recommendation. This will give the active trader a short list of many high probability trading opportunities each week. Traders now have the opportunity to spend five weeks discovering VectorVest’s unique simplicity, automation and independent guidance. Just £5.95 buys a 5 week trial to enable deep exploration, or how the system can assist in smarter trading in as little as 10 minutes a day. Powerful tools. Proven strategies. Unique Perspectives.
Link here for more info and to set up a trial.
European Financial Publishing Limited T/A VectorVest UK (VectorVest) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under register number 543038. You should remember that the value of investments and the income derived therefrom may fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount that you invest. Past performance is not a reliable guide to the future. This material is directed only at persons in the UK and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities. If investors are in any doubt of the suitability of an investment given their individual circumstances, they are recommended to contact an investment manager or independent financial adviser who may be able to provide tailored advice. Opinions expressed whether in general or both on the performance of individual securities and in a wider economic context represent the views of VectorVest at the time of preparation. They are subject to change and should not be interpreted as investment advice. VectorVest and connected companies, clients, directors, employees and other associates, may have a position in any security, or related financial instrument, issued by a company or organisation mentioned on this site. European Financial Publishing Limited is a company incorporated in Scotland under Company Number SC357322 with its registered address at Exchange Tower, 19 Canning Street, Edinburgh EH3 8EH. Email: support@VectorVest.com
Dr David Paul of VectorVest discusses market timing, #RWA, #TRI, #GLE & #RQIH on Core Finance TV
Dr David Paul of VectorVest discusses market timing, Robert Walters #RWA, Trifast #TRI, Gleeson #GLE & Randall & Quilter #RQIH with Nick ‘Moose’ Batsford on Core Finance TV.
You can examine these trading opportunities and a host of other similar stocks for a single payment of £5.95. This gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-week trial, where members enjoy unlimited access to VectorVest UK & U.S., plus VectorVest University for on-demand strategies and training. Link here for more info.
Buy Randall & Quilter #RQIH says VectorVest. Company undergoing a transformation through operational streamlining and refocusing into core areas
Bermuda-based Randall & Quilter Investment Holdings (RQIH.L) is a specialist non-life insurance acquirer, service provider and underwriting manager. RQIH generates profits and capital extractions from expert management of legacy non-life insurance acquisitions/reinsurances, including in Lloyds, and generates commission income from its licensed (and rated) carriers in the US and EU/UK, writing niche and profitable programme business, largely on behalf of highly rated reinsurers. RQIH was founded by Ken Randall and Alan Quilter in 1991.
FREE! For free VectorVest analysis on any stock, go to this link here
On January 8th 2018, RQIH announced a board restructure and said it continued to make “excellent progress, with Group simplification proceeding well, and a strong new business pipeline.” On January 15th 2018, RQIH announced the sale of its insurance services and captive management operations to digital solutions provider Davis Group. The proceed of around £18.6m will be used to help finance the group’s growing legacy transaction pipeline, especially in the US and Lloyd’s, and to generate commission income from the use of Accredited and Malta’s direct licenses. Chairman Ken Randall said: “The sale of our insurance services and captive management operations is a significant milestone in the group’s decision to simplify its operations and focus on our core areas of legacy acquisitions and the writing of quality programme business, which is mostly reinsured to highly rated reinsurers.” Separately broker Numis reiterated a buy rating and 195p target for RQIH in Feb 2018.
The sequence of moves to simplify and streamline group operations was flagged at the start of January by several key VectorVest metrics. These include RV (Relative Value) – an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential and where RQIH scores 1.57, which again is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RQIH also scores an excellent GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) of 34%, and while the RS (Relative Safety) metric only registers a fair rating of 0.98 (scale of 0.00 to 2.00), trading at 151p the stock is still considerably undervalued against a current VectorVest valuation of 228p per share.
The chart of RQIH.L is shown below using weekly candles over the past two years using my normal notation. The valuation is shown by the green line study above the price while earnings per share is shown by the blue line study in the window below the price. The share has charted an ascending triangle since November 2016 and looks highly probable to break upwards from this bullish formation soon.
Summary: Hot on the heels of niche finance group STM last week, VectorVest presents yet another sector play. First established in 1991, RQIH is undergoing a transformation through operational streamlining and refocusing into core areas. With a solid long-term track record, broker support and a bullish charting configuration currently playing out, VectorVest believes the stock will continue to push higher and achieve the current 228p price target by Q3 2018.
Dr David Paul
March 20th 2018
Readers can examine trading opportunities on RQIH and a host of other similar stocks for a single payment of £5.95. This gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial, where members enjoy unlimited access to VectorVest UK & U.S., plus VectorVest University for on-demand strategies and training. Link here to view.
FREE! For free VectorVest analysis on any stock, go to this link here
VectorVest Unisearch
On VectorVest a simple search using the Unisearch tool will quickly find shares that are undervalued with good fundamentals that have just issued a Buy recommendation. This will give the active trader a short list of many high probability trading opportunities each week. Traders now have the opportunity to spend five weeks discovering VectorVest’s unique simplicity, automation and independent guidance. Just £5.95 buys a 5 week trial to enable deep exploration, or how the system can assist in smarter trading in as little as 10 minutes a day. Powerful tools. Proven strategies. Unique Perspectives.
Link here for more info and to set up a trial.
European Financial Publishing Limited T/A VectorVest UK (VectorVest) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under register number 543038. You should remember that the value of investments and the income derived therefrom may fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount that you invest. Past performance is not a reliable guide to the future. This material is directed only at persons in the UK and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities. If investors are in any doubt of the suitability of an investment given their individual circumstances, they are recommended to contact an investment manager or independent financial adviser who may be able to provide tailored advice. Opinions expressed whether in general or both on the performance of individual securities and in a wider economic context represent the views of VectorVest at the time of preparation. They are subject to change and should not be interpreted as investment advice. VectorVest and connected companies, clients, directors, employees and other associates, may have a position in any security, or related financial instrument, issued by a company or organisation mentioned on this site. European Financial Publishing Limited is a company incorporated in Scotland under Company Number SC357322 with its registered address at Exchange Tower, 19 Canning Street, Edinburgh EH3 8EH. Email: support@VectorVest.com
VectorVest – Adventurous investors should buy STM Group #STM in the run up to full year results.
AIM listed STM Group (STM.L) is a multi jurisdictional financial services group, which specialises in the delivery of a wide range of financial service products to professional intermediaries. The group also undertakes the administration of assets for international clients in relation to retirement, estate and succession planning and wealth structuring. Today, STM has operations in UK, Malta, Jersey, Spain and Gibraltar. The Group is looking to expand through the development of additional products and services that it’s ever more sophisticated clients demand. STM has developed a specialist international pensions division, which specialises in UK SIPPs, Qualifying Recognised Overseas Pension Schemes (QROPS) and Qualifying Non UK Pension Schemes (QNUPS). STM has a Gibraltar Life Insurance Company, STM Life plc, which provides life insurance bonds – wrappers in which a variety of investments, including investment funds, can be held.
Examine this trading opportunity and a host of other similar stocks. A single payment of £5.95 gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial. More here
On January 24th 2018, STM published a pre-close trading update for the year to 31 Dec 2017, and said it expects to deliver a pre-tax profit of not less than £3.8m (2016: £2.8m). STM said a key component enabling the delivery of record PBT was the International SIPP (ISIPP) product launch, post the March 2017 UK budget announcement. This, along with an annual recurring revenue stream makes up over 70% of STM revenues, giving predictability over the underlying monthly performance. Subsequently on February 24th STM subsidiary STM Malta Ltd announced it had completed the acquisition of Harbour Pensions Ltd. CEO Alan Kentish said investment in the repositioning of STM’s business “brings opportunities in 2018 to improve our profit margins.” Full year results will be published on March 27th 2018.
In January 2018, the VectorVest RT (Relative Timing) metric leapt higher, alerting members to a growth opportunity. RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock’s price trend, and despite the stock rocketing from 35p to 54p over a few days, STM still logs a current rating of 1.48 on this metric, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 – 2.00. Other high scoring metrics include a GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) of 21%, which VectorVest considers excellent. Cautious investors may want to looks elsewhere, as STM currently scores a lowly 0.84 on the RS (Relative Safety) metric (scale of 0.00 to 2.00), but despite this, trading at 50p the stock is still considerably undervalued against a current VectorVest valuation of 65.5p per share.
A weekly candlestick chart of STM.L is shown above over the last three years. The blue line study in the window below price is Earnings Per Share (EPS) which has grown significantly over the period. Since August 2016 the share has charted a treble bottom formation which is positive for the share. STM.L is on a BUY recomdendation on VectorVest.
Summary: Niche finance groups are regularly flagged as buying opportunities across the VectorVest stock analysis and portfolio management system and STM is no exception. This diversified financial services operator continues to develop and expand its portfolio of services for a sophisticated client base, and despite some challenges during 2017, management have not only delivered a record PBT result, but see further opportunities to grow profit margins in the current year. As such, for adventurous investors VectorVest rates the stock as a buy in the run up to FY results at the end of March 2018
Dr David Paul
March 14th 2018
Readers can examine trading opportunities on STM and a host of other similar stocks for a single payment of £5.95. This gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial, where members enjoy unlimited access to VectorVest UK & U.S., plus VectorVest University for on-demand strategies and training. Link here to view
FREE! For free VectorVest analysis on any stock, go to this link here
VectorVest Unisearch
On VectorVest a simple search using the Unisearch tool will quickly find shares that are undervalued with good fundamentals that have just issued a Buy recommendation. This will give the active trader a short list of many high probability trading opportunities each week. Traders now have the opportunity to spend five weeks discovering VectorVest’s unique simplicity, automation and independent guidance. Just £5.95 buys a 5 week trial to enable deep exploration, or how the system can assist in smarter trading in as little as 10 minutes a day. Powerful tools. Proven strategies. Unique Perspectives.
Link here for more info and to set up a trial.
European Financial Publishing Limited T/A VectorVest UK (VectorVest) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under register number 543038. You should remember that the value of investments and the income derived therefrom may fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount that you invest. Past performance is not a reliable guide to the future. This material is directed only at persons in the UK and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities. If investors are in any doubt of the suitability of an investment given their individual circumstances, they are recommended to contact an investment manager or independent financial adviser who may be able to provide tailored advice. Opinions expressed whether in general or both on the performance of individual securities and in a wider economic context represent the views of VectorVest at the time of preparation. They are subject to change and should not be interpreted as investment advice. VectorVest and connected companies, clients, directors, employees and other associates, may have a position in any security, or related financial instrument, issued by a company or organisation mentioned on this site. European Financial Publishing Limited is a company incorporated in Scotland under Company Number SC357322 with its registered address at Exchange Tower, 19 Canning Street, Edinburgh EH3 8EH. Email: support@VectorVest.com
Buy Evraz #EVR says VectorVest. The turnaround over the past year has been nothing short of spectacular.
Evraz plc (EVR.L) is a steel, mining and vanadium business with operations in the Russian Federation, Ukraine, the United States, Canada, the Czech Republic, Italy, Kazakhstan and South Africa. The Company’s principal activities include manufacturing steel and steel products; iron ore mining and enrichment; coal mining; manufacturing vanadium products, and trading operations and logistics. Its segments include Steel; Steel, North America; Coal, and Other Operations. The Steel segment is engaged in the production of steel and related products at all mills except for those located in North America. The Steel, North America segment is engaged in the production of steel and related products in the United States and Canada. The Coal segment includes coal mining and enrichment. Other Operations include energy-generating companies, shipping and railway transportation companies.
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On March 1st 2018, EVR published FY results for the year ended 31 Dec 2017, which revealed strong free cash flow of $1.32bn (FY2016: $659m), with consolidated EBITDA of $2.62bn, up 70.2% from $1.54bn in FY2016. Strong market conditions and numerous improvement initiatives drove the EBITDA margin from 20.0% to 24.2%. EVR reported a further reduction in net debt to $4bn (FY2016: $4.8bn), with an overall net profit of $759m (FY2016: $188m loss). As a result a second interim dividend of $429.6m ($0.30 per share) has been declared, reflecting the Board’s confidence in the Group’s financial position and outlook. Looking forward, CEO Alexander Frolov said: “As we progress in 2018, we remain committed to our vision and believe that our pipeline of investment projects and operational efforts, combined with favourable market conditions will enable us to generate strong financial results and benefit all our stakeholders.”
As with so many stocks appearing across VectorVest metrics, the upsurge in production at EVR was identified on the RT (Relative Timing) metric as far back as June last year. RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock’s price trend, and despite the near doubling in share price since June last year, EVR still logs a current rating of 1.75 on this metric, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 – 2.00. Other high scoring metrics include RV (Relative Value) – an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. Here EVR scores 1.62, which again is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. EVR also scores an excellent GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) of 38%, and while the RS (Relative Safety) metric only registers a fair rating of 0.98 (scale of 0.00 to 2.00), trading at 437p the stock is still considerably undervalued against a current VectorVest valuation of 670p per share.
The chart of EVR.L is shown below in my normal format. The share is on a Buy recommendation on VectorVest and trending strongly upwards. The blue line study shows Earnings per Share (EPS) which has trebled over the last year. This is the engine that’s driving the share price upwards.
Summary: This steel and metals mining & production giant has enjoyed varied fortunes over the past 5 years, while debt concerns and a dip in steel prices in 2015 saw EVR test lows of just 60p. The turnaround over the past year has been nothing short of spectacular, and while the volatile nature of the stock warrants a low RS (Relative Safety) rating, the special dividend and bullish outlook announced by the board ensures a medium term buy rating and thumbs up from VectorVest. Buy.
Dr David Paul
March 6th 2018
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Buy Urals Energy #UEN says VectorVest. Fundamentals & relative timing add up to a highly attractive oil sector play.
AIM listed Urals Energy (UEN.L) is an independent oil company with its operating assets located in Russia. UEN is primarily engaged in oil and gas exploration and production in the Russian Federation and processing of crude oil for distribution on both Russian and international markets. The Company’s exploration and production operations are on the Kolguyev Island based in Timan Pechora and on Sakhalin Island. The Company’s ZAO Petrosakh develops the Okruzhnoye field on the Eastern coast of Sakhalin Island. The Company’s ZAO Arcticneft develops and operates the Peschanoozerskoye field on Kolguyev Island in the Barents Sea. The Company is producing on average approximately two thousand barrels of oil per day from Petrosakh and Arcticneft with 100% of production being refined in Petrosakh and 100% being exported in Arcticneft.
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On December 21st 2017, UEN published an update on its reserves, and on progress in drilling at the South Dagi licence on Sakhalin Island. UEN said it had spudded its first exploration well at South Dagi, adding that any oil production from the new wells will be transported by road tanker to the Company’s refinery at Petrosakh, a distance of 400 kms, which will increase the utilisation rate of the Company’s refinery. No additional investment will be needed to process both the heavy and light oils expected from South Dagi.
As announced on 15 June 2016, the Russian State Registered reserves of C1 plus C2, equivalent to 2P (proven and probable), on the South Dagi license area are 17.7m barrels, with C3 or possible reserves of 9.0m barrels. At shallow levels, the oil is relatively heavy (23.5 – 25.5°API), with light oil (36.5 – 37.5°API), similar to the oil at the Company’s Petrosakh operation, at lower horizons. As part of the Competent Person’s Report UEN said that Blackwatch Petroleum Services has estimated the mean total 2P reserves at South Dagi to be approximately 23.5m barrels of oil across six reservoirs. UEN Chairman Andrew Shrager said the spudding of the first well at South Dagi “is extremely important as it opens the possibility to increase the production at our Petrosakh refinery, thus continuing to take advantage of having the only refinery on Sakhalin Island.“
The potential earnings growth from UEN’s E&P activities had been identified by VectorVest stock analysis metrics as far back as August 2017, long before the January spike in the share price. Despite the sharp rise, UEN continues to score highly across all key VectorVest metrics – the GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) metric retains a forecasted GRT of 36%, which VectorVest considers to be excellent. Although the RS (Relative Safety) metric at 0.86 (scale of 0.00 to 2.00) is low, UEN scores an excellent RV (Relative Value) rating of 1.51 on the same scale. VectorVest now attributes an overall value of 166p for UEN, meaning that at today’s 122p the stock is undervalued. Overall, UEN will be most suitable for investors who can manage risk and understand position sizing techniques.
The chart of UEN.L is shown above in my normal format. The share rose strongly in price during January 2018 and subsequently retraced to test the previous resistance that was in place since October 2017. Presently the share is on a Buy recommendation on VectorVest and pushing on a 26 week high. Technical Analysts reading will note the large “cup and handle” formation that the share has charted over the last 9 months. This is a bullish pattern and with a close above the 26 week high, the probabilities favour a move higher.
Summary: Although the UEN share price drifted lower for the majority of 2017, the developments at the South Dagi oil prospect has seen shares double in value in a very short space of time. As I would expect with oil E&P stocks, the low VectorVest RS rating may see cautious investors look elsewhere, but nonetheless, UEN fundamentals, earnings growth and current valuation gap all add up to a highly attractive oil sector play at this moment in time. Buy.
Dr David Paul
February 27th 2018
Readers can examine trading opportunities on UEN and a host of other similar stocks for a single payment of £5.95. This gives access to the VectorVest Risk Free 30-day trial, where members enjoy unlimited access to VectorVest UK & U.S., plus VectorVest University for on-demand strategies and training. Link here to view.
FREE! For free VectorVest analysis on any stock, go to this link here
VectorVest Unisearch
On VectorVest a simple search using the Unisearch tool will quickly find shares that are undervalued with good fundamentals that have just issued a Buy recommendation. This will give the active trader a short list of many high probability trading opportunities each week. Traders now have the opportunity to spend five weeks discovering VectorVest’s unique simplicity, automation and independent guidance. Just £5.95 buys a 5 week trial to enable deep exploration, or how the system can assist in smarter trading in as little as 10 minutes a day. Powerful tools. Proven strategies. Unique Perspectives.
Link here for more info and to set up a trial.