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Ian Pollard – Clarkson #CKN belatedly admits problems

Clarkson CKN expects both first half and full year profits to be materially below those of last year after the first  quarters financial performance fell below the boards expectations. Blame is put on a challenging environment in shipping and offshore capital markets, which caused transactions to be put back, lower freight rates hit the tanker market, and the impact of the lower dollar which is the main currency used by the groups banking and and broking businesses.

It seems unbelievable that only six weeks agree, the company was so full of confidence for the future that it increased its final dividend by 12% after a strong performance in the year to 31st December and following early signs of recovery in shipping markets. On that very same day, the 12th March the chairman proclaimed that it was well positioned for the future and there were early signs of recovery in the shipping market. Does the Board really expect shareholders to believe that two thirds of the way through the first quarter there was not the slightest sign that the company had been hit by serious problems, the disclosure of which which are more than likely to send the  share price into a nose dive when markets open this morning.

It actually opens today’s update with the startling confession that during the first quarter it faced ‘certain headwinds’ .Explanations are called for as to why shareholders and markets have been kept in such ignorance.

Rotork ROR Order intake rose by 27% on an organic constant currency basis during the quarter to the 1st April and the order book ended the quarter, 18.6% higher than it started it. The increase was experienced across all divisions and revenues for the full year are now expected to show mid to high singe digit growth.

Morgan Advanced Materials MGAM anticipates that full year headline profit margins will be slightly ahead of last year and also announces its departure from the Composite and Defence Systems business.

Lok’n Store Group LOK Group like for like revenue rose by 8.3% in the half year to the 31st January leading to a rise of 21.3% in adjusted profit before tax. The interim dividend is to be increased by 11% to 3p per share. The company is expected to continue to grow strongly and positive momentum has continued into the second half.

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Taylor Wimpey Still Hiking Selling Prices

Taylor Wimpey (TW.) enjoyed another record year in 2015. Despite imposing a whacking rise of 8% in average selling prices it sold 13,219 homes. It is pleased to note that the housing market has continued to strengthen in 2016 enabling it to impose even more price growth.

Just Eat (JE.) produced continuing strong global growth in 2015 with revenue up by 58%, underlying EBITDA by 83% and adjusted earnings per share by 57%. The strong trading has continued into 2016 and this years revenue is now expected to show a rise of some 40%

Ashtead (AHT) Whilst quarter 3 was another strong quarter, well up on a year ago, it was down on the previous 2 quarters. Profit before tax for the three months to t he end of January rose 16% and earnings per share 18%. For the first nine months of the year however, the figures were 19% and 22%. encouraging growth opportunities are seen for 2016.

Rotork (ROR) continues to be hit by challenging markets and weak oil prices. The shares have continued to slide since last May when they stood at 288p., to yesterdays 159.5p. Full year profit before tax has fallen by 27.8% on revenue down by 8.1% and basic earnings per share are down by 27.7%. The company claims that it is well placed to make progress over the medium to long term, which presumably means that the short term looks reasonably bleak.

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Daily Actions – UK Main & AIM markets 26022016

IntellisysLogoDaily Actions is a daily summary analysis of changes in short term actions from our Daily Recs – AIM and Daily Recs Main markets reports. This report is typically distributed before the open of trading in London.

AIM Market

ST Rec. changed
From To
Basic Resources    
Centamin Sell Neutral
Jubilee Platinum Buy Neutral
Uru Metals Buy Neutral
Regency Mines Buy Neutral
Paternoster Resources Neutral Buy
Chemicals    
Byotrol Buy Neutral
Construction    
Michelmersh Brick Holdings Neutral Buy
Financial Services    
ADVFN Buy Strong Buy
Tengri Resources Neutral Buy
Polar Capital Holdings Neutral Buy
Food & Beverage    
PureCircle Neutral Buy
Health Care    
Abcam Neutral Sell
Epistem Holdings Neutral Buy
Omega Diagnostics Group Neutral Buy
Industrial Good & Services    
Cap-XX Buy Neutral
Oil & Gas – Explorers    
Independent Resources Neutral Buy
Retail    
Asos Buy Neutral
Technology    
IQE Buy Neutral
Pennant International Group Buy Neutral
Telecommunications    
Alternative Networks Neutral Buy
Utilities    
OPG Power Ventures Neutral Buy

 

 


 

Main Market

ST Rec. changed
From To
Smiths Group Buy Neutral
Banks    
Barclays Buy Neutral
HSBC Buy Neutral
Heavy Construction    
Balfour Beatty Neutral Sell
Engineering & Machinery    
Halma Sell Neutral
Rotork Neutral Buy
Health    
Smith & Nephew Neutral Sell
Media & Entertainment    
Pearson Buy Neutral
Photo-Me International Neutral Sell
St. Ives Sell Neutral
UBM Neutral Sell
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology    
Dechra Pharmaceuticals Sell Neutral
Speciality & Other Finance    
Aberdeen Asset Management Buy Neutral
Charles Stanley Group Buy Neutral
Support Services    
Aggreko Buy Neutral
AMEC Foster Wheeler Buy Neutral
Bunzl Sell Neutral
Dignity Sell Neutral

 

RISK WARNING

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited (‘Intellisys’) does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency, fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. You agree to abide fully with Intellisys’ Term & Conditions, which are available to www.intellisys.uk.com

 

The full reports are available from Intellisys Intelligent Analysis website (www.intellisys.uk.com) by clicking on the ‘Research’ tab.

 

DISCLAIMER: Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited has prepared this report. Intellisys (“Intellisys”) is the trading name of Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited. Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited is a provider of financial research reports that indicate the possible value of quoted company shares. The information contained within any and all of Intellisys’ reports are designed to present an objective assessment of the possible value or relative value of a company and/or an actuarial sector or stock market index. Intellisys utilises as extensive as possible range of valuation tools and proprietary systems to derive its outputs. The base data for the models are derived from sources believed to be accurate but Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or reliability of the source data or its models and proprietary systems. Subscribers, and casual readers, should not rely upon the Intellisys’ research outputs when forming specific investment decisions but should seek advice specific to their situation and investment requirements from a person authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000, before entering into any investment agreement.Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited has used reasonable care and skill in compiling the content of this report. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is given by any person as to the accuracy or completeness or accuracy of the information and no responsibility or liability is accepted to the accuracy or sufficiency of any of the information, for any errors, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise. In no event will Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited, Intellisys or any of its officers, employees or agents be liable to any other party for any direct, indirect, special or other consequential damages arising from the use of this report.The Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys reports are not directed to any person in any jurisdiction where (by reason of that person’s nationality, residence or otherwise) the publication or availability of the Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys information may be prohibited. Persons in respect of whom such prohibitions apply must not access the Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys reports. Neither this document, nor any copy in whatever form of media, may be taken or transmitted into the United States, Canada, Australia, Ireland, South Africa or Japan or into any jurisdiction where it would be unlawful to do so. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of relevant local securities laws. Recipients of Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys reports outside the UK are not covered by the rules and regulations made for the protection of investors in the UK.

Any user distributing information taken from any Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited or Intellisys report and/or the Intellisys website, in whatever form, to any other person, agrees to attach a copy of this Disclaimer and the Terms and Conditions of Use pages and obtain the agreement of such other person to comply with the terms set forth.

Intellisys’ published reports are published for information purposes and only available to market counterparties, high net-worth and sophisticated individual investors.

No Intellisys report constitutes an offer or invitation to trade, sell, purchase or acquire any shares or other financial instruments in any company or any interest therein, nor shall it form the basis of any contract entered into for the sale of shares or any other financial instrument in any company.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited believes that the information within each and any of its reports to be correct, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is given by any person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and no responsibility or liability is accepted for the accuracy or sufficiency of any of the information, for any errors, omissions or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited (including its Directors, employees and representatives) or a connected person may have positions in or options or other financial instruments on any of the securities mentioned within a report, and may buy, sell or offer to purchase or sell such securities from time to time, subject to restrictions imposed by internal rules.

Subscribers, and casual reader, are reminded that the value of any financial instrument may go up or down and that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited is not registered with or regulated by any financial regulatory authority and does not offer, provide or purport to provide or offer investment advice. Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited can be contacted at Woodfield Cottage, The Street, Mortimer, Berkshire, United Kingdom RG7 3DW.

 

Daily Actions – UK Main & AIM markets 03022016

IntellisysLogoDaily Actions is a daily summary analysis of changes in short term actions from our Daily Recs – AIM and Daily Recs Main markets reports. This report is typically distributed before the open of trading in London.

AIM Market

ST Rec. changed
From To
Banks & Investment Banks
London Capital Group Holding Neutral Sell
Basic Resources
Amur Minerals Corporation Buy Neutral
Bezant Resources Neutral Buy
Rose Petroleum Neutral Buy
Zincox Resources Buy Neutral
Paternoster Resources Buy Neutral
Chemicals
Inspiration Healthcare Group Neutral Buy
Financial Services
Amphion Innovations Neutral Buy
Fletcher King Neutral Buy
Health Care
Abcam Neutral Sell
Verona Pharma Neutral Buy
Industrial Good & Services
Restore Neutral Sell
Oil & Gas – Producers
PetroCeltic International Neutral Buy
President Petroleum Neutral Buy
Regal Petroleum Buy Neutral
Retail
CVS Group Neutral Sell
Technology
Indigovision Group Buy Neutral
Nasstar Neutral Buy
Travel & Leisure
GVC Holdings Neutral Sell
Utilities
Modern Water Buy Neutral

 

Main Market

ST Rec. changed
From To
Banks
HSBC Neutral Buy
Beverages
Britvic Sell Neutral
Engineering & Machinery
IMI Neutral Buy
Morgan Advanced Material Neutral Buy
Rotork Neutral Buy
Weir Group Neutral Buy
Food Producers & Processors
Dairy Crest Neutral Sell
Unilever (UK) Neutral Sell
General Retail
JD Sports Fashion Neutral Sell
Information Technology & Hardware
Filtronic Neutral Sell
Insurance
Admiral Group Neutral Sell
Leisure & Hotels
Mitchells & Butlers Neutral Buy
Media & Entertainment
St. Ives Neutral Sell
WPP Sell Neutral
Personal Care & Household Products
Reckitt Benckiser Group Neutral Sell
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology
AstraZeneca Neutral Sell
Oxford Biomedica Buy Neutral
Real Estate – REIT
SEGRO Sell Neutral
Real Estate – REIS
CLS Holdings Buy Neutral
Support Services
Aggreko Neutral Buy
Bunzl Neutral Sell
Compass Group Neutral Sell
Berendsen Neutral Sell
Michael Page International Neutral Buy
RPS Group Neutral Buy
Telecommunication Services
BT Group Neutral Sell
Transport
Northgate Buy Neutral

 

RISK WARNING

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited (‘Intellisys’) does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency, fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. You agree to abide fully with Intellisys’ Term & Conditions, which are available to www.intellisys.uk.com

 

The full reports are available from Intellisys Intelligent Analysis website (www.intellisys.uk.com) by clicking on the ‘Research’ tab.

 

 

DISCLAIMER: Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited has prepared this report. Intellisys (“Intellisys”) is the trading name of Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited. Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited is a provider of financial research reports that indicate the possible value of quoted company shares. The information contained within any and all of Intellisys’ reports are designed to present an objective assessment of the possible value or relative value of a company and/or an actuarial sector or stock market index. Intellisys utilises as extensive as possible range of valuation tools and proprietary systems to derive its outputs. The base data for the models are derived from sources believed to be accurate but Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or reliability of the source data or its models and proprietary systems. Subscribers, and casual readers, should not rely upon the Intellisys’ research outputs when forming specific investment decisions but should seek advice specific to their situation and investment requirements from a person authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000, before entering into any investment agreement.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited has used reasonable care and skill in compiling the content of this report. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is given by any person as to the accuracy or completeness or accuracy of the information and no responsibility or liability is accepted to the accuracy or sufficiency of any of the information, for any errors, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise. In no event will Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited, Intellisys or any of its officers, employees or agents be liable to any other party for any direct, indirect, special or other consequential damages arising from the use of this report.

The Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys reports are not directed to any person in any jurisdiction where (by reason of that person’s nationality, residence or otherwise) the publication or availability of the Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys information may be prohibited. Persons in respect of whom such prohibitions apply must not access the Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys reports. Neither this document, nor any copy in whatever form of media, may be taken or transmitted into the United States, Canada, Australia, Ireland, South Africa or Japan or into any jurisdiction where it would be unlawful to do so. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of relevant local securities laws. Recipients of Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys reports outside the UK are not covered by the rules and regulations made for the protection of investors in the UK.

Any user distributing information taken from any Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited or Intellisys report and/or the Intellisys website, in whatever form, to any other person, agrees to attach a copy of this Disclaimer and the Terms and Conditions of Use pages and obtain the agreement of such other person to comply with the terms set forth.

Intellisys’ published reports are published for information purposes and only available to market counterparties, high net-worth and sophisticated individual investors.

No Intellisys report constitutes an offer or invitation to trade, sell, purchase or acquire any shares or other financial instruments in any company or any interest therein, nor shall it form the basis of any contract entered into for the sale of shares or any other financial instrument in any company.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited believes that the information within each and any of its reports to be correct, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is given by any person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and no responsibility or liability is accepted for the accuracy or sufficiency of any of the information, for any errors, omissions or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited (including its Directors, employees and representatives) or a connected person may have positions in or options or other financial instruments on any of the securities mentioned within a report, and may buy, sell or offer to purchase or sell such securities from time to time, subject to restrictions imposed by internal rules.

Subscribers, and casual reader, are reminded that the value of any financial instrument may go up or down and that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited is not registered with or regulated by any financial regulatory authority and does not offer, provide or purport to provide or offer investment advice. Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited can be contacted at Woodfield Cottage, The Street, Mortimer, Berkshire, United Kingdom RG7 3DW.

 

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