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#SVML Sovereign Metals Limited – December 2022 Quarterly Report
31st January 2023 / Leave a comment
Kasiya Rutile Project PFS continues to progress on schedule
· Sovereign is well advanced with the Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) for the Kasiya Rutile Project (Kasiya), an industry-leading major source of critical raw materials from Malawi.
· The PFS will build on the Expanded Scoping Study (ESS) which confirmed Kasiya as potentially one of the world’s largest and potentially lowest cost producers of natural rutile and natural graphite with a carbon-footprint substantially lower than other current and planned producers.
· The PFS is on track to be completed in H1 2023 with all major works packages well progressed.
Resource infill drilling completed
· The Company completed a 4,660 metre, 191-hole deeper air-core (AC) and 2,206 metre, 247-hole push tube (PT) mineral resource infill drilling program to upgrade the Kasiya Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE), with the update targeted for Q1 2023.
· The drilling program confirmed consistency of high-grade rutile and graphite mineralisation at depth.
· Infill core PT drilling of numerous Inferred category pits and potential pit extensions is expected to add new blocks of Indicated material.
Offtake MoU with Chemours, one of the world’s largest’ s producers of high-quality titanium dioxide pigment
· In November 2022, a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) (non-binding) was signed for supply of 20,000 tonnes of natural rutile per annum from Kasiya to US-based Chemours, one of the world’s largest producers of high-quality titanium dioxide pigments.
Sovereign to Demerge Standalone Graphite Projects
· Sovereign plans to demerge its standalone Graphite Projects (being the Nanzeka, Malingunde, Duwi and Mabuwa Projects) into a 100%-owned subsidiary, NGX Limited, then do an in-specie distribution.
· The Demerger seeks to unlock the value of the Graphite Projects for Sovereign shareholders and separate its Kasiya Rutile Project and its standalone Graphite Projects into two distinct companies.
ENQUIRIES
Dr Julian Stephens (Perth) +61(8) 9322 6322 |
Sam Cordin (Perth) |
Sapan Ghai (London) |
Nominated Adviser on AIM |
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RFC Ambrian |
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Bhavesh Patel / Andrew Thomson |
+44 20 3440 6800 |
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Joint Brokers |
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Berenberg |
+44 20 3207 7800 |
Matthew Armitt |
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Jennifer Lee |
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Optiva Securities |
+44 20 3137 1902 |
Daniel Ingram |
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Mariela Jaho |
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Christian Dennis |
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KASIYA – THE LARGEST RUTILE DEPOSIT IN THE WORLD
Kasiya, located in central Malawi, is the largest natural rutile deposit and one of the largest flake graphite deposits in the world. Sovereign is aiming to develop an environmentally and sustainable operation to supply highly sought-after natural rutile and graphite to global markets.
Sovereign is completing a PFS which will build on the on the ESS, released in June 2022, with targeted completion in H1 2023.
The ESS confirmed Kasiya as potentially one of the world’s largest and lowest cost producers of natural rutile and natural graphite with a carbon-footprint substantially lower than current alternatives. The ESS showed outstanding results including:
· a two-stage development (stage 2 self-funded) with full production at 24Mtpa throughput producing 265kt rutile and 170kt graphite per annum over a 25 year mine life
· exceptional economics including a post-tax NPV8 of US$1,537m and post-tax IRR of 36%
· a large-scale operation with a low-cost profile resulting from the deposit’s near surface nature, high-grade, conventional processing flowsheet, and excellent existing infrastructure
· conservative assumptions applied with long-term prices used discounted against current spot prices
PFS ACTIVITIES
The PFS for Kasiya continued during the quarter with all major work programs progressing well. The study remains on track for a targeted completion in H1 2023. A summary of key areas progressed during the quarter is as follows:
Mining
Fraser Alexander have progressed the mechanical engineering and design of the mining plan with the defined concept of hydro-mining. The Company also completed a trade-off study examining hydro-mining vs dozer mining options to validate the selected mining method.
Pumping and Rheology
The Company commenced a comprehensive testwork program with Paterson and Cooke to generate mineral properties information and pumping and rheology data to feed into their pumping and piping design and layout work program.
Metallurgy
A bulk metallurgical program focused on the first years of mining is well advanced with the program designed to conclude the process design and flowsheet. Additional variability tests are planned, with all samples extracted now in Perth for processing.
An initial graphite co-product testwork program was also completed earlier in the quarter with the sizing and chemical characteristics matching the product specifications used in the ESS.
Tailings and Rehabilitation
The Project’s objective is to minimise the operation’s footprint via progressive rehabilitation, a concept common across mineral sands operations. The Company has defined a comprehensive testwork program with numerous work streams underway designed and supervised by global experts from Australia and South Africa.
In addition to the tailings testwork the post-mining rehabilitation study continues. This work program is led by Agreenco, a South African based consulting firm with significant expertise in rehabilitation and revegetation.
KASIYA RESOURCE INFILL DRILLING
A 4,660 metre, 191-hole AC and 2,206 metre, 247-hole PT drilling program at the Kasiya rutile deposit has been completed. Drilling was conducted on a nominal 200m x 200m grid spacing targeting upgrading of mineralisation into the Indicated category which could convert to Probable Reserves as part of the forthcoming PFS.
The AC results confirmed that rutile mineralisation is continuous in many pit areas from surface down to the top of saprock, normally between 20m and 30m from surface.
RUTILE OFFTAKE
In November 2022, Sovereign entered into a non-binding MOU with The Chemours Company (Chemours) for the potential supply of 20,000 tonnes per annum of natural rutile from Kasiya.
The MOU covers the potential supply of 20,000 tonnes per annum of natural rutile at Stage 1 nameplate capacity and an option to take additional product (tonnage to be agreed) when Kasiya reaches Stage 2 nameplate capacity (refer to announcement dated 16 June 2022 entitled ‘Kasiya Expanded Scoping Study Results‘). Further, volumes may be varied up or down by mutual agreement and pricing will reference market prices of the day (both to be included in the definitive agreement).
The MOU is non-exclusive and non-binding and remains subject to negotiation and execution of the definitive agreement. The MOU will expire two years from the execution date but can be extended by agreement by both parties should a definitive agreement not have been reached by that time.
Chemours is a leading provider of performance chemicals that are key inputs in end-products and processes across a variety of industries. Chemours operates 29 manufacturing sites serving approximately 3,200 customers in approximately 120 countries.
Its Titanium Technologies segment is one of the world’s largest producers of high-quality titanium dioxide (TiO2) pigment and aspires to be the most sustainable TiO2 enterprise in the world. Using its proprietary chloride technology-pioneered in 1931 and improving ever since-Chemours provides innovative TiO2 solutions for coatings, plastics, and laminates.
It operates four TiO2 pigment production facilities: two in the United States, one in Mexico, and one in Taiwan totalling TiO2 pigment nameplate capacity of 1.25 million tonnes per year. In the year ended 31 December 2021, Chemours’ Titanium Technologies segment reported net sales of US$3.4 Billion.
The Company is continuing product marketing with further offtake MOUs expected to be executed in the near-term.
COMMUNITY INITIATIVES
During the quarter, Sovereign completed seven community boreholes and installation of hand pumps for provision of fresh water to a number of villages.
SOVEREIGN TO DEMERGE STANDALONE GRAPHITE PROJECTS
In December 2022, Sovereign announced that it intends to undertake a demerger (Demerger) whereby Sovereign’s Malawian graphite projects, being the Nanzeka Project, Malingunde Project, Duwi Project and Mabuwa Project (Graphite Projects), are to be demerged through NGX Limited (NGX), a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company. This will allow Sovereign to focus on the development of the Kasiya while unlocking value in its Graphite Projects for shareholders.
The Demerger allows Sovereign and the existing management team to focus on its flagship Kasiya Rutile Project, the largest natural rutile deposit in the world, with Sovereign retaining all graphite co-product from Kasiya.
Sovereign proposes, subject to shareholder approval, to demerge the Graphite Projects via a spin-out of NGX and in-specie distribution of NGX fully paid ordinary shares (NGX Shares) to Sovereign shareholders by issuing one (1) NGX Share for every eleven (11) Sovereign shares (SVM Shares) held (Distribution), allowing Sovereign shareholders to retain exposure to the value and upside of the Graphite Projects.
Upon completion of the Demerger, NGX intends to seek admission to the official list of the ASX. NGX will undertake a capital raising to satisfy the ASX admission requirements.
Sovereign shareholders will have the opportunity to retain further exposure to the value and upside of the Graphite Projects as the NGX IPO is expected to comprise a priority offer to existing shareholders on the basis of one (1) new NGX Share for every one (1) NGX Share received pursuant to the Demerger to raise approximately $8,600,000 and a general offer of $1,000,000 to assist with satisfying ASX spread requirements. This will ensure there is no cash outflow from Sovereign to NGX as part of the Demerger, other than applicable Sovereign expenses to effect the Demerger. The terms of the NGX IPO are yet to be finalised however.
NGX will be the offeror of the NGX Shares under the IPO. A prospectus will be issued by NGX for the IPO capital raising which will be made available when the NGX Shares are offered. Anyone wishing to acquire NGX Shares as part of the IPO offer will need to complete the application form that will accompany the prospectus.
A Notice of Meeting for the Demerger and Distribution will be sent to shareholders with the meeting planned to take place early in 2023.
Rationale for Demerger
· The Demerger allows the Company to better focus its efforts and resources on Kasiya and other primary rutile discoveries.
· The Demerger will provide shareholders with an interest in two companies – Sovereign and NGX. The Board believes a separate entity with a separate management team focused on the Graphite Projects presents a better prospect of delivering value to Sovereign shareholders.
· Shareholders may elect to retain exposure to either one or both companies as dictated by their investment preferences and objectives:
· Shareholders will retain an interest in NGX through the Distribution and thereby have an opportunity to benefit from the potential development of the Graphite Projects; and
· All Shareholders will retain their interest in the capital of Sovereign and exposure to Kasiya.
· The Board sees considerable potential in the Graphite Projects that is not recognised by the market and, therefore, a dedicated, separately funded vehicle may realise appropriate value for shareholders.
· Future capital raisings are expected to be more readily achieved by each individual entity as the focus of the funding will be on their specific projects. In addition, it is expected to provide greater flexibility to both Sovereign and NGX to attract strategic investors.
· NGX will have a dedicated board and management team to focus on the development of the Graphite Projects.
· After a full and proper assessment of all available information, the Directors believe that the Demerger is in the best interests of Sovereign shareholders.
Indicative Timetable of the Demerger
An indicative timetable for the Demerger is provided below.
Event |
Indicative Date |
General Meeting |
Mid-March 2023 |
Effective date of Distribution |
Mid-March 2023 |
Record Date |
Late March 2023 |
Date for Distribution to Shareholders |
Late March 2023 |
Note: The dates shown in the table above are indicative only and may vary subject to the Corporations Act, the ASX Listing Rules, and other applicable laws.
For further information and additional detail please refer to ASX Announcement dated 7 December 2022 entitled
‘Sovereign to Demerge Standalone Graphite Projects‘
RELATED PARTY PAYMENTS
During the quarter ended 31 December 2022, the Company made payments of ($242,000) to related parties and their associates. These payments relate to existing remuneration arrangements (executive salaries, director fees, superannuation and bonuses of $125,000), business development services ($30,000) and provision of serviced office facilities, company secretarial services and administration services ($87,000).
MINING EXPLORATION EXPENDITURES
During the quarter, the Company made the following payments in relation to mining exploration activities:
Activity |
A$’000 |
Drilling |
(548) |
Assaying and Metallurgical Test-work |
(633) |
Studies and Reserve/Resource Estimation |
(890) |
Malawi Operations – Site Office, Personnel, Field Supplies, Equipment, Vehicles and Travel |
(754) |
Total as reported in Appendix 5B |
(2,825) |
There were no mining or production activities and expenses incurred during the quarter ended 31 December 2022.
Competent Person Statement
The information in this announcement that relates to the Mineral Resource Estimate is extracted from the announcement dated 5 April 2022. The announcement is available to view on www.sovereignmetals.com.au. Sovereign confirms that a) it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the announcement; b) all material assumptions included in the announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed; and c) the form and context in which the relevant Competent Persons’ findings are presented in this report have not been materially changed from the announcement.
Table 1: Kasiya Mineral Resource Estimate at 0.7% Rutile Cut-off |
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Mineral Resource Category |
Material Tonnes (millions) |
Rutile |
Rutile Tonnes (millions) |
Total Contained Graphite (TGC) |
TGC Tonnes (millions) |
RutEq. Grade* |
Indicated |
662 |
1.05% |
6.9 |
1.43% |
9.5 |
1.76% |
Inferred |
1,113 |
0.99% |
11.0 |
1.26% |
14.0 |
1.61% |
Total |
1,775 |
1.01% |
18.0 |
1.32% |
23.4 |
1.67% |
* RutEq. Formula: Rutile Grade x Recovery (98%) x Rutile Price (US$1,308/t) + Graphite Grade x Recovery (62%) x Graphite Price (US$1,085/t) / Rutile Price (US$1,308/t). All assumptions are taken from this Study ** Any minor summation inconsistencies are due to rounding
The information in this announcement that relates to Production Targets, Processing, Infrastructure and Capital and Operating Costs, is extracted from the announcement dated 16 June 2022 entitled ‘Kasiya Expanded Scoping Study Results’. Sovereign confirms that: a) it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the announcement; b) all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the Production Target, and related forecast financial information derived from the Production Target included in the Announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed; and c) the form and context in which the relevant Competent Persons’ findings are presented in this presentation have not been materially modified from the Announcement.
The information in this announcement that relates to the Metallurgy is extracted from the announcement dated 7 December 2021. The announcement is available to view on www.sovereignmetals.com.au. Sovereign confirms that a) it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the announcement; b) all material assumptions included in the announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed; and c) the form and context in which the relevant Competent Persons’ findings are presented in this report have not been materially changed from the announcement.
The information in this announcement that relates to the Exploration Results is extracted from the announcement dated 8 September 2022, 26 October 2022 and 30 January 2023. The announcements are available to view on www.sovereignmetals.com.au. Sovereign confirms that a) it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the announcements; b) all material assumptions included in the announcements continue to apply and have not materially changed; and c) the form and context in which the relevant Competent Persons’ findings are presented in this report have not been materially changed from the announcements.
Forward Looking Statement
This release may include forward-looking statements, which may be identified by words such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “believes”, “projects”, “plans”, and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements are based on Sovereign’s expectations and beliefs concerning future events. Forward looking statements are necessarily subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of Sovereign, which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. There can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be correct. Sovereign makes no undertaking to subsequently update or revise the forward-looking statements made in this release, to reflect the circumstances or events after the date of that release.
Authorisation Statement
To view this announcement in full, please refer to http://www.investi.com.au/api/announcements/svm/969e699e-3cd.pdf
APPENDIX 1: SUMMARY OF MINING TENEMENTS
As at 31 December 2022, the Company had an interest in the following tenements:
Licence |
Holding Entity |
Interest |
Type |
Licence Renewal Date |
Expiry Term Date1 |
Licence Area (km2) |
Status |
Sovereign: |
|||||||
EL0609 |
MML |
100% |
Exploration |
25/09/2024 |
25/09/2028 |
440.5 |
Granted |
EL0582 |
SSL |
100% |
Exploration |
15/09/2023 |
15/09/2027 |
285.0 |
Granted |
EL0492 |
SSL |
100% |
Exploration |
29/01/2023 |
29/01/2025 |
935.4 |
Granted |
EL0528 |
SSL |
100% |
Exploration |
27/11/2023 |
27/11/2025 |
16.2 |
Granted |
EL0545 |
SSL |
100% |
Exploration |
12/05/2024 |
12/05/2026 |
53.2 |
Granted |
EL0561 |
SSL |
100% |
Exploration |
15/09/2023 |
15/09/2027 |
124.0 |
Granted |
NGX: |
|||||||
EL0372 |
SSL3 |
100% |
Exploration |
N/A |
13/03/20222 |
729.2 |
Granted |
RL0012 |
NGX |
100% |
Retention |
N/A |
26/07/2026 |
6.0 |
Granted |
RL0032 |
SSL3 |
100% |
Retention |
N/A |
4/10/2027 |
24.64 |
Granted |
Notes:
SSL: Sovereign Services Limited, MML: McCourt Mining Limited & NGX Exploration Limited
1 An exploration licence (EL) covering a preliminary period in accordance with the Malawi Mines and Minerals Act (No 8. Of 2019) (Mines Act) is granted for a period not exceeding three (3) years. Thereafter two successive periods of renewal may be granted, but each must not exceed two (2) years. This means that an EL has a potential life span of seven (7) years. ELs that have come to the end of their term can be converted by the EL holder into a retention licence (RL) for a term of up to 5 years subject to meeting certain criteria.
2 Prior to expiry of EL0372, the Company applied for the grant of a mining licence (ML) over EL0372. Under the Mines Act, an EL term automatically extends until the ML application has been processed and/or granted. The ML has been granted subject to the approval of an ESIA for Malingunde.
3 Proposed to be transferred to NGX as part of the Demerger.
Appendix 5B
Mining exploration entity or oil and gas exploration entity
quarterly cash flow report
Name of entity |
||
Sovereign Metals Limited |
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ABN |
Quarter ended (“current quarter”) |
|
71 120 833 427 |
31 December 2022 |
Consolidated statement of cash flows |
Current quarter |
Year to date (6 months) |
|
1. |
Cash flows from operating activities |
– |
– |
1.1 |
Receipts from customers |
||
1.2 |
Payments for |
(2,825) |
(5,085) |
(a) exploration & evaluation |
|||
(b) development |
– |
– |
|
(c) production |
– |
– |
|
(d) staff costs |
(344) |
(874) |
|
(e) administration and corporate costs |
(475) |
(851) |
|
1.3 |
Dividends received (see note 3) |
– |
– |
1.4 |
Interest received |
80 |
151 |
1.5 |
Interest and other costs of finance paid |
– |
– |
1.6 |
Income taxes paid |
– |
– |
1.7 |
Government grants and tax incentives |
– |
– |
1.8 |
Other – Business Development |
(326) |
(497) |
1.9 |
Net cash from / (used in) operating activities |
(3,890) |
(7,156) |
2. |
Cash flows from investing activities |
– |
– |
2.1 |
Payments to acquire or for: |
||
(a) entities |
|||
(b) tenements |
– |
– |
|
(c) property, plant and equipment |
(23) |
(23) |
|
(d) exploration & evaluation |
– |
– |
|
(e) investments |
– |
– |
|
(f) other non-current assets |
– |
– |
|
2.2 |
Proceeds from the disposal of: |
– |
– |
(a) entities |
|||
(b) tenements |
– |
– |
|
(c) property, plant and equipment |
– |
– |
|
(d) investments |
– |
– |
|
(e) other non-current assets |
– |
– |
|
2.3 |
Cash flows from loans to other entities |
– |
– |
2.4 |
Dividends received (see note 3) |
– |
– |
2.5 |
Other (provide details if material) |
– |
– |
2.6 |
Net cash from / (used in) investing activities |
(23) |
(23) |
3. |
Cash flows from financing activities |
– |
– |
3.1 |
Proceeds from issues of equity securities (excluding convertible debt securities) |
||
3.2 |
Proceeds from issue of convertible debt securities |
– |
– |
3.3 |
Proceeds from exercise of options |
– |
– |
3.4 |
Transaction costs related to issues of equity securities or convertible debt securities |
(568) |
(601) |
3.5 |
Proceeds from borrowings |
– |
– |
3.6 |
Repayment of borrowings |
– |
– |
3.7 |
Transaction costs related to loans and borrowings |
– |
– |
3.8 |
Dividends paid |
– |
– |
3.9 |
Other (provide details if material) |
– |
– |
3.10 |
Net cash from / (used in) financing activities |
(568) |
(601) |
4. |
Net increase / (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents for the period |
||
4.1 |
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period |
15,587 |
18,894 |
4.2 |
Net cash from / (used in) operating activities (item 1.9 above) |
(3,890) |
(7,156) |
4.3 |
Net cash from / (used in) investing activities (item 2.6 above) |
(23) |
(23) |
4.4 |
Net cash from / (used in) financing activities (item 3.10 above) |
(568) |
(601) |
4.5 |
Effect of movement in exchange rates on cash held |
9 |
1 |
4.6 |
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
11,115 |
11,115 |
5. |
Reconciliation of cash and cash equivalents |
Current quarter |
Previous quarter |
5.1 |
Bank balances |
846 |
1,062 |
5.2 |
Call deposits |
10,269 |
14,525 |
5.3 |
Bank overdrafts |
– |
– |
5.4 |
Other (provide details) |
– |
– |
5.5 |
Cash and cash equivalents at end of quarter (should equal item 4.6 above) |
11,115 |
15,587 |
6. |
Payments to related parties of the entity and their associates |
Current quarter |
6.1 |
Aggregate amount of payments to related parties and their associates included in item 1 |
242 |
6.2 |
Aggregate amount of payments to related parties and their associates included in item 2 |
– |
Note: if any amounts are shown in items 6.1 or 6.2, your quarterly activity report must include a description of, and an explanation for, such payments. |
7. |
Financing facilities Add notes as necessary for an understanding of the sources of finance available to the entity. |
Total facility amount at quarter end |
Amount drawn at quarter end |
7.1 |
Loan facilities |
– |
– |
7.2 |
Credit standby arrangements |
– |
– |
7.3 |
Other (please specify) |
– |
– |
7.4 |
Total financing facilities |
– |
– |
|
|||
7.5 |
Unused financing facilities available at quarter end |
– |
|
7.6 |
Include in the box below a description of each facility above, including the lender, interest rate, maturity date and whether it is secured or unsecured. If any additional financing facilities have been entered into or are proposed to be entered into after quarter end, include a note providing details of those facilities as well. |
||
–
|
8. |
Estimated cash available for future operating activities |
$A’000 |
8.1 |
Net cash from / (used in) operating activities (item 1.9) |
(3,890) |
8.2 |
(Payments for exploration & evaluation classified as investing activities) (item 2.1(d)) |
– |
8.3 |
Total relevant outgoings (item 8.1 + item 8.2) |
(3,890) |
8.4 |
Cash and cash equivalents at quarter end (item 4.6) |
11,115 |
8.5 |
Unused finance facilities available at quarter end (item 7.5) |
– |
8.6 |
Total available funding (item 8.4 + item 8.5) |
11,115 |
8.7 |
Estimated quarters of funding available (item 8.6 divided by item 8.3) |
2.9 |
Note: if the entity has reported positive relevant outgoings (ie a net cash inflow) in item 8.3, answer item 8.7 as “N/A”. Otherwise, a figure for the estimated quarters of funding available must be included in item 8.7. |
||
8.8 |
If item 8.7 is less than 2 quarters, please provide answers to the following questions: |
|
8.8.1 Does the entity expect that it will continue to have the current level of net operating cash flows for the time being and, if not, why not? |
||
Answer: Not applicable |
||
8.8.2 Has the entity taken any steps, or does it propose to take any steps, to raise further cash to fund its operations and, if so, what are those steps and how likely does it believe that they will be successful? |
||
Answer: Not applicable | ||
8.8.3 Does the entity expect to be able to continue its operations and to meet its business objectives and, if so, on what basis? |
||
Answer: Not applicable |
||
Note: where item 8.7 is less than 2 quarters, all of questions 8.8.1, 8.8.2 and 8.8.3 above must be answered. |
#SVML Sovereign Metals – Spott Equity Research Report
4th March 2022 / Leave a comment
Today’s news that Sovereign has secured a 25ktpa (20% of total 122ktpa) premium priced offtake into the welding sector is a great positive as most rutile globally normally goes into pigment with a preference for >75µm material. Key here is that Sovereign’s rutile is among the coarsest globally with d50 of 118µm (~same as Rio / Tronox African ops and much larger than Australian developers), including 94% > 75um. With 28% <150µm, this is saleable into pigment but wouldn’t typically attract a premium—unlike today’s deal. Looking ahead, investors should see MRE coming close to doubling soon as Nsaru ‘next one’ sees maiden resource, followed by a scoping study update. Better still, Sovereign remains a massively high conviction ESG name here not the least given they have 80ktpa graphite byproduct to come. As such, we maintain our BUY rating and our A$1.40/sh PT based on a 0.5xNAV multiple for Kasiya. Our estimates for a fully-funded and fully-diluted NAV at first production of ~A$2.75/sh demonstrate the upside here. That this asset is so far ahead of not just low-value or politically difficult peers, as well as producing assets in Africa, adds a valuable M&A angle. The key to our investment thesis is that investors are exposed to resource growth while this is underway, starting with a 1H22 maiden Nsaru MRE and revised scoping study around mid year.
Premium pricing offtake to welding supply company secured for 25ktpa (20% of total 122ktpa)
Sovereign has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) for offtake of 25,000tpa of natural rutile (vs. high CO2 synthetic rutile converted from ilmenite by the likes of Rio) to Hascor International Group™, a globally leading distributor to the welding industry. Rutile for the welding industry typically attracts a premium to pigment sales. Sovereign notes bagged rutile’s sales are expected to be priced at a US$500- 600/tonne premium over the bulk market in 2022, leading price growth due to limited alternatives within the welding end-use sector.
Why we like Sovereign Metals
1. Existing 605Mt @ 0.98% rutile comes from just 49km2 of Kasiya
2. Kasiya drilling over 89km2 plus 40km2 at Nsaru points to >1Bt global potential
3. Pure rutile + graphite credits lowers CO2 and adds EV credits addressing ESG agenda
4. On hydropower, hydro mineable, on modern rail to deep-water port with allocation
5. PFS-level Malingunde graphite project adds diversification and second pillar to value
Catalysts
1. 1Q22: Nsaru MRE
2. Mid 2022: Expanded PEA to including Nsaru
3. 2022: Ore to pigment CO2 study
Research
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