Home » Posts tagged 'shre' (Page 2)
Tag Archives: shre
Quoted Micro 12 December 2016
ISDX
IMC Exploration (IMCP) and its partner Koza Ltd have started work on a mapping and rock sampling programme at the Goldmines River licence in County Wicklow and a licence in County Wexford. This work will help to prepare for the next phase of drilling.
African Potash (AFPO), which has lost its AIM quotation because of the resignation of its nominated adviser, has moved to ISDX, where Peterhouse is its corporate adviser. Dealings on ISDX commenced on 7 December. African Potash is attempting to build up a vertically integrated fertiliser mining, production and distribution business in the Republic of Congo.
Ashley House (ASH), which develops health and community care properties, is refinancing its loan from Rockpool through a £1.5m facility provided by Invescare Ltd, where Ashley non-executive deputy chairman Stephen Minion is one of the shareholders. The facility lasts until June 2018 and is secured against individual assets of the company.
Geologist Gareth Northam has been appointed to the board of Goldcrest Resources (GCRP). Goldcrest has raised £70,000 by issuing convertible loan notes to natural resources investor Pelamis Investments. The loan note is convertible into 28 million shares at 0.25p each – a price relating to after a planned 50:1 capital reorganisation.
Valiant Investments (VALP) has raised £40,000 at 0.1p a share in order to provide finance for 84.7%-owned apps developer Flamethrower. Kryptonite 1 (KR1) has raised £155,000 at 0.05p a share, while Imperial Minerals (IMPP) raised £35,000 at 2p a share.
AIM (Latest AIM Journal available)
Fairpoint (FRP) made a profit warning just prior to the close on Friday but there was still time for the share price to halve. Dividend payments have been suspended. The legal services business has not been trading as well as hoped in November and December. The closure of the debt services business is on course to be completed in early 2017 but overheads are still higher than the management planned that they would be.
MP Evans (MPE) has sold its Malaysian joint venture and intends to pay a special dividend of 10p a share. The disposal will raise $100m and the deal valued the plantations at $13,000/hectare. That is more than the remaining assets are being valued at by the current bid. Kuala Lumpur Kepong has received 12.9% acceptances for its 740p a share bid. The disposal means that one-third of the cost of this bid will be covered by cash.
Expect more shares to come on to the market following the announcement that a further £1.15m of loan notes in CloudTag Inc (CTAG) have been converted into shares by L1 Capital. The conversion price is 6p but the market price has risen to more than twice that level. There are £50,000 of loan notes left.
AB Dynamics (ABDP) is raising additional cash to give it a larger buffer as it invests in its new facility. The automotive testing equipment manufacturer already had cash in the bank but it has raised £5.4m at 475p a share and it is offering shareholders the chance to subscribe up to £1m at the same share price.
Northacre (NTA) has been on AIM for 19 years but it has decided to end its association with the junior market. This is not a surprise because the main shareholder owns 94.3% of the company. That shareholder is offering to buy any shares at 100p each – a 35% premium to the previous market price.
Formation Group (FRM) has also decided to leave AIM but it is switching to ISDX. A general meeting will be held on 4 January and the property developer could join ISDX as early as 12 January of shareholders agree to the AIM cancellation.
Clean room equipment manufacturer MayAir (MAYA) says that it generated revenues of $52.4m in the ten months to October 2016 and there is an order book worth $20.4m most which should be recognised this year. This provides some comfort that MayAir can achieve full year expectations. Management still hopes to be moving into a new factory before the end of 2017.
Vianet (VNET) reported lower interim revenues but stripping out discontinued fuel-related activities revenues grew slightly thanks to the vending division. The core operations grew their profit contribution but higher losses from the technology business held back overall profit growth. In the six months to September 2016, pre-tax profit improved by 9% to £1.13m. The US loss in the leisure division was halved and the number of sites continues to grow, unlike the UK where the number of sites continue to decline. The vending division offers good potential for profit growth now that it is covering its costs and more of the additional revenues drop through to profit. The uses of the technology for the Internet of Things should help to boost growth. Net cash is £1.98m and the interim dividend is unchanged at 1.7p a share. A full year profit of £2.4m is forecast.
Gas and electrical services provider Bilby (BILB) is restating last year’s results. This will reduce reported pre-tax profit from £1.37m to £718,000. This is due to additional costs and disputed revenues. The share price is less than one-third of the level it peaked at less than 12 months ago. The interim figures will be published later this month.
Share (SHRE) has sold 20,000 shares in London Stock Exchange for £540,000. Share retains 100,000 shares in London Stock Exchange.
TV technology developer Mirada (MIRA) says the roll-out of its technology by izzi Telecom will be slower than expected and demand in Mexico is uncertain. This means revenues, particularly higher margin licence sales, will be delayed. This year the expected underlying loss is likely to be around £1.4m higher at £1.8m. Capitalised development spending is rising so there will be a significant cash outflow even when amortisation is taken into account. A pre-tax profit is not expected until 2018-19.
Armadale Capital (ACP) has announced a JORC compliant resource of 40.9 million tonnes @9.41% graphite content for the Mahenge Liandu project in Tanzania. This is a particularly high grade and it should be easy to extract – and that could be confirmed early next year. There will be additional drilling and a further upgrade could happen in the first half of 2017.
Evgen Pharma (EVG) reported interim figures in line with expectations and there is £5.5m left in the bank. This is enough to push ahead with two phase II clinical trials for SFX-01 and to investigate other potential uses. The results of the trials should be available in the first half of 2018. The US Food and Drug Administration has given orphan drug status to the treatment for subarachnoid haemorrhage.
Premier African Minerals (PREM) has decided not to increase its stake in Casa Mining from 4.5% to 30%.
MAIN MARKET
Project engineering consultancy Waterman Group (WTM) says that its performance has been in line with expectations in the first four months of this financial year. Exchange rates have helped to ensure a small increase in revenues in the period. This suggests that dividend growth will continue. Waterman has won work for the MoD, Brent Cross shopping centre and UK roads. The interim figures will be published in February. Michael Strong has been appointed as a non-executive director.
Andrew Hore
Quoted Micro 31 October 2016
ISDX
Via Developments (VIA1) says the Canal Street project in Manchester should be completed next March, while another Manchester site is attempting to gain enhanced planning permission that would enable 71 apartments to be built. Via expects deposits of 15% of the purchase price of the eight flats in Canal Street before the end of 2016 and this should generate £329,000. The Napier House project in Luton has been granted permitted development for 26 one-bedroom apartments. Additional planning permissions for an extra floor and a change to the facade of the building have been submitted. Via has received firm commitments for £1m of additional 7% debenture stock. This will take the debentures in issue to £4.5m.
Ganapati (GANP), the developer of apps for social media and games, reported an increase in its interim loss from £7.47m to £8.41m following the opening of a London office. Revenues fell from £2.3m to £1.34m. A unrealised foreign exchange loss of £5.71m on Yen borrowings. Management hopes that the Yen bonds in issue will be extended when they come up for repayment. There was £1.5m in the bank at the end of July 2016 but Ganapati wants to raise more money via a share issue to invest in further research and development. .
Ashford Borough Council has granted planning permission for the new Curious Brewery on a 1.6 acre site in the town centre. The Chapel Down Group (CDGP) brewing subsidiary raised money to build the brewery through crowd funding.
Miton Asset Management has increased its stake in rail safety products developer Wheelsure Holdings (WHLP) to 10.2% following the latest share subscription. WB Nominees has increased its stare to 9.2%, while JM Finn Nominees has raised its holding to 8.5%. Chief executive Gerhard Dodl increased his shareholding by 500,000 to 4.215 million shares, giving him 2.4% of Wheelsure.
AIM
Symphony Technology increased its offer for the remaining subsidiaries of Bond International Software (BDI) and the 121p a share bid by Constellation Software Inc has lapsed after gaining total acceptances of 47.4%. Constellation says that it will vote in favour of the disposal to Symphony for £22.8m. The proceeds and the other cash held by Bond will be distributed to shareholders as part of a liquidation process. Between 127p a share and 129.5p a share should be distributed with an initial distribution of at least 126p a share. Constellation originally bid 105p a share and it had acquired the majority of its 29.9% stake in Bond at 75p a share back in 2010.
Cyprotex (CRX) is recommending a bid from German drug discovery firm Evotec AG. The 160p a share cash bid values the contract pharma research services business at £41.7m. The share price has not been at the level of the bid since 2014. Cyprotex believes that it needs a partner to help it grow its operations further and Evotec will help it to grow in Europe.
Sunrise Resources (SRES) has revealed details of the results for the phase 2 drilling at the Bay Street silver project in Nevada. There was no positive news from this drilling and further exploration and drilling is required.
Eastern Europe-focused oil and gas explorer Ascent Resources (AST) has raised £3.5m via a placing at 1p a share and a further £1m via a loan note issue. Some of the cash will be used to repay a £871,510 loan facility from Henderson, which has also deferred the redemption of £8.2m of loan notes to 19 November 2019. The rest of the cash will complete the drilling of two wells and connect them with a refurbished central treatment station. This should enable Ascent to commence gas production by next spring and the gas will be initially be sold to Croatia.
South Africa focused miner Ironveld (IRON) is raising £1.8 at 4.5p a share with some of the cash going towards the development of the 15MW DC smelter for the iron, vanadium and titanium project in the Bushveld complex. The cash should last until next June and the shares come with a warrant to subscribe for another share at 6.75p for 12 months after the shares are issued. The Industrial Development Corporation has approved facilities of R244m for the project and negotiations continue for the remaining debt requirements. The total finance required is R841m. An offtake agreement has been finalised for the high purity iron powder that will be produced over a five year period from the commencement of production. Offtake agreements were already secured for titanium and vanadium.
Workforce optimisation software provider eg solutions (EGS) has won its first direct contract in Asia. The £500,000 contract is with a Singapore-based financial business and 50% of this will be recognised in the year to January 2017. This underpins the current expectations.
There has been further good drilling news concerning the Hot Maden project in Turkey, including some improvements in grade, and Mariana Resources (MARL) expects to report the preliminary economic assessment in late November. This assessment will provide the first guidance about the economics of the project.
Futura Medical (FUM) has raised £12m at 57p a share in order to fund the development of its portfolio of products. This includes the commercialisation of erectile dysfunction treatment MED2002 and trials for pain relief products TPR100 and TIB200. There was £2.9min the bank at the end of June 2016. Henderson will maintain its stake in Futura at just below 20%. The CSD500 condom has received European approvals for an extended shelf life of 18 months for the products manufactured in India. The European supplier has applied for the same shelf life extension.
Arian Solver Corporation (ACQ) has extended the exclusivity period for the Notche Buena gold silver tailings project in Mexico until 27 December. Recovery levels have been poor even though gold grades have been commercial so more tests are required. Arian is assessing an advanced silver exploration project in the US.
Share (SHRE) has made another add-on acquisition of customer accounts and the existing business is trading in line with expectations. The purchase of a book of 8,000 customer accounts with £200m under administration should be completed in April 2017. The Share Centre has maintained its market share of a peer group of brokers revenues, excluding interest, at more than 10%. In the third quarter, revenues were 7% ahead, while customer assets have increased by one-third to £3.6bn. Dealing commission and fee income have both grown but interest income fell by more than one-third. Share is still expected to make a small underlying loss this year.
MAIN MARKET
Nasdaq OMX-quoted AB Traction has increased its stake in engineering and environmental consultancy Waterman Group (WTM) to 14.3%. AB Traction went above 3% in April 2013 and has been building up the stake since then. AB Traction (www.traction.se) is an active long-term investor which does not focus on any particular sector. The strategy is to grow NAV.
Andrew Hore
Quoted Micro 14 March 2016
ISDX
Wheelsure Holdings (WHLP), which develops locking nut devices for railway tracks, has been introduced to new potential customers in the US and Europe for its Tracksure products and it is undertaking a review of its resources and indentifying opportunities in other sectors. Tracksure already sells to the Norfolk Southern Railroad and potential US customers include major metro systems operators and a manufacturer of crossings. Tracksure is also in talks with a major European crossings manufacturer. At 0.9p (0.8p/1p) a share, Wheelsure is valued at £1.5m.
Diversified Oil & Gas (DOIL) has issued a further £3.6m of 8.5% unsecured bonds 2020, taking the total raised to £4.2m. Diversified has agreed to acquire around 1,000 oil and gas wells in the US for $4.8m, which is a 70% discount to estimated future cash flows. At current oil and gas prices, these wells should generate annual revenues of $6.5m and EBITDA of $1.5m. This will take the number of wells operated in the Appalachian Basin to more than 5,000.
Ecovista (EVTP) has raised £500,000 at 0.08p a share in order to finance further property investments. That is the market price of the shares. On 8 March, 1,274,998 shares were traded at 0.02p each and 15,000 at 0.075p each.
AIM
SQS Software Quality Systems (SQS) is growing strongly in the US but higher tax and minority interests charges held back earnings per share. That is why the dividend has been held steady at €0.13 a share. Revenues grew from €268.5m to €320.7m with organic growth on top of the additional contributions from acquisitions and pre-tax profit improved from €18.8m to €20.8m. Earnings per share were flat at €0.371 a share. Net debt was €6m at the end of 2015. Managed services continue to make a greater contribution and this should help profit to grow to €24.9m this year.
Outsourced point of service software developer Escher Group (ESCH) returned to profit in 2015 even though revenues were flat. This is because maintenance revenues grew by one-third and the figures are not dependent on one or two large licence agreements. Historically, international post offices have been the customer base but newer customers, such as central governments and banks are using the software. The shares are trading on around 20 times prospective earnings.
Private client broker Share (SHRE) has edged up its market share to 8% but 2015 revenues have slipped and it was only profitable because of the £1.7m gain on the disposal of part of its stake in the London Stock Exchange. The dividend has been increased from 0.62p a share to 0.74p a share, which is not covered by earnings and it may be difficult to cover even an unchanged dividend for this year. There may even be a reduction in the dividend this year, particularly as Share is investing in its systems – although the benefits will not show through until 2017. There was £11.7m in the bank at the end of 2015 and this provides some scope for maintaining the dividend.
Mercia Technologies (MERC) is paying up to £11m for Enterprise Ventures and the acquisition will be immediately earnings enhancing. Enterprise manages third party funds and will provide additional investment prospects in the technology sector and boost Mercia’s position in northern England. Enterprise also has an experienced investment team with a good track record of successful investment exits. One of Enterprise’s most successful investments is OptiBiotix (OPTI), which is developing treatments based on the human microbiome.
Abzena (ABZA) says that contract bookings for its expanded range of services have been strong. The Cambridge-based life sciences services provider says that last year’s acquisitions are being integrated and the manufacturing capacity in San Diego is about to be expanded. Abzena has signed a licence agreement for its ADC linker technology ThioBridge, which links antibodies and proteins to drugs. There is potential for licence fees and milestones of up to $150m as well as royalties on any products.
Avingtrans (AVG) has secured a £75m contract for the supply of rigid pipe assemblies, lasting ten years, with Rolls-Royce. The contract includes the engine programme for the Airbus A350, which should build up and reach maturity in 2019. Avingtrans recently completed the £3.5m acquisition of Rolls-Royce’s internal pipe manufacturing businesses. There have been no changes to forecasts with a profit recovery from £2.9m to £4.1m expected in the year to May 2016, and further improvement to £6m the following year.
Outplacement and recruitment services provider Penna Consulting (PNA) is recommending a 365p a share bid from Adecco. That values the company at £105.3m. This is the highest level the share price has been in the past decade and it is nearly treble the level it was one year ago. The shareholders will also receive a 4p a share interim dividend.
Outsourced customer leads and inquiries services provider Digital Globe Services Ltd (DGS) returned to profit in the first half and it is paying an interim dividend of 2.6 cents a share – the ex-dividend date is 17 March. There was no interim last year because of the reported loss but there was a final dividend of 4.1 cents a share. In the six months to December 2015, revenues were 29% ahead at $23.7m and an underlying loss of $405,000 became a profit of $1.41m. DGS did make a similar profit in the six months to June 2015. Net cash was $521,000 at the end of 2015, having paid dividends of $1.1m. To put this in perspective, DGS made a pre-tax profit of $2.9m in 2011-12, prior to joining AIM and it has a way to go to get back to the profit of $3.38m in 2013-14 even though revenues are much higher. That is why the share price has slumped from the placing price of 159p a share when the company joined AIM in February 2013. DGS is trying to diversify its client base.
Management is bidding 1.25p a share for quantity surveyor Baqus five years after it left AIM. That values the company at £1.25m, which is a small premium to the valuation of the business by Fairhurst Accountants. Seven directors are behind the management buyout. The share price slumped by 1.12p to 1.25p, when the AIM exit was announced in April 2011, which valued Baqus at £1.42m. Baqus argues that it has been difficult to attract and retain staff. Trading in the northern business is strong but London-based business has declined.
IP Group has sold its entire stake in Tracsis (TRCS). The disposal of shares in the transport optimisation software and services provider raised £13.1m for the IP-based businesses developer. The original investment was £400,000 and IP Group has received dividends of more than that figure.
MAIN MARKET
China-focused healthcare sector investor Cathay International Holdings Ltd (CTI) owns 50.56% of Hong Kong-listed Lansen Pharmaceutical Holdings, which has admitted that its profit fell last year after a decline in sales of a rebranded product and launch costs of new products. That is before additional one-off losses, including losses related to the Chinese regulatory authorities found that a subsidiary had produced sub-standard ginkgo tablets. Overall, there will be a substantial decline in profit. There is a potential insurance claim relating to flooding but how this will be handled in the accounts is yet to be decided. Lansen associate company Zhejiang Starry Pharmaceutical is expected to join the Shanghai Stock Exchange during March. Lansen’s stake is likely to be diluted from 21.5% to 16.1%.
ANDREW HORE
Quoted Micro 14 December 2015
ISDX
Netalogue Technologies (NTLP), which is an ecommerce platform developer, has announced its first dividend since 2012 when it paid 0.123p a share. The latest dividend of 0.246p a share and the shares go ex-dividend on 17 December. Netalogue had cash of £807,000 at the end of September 2015 and the dividend will cost around £120,000. Interim revenues fell from £689,000 to £552,000 and profit dipped from £165,000 to £38,000. Netalogue has withdrawn from the hosting business. At 3.95p (3.7p/4.2p) a share, Netalogue is valued at £1.9m.
Hydro Hotel Eastbourne (HYDP) is maintaining its annual dividend at 18p a share. A dividend of 6p a share will be paid on 14 January (ex-dividend 17 December) and the 12p dividend on 5 May (ex-dividend 21 April). A slight increase in profit is expected this year. At 750p (725p/775p) a share, the yield is 2.4%.
Titania Internet Ventures (TITP) is considering changing its investment strategy so that it can become involved in the renewable energy sector. The proposal involves entering into a relationship with a British wind turbine manufacturer. Titania had been involved in online penny auctions, but this business ceased more than two years ago, and before that it investigated a nursing home acquisition in Finland. The company was originally called Uranium Prospects. At 2.5p (2p/3p) a share, Titania is valued at £44,000.
Leni Gas Cuba (CUBA) had net assets of £4.1m at the end of September 2015. Since then, £200,000 was raised at 5p a share but that went towards paying the £326,000 cost of joining ISDX. The pro forma NAV is around 0.8p a share. David Lenigas has bought one million shares at 1.437p a share, taking his stake to 142 million shares (28.7%).
Lombard Capital (LCAP) has raised a further £122,500 at 3.5p a share via a share issue to one of its directors, Mark Jackson. His stake is 28.2%. At 4.5p (4p/5p) a share, Lombard is valued at £102,000.
AIM
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) services provider Strat Aero (AERO) is acquiring communications, flight control and hardware technology developer Aero Kinetics for $1.2m plus the taking on of working capital commitments. This will be financed by the issue of a $775,000 convertible promissory note with a 7.5% interest rate and a 6p a share conversion price, with the rest in cash. There will also be $80,000 0f legal fees and $150,000 will be required to finance an application for FAA Certification, which could be achieved in the middle of next year. There is potential contingent consideration, including warrants depending on certification and achievement of sales targets. This deal is part of the strategy to develop a vertically integrated business, which can offer a full solution to global clients. It also brings Aero Kinetics founder W Hulsey Smith to the group and he will take charge of the group’s technology operations. The acquired operations made a loss of $269,000 on revenues of $246,000 but this is under US accounting rules and all R&D is written off – more than $5m has been invested so far. Strat Aero is also raising £1.6m at 6.25p a share.
Moving into software has helped to offset the volatility of the hardware division but it will not prevent Vislink (VLK) reporting disappointing 2015 figures. The broadcast and surveillance technology supplier has found market conditions for the hardware business tough and new product launches have yet to generate the hoped-for sales. Expected full year revenues will be in the range of £54m-£58m. The company’s debt facility has been increased from £10m to £15m because late hardware sales will increase debtors. Net debt is expected to be £5.8m at the end of 2015. The 2015 profit could be as low as £4.2m, down from £7.1m. There could be a partial profit recovery to £6.3m in 2016 – helped by cost savings. Standard Life trimmed its stake to 4.6%.
Begbies Traynor (BEG) is expanding its property services business in order to offset the weakness of its core corporate insolvency business. In the six months to October 2015, revenues improved from £20.8m to £25.5m, while pre-tax profit rose from £2m to £2.5m. That is after a contribution from property of £6.11m in revenues and £1.16m in EBITDA, compared with nothing in the corresponding period. Corporate insolvency revenues and profit were lower. The interim dividend was unchanged at 0.6p a share. Net debt was £11.9m at the end of October 2015. A full year profit of £4.6m is forecast.
Surface coatings developer Hardide (HDD) had a tougher second half as oil and gas demand declined. In the year to September 2015, revenues were flat at £3m and Hardide fell from profit to loss. The majority of revenues were in the first half. This year it is likely to be the other way round. The new facility in Virginia should be open soon. An £800,000 loss is forecast for this year and a much smaller loss expected next year. There was £2.33m in the bank at the end of September 2015, which provides enough headroom on current expectations.
Snoozebox (ZZZ) is raising £5m at a hefty discount to the market price. The placing price is 6p – a 28.2% discount. The cash is required for the 2016 events season plus the evaluation of other opportunities. Snoozebox has already said that it has established a partnership with Dutco in the Gulf region. An EBITDA loss of £5m is forecast for 2015. Further cash will be required to take advantage of growth opportunities.
Investment group Cathexis has taken advantage of the recent weak trading statement by construction and fit-out company ISG (ISG) and bid 143p a share. ISG believes that this unsolicited offer is too low. The bid values ISG at £70.8m. US=owned Cathexis has been an investor since 2012, when the share price was below the bid level, and it made a bid approach in June. It currently owns 29.6%. The current year profit forecast for ISG had been slashed from £17m to £11m. The bid is at two-fifths of the share price 12 months ago.
Educational services provider Wey Education (WEY) made its move from ISDX to AIM on Friday and it raised £1.75m at 3.5p a share. Wey is capitalised at £3.29m.
Retail stockbroker Share (SHRE) is taking on up to 3,000 nominee share dealing accounts from Barclays, which is exiting the services. The accounts will be transferred by the end of February 2016. Share previously took on nearly 8,000 certificated dealing customers from Barclays.
MAIN MARKET
Property services provider Waterman (WTM) has set a 6% target for its operating margin by 2019. Waterman’s business is predominantly in the UK and both the property and infrastructure sectors are strong. Sanlam forecasts a rise in profit from £2.7m to £3.7m in 2015-16. If Waterman can achieve its margin target then pre-tax profit could be around £6m in 2018-19. A dividend of 2.8p a share is forecast for this year.
Bluebird Merchant Ventures Ltd, which plans to join the standard list,has a copper concentrate trading business combined with a stake in a potential gold mining project. The former can generate cash for investment in the mining project and other projects in the Philippines. Bluebird’s management lives in the Philippines so it has local knowledge. Bluebird’s trading operation is taking advantage of the difference between the price of copper concentrate in the Philippines and the international price. So far, 18MT has been shipped and once Bluebird is shipping 100MT /month then it should be generating enough cash to cover its corporate overheads. The plan is to increase monthly shipments to 500MT/month, which would provide a sizeable surplus of cash to invest in other ventures. This includes other commodity trading opportunities as well as mining projects that are near to production or have been in production in the past and can be reopened. The potential gold mine will cost $15m to bring into production. It will take around 18 months to construct the mine once the necessary permissions are obtained from the authorities. At a gold price of $1,160/ounce, the NPV of the project would be around $13m. That is based on production of 100,000 ounces over five years.
Challenger Acquisitions (CHAL) has finally completed its deal to acquire the businesses of Starneth, which develops observation wheels, and been readmitted to the standard list. AIM-quoted Teathers has sold its stake for an average price of 50.3p a share, raising nearly £72,000 – a gain of £21,000. The Challenger share price ended the week at 41p.
ANDREW HORE
Latest edition of AIM Journal, including why AIM volumes are likely to decline and Purplebricks flotation, available here.