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Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Interim Results for the six months ended 30 June 2024

Cadence Minerals plc (AIM/AQX: KDNC) is pleased to announce its interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2024.

Despite the poor commodity and macro backdrop, our primary investment, the Amapá Iron Ore Project, has progressed well. The three targets we set for the year are either completed or scheduled to be completed by year-end.

Highlights for Amapá Project progress made in the period and post-period end include:

  • The completion of optimisation studies resulting in a 20% increase of Post-tax Net Present Value (“NPV”) to US$1.14 billion, with profit after tax of US$3.14 billion over the Life of Mine
  • A 10% increase in average production after ramp-up to 5.82 million dry metric tonnes per annum (“Mtpa”) of Fe concentrate, consisting of 4.81 Mtpa at 65.4% Fe and 1.01 Mtpa at 62% Fe concentrate.
  • A 6% decrease in Free on Board C1 Cash Costs to US$33.5/dry metric tonne.
  • The submission of required environmental studies and applications for the grant of the installation licenses at the Amapá Project.
  • The completion of the design of a 67% iron ore concentrate flow sheet, with testing of the design currently underway.

The immediate focus of the Amapá Project is financing the next stage of development, a goal to which all the partners are fully dedicated. We believe this should be done via a trade sale or a joint venture with a highly experienced mining operator.

We are actively working towards this goal and are currently discussing with potential joint venture partners. These processes take time with extensive due diligence and contract negotiations, and we know that shareholders want to be informed about the detailed progress; however, for commercial reasons and listing rule requirements, we will only announce once a material contract has been executed.

Our other main investments are in the lithium sector. With lithium prices down some 80% over the last twelve months, we have seen a reduction in lithium equities, with the average producer down some 38% during the current year. As our investments are in either early-stage exploration or development assets, the decrease in equity price was the primary driver of our losses during the period.

Nonetheless, we see positive indications in the lithium market, with market commentators forecasting improvements in 2025 and supply shortfalls in the 2030s. However, it should be noted that we should not expect lithium prices to return to levels seen in 2022 in the short to medium term. Lithium demand is still growing significantly, so prices should improve over the coming year. 

Investment Review

As outlined in the section “Our Business and Investment Strategy,” Cadence operates an investment strategy in which we invest in private projects via a private and public equity model. In both investment classes, we take either an active or passive role. We have reported in these segments below.

Private Investments, Active

The Amapá Iron Ore Project, Brazil (“Amapá” or “Project”)
Interest – 33.12% at 31/12/2023 and 34.14% at 30/06/2024 

The Amapá Project is a large-scale iron ore mine with associated rail, port, and beneficiation facilities. It began operations in December 2007 but ceased in 2014 due to a geotechnical failure at the port facility, which limited iron ore export. Before closing, the Project made an underlying profit of US$54 million in 2012 and US$120 million in 2011. In 2008, the Project produced 712 thousand tonnes of iron ore concentrate, and production increased to 4.8 million tonnes in 2011 and 6.1 million tonnes in 2012.

Investment

In 2019, Cadence entered into a binding investment agreement to invest in and acquire up to 27% of the Amapá iron ore mine, beneficiation plant, railway, and private port owned by DEV Mineração S.A. (“DEV”). The agreement also gave Cadence a first right of refusal to increase its stake to 49%.

To acquire its 27% interest, Cadence invested US$6 million over two stages in a joint venture company, Pedra and Branca Alliance (“PBA”). This investment was completed in the first quarter of 2022. Since then, Cadence has invested another US$7.29 million for a further 7.14% equity. At the end of the period, Cadence Minerals had invested some US$13.8 million for 34.14% in the Project.

Operations Review

During the reporting period, we continued to develop the Amapá Project. Our main operational goals for this year were to complete our environmental applications, reduce capital expenditure, improve Project economics, and resume testing to produce a high-grade 67% iron ore concentrate.

These targets had been mainly achieved at the time of writing. Subsequently, we reported on capital costs and increased mining during the period, which delivered a 20% increase in the Project’s Net Present Value. We also submitted all the required environmental license applications, which should be granted by the end of 2024.

We have started testing the flow sheet design we developed during the period, which we expect to be completed in the fourth quarter of this year.

Updated Pre Feasibility Study (“PFS”)-level economic study

In March this year, the Amapá Project announced the results of the optimisation study, which delivered material capital savings to the Project. The Amapá Project carried out an updated PFS-level economic analysis based on these results.

Updated Mining Schedule

As part of the optimisation work, engineering consultants identified higher availability at the processing plant, which increased the annual run-of-mine feed rate to the processing plant. As a result, the mining and other related engineering disciplines had to be re-examined, and in particular, the mine schedule had to be recalculated to optimise the Project’s NPV.

As a result, a new life of mine production plan was scheduled. This revised schedule allows for 15 years of production with the current economic values and a cut-off of 25% Fe. The resultant life of the mine strip ratio is approximately 0.4:1 (tonnes waste: tonnes ore), and the average ore mine delivered to the plant is 13 million metric tonnes per annum.

Project Financial Analysis

An updated PFS financial model, which included the updated mining schedule, lower capex, and lower operational costs, was developed to evaluate the Project’s economics. All other aspects of the financial analysis remained the same as per the PFS published in January 2023. Summary results from the economic model outputs are presented in the table below. The financial model considers 100% equity funding for the Project, although the financing of the Project will be a mix of debt and equity. A summary of the key financial information is presented below, alongside the 2023 PFS data.

Table 1.1 Key Project Metrics (100% Project basis)

Metric Unit 2023 PFS Data 2024 PFS Data
Total ore feed to the plant Mt (dry) 176.88 176.93
Life of Mine Years 16 15
Fe grade of ore feed to the plant % 39.34 39.34
Recovery % 76.27 76.27
62.0% iron ore concentrate production Mtpa 0.89 0.95
65.4% iron ore concentrate production Mtpa 4.23 4.51
C1 Cash Costs FOB * US$/DMT 35.53 33.50
C1 Cash Costs CFR ** US$/DMT 64.23 52.20
Pre-Production capital investment*** US$M 399 343
Sustaining capital investment over LOM**** US$M 245 245
Post-tax NPV (10%) US$M 949 1,145
Post-tax IRR % 34 42
Project payback Years 4 4
Total profit after tax (net operating profit) US$B 2.96 3.14
* Means operating cash costs, including mining, processing, geology, OHSE, rail, port and site G&A, divided by the tonnes of iron ore concentrate produced. It excludes royalties and is quoted on a FOB basis (excluding shipping to the customer).
** Means the same as C1 Cash Costs FOB; however, it includes shipping to the customer in China (CFR).
*** Includes direct tax credit rebate over 48 months
**** Includes both sustaining CAPEX and deferred capital expenditure, specifically, improvements to the railway and the installation of conveyor belt and mine site to rail load out

Project Permitting

As announced in September 2023 (News Release Here), the Amapá Project has agreed with the Amapá State Environmental Agency (“SEMA”) to an expedited environmental licensing process, given that the Project was previously operating and had been granted all required licenses.

The Amapá Project owns the required Mining Concessions; however, it must obtain a Mine Extraction and Processing Permit (“Mining Permit”) to begin operation. To obtain this permit, the Amapá Project must obtain an Installation License (“LI”) to begin construction and, when constructed, an Operational License (“LO”). An LI and LO are also required to build and operate the railway and port.

In April, the Amapá Project submitted the required environmental studies and applications for the Amapá mine and railway. This application was in the form of the Environmental Control Plan, “PCA” (Plano de Controle Ambiental), and an Environmental Control Report, “RCA” (Relatório de Controle Ambiental). This was followed in early September when

The Project submitted the required environmental studies and application for the LI grant for the iron ore port.

Our joint venture has continued engaging with SEMA and other relevant authorities, who have indicated that the LI for the rail and mine remain on schedule for the grant this year. Given the impact that the railway’s restart will make on local communities, the installation license for the railway is anticipated to have some conditions precedent. This is expected in any project of this nature. The Amapá Project management team always anticipated this as part of the required licensing requirements to redevelop the Amapá Iron Ore Project. Our understanding from SEMA is that, based on the current timeline, all the LIs will be granted by the end of 2024.

Secured Bank Settlement Iron Ore Shipments

As per the settlement agreement announced in December 2021 here, the net proceeds of the one shipment carried out in 2022, along with approximately half of the net proceeds from the shipments in 2021, have been used to pay the secured bank creditors.

In early 2024, we reached an in-principle agreement on a one-time settlement amount with the secured creditors and had a financing solution to make this payment. However, we could not crystallise the financing due to a longer-than-expected approval process from the secured creditors and unfavourable iron ore prices. We remain optimistic that as the iron ore price improves, we will be able to secure the funding needed to make this one-time payment.

Development Plan for the Amapá Project

The goal is to bring this Project back into production. Based on the positive results derived from the updated economic assessment at a PFS level, we are now testing the 67% iron ore concentrate product flow sheet. Once the flow sheet is proven to the PFS level, this revised flow sheet will form the basis of an amended economic assessment of the Project.

Alongside this, and based on discussion with SEMA, we expect the grant of the LIs by the end of the year, allowing the commencement of construction and the recommissioning of the Project in 2025. Of course, this will be subject to the Project securing appropriate debt and equity financing.

Cadence, along with its joint venture partner, has agreed that the lowest risk and currently the best commercial approach for our investment in the Project should be either a trade sale or a joint venture with a highly experienced mining operator. We are actively working towards this goal and discussing it with potential joint venture partners. The funding of debt and equity for the recommissioning and construction of the Project is anticipated to occur at the asset or joint venture level. 

Private Investments, Passive

Ferro Verde Iron Ore, Brazil

Interest – 1% on 31/12/2023 and 30/06/2024

In 2022, Cadence invested a small amount (£0.21 million) in an advanced iron ore deposit in Brazil the previous year. The Ferro Verde Deposit is in the southern portion of the state of Bahia, in the northeastern region of Brazil, next to the town of Urandi, some 700 km southwest of Salvador, the state of Bahia. The project is currently progressing with its Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS). It has a historic inferred resource of 284 million tonnes of iron ore at 31% Fe. The intent is to produce 4.5 Mtpa of 67% Fe. Our intended exit strategy is either when the asset is listed or the owners carry out a trade sale.

Private investments, Passive

Sonora Lithium Project, Mexico

Interest – 30% on 31/12/2023 and 30/06/2024

Cadence holds an interest in the Sonora Lithium Project through a 30% stake in the joint venture interests in Mexalit S.A. de CV (“Mexalit”) and Megalit S.A. de CV (“Megalit).

In April 2022 and May 2023, the Mexican Government made changes to its Mining Law, which included prohibiting lithium concessions, declaring lithium a strategic sector, and giving a state-owned entity exclusive rights for lithium mining operations. Despite existing concessions, including those held by Mexilit and Megalit, being supposedly unaffected, the General Directorate of Mines (“DGM”) started reviewing nine lithium concessions held by Mexican subsidiaries. Mexilit and Megalit submitted evidence of compliance with minimum investment obligations, but these concessions were still cancelled.

Ganfeng and Cadence believe the cancellations violate Mexican and international law and have filed administrative review recourses. Cadence also issued a Request for Consultations and Negotiations to the Government of Mexico under the United Kingdom-Mexico Bilateral Investment Treaty regarding the revocation of mining concessions for the Sonora Lithium Project.

In their Request, Cadence and REMML have identified various BIT obligations that Mexico has breached, including Mexico’s obligation not to unlawfully expropriate the investments of UK investors such as Cadence and REMML and its obligation to treat such investments fairly and equitably.

In accordance with Article 10 of the BIT, Cadence and REMML have requested consultations and negotiations with Mexico to resolve the dispute amicably. The BIT provides for disputes to be resolved by international arbitration if they cannot be resolved through consultation and negotiation.

The affected concessions include those granted to Mexilit S.A. de CV (“Mexilit”) and Minera Megalit S.A. de CV (“Megalit”), which are joint venture companies in which Cadence holds a 30% stake through REMML.

Public Investments

The public equity investment segment is composed of passive investment. The trading portfolio consists of investments in listed mining entities that the board believes possess attractive underlying assets. The focus is to invest in mining companies that are significantly undervalued by the market and where there is substantial upside potential through exploration success and/or the development of mining projects for commercial production. Ultimately, the aim is to make capital gains in the short to medium term. Investments are considered individually based on various criteria and are typically traded on the TSX, ASX, AIM or LSE.

The movement in public portfolio values during the year is summarised below.

Commentary £,000
Portfolio value on 31 December 2023   4,162
Disposal of public Investments during the year Disposal of investments held in European Metals & Hastings Technologies (1,321)
Realised and Unrealised loss on portfolio value for the year Realised and unrealised loss on European Metals & unrealised loss on Evergreen due to decrease in equity price (1,902)
Portfolio value on 30 June 2024   939

As of 30 June 2024, our public equity stakes consisted of the following:

30-Jun-24 31-Dec-23 30-Jun-23 31-Dec-22
Company £’000 £’000 £’000 £’000
European Metals Holding Ltd 359  2,339  5,207  4,882
Evergreen Lithium Ltd 567  1,481  2,738  –
Hastings Technology Metals Ltd 321  1,570  –
Charger Metals NL  – 187 301
Eagle Mountain Mining Ltd  –  20  37
Miscellaneous 13 21 17 24
Total 939  4,162  9,740  5,244

 

Public Equity, Passive

European Metals Holdings Limited (“European Metals”)
Interest – 7.0% at 31/12/2023 and 2.96% on 30/06/2024

European Metals owns 49% of Geomet s.r.o. with 51% owned by České Energetické Závody, a.s. (“CEZ”). Geomet s.r.o. owns 100% of the Cinovec lithium deposit, which hosts a globally significant hard-rock lithium deposit with a total Indicated Mineral Resource of 372.4Mt at 0.45% Li2O and an Inferred Mineral Resource of 323.5Mt at 0.39% Li2O. This is a combined resource of 7.22 million tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent. The Cinovec lithium deposit contains a Probable Ore Reserve of 34.5Mt at 0.65% Li2O, which covers the first 20 years of mining at an output of 22,500tpa of battery-grade lithium carbonate.22,500tpa of Lithium Carbonate).

The Cinovec lithium project has achieved key milestones, including the successful production of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide from the pilot programme – both to battery grade, the granting of extensions to our exploration licenses, and the selection of a significantly superior site for the lithium processing plant. It’s important to note that there have been delays in the definitive feasibility study. However, EMH’s work on important processing enhancements is expected to improve the project’s economics significantly.

Public Equity, Passive

Evergreen Lithium Limited (“Evergreen”)
Interest – 8.74% at 31/12/2023 and 8.74% on 30/06/2024

In 2023, Evergreen was listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, and Cadence’s equity stake in Evergreen was reduced to 8.74% from 13.16% due to the IPO and associated fundraising. Further shares in Evergreen are due to Cadence upon achieving certain performance milestones.

Evergreen is the 100% owner of three exploration tenements, including the Bynoe Lithium Project, Fortune Lithium Project, and Kenny Lithium Project. The Bynoe Lithium Project, located contiguous to Core Lithium’s Finnis hard rock lithium project, is considered Evergreen’s flagship prospect, offering significant exploration potential.

During the period Evergreen continued its exploration of the Byone projects, the main highlights included approving the mine management plan, which enabled drilling to commence. This was announced in July 2024, with an auger sampling program drilling short holes over areas identified as high-priority targets. Samples generated from this program will be analysed at an offsite laboratory. Results from this work will be used in conjunction with surface soil sample results to target LCT pegmatites in the future.  In addition, RAB/Air Core drilling began, testing geochemical, geophysical and other targets identified in the previous exploration programmes. This drilling programme has intersected shallow pegmatites along strike from Core Lithium’s BP33 deposit. Given the early success of the current air-core drill program, RC drill planning is currently underway. RC drilling will be used to test pegmatites at depth and along strike.

FINANCIAL RESULTS:

During the period, the Group made a loss before taxation of £2.53 million (6 months ended 30 June 2023:  £1.95 million, year ended 31 December 2023: £3.02 million). There was a weighted basic loss per share of 1.392p (30 June 2023: 1.163p, 31 December 2023: 1.762p). The total assets of the group decreased from £19.97 million at 31 December 2022 to £17.79 million.

During the period, our net cash outflow from operating activities was £0.32 million, and we raised gross proceeds of £0.47m via the issue of shares and a further £1.33m from the sale of our investments. Most of the capital raised was reinvested (£1.01m), with £0.55m used to pay down existing debt. As a result, our net cash position was reduced from £0.22 million to £0.13 million.

Kiran Morzaria

Director

26 September 2024

For further information contact:

 

Cadence Minerals plc +44 (0) 20 3582 6636
Andrew Suckling
Kiran Morzaria
Zeus Capital Limited (NOMAD & Broker) +44 (0) 20 3829 5000
James Joyce
Darshan Patel

Isaac Hooper

Fortified Securities – Joint Broker +44 (0) 20 3411 7773
Guy Wheatley
Brand Communications +44 (0) 7976 431608
Public & Investor Relations               
Alan Green

 

Cautionary and Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this announcement are or may be considered forward-looking. Forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as “believe”, “could”, “should”, “envisage”, “estimate”, “intend”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, or the negative of those variations or comparable expressions including references to assumptions. These forward-looking statements are not based on historical facts but rather on the Directors’ current expectations and assumptions regarding the company’s future growth results of operations performance, future capital, and other expenditures (including the amount, nature, and sources of funding thereof) competitive advantages business prospects and opportunities. Such forward-looking statements reflect the Directors’ current beliefs and assumptions and are based on information currently available to the Directors.  Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements, including risks associated with vulnerability to general economic and business conditions, competition, environmental and other regulatory changes actions by governmental authorities, the availability of capital markets reliance on crucial personnel uninsured and underinsured losses and other factors many of which are beyond the control of the company. Although any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are based upon what the Directors believe to be reasonable assumptions. The company cannot assure investors that results will be consistent with such forward-looking statements.

The company deems the information contained within this announcement to constitute Inside Information as stipulated under the Market Abuse Regulation (E.U.) No. 596/2014, as it forms part of U.K. domestic law under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018, as amended. Upon the publication of this announcement via a regulatory information service, this information is considered to be in the public domain.

CADENCE MINERALS PLC

STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

FOR THE PERIOD ENDED 30 JUNE 2024

Notes Unaudited Period ended 30 June 2024 Unaudited Period ended 30 June 2023 Audited Year ended  31 December 2023
£’000 £’000 £’000
Income
Unrealised loss on financial investments (1,126) (1,319) (3,101)
Realised loss on financial investments (776) (213) (2,793)
(1,902) (1,532) (5,894)
Share based payments (25) (25)
Impairment of intangibles (905)
Loan from subsidiary written off 4,810
Other administrative expenses (630) (768) (1,302)
Total administrative expenses (630) (793) 2,578
Operating profit/(loss) (2,532)   (2,325)   (3,316)
Foreign exchange (losses)/gains (1) 407 297
Finance cost (36)
Loss before taxation (2,533) (1,954) (3,019)
   
Taxation
 
Loss attributable to the equity holders of the Company   (2,533) (1,954) (3,019)
Total comprehensive loss for the period, attributable to the equity holders of the Company (2,533) (1,954) (3,019)
Loss per share
Basic (pence per share) 3 (1.392) (1.163) (1.762)
Diluted (pence per share) 3 n/a n/a n/a

CADENCE MINERALS PLC

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY

FOR THE PERIOD ENDED 30 JUNE 2024

Share capital Share premium account Share-based payment reserve Investment in own shares Retained earnings Total equity
£’000 £’000 £’000 £’000 £’000
Balance at 1 January 2023 2,144 37,612 252 (64) (18,623) 21,321
Share based payments 25 25
Issue of share capital 82 42 124
Transactions with owners                  82                  42                  25                   –                   –                149
Loss for the period (1,954) (1,954)
Total comprehensive loss for the period                   –                   –                   – (1,954) (1,954)
Balance at 30 June 2023 (unaudited) 2,226 37,654 277 (64) (20,577) 19,516
Transfer on lapse of warrants (19) 19 0
Transactions with owners                   – 0 (19) 0                  19 0
Loss for the period (1,065) (1,065)
Total comprehensive loss for the period                   –                   –                   –                   – (1,065) (1,065)
Balance at 31 December 2023 2,226 37,654 258 (64) (21,623) 18,451
Issue of share capital 167 333 500
Costs of share issue (35) (35)
Transactions with owners 167 298 0 0 0 465
Loss for the period (2,533) (2,533)
Total comprehensive loss for the period                   –                   –                   –                   – (2,533) (2,533)
Balance at 30 June 2024 (unaudited) 2,393 37,952 258 (64) (24,156) 16,383

CADENCE MINERALS PLC

STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION

AS AT 30 JUNE 2024

Unaudited Unaudited Audited
 30 June 2024  30 June 2023  31 December 2023
Assets Notes £’000 £’000 £’000
Non-current
Financial Assets 11,857 10,530 11,660
11,857 10,530 11,660
Current assets
Trade and other receivables 3,903 3,978 3,937
Financial Assets 1,901 10,702 4,162
Cash and cash equivalents 133 577 215
Total current assets 5,937 15,257 8,314
Total assets 17,794 25,787 19,974
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Current liabilities
Trade and other payables 561 348 288
Borrowings 850 565 933
Total current liabilities 1,411 913 1,221
Liabilities due after one year
Borrowings 611 302
Amounts owed to subsidiaries 4,747
Total liabilities 1,411 6,271 1,523
Equity
Share capital 4 2,393 2,226 2,226
Share premium 37,952 37,654 37,654
Share based payment reserve 258 277 258
Investment in own shares (64) (64) (64)
Retained earnings (24,156) (20,577) (21,623)
 
Total equity attributable
to owners of the company 16,383 19,516 18,451
 
Total equity and liabilities 17,794 25,787 19,974

CADENCE MINERALS PLC

CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW STATEMENT

FOR THE PERIOD 30 JUNE 2024

Unaudited Period ended Unaudited Period ended Audited Year ended
30 June 2024 30 June 2023  31 December 2023
£’000 £’000 £’000
Cash flows from operating activities
Operating loss (2,532) (2,325) (3,316)
Net realised/unrealised loss on financial investments 1,902 1,532 5,894
Impairment of investments 905
Write off of loan from subsidiary (4,810)
Equity settled share-based payments 25 25
(Increase)/decrease in trade and other receivables 34 (21) 20
Increase/(decrease) in trade and other payables 273 31 (29)
Net cash outflow from operating activities (323) (758) (1,311)
Taxation
Cash flows from investing activities
Receipts on sale of current investments 1,321 935 2,150
Payments for non-current financial investments (1,001) (975) (2,088)
Net cash inflow from investing activities 320 (40) 62
Cash flows from financing activities
Proceeds from issue of share capital 500 124
Share issue costs (35)
Borrowings 1,187 1,400
Loan repayments (557)
Finance cost (12)
Net cash (outflow)/inflow from financing activities (92) 1,299 1,400
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents (95) 501 151
Foreign exchange movements on cash and cash equivalents 13 (34) (46)
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 215 110 110
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 133 577 215

Material non-cash transactions  

There were no material non-cash transactions in the period to 30 June 2024.

During the period to 30 June 2023 the Company acquired 2,452,650 shares in Hastings Technology Metals Ltd from its wholly owned subsidiary Mojito Resources, at a cost of AUD$ 9m (£5.152m). This amount was not paid in cash but treated as a intercompany loan from Mojito Resources. This has been treated as a non-current liability.

NOTES TO THE INTERIM REPORT

FOR THE PERIOD ENDED 30 JUNE 2024

1 BASIS OF PREPARATION

The interim financial statements have been prepared in accordance with applicable accounting standards and under the historical cost convention.  The financial information set out in this interim report does not constitute statutory accounts as defined in section 434 of the Companies Act 2006. The Group’s statutory financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2023 have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies. The auditor’s report on those financial statements was unqualified.

The principal accounting policies of the Group are consistent with those detailed in the 31 December 2023 financial statements, which are prepared under the historical cost convention and in accordance with UK adopted International Accounting Standards (IAS).

GOING CONCERN

The Directors have prepared cash flow forecasts for the period ending 30 September 2025. The forecasts demonstrate that the Group has sufficient funds to allow it to continue in business for a period of at least twelve months from the date of approval of these financial statements. Accordingly, the accounts have been prepared on a going concern basis.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES AND JUDGEMENTS

Estimates and judgements are continually evaluated and are based on historical experience and other factors, including expectations of future events that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances.

The Group makes estimates and assumptions concerning the future. The resulting accounting estimates will, by definition, seldom equal the related actual results

2 SEGMENTAL REPORTING

The Company operates a single primary activity to invest in businesses so as to generate a return for the shareholders.

3 EARNINGS PER SHARE 

The calculation of the earnings per share is based on the loss attributable to ordinary shareholders divided by the weighted average number of shares in issue during the period.

Unaudited Unaudited Audited
six months ended six months ended year ended
30 June 2024 30 June 2023 31 December 2023
£’000 £’000 £’000
Profit/(loss) on ordinary activities after tax (£’000) (2,533) (1,954) (3,019)
Weighted average number of shares for calculating basic profit/loss per share      188,388,620       174,360,940       177,693,153
Less: shares held by the Employee Benefit Trust (weighted average) (6,380,000) (6,380,000) (6,380,000)
Weighted average number of shares for calculating basic (loss)/profit per share      182,008,620       167,980,940       171,313,153
Share options and warrants exercisable  n/a  n/a  n/a
Weighted average number of shares for calculating diluted profit per share  n/a  n/a  n/a
Basic profit/(loss) per share (pence) (1.392) (1.163) (1.762)
Diluted profit per share (pence) n/a n/a n/a

4 FINANCIAL INVESTMENTS

Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss:
£’000 £’000 £’000 £’000
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Total
Fair value at 31 December 2022 5,244 12,327 17,571
Additions 5,152           2,048 7,200
Transfers on listings 1,810 (1,810)
Fair value changes (3,101) (3,101)
Impairment of assets (905) (905)
Loss on disposals (2,793) (2,793)
Disposal (2,150) (2,150)
Fair value at 31 December 2023 4,162 11,660 15,822
Additions              1,159 1,159
Fair value changes (1,126) (1,126)
(Loss)/Gains on disposals (776) (776)
Disposal (1,321) (1,321)
Fair value at 30 June 2024 939 12,819 13,758
Losses on investments held at fair value through profit or loss
Fair value loss on investments (1,319) (1,319)
Realised loss on disposal of investments (213) (213)
Net loss on investments held at fair value through profit or loss (1,532) (1,532)
Non-current 10,530 10,530
Current 9,740 962 10,702
9,740 11,492 21,232

5 SHARE CAPITAL

Unaudited Unaudited Audited
30 June 2024 30 June 2023 31 December 2023
£’000 £’000 £’000
Allotted, issued and fully paid
173,619,050 deferred shares of 0.24p (30 June and 31 December 2023: 173,619,050) 417 417 417
197,637,704 ordinary shares of 1p (30 June 2023 and 31 December 2023 180,971,037 ordinary shares of 1p)                  1,976                   1,809                   1,809
                 2,393                   2,226                   2,226

6 LOANS

BORROWINGS

 During the year ended 31 December 2023, the Company entered into a Mezzanine Loan Facility to finance its investment in the Amapá Project.

The Mezzanine Loan Facility (“Loan Facility”) involves an unconditional and committed initial tranche by the Investors of US$ 2 million and a further conditional Loan Facility amount of US$ 8 million, subject to agreement by the Investors. The Loan Facility is valid for three years.

The First Tranche of US$ 2 million, drawn down in 2023, has a 24-month term (“Maturity Date”). It has a six month principal repayment holiday, followed by 18 equal monthly cash repayments thereafter to the maturity Date. The Loan Facility has an effective annual interest rate of 9.5% and has a 5% implementation on the value of the First Tranche.

If the Company elects not to settle a monthly payment in cash (each being a “Missed Payment”), they will  automatically grant a right for the Missed Payment to be settled in shares as per the non-cash repayment terms contained in the Loan Facility Agreement (“Non-Cash Repayment”). Following a Non-Cash Repayment, the Investors will be automatically granted conversion rights over such principal and interest balances due concerning the Missed Payment. The Investors will then have the right for 12 months to convert such amounts either at a price equal to 12.7 pence (representing a 30% premium to the closing price on 25/05/2023) or at a 7% discount to the average of the five daily VWAPs chosen by the Investors in the 20 trading days preceding its conversion notice or at the price the Company issues further equity if lower than the existing conversion price.

Cadence has provided a security package to the Investors as part of the Loan Facility. This package includes a  floating charge over the Company’s investments, placing its holding in European Metals Holdings into escrow and the issue of new ordinary shares to the Investors (“Initial Issued Shares”). The Initial Issued Shares represent 50% of the value of the First Tranche, or 8,251,224 new ordinary shares. These initial Issued Shares will be used as part of any Non-Cash Repayments if applicable. On the Maturity Date, the Company can utilise the Initial Issued Shares to pursue its investment strategy or for working capital purposes. If it has settled all amounts in cash and these Initial Issued Shares revert to the Company.

As part of the Loan Facility, the Company has agreed to grant 8,251,224 warrants to subscribe for ordinary shares in the Company at an exercise price of 13.2 pence (representing roughly a 35% per cent premium to the current share price of the Company’s Shares) with a 48-month term.

During the period to 30 June 2024 £557,000 ($698,000) of capital and interest was repaid in cash. During the year ended 31 December 2023, £1,622,000 ($2,000,000) less costs was drawn down. £124,000 ($153,000) was repaid through the issue of the Initial Issued Shares. The borrowing costs (and resulting fx) have been capitalised under IAS23, as the sole purpose of the loan was to finance the Amapá Project.

Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Sonora Lithium Investment Update – Request for treaty negotiations with Mexico

Cadence Minerals (AIM/Aquis: KDNC) advises that the Company and its subsidiary REM Mexico Limited (“REMML”) have issued a Request for Consultations and Negotiations (“Request”) to the Government of Mexico under the United Kingdom-Mexico Bilateral Investment Treaty (“BIT”).

The Request concerns the purported revocation of the mining concessions for the Sonora Lithium Project (the “Project”) by the Mexican General Directorate of Mines as announced by Cadence on 31 August 2023, and related acts and omissions by Mexico. The affected concessions include those granted to Mexilit S.A. de CV (“Mexilit”) and Minera Megalit S.A. de CV (“Megalit”), these being joint venture companies in which Cadence holds a 30% stake through REMML.

In their Request, Cadence and REMML have identified various BIT obligations that have been breached by Mexico, including Mexico’s obligation not to unlawfully expropriate the investments of UK investors such as Cadence and REMML and its obligation to treat such investments fairly and equitably.

In accordance with Article 10 of the BIT, Cadence and REMML have requested consultations and negotiations with Mexico with a view to resolving the dispute amicably. The BIT provides for disputes to be resolved by international arbitration if they cannot be resolved by consultation and negotiation.

Cadence and REMML have engaged leading international law firm Clifford Chance as counsel for the BIT process. The Clifford Chance team representing Cadence and REMML specialise in mining-related investment treaty arbitration cases.

Cadence CEO Kiran Morzaria commented: “The team at Clifford Chance have many years of experience in mining-related investment treaty arbitration, and have successfully resolved similar cases in the past. With their guidance, we are hopeful that a constructive solution can be reached through consultations and negotiations with Mexico under the BIT.

Background to Cadence Sonora Investments

Cadence holds an interest in the Sonora Lithium Project (“Project”) via its 30% stake in each of  Mexilit  and Megalit.

Mexilit and Megalit form part of the Project. The Project consists of nine granted concessions. Two of the concessions (La Ventana and La Ventana 1) are owned 100% by subsidiaries of Ganfeng Lithium Group Co., Ltd (“Ganfeng”). El Sauz, El Sauz 1, El Sauz 2, Fleur and Fleur 1 concessions are owned by Mexilit, which is owned 70% by Ganfeng and 30% by Cadence. The Buenavista and San Gabriel concessions are owned by Megalit, which is owned 70% by Ganfeng and 30% by Cadence.

For further background to Cadence’s investments in the Sonora Lithium Project, see the Company’s RNS of 31 August 2023 (“Sonora Lithium Investment Update”) here.

 

For further information contact:

 

Cadence Minerals plc +44 (0) 20 3582 6636
Andrew Suckling
Kiran Morzaria
WH Ireland Limited (NOMAD & Broker) +44 (0) 20 7220 1666
James Joyce
Darshan Patel
Fortified Securities – Joint Broker +44 (0) 20 3411 7773
Guy Wheatley
Brand Communications +44 (0) 7976 431608
Public & Investor Relations      
Alan Green

 

Cautionary and Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this announcement are or may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as “believe”, “could”, “should”, “envisage”, “estimate”, “intend”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, or the negative of those variations or comparable expressions including references to assumptions. These forward-looking statements are not based on historical facts but rather on the Directors’ current expectations and assumptions regarding the company’s future growth results of operations performance, future capital, and other expenditures (including the amount, nature, and sources of funding thereof) competitive advantages business prospects and opportunities. Such forward-looking statements reflect the Directors’ current beliefs and assumptions and are based on information currently available to the Directors.  Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements, including risks associated with vulnerability to general economic and business conditions, competition, environmental and other regulatory changes actions by governmental authorities, the availability of capital markets reliance on key personnel uninsured and underinsured losses and other factors many of which are beyond the control of the company. Although any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are based upon what the Directors believe to be reasonable assumptions. The company cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with such forward-looking statements.

The information contained within this announcement is deemed by the company to constitute Inside Information as stipulated under the Market Abuse Regulation (E.U.) No. 596/2014, as it forms part of U.K. domestic law under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018, as amended. Upon the publication of this announcement via a regulatory information service, this information is considered to be in the public domain.

Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Interim Results for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2023

Cadence Minerals plc (AIM/AQX: KDNC) is pleased to announce its interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2023.

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Amapá Pre-Feasibility Study (“PFS”) completed. The study established that the Amapá mine has potential to deliver a robust 5.28 Mtpa (dry) iron ore operation & excellent cash flow including a post-tax NPV of US$949 million.
  • Amapá Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE) increased and upgraded. Total Measured, Indicated and Inferred MRE increased to 276.24 million tonnes grading 38.33% Fe and a maiden Measured Resource of 55.33 Mt grading 39.26% Fe.
  • Scoping study identified changes and cost savings in Santana Port layout & refurbishment of US$28m.
  • Progress with equity investments including ASX listed Evergreen Lithium (ASX: EG1), Hastings Technology Metals (ASX: HAS) and AIM listed European Metals Holdings (AIM: EMH).
  • Reduced LBT of £1.95m (6 months ended 30 June 2022: £5.05m, Y/E 31 Dec 2022: £5.50m)
  • Total group assets increased from £21.64m at 31 December 2022 to £25.79m at 30 June 2023.

CEO Kiran Morzaria commented: “Faced with unprecedented geopolitical challenges and challenging global markets, your Board are pleased to deliver reduced losses and an increase in group assets at the half year. Our flagship Amapá project is developing at pace, and we have seen the MRE increase combine with costs savings at the Santana port to deliver material growth in our investment. Our considered opinion, and that of several analysts during the first half of 2023 is that these developments, along with our investments in Evergreen, Hastings Tech Metals, European Metals and Sonora have yet to be reflected in our market valuation. We hope that our progress will be in some way reflected during the second half of the year.”

“I look forward to reporting back on further progress.”

INVESTMENT REVIEW 

Our public portfolio was bolstered during the period as our private investments Evergreen Lithium and in the Yangibana Rare Earth deposit were converted into equity in public listed entities. However, the performance of our equity in stake in Hastings Technology Metals (converted from our stake in the Yangibana Rare Earth Deposit) weighed down the overall performance of our public portfolio and is detailed in the review of our public listed portfolio.

As stated in our annual report and accounts the overall ambition of the portfolio is capital growth of the assets under management which should be reflected in Cadence’s share price. We intend to fund this growth, where possible, by investing in undervalued assets, selling these investments at higher valuations, and reinvesting the proceeds. Once we reach critical mass in terms of assets under management, this investment cycle will mitigate the need for outside capital, either in new equity or debt.

As stated in our annual report, the overall ambition of the portfolio is capital growth of the assets under management, which should then be reflected in Cadence’s share price. We intend to fund this growth, where possible, by investing in undervalued assets, selling these investments at higher valuations, and reinvesting the proceeds. Once we reach critical mass in terms of assets under management, this investment cycle will mitigate the need for outside capital, either in new equity or debt.

PRIVATE INVESTMENTS, ACTIVE

The Amapá Iron Ore Project, Brazil

Interest – 30% at 30/06/2022 and 29/09/2023

The Amapá Project is a large-scale iron ore mine with associated rail, port and beneficiation facilities that commenced operations in December 2007. The project ceased operations in 2014 after the port facility suffered a geotechnical failure, which limited iron ore export. Before the cessation of operations, the project generated an underlying profit of US$54 million in 2012 and US$120 million in 2011. Operations commenced in December 2007, and in 2008, the project produced 712 thousand tonnes of iron ore concentrate. Production steadily increased, producing 4.8 Mt and 6.1 Mt of iron ore concentrate products in 2011 and 2012, respectively.

Investment

In 2019, Cadence entered into a binding investment agreement to invest in and acquire up to 27% of the Amapá iron ore mine, beneficiation plant, railway and private port owned by a Brazilian company DEV Mineração S.A. The agreement also gave Cadence the first right of refusal to increase its stake to 49%. To acquire its 27% interest, Cadence invested US$6 million over two stages in a joint venture company; this was completed in the first quarter of 2022. In October 2022, we increased this stake to 30%. At the end of the reporting period, the total investment was US$11.02 million, which, once fully converted to equity, will represent some 31.6% of the Amapá Project.

Operations Review

During the reporting period our we made considerable progress at the Amapá Project. The PFS was completed early in the year, this was followed by the port optimisation study. Post period end it was agreed that the following completion of the Amapá PFS, the remaining operational focus for the year should include progressing the permitting pathway and the completion of the regulatory requirements for the mining concessions, tailing storage facilities and the environmental permits.

Pre-Feasibility Study & Optimisation Studies

As part of the PFS, we upgraded and increased the Amapá Project Mineral Resource Estimate. This resulted in a substantial increase in total Measured, Indicated and Inferred Mineral Resources to 276.24 million tonnes grading 38.33% Fe and a maiden Measured Resource of 55.33 Mt grading 39.26% Fe.

The PFS results were announced in early January 2023. The PFS confirmed the potential for the Amapá Iron Ore Project to produce a high-grade iron ore concentrate and generate strong returns over the life of mine. It delivered a robust 5.28 Mtpa (dry) operation, which can provide excellent cash flows and a post-tax NPV of US$949 million.

The Key Highlights of the PFS are below:

  • Annual average production of 5.28 million dry metric tonnes per annum (“Mtpa”) of Fe concentrate, consisting of 4.36 Mtpa at 65.4% Fe and 0.92 Mtpa at 62% Fe concentrate.
  • Post-tax Net Present Value (“NPV”) of US$949 million (“M”) at a discount rate of 10%.
  • Post-tax Internal Rate of Return of 34%, with an average annual life of mine EBITDA of US$235 M annually
  • Maiden Ore Reserve of 195.8 million tonnes (“Mt”) at 39.34% Fe demonstrates an 85% Mineral Resource conversion.
  • Free on Board (“FOB”) C1 Cash Costs of US$35.53/dmt at the port of Santana. Cost and Freight (“CFR”) C1 Cash Costs US$64.23/dmt in China.
  • Pre-production capital cost estimate of US$399 million, including the improvement and rehabilitation of the processing facility and the restoration of the railway and the wholly owned port export facility

Based on the positive outcome of the PFS and subsequent consultations with the key contractors, three areas of possible improvement to the Amapá Project were identified. The first was to review the historical drilling and geological data north of the Amapá mining concessions. The data was acquired, and work began; however, the owner of these mining concessions filed for judicial recovery, so the timing of this is likely to be delayed. We are investigating other ways to progress this work, including conducting a topography survey of the areas.

The second area of potential improvement is a change in the layout of the port at Santana by moving the railway loop further from the shore. A scoping study regarding this option was completed during the period and identified a potential net capital saving to the port refurbishment costs of US$28 million.

The last area of potential improvement is to investigate and review the flowsheet to improve the final product quality over and above the current 65% iron ore concentrate or reduce the operating costs. From initial reviews, it appears that the most viable option will be to reduce the operational costs. We are looking to appoint an engineer to complete this work in the coming months.

Once these studies are completed, work on a Definitive Feasibility Study (“DFS”) can begin. The DFS is required to seek project debt and equity finance, which will be sought once the DFS is complete.

Permitting Pathway & Tailings Storage Facility

While the Amapá Project was operating, it held all the necessary permissions to mine, process, transport and ship some six million tonnes of iron ore annually. However, many of these licenses lapsed after it ceased operations in 2014. Cadence has been working alongside the team at the Amapá Project to obtain these licenses and permissions. To date, we have reinstated and extended the railway concession to 2046 (completed in December 2019) and been granted a change of control over the wholly owned port in November 2021, which ensured the federal licenses could be maintained.

The Amapá Project owns the required Mining Concessions; however, it must obtain a Mine Extraction and Processing Permit (“Mining Permit”) to begin operation. To get this permit, the Amapá Project must obtain an L.I. and, when constructed, an Operational License L.O. from the Amapá State Environmental Agency.

Before the suspension of mining, the project had numerous L.O.s across the mining, rail, and port operations. These L.O.s expired between 2013 and 2018. In 2022, the Amapá Project began regularising the expired environmental permits and started consultation with the Amapá State Environmental Agency and the relevant state authorities. The Amapá Project requested that the requirement for a full environmental impact study be waived. This request for a waiver was on the basis that the previous L.O.s were granted on an operation that is substantially the same as is currently planned and remains applicable to future operations.

As a result of the discussions between the various state authorities and the Amapá Project, we agreed with the Amapá State Environmental Agency that on the mine and railway, we will be able to submit an Environmental Control Plan – “PCA” (Plano de Controle Ambiental) and an Environmental Control Report – “RCA” (Relatório de Controle Ambiental). However, we will need to complete a full environmental assessment on the port. Still, given that the Amapá Project has already begun some background studies, we also anticipate that the timeline for the grant of the port L.I. will be shortened.

The fieldwork for the L.I. will begin as soon as possible with current expectations that we will be able to submit the required reports for the mine and rail in the second quarter of 2024 and the reports for the port in the third quarter of 2024. The Amapá State Environmental Agency will then review the application for the L.I., and we anticipate that these licenses will be granted in 2024.

This timeline is substantially shorter than expected on a greenfield site, where the impact study and associated approval can typically take between 24 and 36 months. The Amapá Project could achieve this in 12 to 16 months.

One of Cadence’s initial investment criteria into the Amapá Project was the safety and stability of the TSF. As such, before entering into the investment agreement with our joint venture partners, we carried out a TSF review by an internationally recognised consultant group and were satisfied with the structure and stability of the T.S. Nonetheless, given the lack of reporting and maintenance from 2014 onwards, the TSF at the Amapá Project was considered high risk. The work carried out since 2019, including maintenance, reporting, drilling and compliance, has meant that the Amapá Project TSF is approaching the lowest risk rating for operating TSF. The intent is that the TSF will continue to improve its risk rating. This will be achieved by completing a dam break study, installing video monitoring on the TSF, and ongoing inspection and remediation of various TSF-associated infrastructure.

Secured Bank Settlement Iron Ore Shipments

As per the settlement agreement announced in December 2021 here, the net proceeds of the one shipment carried out in 2022, along with approximately half of the net proceeds from the shipments in 2021, have been used to pay the secured bank creditors.

As previously disclosed, given these unprecedented macroeconomic conditions in 2022, DEV could not meet the 2022 payment schedule per the settlement deed. Although the bank creditors have reserved their rights, the settlement deed remains in full effect. All parties are in discussions to agree on a new timetable to rephase payments or to reach a one-time payment to settle all outstanding amounts.

With the current iron ore prices and shipping costs, selling the 58% iron ore concentrate stockpile is economically viable. Although DEV can recommend material shipment, the secured bank creditors must approve it as they will receive the net proceeds of the stockpile sale. As a result of the ongoing discussions, no material shipments are scheduled to be made.

Development Plan for the Amapá Project

The goal is to bring this project back into production. With the PFS completed, a project would typically directly proceed to DFS, funding, and construction. Cadence and Its joint venture partners have agreed that the lowest risk and currently best commercial approach to developing this project is to bring on a highly experienced mining operator or EPCM contractor as a joint venture partner. We are making good progress in this regard. While we develop this further, we will continue with the optimisation studies, licensing pathway, and community engagement, which should further improve the project’s economics while reducing its risks.

PRIVATE INVESTMENTS, PASSIVE

Ferro Verde Iron Ore, Brazil

Interest – 1% at 30/06/2022 and at 29/09/2023

During the previous year, Cadence invested a small (£0.21 million) in an advanced iron ore deposit in Brazil. The Ferro Verde Deposit is located in the southern portion of the state of Bahia, in the northeastern region of Brazil, next to the town of Urandi, some 700 km southwest of Salvador, the capital of the state of Bahia.

The project is currently progressing with its DFS. It has a historic inferred resource of 284 million tonnes of iron ore at 31% Fe. The intent is to produce 4.5 Mtpa of 67% Fe. Our intended exit strategy is either when the asset is listed or the owners carry out a trade sale.

PRIVATE INVESTMENTS, PASSIVE

Sonora Lithium Project, Mexico

Interest – 30% at 30/06/2022 and at 29/09/2023

Cadence holds an interest in the Sonora Lithium Project via a 30% stake in the joint venture interests in each of Mexalit S.A. de CV (“Mexalit”) and Megalit S.A. de CV (“Megalit”).

Mexilit and Megalit form part of the Sonora Lithium Project (the “Project”). The Sonora Lithium Project consists of nine granted concessions. Two of the concessions (La Ventana, La Ventana 1) are owned 100% by subsidiaries of Ganfeng Lithium Group Co., Ltd (“Ganfeng”). El Sauz, El Sauz 1, El Sauz 2, Fleur and Fleur 1 concessions are owned by Mexilit S.A. de C.V. (“Mexilit”), which is owned 70% by Ganfeng and 30% by Cadence. The Buenavista and San Gabriel concessions are owned by Megalit, which is owned 70% by Ganfeng and 30% by Cadence.

Ganfeng Lithium has been developing the project, consisting of an open pit mine and a lithium chemical product processing facility. The principal planned lithium product for the project is lithium hydroxide.

As previously announced, In April 2022 and May 2023, the Mexican Government approved amendments to its Mining Law (the “Mining Law Reform”), which prohibited lithium concessions, declared lithium as a strategic sector and granted the exclusive right to engage in lithium mining operations to a state-owned entity. The Mining Law Reform is not supposed to apply to pre-existing concessions, including those held by the Mexilit and Megalit. Ganfeng’s and Cadence’s position is that these reforms cannot impact the project’s concessions because they were granted before the enactment of the Mining Law Reform. This is consistent with the terms of the Constitution of Mexico, which, among other principles and rights, recognises the principles of legality and non-retroactivity of laws.

Guided by the principles of good faith, cooperation, and mutual benefit, Ganfeng has been proactively engaging with the Mexican Government in general and with the Secretary of Economy in particular, regarding a potential collaboration on the Sonora Project while respecting Ganfeng and its subsidiaries rights (including those subsidiaries 30% owned by Cadence). Ganfeng continues to seek a mutually beneficial resolution. No agreement has been reached among the Company, Ganfeng and the Mexican Government concerning this potential collaboration.

While Ganfeng was holding discussions with the Secretary of Economy, the General Directorate of Mines (“DGM”) initiated a review of nine of the lithium concessions held by the Mexican Subsidiaries, including the lithium concessions including the concessions owned by Mexilit and Megalit.

According to the DGM, if the Mexican Subsidiaries failed to submit sufficient evidence within the specified timeframe to prove that they had complied with minimum investment obligations for the development of lithium concessions in 2017-2021, there was a risk of cancellation of the above-mentioned lithium concessions.

As of May 2023, Mexlait and Megalit had submitted extensive evidence of their compliance with the minimum investment obligations of the above-mentioned lithium concessions in a timely manner. However, the DGM issued a formal decision notice to the Mexican Subsidiaries in August 2023, indicating that nine lithium concessions were cancelled, which include those owned by Mexilit and Megalit.

The lithium concessions’ cancellations issued by the DGM are not final and are subject to ongoing appeals. Ganfeng and Cadence believe that the Mexican Subsidiaries have complied with their minimum investment obligations, as required by Mexican law. Indeed, the mine development investment by the Mexican Subsidiaries has significantly exceeded the minimum investment obligations, and the Mexican Subsidiaries regularly submitted to the DGM annual reports for the 2017-2021 periods detailing their operations within the prescribed period annually.

Moreover, Ganfeng and Cadence’s position is that the resolutions cancelling the concessions violate both Mexican law and international law as they are arbitrary, unsubstantiated in both fact and law and infringe upon Cadence’s, Ganfeng’s and its Subsidiaries’ fundamental due process rights. Therefore, Ganfeng and the Mexican Subsidiaries have filed administrative review recourses before the Secretary of Economy against the aforementioned resolutions.

The lithium concessions’ cancellations issued by the DGM are not final. Depending on the progress of Ganfeng’s further actions and the outcome of the above-mentioned matters, whether cancellations will be revoked or maintained in place and the scope of the concessions affected are still uncertain.

Ganfeng’s interim results announcement published on 29 August 2023 discussed these developments as part of their post-balance sheet analysis. Therefore, there is still uncertainty about the impact on Cadence’s investment. Ganfeng is pursuing various remedies, including administrative review recourses, to challenge the DGM’s resolutions. If necessary, Ganfeng will resort to additional remedies under Mexican or international law.

Cadence will continue to liaise with our joint venture partners regularly and ensure within the limits of the joint venture agreement that the matter is given the utmost attention and that regulatory requirements are fulfilled promptly.

PUBLIC EQUITY

The public equity investment segment includes active and passive investments in our trading portfolio.

The trading portfolio consists of investments in listed mining entities that the board believes possess attractive underlying assets. The focus is to invest in mining companies that are significantly undervalued by the market and where there is substantial upside potential through exploration success and/or the development of mining projects for commercial production. Ultimately, the aim is to make capital gains in the short to medium term. Investments are considered individually based on various criteria and are typically traded on the TSX, ASX, AIM or LSE.

During the period, our public equity investments generated an unrealised and realised loss of £1.53million (2022: loss of £4.15 million). These unrealised losses are a reflection of the transfer of the receipt of Hastings Technology Metals Ltd’s (“HAS”) equity at the market value (£ 5.15 million) and then the subsequent reduction in share price in HAS by circa 66%. However, the treatment of the mineral license swap of the Yangibana Rare Earth Deposit into the equity of HAS is due to Cadence reporting on an unconsolidated basis. Assuming the returns were reported on a consolidated basis, we would have reported an unrelaised / realised profit of £2.17 million, with roughly £0.93 million gain being attributed to improvements in the price and profits from sales of European Metals Holdings share price (“EMH”), £0.93 million is attributed to the net improvement in the Evergreen Lithium Share Price (“E.G.”) and £0.75 million being attributed to the gain in price associated with the Yagibana Rare Earth License swap into HAS.

If we look at the cumulative share performance of this portfolio at the end of the period, the realised return on historical costs is circa 143%, and the unrealised return is 149%. Our investment in EMH is the only active investment in the public equity portfolio.

The movement in public portfolio values during the year is summarised below. We have reported for clarity the unconsolidated and consolidated values and movements. Our disposals in our pubic equity were invested in the Amapá Project.

£,000

(Unconsolidated)

£,000

(Consolidated)

Portfolio value at the beginning of period of 2023 5,244 5,244
Addition of HAS shares at market value 5,152 NA
Transfer of HAS from private to public portfolio NA 905
Transfer of E.G. from private to public portfolio 1,810 1,810
Disposal of public Investments during the year (935) (935)
Realised and Unrealised (loss) / profit on portfolio value for the period (1,532) 2,715
Portfolio value at the end of the period 9,740 9,740

As of 30 June 2023, our public equity stakes consisted of the following:

Company 30-Jun-23 £,000 31-Dec-22 £,000 30-Jun-22 £,000 31-Dec-21 £,000 30-Jun-21 £,000
European Metals Holding Ltd 5,207 4,882 5,357 11,287 14,180
Evergreen Lithium Ltd 2,738
Hastings Technology Metals Ltd 1,570
Charger Metals NL 187 301 196 342 109
Macarthur Minerals Ltd 103 181 327
Eagle Mountain Mining Ltd 20 37 47 122 153
Mont-Royal Resources Ltd 12 19 39 35
Celsius Resources Ltd 103
Miscellaneous 5 5 5 7 6
Total 9,740 5,244 5,747 11,974 14,878

PUBLIC EQUITY, ACTIVE

European Metals Holdings Limited (“EMH”), Czech Republic

Interest – 6.2% at 30/06/2022 and 5.8% at 29/09/2023 

EMH owns 49% of Geomet s.r.o. with 51% owned by CEZ. CEZ is a significant energy group listed on various European Exchanges. Geomet s.r.o. owns 100% of Cinovec, which hosts a globally substantial hard-rock lithium deposit with a total Measured, Indicated and Inferred Mineral Resource of 708.2Mt at 0.43% Li2O and 0.05% Sn containing a combined 7.39 million tonnes of Lithium Carbonate Equivalent.

This followed previous reports on 28 November 2017 (Further Increase in Indicated Resource at Cinovec South). An initial Probable Ore Reserve of 34.5Mt at 0.65% Li2O and 0.09% Sn reported on 4 July 2017 (Cinovec Maiden Ore Reserve – Further Information) has been declared to cover the first 20 years’ mining at an output of 22,500tpa of battery-grade lithium carbonate reported on 11 July 2018 (Cinovec Production Modelled to Increase to 22,500tpa of Lithium Carbonate). This makes Cinovec the largest hard-rock lithium deposit in Europe, the fourth largest non-brine deposit globally, and a globally significant tin resource.

In January 2022, EMH completed an updated PFS, which indicated a return post-tax NPV8 of USD1.94B and a post-tax IRR of 36.3%. The study confirmed that the Cinovec Project is a potential low-operating-cost producer of battery-grade lithium hydroxide or battery-grade lithium carbonate as markets demand. It confirmed that the deposit is amenable to bulk underground mining. Metallurgical test work has produced battery-grade lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate in addition to high-grade tin concentrate. A DFS for the Cinovec Project is currently underway.

For the reporting period, EMH continued to manage the advancement of the Cinovec Lithium/Tin Project in the Czech Republic. The Cinovec project was awarded pre-approval for an ~ EUR 49 million grant under the E.U.’s Just Transition Fund scheme in January 2023 and was formally classified as a “Strategic Project” as part of this grant scheme. The final application and approval process is due to be completed in early 2024.

Other key milestones achieved during the year included the appointment of DRA Global to complete the DFS, the continuation of outstanding results from the final test work, and securing the land necessary to build the proposed lithium processing plant at Dukla, approximately 6.2km from the proposed portal site.

Post-period end, EMH received an investment from a significant strategic investor, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (“EBRD”). The EBRD is an International Financial Institution owned by the European Union, the European Investment Bank and 71 countries, including the Czech Republic. The EBRD investment aims to fund the project’s predevelopment work.

PUBLIC EQUITY, PASSIVE

Evergreen Lithium Limited (“EG”), Australia

Interest – 13.2% at 30/06/2022 and 8.7% at 29/09/2023

In July 2022, Cadence Minerals received approximately 15.8 million shares in EG when Cadence sold its 31.5% stake in Lithium Technologies and Lithium Supplies (“L.T. and L.S.”) to EG as announced on 27 June 2022. EG was listed on the Australian Stock Exchange (“ASX”) during the reporting period.

Before listing, Cadence’s equity stake in Evergreen was 13.16%; due to the IPO and associated fundraising, this was reduced to 8.74%. At the time of writing, the value of this stake was approximately £3.3 million; our initial investment into this asset was £0.83 million.

A further AS$ 6.63 million (£3.80 million) shares in Evergreen are due to Cadence on achieving certain performance milestones by Evergreen. Further details of these milestones can be found in the Evergreen prospectus. Cadence’s shares are subject to a 2-year escrow agreement as determined by the listing rules of the ASX.

Evergreen is the 100% owner of three exploration tenements. The Bynoe Lithium Project and Fortune Lithium Project (awaiting grant of exploration permit) are in the Northern Territory, and the Kenny Lithium Project is in Western Australia.

The Bynoe Lithium Project is Evergreen’s flagship prospect. Evergreen’s primary focus is to explore and discover an economically viable lithium resource for development. The Bynoe Lithium Project is located south of Darwin in the Northern Territory, Australia. It covers the northeastern strike extent of the lithium- and tantalum-endowed Bynoe Pegmatite Field. The Bynoe Pegmatite Field is host to Core Lithium Ltd’s (ASX: CXO) (“Core Lithium” or “Core”) high-grade Finniss lithium deposit, which is adjacent to Core Lithium’s producing lithium mine. Core Lithium’s deposit is just 1.2km from the Bynoe Lithium Project. Soil sampling conducted on the Bynoe Lithium Project has returned geochemical anomalies that indicate the lithium mineralisation continues along the trend into the Company’s

Bynoe Lithium Project. Based on the initial stages of soil sampling alone (which only covers approximately 10- 20% of the Bynoe Lithium Project area, an initial five target zones have been identified that contain lithium mineralisation. The Bynoe Lithium Project covers an area of 231 km2, making Evergreen one of the largest tenement holders within the central Bynoe Pegmatite Field after Core Lithium.

The Kenny Lithium Project is located within the Dundas Mineral Field of Western Australia and 50km East of Norseman in the Eastern Goldfields. It is near the Mt Dean and Mt Belches-Bald Hill pegmatite fields, and multiple significant lithium discoveries have been made near the Kenny Lithium Project.

Initial field mapping on the Kenny Lithium Project has confirmed the presence of substantial outcropping pegmatites, whereby an approximate 10km zone of pegmatite outcropping has been established in the North- Eastern section of the Kenny Lithium Project, which significantly exceeds what has already been identified by the Government Survey of Western Australia (GSWA).

Evergreen aims to explore and discover an economic lithium resource for subsequent development. As with the Company’s Bynoe Lithium Project, minimal geochemical work has been undertaken within the tenure; however, historical results have proven encouraging. During the reporting period, EG has continued to progress with the development of these assets, with some initial positive results from the geochemical and geophysical results on both the Byone and Kenny lithium prospects.

PUBLIC EQUITY, PASSIVE

Hastings Technology Metals Ltd (“HAS”), Australia

Interest – 1.4% at 30/06/2022 and 1.4% on 29/09/2023

In June 2022, Cadence entered into a binding agreement to sell its working interest in the leases in the Yangibana Project to HAS, the current owner and operator of the Yangibana Rare Project. Cadence sold its 30% working interest in the Yangibana Project tenements, to Hastings, for A$9 million (£5.1 million), which has been satisfied via the issue of 2,452,650 new ordinary shares in Hastings to Cadence. These shares represented approximately 1.9% of the issued share capital of Hastings Technology and are subject to a 12-month voluntary escrow. Cadence has disposed of some of this investment to fund our investment in the Amapá Iron Ore Project, holding circa 1.4% of HAS. Amapa. At the period end, the value of this stake was approximately £1.6 million; our initial investment in this asset was £0.91 million.

Hastings is a well-managed Perth-based rare earth company primed to become the world’s next producer of neodymium and praseodymium concentrate (“NdPr”). NdPr is vital in manufacturing permanent magnets used daily in advanced technology products ranging from electric vehicles to wind turbines, robotics, medical applications and digital devices.

Hasting’s flagship Yangibana project, in the Gascoyne region of Western Australia, contains a highly valued NdPr deposit with an NdPr: TREO ratio of up to 52%. The site is permitted for long-life production and with offtake contracts signed and debt finance in an advanced stage.

During the period Hastings announced it had introduced a staged development programme to the Yangibana asset. This strategy will reduce upfront capital requirements and project execution risks and provide a faster pathway to cash flow by Q1 2025. Hastings will initially focus on constructing the Yangibana mine and beneficiation plant to produce rare earths concentrate (Stage 1), followed by developing a hydrometallurgical plant to produce mixed rare earth carbonate (Stage 2). This has resulted in the total project capital cost being estimated at $948m, with the Stage 1 component being $470m. The beneficiation plant construction will commence in Q3 2023, supporting the Stage 1 concentrate delivery target date of Q1 2025.

As a result of this staged development programme, Stage 1 will have a post-tax NPV11 of $538m, an IRR of 27.54% and an average annual EBITDA of $174m, providing a funding source for Stage 2.

FINANCIAL RESULTS:

During the period, the Group made a loss before taxation of £1.95 million (6 months ended 30 June 2022:  £5.05 million, year ended 31 December 2022: £5.50 million). There was a weighted basic loss per share of 1.163p (30 June 2022: 3.136p, 31 December 2022: 3.355p). During the period, the Group disposed of its Yangibana Joint Venture Interest. This interest was held in the Company’s wholly owned subsidiary, Mojito Resources “Mojito” which acquired 2,452,650 shares in Hastings Technology Metals Ltd in return valued at AUD $9m. Therefore, the sale’s profit is reflected in the subsidiary, not the Company’s accounts. Mojito, in turn, sold these shares to the Company for $9m, which resulted in an amount owing to the subsidiary of £4.75m at the period end in the Company’s accounts. This transaction constitutes a related party transaction. The Company currently holds an investment in Mojito of £0.96m, supported by the intercompany balance of £4.75m. Should the intercompany loan be waived this would result in a profit of approximately £3.79m, based on the balances at 30 June 2023, for the Company.

The total assets of the Group increased from £21.64 million at 31 December 2022 to £25.79 million. During the period, our net cash outflow from operating activities was £0.76 million, gross proceeds of £1.31m were raised through the issue of loans and new shares, and our net cash position was up £0.47 million at £0.58 million.

Kiran Morzaria

Director

29 September 2023

This announcement contains inside information for the purposes of Article 7 of E.U. Regulation 596/2014.

For further information:

Cadence Minerals plc +44 (0) 20 3582 6636
Andrew Suckling  
Kiran Morzaria  
 

WH Ireland Limited (NOMAD & Broker)

 

+44 (0) 207 220 1666

James Joyce  
Darshan Patel  
   
Brand Communications +44 (0) 7976 431608
Public & Investor Relations  
Alan Green

 

 

Edison Research Note: Cadence Minerals #KDNC – A mispriced miner?

Cadence Minerals #KDNC is a mining-focused investment company with unlisted investment assets that the market appears to be clearly mis-pricing.
Its portfolio of public equities accounts for £10.2m of its £12.7m market cap, leaving an implied combined value of £2.5m for its 30% stake in the Amapá #ironore project and its minority stake in the Sonora #lithium project. In our view each of these is worth more than this, and we believe a conservative base-case valuation of both to be £45m or 26p/share at their current stages of development.
This values Cadence at 32.2p/share, more than four times its current valuation. Our high-case valuation is 57p/share.
Full research note here

Cadence Minerals #KDNC June 2023 – CEO Kiran Morzaria talks to Alan Green

Cadence CEO Kiran Morzaria talks to Alan Green and discusses the $2m funding package announced last week, which has raised a few questions from investors. Kiran explains the finance structure, the progress the money is expected to deliver for Amapa and also discusses markets and the current share price. We then discuss the shipping of the stockpiles at Santana port, and the prospects for a fully recommissioned Amapa mine, railway and port. Kiran then looks at the Lithium and Rare Earths investments held by Cadence in Australia (Evergreen Lithium #EG1 & Hastings Technology Metals #HAS), plus the Sonora Lithium concessions in Mexico and the Cadence stake in European Metals #EMH and the Cinovec Lithium and Tin mine. We finish by looking at potential future investments.

Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Corporate Update

Cadence Minerals (AIM/NEX: KDNC; OTC: KDNCY) is pleased to provide an update on the progress of three of its investments. The latest presentation is available on our website.

Hastings Technology Metals (ASX: HAS) (“Hastings”)

On 25 January 2023, Cadence completed the sale of its 30% stake in several mineral concessions forming part of the Yangibana Rare Earths project for a consideration of 2.45 million Hastings shares, equating to approximately 1.9% Hastings issued share capital. This consideration was a premium over the Net Present Value (“NPV”) of the Cadence portion of the mineable material, based on the definitive feasibility (“DFS”) updated by Hastings on 21 February 2022.

Hastings recently published an update on the Yangibana Rare Earth Project, highlights of which are as follows:

  • Significant progress during the last two months on enabling construction and ordering long lead critical items.
  • A total of $146 million in contractual commitments has been made to date, demonstrating the high degree of confidence by the Hastings Board in the future of the Yangibana project.
  • Ore Reserves increased 25% to 20.93Mt at 0.90% Total Rare Earth Oxide (TREO) grade, increasing mine life to 17 years.
  • Senior management appointments in the last two months include Rudolph van Niekerk as COO, Robert Klug as General Counsel, and Tim Gilbert as General Manager of Operations. Recruitment is underway for Project Director and the CFO position following the recent career move by Matthew Allen.
  • Cost and schedule review identified potential areas for construction contracting model restructuring, optimisation and de-risking.
  • The recent engagement of Boston Consulting Group (BGC) to assist in further investigating the merits of an integrated mine-to-magnets strategy and exploration of partnership opportunities.

The full announcement concerning the Yangibana sale is available here.

Sonora Lithium Project (“Sonora”)

Cadence holds a partial interest in the Sonora Lithium Project via a 30% stake in the joint venture interests in each of Mexilit S.A. de CV (“Mexilit”) and Megalit S.A de C.V (“Megalit”). Mexilit, with its El Sauz and Fleur concessions, forms part of the Sonora Lithium Project and is a part of the reserve in the mine plan after initial mining in the La Ventana concession (100% Ganfeng). Mexalit and Megalit are each 70% indirectly owned by Ganfeng Lithium Co (“Gangfeng”) and 30% by Cadence.

A feasibility study report was published in January 2018. The report estimated a pre-tax project net present value of US$1.253 billion at an 8% discount rate, an Internal Rate of Return of 26.1% and Life of Mine operating costs of US$3,910/t of lithium carbonate. Ganfeng has stated that they expect the capacity of phase I will deliver 50,000 tons of lithium hydroxide, which is 42% above the anticipated production levels outlined in the feasibility study.

In 2021, a decree was passed by the Mexican government to reform the domestic energy sector (“Decree”). The Decree stated that lithium would be included among the minerals considered strategic for an energy transition. As a result, no new concessions for lithium exploitation by private companies would be granted. Earlier this month, the Mexican government passed a presidential decree confirming that within a 900 square-mile lithium mining zone in northern Sonora state, existing concessions would “remain safe”. This aligns with the general opinion that the Decree passed by the Senate only impacts licenses, concessions, or contracts to be granted, not already those granted, as is the case for the Sonora Lithium Project.

Amapá Iron Ore Project (“Amapá”)

Earlier this year, Cadence published an economically robust Pre-Feasibility Study (” PFS”) for the Amapa Iron Ore Project. Along with the PFS and subsequent consultations with the key contractors, we have identified three areas of possible improvement to Amapá.

The first will be to review the historical drilling and geological data north of the Amapá mineral concessions. The data has been acquired and is currently being processed to identify further iron ore resources, which, if present, would further increase the mine life. The second area of potential improvement is a change in the layout of the port at Santana by moving the railway loop further from the shore. A scoping study regarding this option has already been completed and identified capital savings. The last area of potential improvement is to investigate and review the flowsheet to improve the final product quality over and above the current 65% iron ore concentrate.

During 2022, the impact of the Ukraine war and the legacy of Covid on supply chains resulted in higher shipping costs and lower iron ore pricing. As a result, only one iron ore shipment was made during the year. The net proceeds of this shipment, along with approximately half of the net proceeds from the shipments in 2021, have been used to pay the secured bank creditors as per the settlement agreement announced in December 2021 here. Given these unprecedented macro-economic conditions, DEV Mineração S.A. (“DEV”) was unable to meet the 2022 payment schedule as per the settlement deed and although the bank creditors have reserved their rights, the settlement deed remains in full effect with all parties in discussions with a view to agree a new timetable in order to rephase payments so these can be met in light of market conditions.

With improving iron ore prices and stability returning to shipping costs, the sale of the 58% iron ore concentrate stockpile is now economically viable. We expect shipping to recommence in the next six months, with the net revenues being used to pay the bank creditors, as per the settlement agreement.

Cadence CEO Kiran Morzaria, commented: “As is the nature of any investment company, our value is driven by the sum of our parts. With the recent reduction in Hastings share price our portfolio valuation has also reduced. However, we see no fundamental reason for this price volatility given the substantial progress. Hastings is making in the construction of the Yangibana rare earth project and we look forward to them advancing to project towards production in 2024.”

“Cadence’s current public and private investments have continued to perform delivering an unrealised return of approximately 172% and our listed investments have delivered a total return (realised and unrealised) of 328%.”

“Our confidence in Amapa continues to grow thanks to a potential further increase in the overall iron ore resource, improvements to the port and prospects for restarting iron ore shipments in the coming months. I look forward to providing further updates.”

For further information contact:

 

Cadence Minerals plc +44 (0) 20 3582 6636
Andrew Suckling
Kiran Morzaria
 

WH Ireland Limited (NOMAD & Broker)

 

+44 (0) 207 220 1666

James Joyce
Darshan Patel

Enzo Aliaj

Qualified Person

Kiran Morzaria B.Eng. (ACSM), MBA, has reviewed and approved the information contained in this announcement. Kiran holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Industrial Geology) from the Camborne School of Mines and an MBA (Finance) from CASS Business School.

Cautionary and Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this announcement are or may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as “believe”, “could”, “should”, “envisage”, “estimate”, “intend”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, or the negative of those variations or comparable expressions including references to assumptions. These forward-looking statements are not based on historical facts but rather on the Directors’ current expectations and assumptions regarding the company’s future growth results of operations performance, future capital, and other expenditures (including the amount, nature, and sources of funding thereof) competitive advantages business prospects and opportunities. Such forward-looking statements reflect the Directors’ current beliefs and assumptions and are based on information currently available to the Directors.  Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements, including risks associated with vulnerability to general economic and business conditions, competition, environmental and other regulatory changes actions by governmental authorities, the availability of capital markets reliance on key personnel uninsured and underinsured losses and other factors many of which are beyond the control of the company. Although any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are based upon what the Directors believe to be reasonable assumptions. The company cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with such forward-looking statements.

The information contained within this announcement is deemed by the company to constitute Inside Information as stipulated under the Market Abuse Regulation (EU) No. 596/2014, as it forms part of UK domestic law under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018, as amended. Upon the publication of this announcement via a regulatory information service, this information is considered to be in the public domain.

 

Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Listing of Evergreen Lithium on the Australian Stock Exchange

Cadence Minerals (AIM/NEX: KDNC; OTC: KDNCY) is pleased to announce that Evergreen Lithium Limited (“Evergreen”) has filed its admission Prospectus with Australian Securities & Investments Commission and the Australian Stock Exchange (“ASX”). Cadence owns approximately 15.8 million Evergreen shares which are anticipated to represent 8.7% of the issued share capital of Evergreen on admission. Evergreen’s indicative timetable for admission is 10 March 2023.

Highlights:

  • Evergreen Lithium has filed a listing and offering prospectus with the ASX; the anticipated admission date is 10 March 2023.
  • On admission, Cadence will own approximately 8.7% of Evergreen, which at the offer price values Cadence’s equity stake at AS$ 3.96 million.
  • Evergreen intends to advance three hard rock lithium exploration projects in Australia.
  • The flagship Byone Lithium Project covers the north-eastern strike extent of the lithium-and tantalum endowed Bynoe Pegmatite field;
    • The project is adjacent to Core Lithium’s producing lithium mine.
    • Soil sampling on the project returned geochemical anomalies indicating lithium mineralisation.
    • Based on soil sampling alone an initial five target zones have been identified that contain lithium mineralisation.
  • The second prospect, Kenny Lithium, is located within the Dundas Mineral Field of Western Australia, close to Mt Dean and Mt Belches-Bald Hill pegmatite fields’
    • Initial field mapping on the project has confirmed the presence of substantial outcropping pegmatites
    • 10km zone of pegmatite outcropping has been confirmed in the North-Eastern section of the Kenny Lithium Project
    • Evergreen has recently completed a comprehensive auger program, drilling 1,731 holes. Evergreen expects the results to be available shortly after admission.

Cadence CEO Kiran Morzaria commented: “On behalf of the Cadence board, I am pleased that our investment into Lithium Technologies and Lithium Supplies have materialised into soon to be listed Evergeen and its Byone and Kenny lithium projects. Once Evergreen lists on the ASX market, it will add further value to Cadence’s rounded portfolio of listed lithium investment vehicles, which include European Metals Holdings (AIM: EMH) and our Sonora Lithium assets. Added to this, Cadence has exposure to the world class Yangibana rare earths project through it’s shareholding in Hastings Technology Metals (ASX: HAS) and of course our flagship Amapa iron ore project, the value of which was recently estimated with the publication of a pre-feasibility study, associated post tax NPV and maiden ore reserve declaration.” 

“Your board believes that considerable potential exists across our assets to deliver further progress as we move forward in 2023. I look forward to reporting back with further developments.”

Background to Cadence’s investment in Evergreen Lithium

Cadence Minerals received approximately 15.8 million shares in Evergreen in July 2022 when Cadence sold its 31.5% stake in Lithium Technologies and Lithium Supplies (“LT and LS”) to Evergreen as announced on 27 June 2022. This initial consideration was valued at AS$ 3.16 million (£1.81 million). A further AS$ 6.63 million (£3.80 million) shares in Evergreen are due to Cadence on the achievement of certain performance milestones by Evergreen. Further details of these milestones can be found in the Evergreen prospectus available here. Cadence’s shares may be subject to a 2-year escrow agreement as determined by the listing rules of the ASX.

As of 31 December 2021, the total carrying values of LT and LS in the Company’s balance sheet was approximately £803,000. Based on the anticipated admission price of Evergreen on the ASX, Cadence’s shares in Evergreen will be worth £2.27 million.

Evergreen Lithium

On acquiring LT and LS, Evergreen became the 100% owner of three exploration tenements. The Bynoe Lithium Project and Fortune Lithium Project (awaiting grant of exploration permit) are located in the Northern Territory, and the Kenny Lithium Project is located in Western Australia.

Evergreen is listing on the ASX to develop these projects further and raise up to AS$ 7 million via a share offer. Evergreen can advance its business model if the listing and the offer are successful.

Byone Lithium Project

The Bynoe Lithium Project is Evergreen’s flagship prospect. Evergreen’s primary focus is to explore and discover an economically viable lithium resource for development. The Bynoe Lithium Project is located south of Darwin in the Northern Territory, Australia. It covers the north-eastern strike extent of the lithium- and tantalum-endowed Bynoe Pegmatite Field.

The Bynoe Pegmatite Field is host to Core Lithium Ltd’s (ASX: CXO) (“Core Lithium” or “Core”) high-grade Finniss lithium deposit, which is adjacent to Core Lithium’s producing lithium mine. Core Lithium’s deposit is just 1.2km from the Bynoe Lithium Project. Soil sampling conducted on the Bynoe Lithium Project has returned geochemical anomalies that indicate the lithium mineralisation continues along the trend into the Company’s Bynoe Lithium Project. Based on the initial stages of soil sampling alone (which only covers approximately 10-20% of the Bynoe Lithium Project area, an initial five target zoneshave been identified that contain lithium mineralisation. The Bynoe Lithium Project covers an area of 231 km2, making Evergreen one of the largest tenement holders within the central Bynoe Pegmatite Field after Core Lithium.

In recent years, exploration activities within the Bynoe Field have been focused on the discovery of economic lithium mineralisation hosted in pegmatites, the most successful of which has been Evergreen’s neighbour, Core Lithium, which in a very short time frame, has delineated a JORC mineral resource of 18.9mt at 1.32% Li2O at its Finniss Project. Core Lithium has achieved excellent drilling intercepts at their BP33 prospect of 107 metres at 1.70% Li2O, located within 1km of the Bynoe Lithium Project and Core Lithium’s Finniss (BP33) mine.

After listing and completion of its capital raise, Evergreen intends to expand the geochemical soil sampling significantly. In addition, Evergreen recently completed an Ambient Noise Topography (“ANT”) Survey and is currently awaiting its geophysical interpretation. Core Lithium recently used ANT (refer to ASX announcement Core Lithium, 1 August 2022, “BP33 drilling delivers outstanding results”). Core noted the results were an “outstanding success” and showed “excellent correlation” with known pegmatite bodies that were already identified by drilling.

Once the baseline geochemical and geophysical data is collected, Evergreen plans to systematically drill test the anomalies, starting with the highest priority along strike from Core Lithium’s mineralised pegmatites.

Kenny Lithium Project

The Kenny Lithium Project is located within the Dundas Mineral Field of Western Australia and 50km East of Norseman in the Eastern Goldfields. It is close to the Mt Dean and Mt Belches-Bald Hill pegmatite fields, and there are multiple significant lithium discoveries located in close proximity to the Kenny Lithium Project

The Kenny Lithium Project covers an area of 210 km2, providing Evergreen with a large and prospective land holding within the Dundas mineral field.

The Kenny Lithium Project lies at the southern end of the Norseman-Wiluna Granite Greenstone Belt within the Archaean Yilgarn Craton. This is a well-known lithium-producing region/mineral field and is host to the significant Mount Marion, Bald Hill and Baldania mines, respectively, which are close to the Company’s Kenny Lithium Project.

Initial field mapping on the Kenny Lithium Project has confirmed the presence of substantial outcropping pegmatites, whereby an approximate 10km zone of pegmatite outcropping has been confirmed in the North-Eastern section of the Kenny Lithium Project, which significantly exceeds what has already been identified by the Government Survey of Western Australia (GSWA).

Evergreen’s goal is to explore and discover an economic lithium resource for subsequent development. As with the Company’s Bynoe Lithium Project, minimal geochemical work has been undertaken within the tenure; however, historical results have proven encouraging. Evergreen has recently completed a comprehensive auger program, drilling 1,731 holes. Evergreen expects the results to be available following the  listing. After that, the Company will design a drill program to drill test any targets identified to be prospective for lithium mineralisation and test the economic potential.

Fortune Lithium Project

The Fortune Lithium Project (EL31828) is located in the Northern Territory and is currently in its application phase and undergoing Native Title procedures. Evergreen Fortune Lithium Project is 784.71km² and is located 150km northeast of Alice Springs, in the Arunta region. The tenement itself has not been historically explored for lithium.

The Fortune Lithium Project lies in the Mesoproterozoic Aileron Province of the Arunta Region. The Arunta Region comprises a sequence of Proterozoic rocks known to host tin-tantalum-tungsten pegmatites. Historic pegmatite-hosted workings targeting tin-tantalum and mica are recorded in the vicinity of the Fortune Lithium Project area. There has been no exploration activity on the Fortune Lithium Project tenement specifically. The Fortune Lithium Project is currently in the application phase and is, therefore not granted tenure.

For further information contact:

 

Cadence Minerals plc +44 (0) 20 3582 6636
Andrew Suckling
Kiran Morzaria
WH Ireland Limited (NOMAD & Broker) +44 (0) 207 220 1666
James Joyce
Darshan Patel

– Ends –

Qualified Person

Kiran Morzaria B.Eng. (ACSM), MBA, has reviewed and approved the information contained in this announcement. Kiran holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Industrial Geology) from the Camborne School of Mines and an MBA (Finance) from CASS Business School.

Forward-Looking Statements:

Certain statements in this announcement are or may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ”believe” ”could” “should” ”envisage” ”estimate” ”intend” ”may” ”plan” ”will” or the negative of those variations or comparable expressions including references to assumptions. These forward-looking statements are not based on historical facts but rather on the Directors’ current expectations and assumptions regarding the Company’s future growth results of operations performance future capital and other expenditures (including the amount. nature and sources of funding thereof) competitive advantages business prospects and opportunities. Such forward-looking statements reflect the Directors’ current beliefs and assumptions and are based on information currently available to the Directors.  Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements including risks associated with vulnerability to general economic and business conditions competition environmental and other regulatory changes actions by governmental authorities the availability of capital markets reliance on key personnel uninsured and underinsured losses and other factors many of which are beyond the control of the Company. Although any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are based upon what the Directors believe to be reasonable assumptions. The Company cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with such forward-looking statements.

This announcement contains inside information for the purposes of Article 7 of the UK version of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 which is part of UK law by virtue of the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018, as amended (“MAR”). Upon the publication of this announcement via a Regulatory Information Service, this inside information is now considered to be in the public domain.

Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Interim Results for six months ended 30 June 2022

Cadence Minerals plc (AIM/AQX: KDNC) is pleased to announce its interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2022.

OVERVIEW

The Company’s goals for the six months ended 30 June 2022 were first to vest our 27% in the Amapa Iron Ore Project (“Amapa Project”), secondly to progress the development of Amapa and advance the Pre-Feasibility Study (“PFS”) and lastly to create capital growth in our passive private investments via a sale either in cash or a swap into liquid equity. I am pleased to report the Company was successful in all of the above goals.

The first goal was met in the first quarter of this year. After successfully reaching an agreement to vest its 20% at the end of December 2021, Cadence increased its stake in the Amapa Project to 27% in March 2022; the consideration for the additional 7% was US$3.5 million. The funding was used to achieve our second goal, which was to advance the PFS. Although PFS work commenced in 2021, the March investment fully funded the remainder of the PFS study. The current expectation is that in Q4, we will publish an updated Mineral Resource Estimate (“MRE), followed by an Ore Reserve Estimate (“ORE”) and, finally, the publication of the PFS.

The final goal was achieved via two asset sales; firstly, our 31.5% interests in Lithium Technology Pty Ltd and Lithium Supplies Pty Ltd (“LT and LS”) were sold to Evergreen Lithium and secondly, our 30% interest in licenses within the Yangibana Rare Earth Project (“Yangibana Project”) were sold to owner/operator Hastings Technology Metals. In both cases, Cadence agreed to vend these assets for equity in companies that are either listed or are expected to be listed.

Cadence has invested approximately £1.7 million in these assets, and our sale price into the equity of the two public companies was the equivalent of £5.5 million, representing a 321% cumulative return on our investments. The Yangibana sale is not reflected in the interim financial statements as it has not yet been completed. However, we expect that both the Yangibana Project transactions and the IPO of Evergreen Lithium will complete this year, hopefully further increasing our returns.

In contrast to these accomplishments, the macroeconomic environment has been generally negative. This has been dominated by the war in Ukraine and the devastating humanitarian consequences that have followed. The European war is the most serious crisis in decades, and food security and energy needs have emerged as significant concerns. We now live in a world of increased macro volatility, with central banks battling a problematic trade-off between soaring inflation and managing a fragile economic recovery in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Despite this challenging backdrop, the lithium and rare earth sectors have remained positive, with pricing in both products remaining robust. This demand continues to be driven by the electrification of our transport systems and the continued undersupply of feedstock. Despite some commentators suggesting otherwise, the oversupply of lithium is not imminent; we still see a market deficit going forward for the same structural reasons that we saw in 2018 when some of the same market commentators forecasted an oversupply of feedstock.

Within the iron ore market, we have seen the impacts of a global slowdown, with the 62% Fe Platts index dropping from US$125 per dry metric tonne (“dmt”) to circa US$ 100 / dmt. Both short and longer-term prospects for iron ore are driven by China, given the nation is the world’s biggest steel producer and currently buys about 70% of global seaborne iron ore. As policy support gains traction, we expect China to emerge as a source of stability for iron ore demand. This is contingent on Beijing implementing successful and timely stimulus measures, limited COVID lockdowns, and a shallow global slowdown that limits monetary tightening.

The overall negative macro environment weighed down on our public portfolio, with the AIM Basic Resources Index down some 30% over the period and European Metals Holdings (“EMH”), our largest public equity position, decreasing in value by some 47% during the reporting period. 

We are cautiously optimistic despite the macroeconomic headwinds. Recent indications point to a recovery in China’s growth momentum in the second half of the year, with cities reopening and government policy stimulus helping. In mined commodity markets, supply and demand are generally tight, and prices appear well supported. The transition to net zero carbon emissions will continue to open up investment opportunities in companies that serve the associated supply chains.

As outlined in our annual report and accounts, Cadence operates an investment strategy that includes investments in private projects via a private equity model and investments in public equity. In both investment classes, we take either an active or passive role. We have reported on each category below.

PRIVATE INVESTMENTS, ACTIVE

The Amapa Iron Ore Project, Brazil

Interest – 27%  at 30/06/2022 

The Amapa Project is a large-scale iron open pit ore mine with associated rail, port and beneficiation facilities that commenced operations in December 2007. Production increased to 4.8 Mt and 6.1 Mt of iron ore concentrate product in 2011 and 2012, respectively. Before its sale in 2012, Anglo American valued its 70% stake in the Amapa Project at US$462m (100% US $660m). 

In 2019 Cadence entered into a binding investment agreement to invest in and acquire up to 27% in the Amapa iron ore mine, beneficiation plant, railway and private port owned by DEV (“The Agreement”). The Agreement also gave Cadence a first right of refusal to increase its stake to 49%. To acquire its 27% interest, Cadence invested US$6 million over two stages in a joint venture company (“JV”). The first stage is for 20% of the JV, the consideration for which was US$2.5 million. The second stage was completed in March 2022 for a further 7% of the JV for a consideration of US$3.5 million.

During the reporting period, the two key operational priorities were: 

1.   Progressing the permitting pathway, including the regularisation of the mining concessions, tailing storage facilities and the environmental permits.

2.   Advancing the PFS, which commenced in 2021, and progressed in earnest once the second stage funding from Cadence vested.

At the time of writing, the PFS is progressing well with all the mineral processing and logistic studies completed and costed. The updated MRE and ORE are both due for completion in October 2022.

The PFS contemplates refurbishing and rehabilitating the existing port, rail and plant with modifications being made to the beneficiation plant to achieve a larger portion of 65% iron concentrate (4.9 Mt). The PFS is based on producing 5.3 Mt of iron ore concentrate per annum. The PFS, once complete, will outline more fully the development timelines and capital required to achieve the stated project aims. After the publication of an economic PFS, we expect DEV will seek to commission a Definitive Study (“DFS”). The DFS is required to seek project debt and equity finance, which will be sought once the DFS is complete.

PRIVATE INVESTMENTS, PASSIVE

Evergreen Lithium Limited

Interest – 13.16% at 30/06/2022

During the reporting period, Cadence and the shareholders of LT and LS completed the sale of 100% of LT and LS to Evergreen PTY Ltd (“Evergreen”). Evergreen is an unlisted public company in Australia that has been incorporated explicitly to acquire lithium assets. The acquisition of LT and LS is its first acquisition. Evergreen raised AS$ 6 million to pursue this strategy and now plans to list on the Australian Stock Exchange. 

The consideration for LT and LS is up to A$ 21.05 million (£12.79 million). Cadence had 31.5% of LT and LS and will receive up to A$ 6.63 million (£4.02 million). The initial consideration that has been paid is AS$3.16 million (£1.92 million) in Evergreen shares, or 15,830,136 shares at A$0.20 per share, representing 13.16% of Evergreen.

Subject to performance milestones being achieved (found here), an additional AS$3.47 million (£2.10 million) will be paid in Evergreen shares. If the performance targets are met, the total consideration for Cadence’s equity stake in LT and LS would be AS$6.63 million (£3.80 million). 

As a result of the acquisition, Evergreen, through its subsidiaries, are the holder of two exploration licenses in the Northern Territory, one granted and one in the application phase. LT and LS further hold seven exploration license applications in Argentina.

All of the licenses and applications target potential hard rock lithium deposits. The most significant of these is the Litchfield lithium prospect, which is contiguous to Core Lithium’s (ASX: CXO) strategic Finniss Lithium Project (JORC compliant ore reserves: 7.4Mt @ 1.3% Li2O). Evergreen has committed to spending at least A$4 million on the exploration of Litchfield during the three years post the completion of the sale.

Cadence’s total investment in the LT & LS was £0.81 million. The Company has received £1.92 million as an initial consideration and, subject to project milestones, will receive a further £2.1 million. This represents a 159% return on the initial consideration and a 395% return on the cumulative consideration.

Yangibana Project, Australia

Interest – 30% at 30/06/2022

The Yangibana Project is a significant Australian Rare Earths Project, containing substantial Neodymium and Praseodymium resources. The Yangibana Project currently covers approximately 650 square kilometres containing some 9 Mining Leases, 2 Prospecting Licenses and 19 Exploration Licenses. Cadence holds a 30% interest in 3 Mining Leases and 6 Exploration licenses. These tenements contain 0.70 million tonnes of Ore Reserves, which can increase the expected mine life of the Yangibana Project by approximately one year to a total of 16 years. 

In June 2022, Cadence entered into a binding agreement to sell its working interest in the leases to Hastings Technology Metals (ASX: HAS) (“Hastings”), the current owner and operator of the Yangibana Project.

The interests will be sold for A$9.0 million (£5.45 million) to be settled by the issue of fully paid ordinary shares in Hastings at a price to be determined based on 30 days VWAP before completion, which is set at six months from the date of signing of this agreement. 

Hastings has commenced site construction and is planning to begin commissioning the beneficiation plant in late 2023, delivering maiden production to key customers in 2024.

In February of this year, Hastings published a revised NPV calculation, which increased the NPV by 84% to AS$ 1 billion. Hastings’s current market capitalisation is circa A$ 415 million. Also, in February, the Australian Government’s Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) approved a $140 million loan facility to Hastings and Yangibana, making it the first Australian rare earth project to receive NAIF funding.

Cadence’s total investment in the Leases was £0.90 million. Subject to the completion of the sale, we will receive approximately £5.45 million in Hasting shares, representing a 502% return on our investment. 

Sonora Lithium Project, Mexico

Interest – 30% at 30/06/2022

Cadence holds an interest in the Sonora Lithium Project via a 30% stake in the joint venture interests in each of Mexalit S.A. de CV (“Mexalit”) and Megalit S.A. de CV (“Megalit”).

Mexalit forms part of the Sonora Lithium Project. The Sonora Lithium Project consists of ten contiguous concessions covering 97,389 hectares. Two of the concessions (La Ventana, La Ventana 1) are owned, as of the date, 100% by subsidiaries of Gangfeng Lithium Co., Ltd (“Gangfeng”). El Sauz, El Sauz 1, El Sauz 2, Fleur and Fleur 1 concessions are owned by Mexalit S.A. de C.V. (“Mexalit”), which is owned 70% by Gangfeng and 30% by Cadence.

The Sonora Project holds one of the world’s largest lithium resources and benefits from being both high-grade and scalable. The current lithium resources and reserves for the Sonora Lithium Project and the amounts attributable to Cadence are available on our website here:

https://www.cadenceminerals.com/projects/sonora-lithium-project/.

A feasibility study report was published in January 2018. The report estimated a pre-tax project net present value of US$1.253 billion at an 8% discount rate, an Internal Rate of Return of 26.1% and Life of Mine operating costs of US$3,910/t of lithium carbonate. It should be noted that under the published feasibility study, the concession owned by Mexalit will be mined starting in year 9 of the mine plan, ceasing at the end of the mine life in year 19.

In 2021, Mexican politicians from the MORENA party tabled a draught bill to reform Mexico’s energy sector, including statements that lithium would be included among the minerals considered strategic for the energy transition and that no new concessions for lithium exploitation by private companies could be granted. Subsequent to the year-end, the Mexican senate elevated lithium deposits to the category of “strategic minerals”, declaring lithium’s exploration, exploitation, and use as the state’s exclusive right. 

We are constantly examining possible legislative changes, and Gangfeng is ensuring that the mineral concessions remain legitimate. It is our current view that the Decree passed by the senate only impacts licenses, concessions, or contracts to be granted, NOT already those already granted, as is the case for the Sonora Lithium Project. Therefore, at this point, we do not believe there is a material impact on our joint venture areas.

PUBLIC EQUITY 

The public equity investment segment includes active and passive investments as part of our trading portfolio. The trading portfolio consists of investments in listed mining entities that the board believes possess attractive underlying assets. The focus is to invest in mining companies that are significantly undervalued by the market and where there is substantial upside potential through exploration success and/or the development of mining projects for commercial production. Ultimately, the aim is to make capital gains in the short to medium term. Investments are considered individually based on various criteria and are typically traded on the TSX, ASX, AIM or LSE.

During the period, our public equity investments generated an unrealised loss of £5.26 million (6 months ended 30 June 2021: a profit of £3.12 million) and a realised gain of £1.11 million (6 months ended 30 June 2021: £0.42 million). The majority of these profits were derived from the sale of European Metals Holdings shares. The total return on investment for the Cadence equity portfolio as of 28 September 2022 was 407%, or £9.95 million. 

As of 30 June 2022, our public equity stakes consisted of the following:

 

Company

Business Summary

30-Jun-22

31-Dec-21

30-Jun-21

31-Dec-20

£,000

£,000

£,000

£,000

European Metals Holding Ltd

Lithium mine development

5,357

11,287

14,180

13,426

Charger Metals NL

Lithium exploration

196

342

109

Macarthur Minerals Ltd

Iron Ore mine development

103

181

327

329

Eagle Mountain Mining Ltd

Copper exploration

47

122

153

Mont-Royal Resources Ltd

Gold and Copper exploration

39

35

Celsius Resources Ltd

Gold and Copper exploration

103

Miscellaneous

Various

5

7

6

6

Total

5,747

11,974

14,878

13,761

 

FINANCIAL RESULTS: 

During the period, the Group made a loss before taxation of £5.05 million (6 months ended 30 June 2021: profit of £2.84 million, year ended 31 December 2021: loss of £0.14 million). There was a weighted basic loss per share of 3.136p (30 June 2021: profit 2.009p, 31 December 2021: loss 0.102p). During the second half of the year, the Directors expect the results to reflect the approximately £4.2m profit from the sale of the Group’s Yangibana Joint Venture Interest. 

The total assets of the Group decreased from £23.01 million at 31 December 2021 to £21.93 million. Of this amount, the decrease of £6.23 million represents the market value of our current investments at the period end, plus there was an increase in our non-current investments of £3.30m.

During the period our net cash outflow from operating activities was £1.65 million, gross proceeds of £4.9m were raised through the issue of new shares and our net cash position ended the period up £1.66 million at £1.99 million. 

Kiran Morzaria

Director

28 September 2022

This announcement contains inside information for the purposes of Article 7 of EU Regulation 596/2014.

For further information:

 

Cadence Minerals plc

+44 (0) 20 3582 6636

Andrew Suckling

Kiran Morzaria

WH Ireland Limited (NOMAD & Broker)

+44 (0) 20 7220 1666

James Joyce

Darshan Patel

Podcast- Cadence Minerals #KDNC CEO Kiran Morzaria talks to UK Investor Magazine

Cadence Minerals #KDNC CEO Kiran Morzaria talks to UK Investor Magazine and covers:

– Group investment strategy

– Flagship Amapa Iron Ore project

– Cinovec #Lithium project

– Sonora Lithium project

– Yangibana #RareEarths project

Unlocking value in Lithium, Rare Earth and Iron Ore assets with Cadence Minerals

Cadence Minerals and the next Commodity Supercycle

There is little doubt that historians will conclude that the global impact of COVID-19 represents the worst crisis since the Great Depression. The pandemic is leaving deep and enduring scars on the global economy, taxing health and medical services to the limit, depriving children of education, while decimating sectors of commerce and industry and in particular leisure and travel.

But history has shown on numerous occasions that the indomitable human spirit has a remarkable capacity for survival and evolution amidst existential crises. As areas such as traditional High St retail and seem to be drawing to a close, sectors such as commodities and mining are booming thanks to a near perfect storm created in part by the COVID crisis.

In October 2020, the IMF stated that the total bill for the global pandemic would reach some $28tn (£21.5tn) in lost output. The rapid intervention by global Governments with rate cuts, looser monetary policies and fiscal stimulus have certainly avoided a financial catastrophe, but at the same time these actions have effectively weakened fiat currencies and increased demand for commodities.

Historically the consequences of such events invariably see a strong recovery in commodity markets. This factor was clearly in evidence as 2020 progressed, and as the COVID noose tightened, prices of commodities such as Iron Ore, Copper and Nickel, along with precious metals including Gold and Silver, all increased in value.

As a consequence, as 2020 progressed prices of commodities such as Iron Ore, Copper and Nickel, along with precious metals including Gold and Silver, all increased in value.

In the wake of the sharp economic contractions in 2020, the IMF forecast that only China was expected to emerge with any economic growth during the year. 2021 is set to be a different story however, and with the vaccine rollout accelerating globally, there are expectations for sharp recoveries across most of the leading economies. Added to this, the new $1.9tn stimulus package in the US from the Biden administration will see heavy investment into ageing US infrastructure. These factors should ensure sustained demand and pricing for iron ore and base metals.

There is also the revolution taking place within the automotive industry to consider. The move towards EV’s is accelerating rapidly, with a plethora of commitments from key automotive manufacturers such as Ford, Volvo, BMW and Jaguar to switch to electric only production in the next few years. This move of course sounds the death knell for the internal combustion engine, but at the same time is driving the cost of battery metals and component commodities such as lithium, nickel, cobalt and graphite

The net effect is that mining, specific commodities and minerals, along with the sector’s nebulous support service industries are undergoing a significant global resurgence. Projects considered uneconomical to develop, and that have remained dormant for years are returning to life, newly financed and fast tracked thanks to the array of modern desktop technologies, data and modelling tools.

Iron Ore

In a note published last December, Goldman Sachs outlined their expectations for another substantial deficit next year (27Mt, GSe), supported by a combination of gradually decelerating China steel demand growth, sharply re-accelerating demand for Western steel and tepid supply growth. GS added that the weighting of the 2021 deficit to the front half of the year points to fundamental support for a sustained price path higher over Q1 and Q2, revising near-term targets for the benchmark 62% iron ore price to 3M $140/t and 6M $150/t.

These numbers of course imply material upside longer term, and GS have also upgraded full year forecasts for 2021 to $120/t ($90/t previously) and for 2022 to $95/t ($75/t previously).

GS sees four core drivers supporting this bullish view:

  1. Chinese steel production has remained strong & production in 2021 remains supported by a healthy infrastructure and property project pipeline, alongside a resurgence in China’s manufacturing capex cycle and steel exports.
  2. With construction and heavy industry remaining relatively less affected by second-wave lockdowns, Western steel demand is also recovering ahead of expectations. Significant regional price strength in the US and Europe is likely to spur further blast furnace restarts (and hence iron demand) after an aggressive suspensions phase in 2020 contributed to the current steel supply shortfalls as demand recovers.
  3. Iron ore supply growth is likely to stagnate in 2021. The limited growth that exists next year is concentrated with Vale Brazil operations, which is why their recent substantive downgrade to production guidance has had such an outsized positive impact on price.
  4. Chinese mill iron ore inventories remain low, raising the prospect of restocking bursts through the year.

For Cadence Minerals, this bullish outlook for iron ore puts two very firm ticks in the box, firstly for what is widely regarded as the company’s flagship Amapa Iron Ore project in Brazil, and secondly the investment in ASX and TSX listed Macarthur Minerals, with whom Amapa shares numerous infrastructural and evolutionary similarities.

Amapa Project

Bringing a project the size and scale of Amapa back to life has as expected proved to be a complex and challenging process. Nonetheless, DEV Mineração, Cadence and Indo Sino Pty Ltd are reaching a legal settlement with the project creditors, and with the ruling in February by the Commercial Court of São Paulo that port operations and the shipment of iron ore stockpiles can begin, the company is set to take the first practical step towards bringing the project back to life, which will in turn bring benefits to the Amapa region in terms of employment, health and education.

Once the creditor settlement agreement has been signed, an initial $2.5m investment will be released from escrow, meaning that the Pedra Branca Alliance (Cadence & Indo Sino JV co) will own 99.9% of DEV, the owner of the entire Amapa mining and processing assets,. At this point Cadence will proportionately own 20% of Amapa. The next step will involve a further $3.5m investment following the granting of the necessary environmental licenses required to operate the mine, which will see Cadence move to a 27% stake, with an option to increase to 49% once project financing has been raised to complete recommissioning and commence production.

Last November Cadence completed an updated Mineral Resource Estimate for Amapa, which increased the 2012 Anglo American MRE estimate by 21% to 176.7 million tonnes (“Mt”) grading 39.7% Fe in the Indicated category. With a production capacity of 5.3Mt per annum, the survey also noted there was significant potential to increase the resource base after the completion of metallurgical and optimisation studies.

Lake Giles Iron Project

Cadence also has a stake (c1%) in ASX and TSX listed Macarthur Minerals, owner of the Lake Giles Iron Project near Kalgoorlie in Western Australia. The Lake Giles project consists of the Moonshine magnetite deposit and the Ularring hematite deposit, which together have an indicated Mineral Resource Estimate of 218Mt grading 27.5% Fe in the Indicated category.

Lake Giles and Amapa share many similarities in regard to facilities and production routes, and with the Feasibility Study already underway, Lake Giles has a 3.4 Mt per annum production target with potential to scale-up operations.

Lithium

A recent paper published by commodities expert Fastmarkets FB noted that global lithium supply was developing at accelerating pace due to strong and continually growing demand. In particular the demand for compounds used in lithium-ion (li-ion) batteries such as lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide has prompted lithium producers to expand total production while diversifying their investments in different lithium operations to ramp up production and diminish asset risk.

Despite an effective over supply in 2018-2019 that saw a price moratorium and a 50% fall in the price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in China, the subsequent seismic shift to bring forward EV production and commitments from major automotive manufacturers around the world saw the price of Lithium in China surge to an 18 month high of $9450 per tonne in January 2021.

The Fastmarkets’ research team expects global lithium demand to grow to at least 1.1 million tonnes per year of lithium-carbonate equivalent (LCE) by 2025 from an expected 300,000 tonnes of LCE in 2019, with Global lithium producers set to boost output year on year to maintain pace with growing demand. Despite this, as can be seen from the table above the numbers still don’t add up, with massive shortfalls projected by Benchmark Intelligence in lithium and other key constituent metals by 2030.

Over 2018, China emerged as the world’s leading lithium-processing hub with the rapid growth of companies like Ganfeng Lithium, which specialise in converting lithium concentrate from hard rock.

Cinovec – European Metals Holdings

The Cinovec project is the largest hard rock lithium resource in Europe and 4th largest non-brine resource in the world. Perfectly located to become the central lithium supply hub for the European EV industry, Cadence owns a 12% stake in AIM listed European Metals Holdings (EMH), which in turn owns 49% of the Cinovec project, (51% owned by utilities giant CEZ Group).

Cinovec is a potential low-cost producer at the bottom of the cost curve, and will sustainably supply 25,267 tpa lithium hydroxide or 22,500 tpa lithium carbonate into the European battery market.

Sonora Lithium Project

Cadence is a 30% joint venture partner with Bacanora Lithium (BCN) on the Fleur Lease (Mexalit & Megalit) at the Sonora Lithium Project in Mexico. A completed feasibility study values Sonora Mexico at US$1.25bn NPV, with some of the lowest production costs at $4,000/t in the industry.

AIM listed Bacanora is focused on building a 35,000 tpa lithium carbonate operation at Sonora with 50% owner and take off partner Ganfeng Lithium.

Australia Hard Rock Lithium Projects

Cadence owns three dormant hard rock lithium assets in Australia. These are Picasso (Western Australia – WA), Litchfield (Northern Territories – NT) and Alcoota (NT) all of which are in regions with proven lithium mineralisation and supportive mining infrastructure.

The Litchfield project, located near Darwin (NT), has an exploration license granted and is contiguous to Core Lithium’s (ASX: CXO) territory. Core has a JORC compliant mineral resource of 8.55Mt @ 1.33% Li2O for its Finnis project (for all six deposits).

Yangibana Rare Earths Project

Operated by ASX listed Hastings Technology Metals, Yangibana is a substantial Rare Earths deposit near Gascoyne in Western Australia. Drilling and sampling have revealed high concentrations of Neodymium and Praseodymium (NdPr), essential components in permanent magnets used in electric vehicles.

Cadence is a 30% joint venture partner with Hastings on part of the Yangibana Rare Earth Element Project. Probable Ore Reserves within the tenements held by Cadence are just over 2m tonnes with TREO of 1.66%.

The current mine plan anticipates production to start from the joint venture areas (Yangibana) in year 6.

A Key Role?

Around the world today there are countless mining exploration companies, commodity investors and mine operators with projects offering scope for development and potential for investment. The challenge with any project of this nature is matching the opportunity with the macro backdrop, projected demand for the commodity alongside capex vs. return, production routes, shipping and completion of cycle to bring the product to the customer.

Rarely if ever has the industry been presented with so compelling a backdrop for the commodity market as a whole. The significant global resurgence seen in the mining sector at present given is entirely sustainable given the level of asset purchases and spending by Governments to rejuvenate damaged economies and the inevitable resulting erosion in fiat currency value.

As economies emerge from the havoc wrought by the COVID virus and restrictions on spending are lifted, it is clear that in many cases demand will outstrip availability. This will apply almost without exception across the commodity spectrum – iron ore for steel to fund reconstruction – lithium, nickel, cobalt, graphite and rare earths to address the burgeoning demand for lithium-ion battery production.

There is no doubt that the recovering global economy is embarking on the next great Commodity Supercycle. Many mining groups and commodity project investors will benefit from this phenomenon by owning the right projects, at the right stage of evolution at the right time. On the evidence available today, Cadence Minerals is certainly one of them.

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