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Beaufort Securities view on Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO)
Beaufort Securities view on Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO).
It always comes as a surprise when the market reacts violently to some news item whose impact was considered already to be priced-in. Yesterday’s announcement told shareholders nothing new. Back in November, AVO detailed the fact that Sinophi was no longer to proceed with the installation of LIGHT technology in the China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University in Changchun and First People’s Hospital of Huai’An. Back then, AVO also confirmed that the orders for the two machines remained in place as per its agreement with Sinophi and that they were assessing other sites in the same cities as well as pursuing other framework agreements in China.
Realistically, however, given the bespoke nature of the two original contracts, it was clear that no ‘replacement buyers’ would be found and formal termination was only ever going to be a matter of time. AVO’s management always insisted, however, that the contractual details simply do not permit the originator to ‘walk away’ and that there never was any binding legal agreement with respect to delivery schedules. More to the point, the contracts were composed under English law and both companies have registered offices in the UK. Nevertheless, it would never be in either of the company’s interests to see their argument fought out in the courts, particularly for Sinophi which undertakes very large operations in China where partners would be highly sensitive to any suggestion that it had not looked after its client interests correctly. As such, assuming AVO’s legal counsel has correctly advised it, the dispute will more likely be argued behind closed doors and result in reparations being made to partially compensate AVO for its loss of profit opportunity amounting to, perhaps, a few million US$. Given the pressures on AVO’s balance sheet, any such payment would be welcome although, of course, it would still represent an unfortunate outcome from what initially had appeared to be a quite remarkable business opportunity. In this same respect, Monday’s announcement regarding the possibility of the Group securing non-dilutive financing from a ‘strategic partner’ (which Beaufort believes to be the French giant, Thales Group), also provides some hope for those fearful that AVO will otherwise be forced to undertake further discounted equity placements.
Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) – Industrialisation agreement with Thales
Advanced Oncotherapy (AIM: AVO), the developer of next-generation proton therapy systems for cancer treatment, announces that it has finalised the details of the contract for manufacturing the first LIGHT machine with Thales. This forms part of the partnership with Thales that was announced in February 2016.
Thales has selected one of its factories located in France, to house the first manufacturing line. The line is located in a 2,800sqm building and consists of two configuration and test production lines for the linear accelerator, along with one test and development area for the treatment room. In addition, Thales has already started to carry out high power RF testing and conditioning of accelerating modules and sub-systems in its Velizy site near Paris.
This step is an important milestone in the Company’s long-term commercialisation plan and is a natural progression in the partnership between Advanced Oncotherapy and Thales.
Thales is completing the engineering studies needed to optimise the integration processes, with the view of setting up a cost-efficient manufacturing platform for the production of the machines. The cost of these activities is funded by Advanced Oncotherapy and will be recovered through the retention of 100% of the gross margin on the first LIGHT machines produced.
Thales intends to organise the series production so as to drive down costs, whilst operating under an appropriate quality framework.
Thales is a well-established manufacturer of high RF energy equipment including klystrons, electron tubes, amplifiers and X-ray detectors, as well as synchrotrons, accelerators and advanced medical imaging equipment. The cooperation offers Advanced Oncotherapy access to its unique execution and engineering skills to manage the transition from prototype to a series production manufacturing line, as well as cost reduction capabilities.
Commenting, Nicolas Serandour, Chief Executive Officer of Advanced Oncotherapy, said: “This agreement with Thales is a clear validation of all the work done by both companies since we started our collaboration in February. It is also a great testimony of our common ambition and vision to make proton therapy available to as wide a population as possible throughout the world. The factory will allow us to produce eight machines per year, which is important as we continue building a very large and promising pipeline.”
Eric Huber, Managing Director of Large Instruments activity at Thales, commented: “Wherever safety and security are critical, Thales delivers. We feel that our work on the LIGHT accelerator is a natural extension of our activities in high RF energy equipment and systems. We believe Advanced Oncotherapy’s smarter proton therapy solution will create a more effective, targeted cancer treatment.”
Advanced Oncotherapy Plc |
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Dr Michael Sinclair, Executive Chairman Nicolas Serandour, CEO |
Tel: +44 20 3617 8728 |
Stockdale Securities (Nomad & Joint Broker) |
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Antonio Bossi / David Coaten |
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Tel: +44 20 7601 6100 |
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Beaufort Securities (Joint Broker) |
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Jon Belliss / Elliot Hance |
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Tel: +44 20 7382 8300 |
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Walbrook PR (Financial PR & IR) |
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Paul McManus / Anna Dunphy |
Tel: +44 20 7933 8780 or avo@walbrookpr.com |
Mob: +44 7980 541 893 / Mob: +44 7876 741 001 |
About Thales www.thalesgroup.com
Thales is a global technology leader for the Aerospace, Transport, Defence and Security markets. With 62,000 employees in 56 countries, Thales reported sales of €14 billion in 2015. With over 22,000 engineers and researchers, Thales has a unique capability to design and deploy equipment, systems and services to meet the most complex security requirements. Its exceptional international footprint allows it to work closely with its customers all over the world.
About Advanced Oncotherapy Plc www.avoplc.com
Advanced Oncotherapy is a provider of particle therapy with protons that harnesses the best in modern technology. Advanced Oncotherapy’s team, based in Geneva, focuses on the development of a proprietary proton accelerator called Linac Image Guided Hadron Technology (LIGHT). LIGHT accelerates protons to the energy levels achieved in legacy machines but in a unit that is a quarter of the size and between a quarter and a fifth of the cost. This compact configuration delivers proton beams in a way that facilitates a greater precision and electronic control which is not achievable with older technologies.
Advanced Oncotherapy will offer healthcare providers affordable systems that will enable them to treat cancer with an innovative technology as well as better health outcomes and lower treatment related side effects.
Advanced Oncotherapy continually monitors the market for any emerging improvements in delivering proton therapy and actively seeks working relationships with providers of these innovative technologies. Through these relationships, the Company will remain the prime provider of an innovative and cost-effective system for particle therapy with protons.
Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) – Recent article and Speculative Buy rating from Beaufort Securities
Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO), the developer of next-generation proton therapy systems for cancer treatment, yesterday made two important announcements. One being the realignment of roles and responsibilities of the Executive team, the other being a prospectively far reaching industrialisation agreement with Thales, the giant and highly prestigious French multinational technology design and manufacturing group.
1) The agreement with Thales provides Advanced Oncotherapy with the support needed to move from the first LIGHT system, currently being developed for use at the Company’s flagship Harley Street site, to full commercial roll-out and a fully industrialised machine series production. Thales is a well-established manufacturer of high RF energy equipment including klystrons, electron tubes, amplifiers and X-ray detectors, as well as synchrotrons, accelerators and advanced medical imaging equipment. They will offer Advanced Oncotherapy access to Thales’s unique execution and engineering skills to manage the transition from prototype to a series production manufacturing line, as well as cost reduction capabilities. As part of the agreement, Thales will undertake the initial engineering studies and test facilities commissioning required to construct the custom-designed series production line. The cost of these activities will be funded by Advanced Oncotherapy and recovered through the retention of 100% gross margin on the initial LIGHT machines produced. In addition, in the future Thales intends to organise the series production so as to drive down costs, whilst operating under an appropriate quality framework.
2) Regarding the directorate, Michael Sinclair, currently Executive Chairman, will become Chief Executive Officer and Executive Chairman; Sanjeev Pandya, currently Chief Executive Officer, will become Executive Vice President for Global Business Development and will remain on the Board of the Company. Nicolas Serandour, currently Chief Financial Officer, will become Chief Operating and Financial Officer.
Beaufort Securities view: Yesterday’s agreement with Thales tells investors two things: (i) That the signing of an agreement with such a highly prestigious global operator, that generally might not be expected to even open the door to small pre-prototype technology developers, underlines both parties’ confidence that the LIGHT system will be successfully developed during 2016 before moving to commercial production the following year and, (ii) That management is taking the forward initiative regarding the successful exploitation of its highly protected IP. As has been explained in numerous research documents, Beaufort’s commercial scenario for LIGHT is that the cost, safely, operational and size advantages its brings to the world of proton therapy, will effectively render ‘first generation’ systems all but obsolete; its development will also very significantly expand the international market for such systems from some US$2.5bn annually right now, to a figure potentially ten-times as large as LIGHT becomes the obvious successor to the similarly-priced but now relatively antiquated X-ray radiation systems that have a global installed base in excess of 20,000 units. In this respect, LIGHT uniquely faces a giant and accelerated global opportunity. To service this successfully, it will require the near-term facilitation of huge manufacturing and marketing support, which would require several years to independently create at significant expense. As Beaufort considers AVO to primarily be a medical technology designer of excellence, which will inevitably need to control its own small scale (relative to its potential international opportunity) manufacturing through which it would be able to develop and evolve successive generations of the LIGHT system, the volume manufacturing, distribution and servicing of its devices would be best done by external independent parties. The obvious choice for such a role being, of course, the existing ‘first generation’ manufactures who already have the right assembly, testing and support facilities in place. They would, of course, be required to pay royalties for the right to produce (possibly between US$2m and US$4m for a typical 3-bay LIGHT system), which would generate very significant income for the Group as output ramps up in coming years. The fact that AVO management has seen fit to put such a manufacturing agreement in place with Thales is, almost certainly, to create its own production and development facility; it is also a convenient way to remind the various ‘First Generation’ producers (Mitsubishi, IBA, Varian, etc.) that AVO could, if necessary, go it alone and so any licensing arrangements agreements that might be reached will not be up for negotiation. This places AVO is an exceptionally strong position and highlights the exceptional value of its technology. This will become increasingly clear as AVO moves toward demonstrating its first full scale prototype during H2’2016. With this in mind, the ‘moving around of the senior management chairs’ simply marks the shift in the business from focusing on the development of the first LIGHT system, to the ongoing commercial roll-out of its game-changing technology. Beaufort remains a very enthusiastic supporter of Advanced Oncotherapy and repeats its Speculative Buy recommendation on the shares.
Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) – Directorate Change
Advanced Oncotherapy plc (AVO), the developer of next-generation proton therapy systems for cancer treatment, announces that following the continued successful development of the Company’s first LIGHT system and the recent industrialisation agreement with Thales, the Board has decided to realign the roles and responsibilities of the Executive team to add additional focus to both operational functions and ongoing sales and business development.
As a result, and with immediate effect, Michael Sinclair, currently Executive Chairman, will become Chief Executive Officer and Executive Chairman; Sanjeev Pandya, currently Chief Executive Officer, will become Executive Vice President for Global Business Development and will remain on the Board of the Company. Nicolas Serandour, currently Chief Financial Officer, will become Chief Operating and Financial Officer.
Commenting, Sanjeev Pandya, said: “The agreement with Thales marked a shift in the business from just focussing on the development of our first LIGHT system, to the ongoing commercial roll-out of our game-changing technology. The future commercial development of the business will be critical to the long-term success and value creation within the Company and I am delighted to be focussing my skills on global sales for the LIGHT system and general business development.”
Dr. Michael Sinclair, Chairman and Chief Executive, commented: “We have agreed as a Board that we are now at a stage where we need to apply renewed focus on the development of an ongoing sales pipeline for our LIGHT system outside of our agreement with Sinophi. Sanjeev’s skills in this area will be deployed very effectively and I am pleased he has decided to take on this new challenge. Nicolas’ additional operational responsibility reflects what has already become a growing part of his role and I am delighted that he will be able to combine this with his careful management of the business’s finances. As shareholders know, I have always performed an active executive role as Chairman and I now look forward to continue working with the team as Chief Executive.”
Advanced Oncotherapy Plc |
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Dr. Michael Sinclair, Chairman & CEO |
Tel: +44 20 3617 8728 |
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Sanjeev Pandya, EVP for Global Business Development |
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Nicolas Serandour, COO & CFO |
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Stockdale Securities (Nomad & Joint Broker) |
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Antonio Bossi / David Coaten |
Tel: +44 20 7601 6100 |
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Beaufort Securities (Joint Broker) |
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Jon Belliss / Elliot Hance |
Tel: +44 20 7382 8300 |
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Walbrook PR (Financial PR & IR) |
Tel: +44 20 7933 8780 or avo@walbrookpr.com |
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Paul McManus / Anna Dunphy |
Mob: +44 7980 541 893 / Mob: +44 7876 741 001 |
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Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) – Thales industrialisation agreement
Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO), the developer of next-generation proton therapy systems for cancer treatment, announces that it has entered into an industrialisation agreement with Thales, for its proprietary LIGHT system.
This agreement with Thales provides Advanced Oncotherapy with the support needed to move from the first LIGHT system, currently being developed for use at the Company’s flagship Harley Street site, to full commercial roll-out and a fully industrialised machine series production.
Thales is a well-established manufacturer of high RF energy equipment including klystrons, electron tubes, amplifiers and X-ray detectors, as well as synchrotrons, accelerators and advanced medical imaging equipment. They will offer Advanced Oncotherapy access to Thales’s unique execution and engineering skills to manage the transition from prototype to a series production manufacturing line, as well as cost reduction capabilities.
As part of the agreement, Thales will undertake the initial engineering studies and test facilities commissioning required to construct the custom-designed series production line. The cost of these activities will be funded by Advanced Oncotherapy and recovered through the retention of 100% gross margin on the initial LIGHT machines produced. In addition, in the future Thales intends to organise the series production so as to drive down costs, whilst operating under an appropriate quality framework.
Commenting, Dr. Michael Sinclair, Executive chairman of Advanced Oncotherapy, said: “This partnership is an important step in ensuring a successful commercial roll-out of our LIGHT system once the first system is installed at our Harley Street site. We are delighted that our technology has attracted a partner with the expertise and global reach of Thales and whilst we already expect our system to be available at a fraction of the cost of current proton therapy machines, the cost reduction skills of Thales will ensure that this next generation proton therapy system is affordable and so more widely available for cancer patients around the world. This agreement also opens up huge opportunities for a quicker production ramp-up in a market characterised by high demand.”
Eric Huber, Managing Director of Large Instruments activity at Thales, commented: “Thales will rely on its extensive experience in scientific accelerator integration to manage the transition from prototype to the series production of the LIGHT machine. This new LIGHT concept is on the cusp of a steepening adoption curve with tremendous growth potential.”
Advanced Oncotherapy Plc |
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Dr. Michael Sinclair, Executive Chairman Sanjeev Pandya, CEO |
Tel: +44 20 3617 8728 |
Nicolas Serandour, CFO |
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Stockdale Securities (Nomad & Joint Broker) |
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Antonio Bossi / David Coaten |
Tel: +44 20 7601 6100 |
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Beaufort Securities (Joint Broker) |
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Jon Belliss / Elliot Hance |
Tel: +44 20 7382 8300 |
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Walbrook PR (Financial PR & IR) |
Tel: +44 20 7933 8780 or avo@walbrookpr.com |
Paul McManus / Anna Dunphy |
Mob: +44 7980 541 893 / Mob: +44 7876 741 001 |
About Thales www.thalesgroup.com
Thales is a global technology leader for the Aerospace, Transport, Defence and Security markets. With 61,000 employees in 56 countries, Thales reported sales of €13 billion in 2014. With over 20,000 engineers and researchers, Thales has a unique capability to design and deploy equipment, systems and services to meet the most complex security requirements. Its unique international footprint allows it to work closely with its customers all over the world.
About Advanced Oncotherapy Plc www.avoplc.com
Advanced Oncotherapy is a provider of particle therapy with protons that harnesses the best in modern technology. Advanced Oncotherapy’s team “ADAM”, based in Geneva, focuses on the development of a proprietary proton accelerator called Linac Image Guided Hadron Technology (LIGHT). LIGHT accelerates protons to the energy levels achieved in legacy machines but in a unit that is a quarter of the size and between a quarter and a fifth of the cost. This compact configuration delivers proton beams in a way that facilitates a greater precision and electronic control which is not achievable with older technologies.
Advanced Oncotherapy will offer healthcare providers affordable systems that will enable them to treat cancer with an innovative technology as well as better health outcomes and lower treatment related side effects.
The Company has signed a purchase agreement with Sinophi Healthcare Limited for one LIGHT proton therapy system to be installed in a hospital in China and has further Letters of Intent from other healthcare providers.
Advanced Oncotherapy continually monitors the market for any emerging improvements in delivering proton therapy and actively seeks working relationships with providers of these innovative technologies. Through these relationships, the Company will remain the prime provider of an innovative and cost-effective system for particle therapy with protons.