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Quoted Micro 30 October 2023
AQUIS STOCK EXCHANGE
Natural language processing company Cykel AI (CYK) joined the Aquis Stock Exchange on Wednesday. It raised £1m at 3p/share and the shares ended the week at 10.25p. There was initially significant buying of the shares, but trading levels dwindled over the week so there was only one sale of 100,000 shares at 10p each on Friday.
Healthcare provider One Health Group (OHGR) generated 12% higher revenues of more than £11m in the first half. There was £3.6m in the bank at the end of September 2023. There is additional surgical capacity, and two new contracts were awarded in the first half. A new surgical hub could open in 2025. The second half is normally stronger.
Valereum (VLRM) says that US funding it secured in August is no longer available. The talks with the Gibraltar Financial Services Commission concerning the purchase of the Gibraltar Stock Exchange are dragging on. Richard Poulden, Jack Sun, Patrick Young and Alan Gravett have resigned from the board. James Formolli, who has links with Gibraltar, has been appointed chairman. Patrick Lyle Young has rejoined the board as chief executive. These changes may make it easier to gain regulatory clearance for the acquisition.
Gunsynd (GUN) investee company Omega Oil and Gas estimates maiden gross 2C contingent resources of 1.73 trillion cubic feet of gas in its area in Queensland’s Taroom Trough. The next phase of exploration includes a horizontal well. The $21m raised in August will finance this next stage of exploration.
Vulcan Industries (VULC) has sold 49.9% of Lithium battery storage project developer Forepower Lincoln (250) Ltd for £1.5m, which is payable on the sale of the project or on the fifth anniversary of the agreement. The buyer will loan £500,000 and this will be offset against the consideration when it is due. This will be drawn down as the project progresses.
Ananda Developments (ANA) made an interim loss of £990,000. There was cash of nearly £12,000 at the end of July 2023. Since the end of the period, operations at the cannabis cultivation facility were paused to reduce cash burn.
Cadence Minerals (KDNC) reported a reduction in loss from £5.05m to £1.95m. Net cash was £580,000 at the end of June 2023, while NAV was £19.5m.
Cooks Coffee (COOK) has appointed RSM as administrator to its Triple Two coffee shop franchise business. There are currently eleven stores, which are trading poorly. The Esquires chain is trading well and will not be affected.
SulNOx Group (SNOX) says that fuel savings of more than 5% have been verified for seagoing vessels with a two-stroke engine when fuel conditioner SulNOxEco. This will help to increase interest from shipping companies.
Arbuthnot Banking Group (ARBB) non-exec Jayne Almond has acquired 3,000 shares at 895p each and her husband bought 5,617 shares at 890p each.
AIM
After the market closed on Friday evening, SafeStyle (SFE) said that it intends to appoint administrators to three subsidiaries. Potential buyers of the replacement windows operations have withdrawn their interest and management already revealed it would not be able to raise additional finance. This means there is unlikely to be anything left for shareholders.
Fire Angel Safety Technology (FA.) has agreed a 7.4p/share bid from fire safety products manufacturer Siterwell Electronics, which already owns 17.5%. The share price has not been at that level for six months. The offer values FireAngel Safety Technology at £27.7m.
Mining investment company Starvest (SVE) plans to cancel the AIM quotation and commence a voluntary liquidation. This would involve the distribution of stakes in Greatland Gold (GGP) and Ariana Resources (AAU) to shareholders, while the other stakes will be sold. The share price improved by 77.8% to 8p, valuing Starvest at £4.7m. This is still a discount to the March 2023 NAV of £6.75m, although for one the Ariana Resources share price has fallen since then. Shareholder approval will be sought on 21 November and the AIM cancelation could happen on 29 November.
Northern Bear (NTBR) intends to launch a tender offer to buy up to five million shares (26.7% of share capital) at 62p each. The building services provider will ask for authorisation at a general meeting on 15 November and the tender will be funded by the company’s cash and an additional £1m of debt. This will be earnings enhancing. Some shareholders say they will not tender shares, which means that other shareholders can tender at least 35.6% of their holding. Shares have to be tendered by 22 November. Jeff Baryshnik will retire as chairman after the general meeting. Trading is ahead of the previous year and a trading update will be published in the next few days.
Angling Direct (ANG) improved UK sales and European online sales recovered. The fishing tackle retailer has plans to open its first store in Europe. Interim revenues rose 11% to £43.3m, while pre-tax profit recovered from £1.1m to £1.7m. Like-for-like store sales were 4.9% ahead. Net cash reached £17.6m at the end of July 2023, helped by a reduction in working capital. August and September sales were 14% higher than the same time last year, although the comparative was a weak period. Market share is still growing.
Argentex (AGFX) has appointed Jim Ormonde as interim chief executive. He replaces previous chief executive Harry Adams, who is the second largest shareholder with 12.3%. A strategic review has identified areas of the payments sector to focus on. Jim Ormonde was boss of Cardsave, which was bought by WorldPay, and he has been a consultant to Argentex. Current trading is in line with expectations even though activity levels have been lower.
Security products supplier Thruvision (THRU) has raised £3.2m at 23.5p/share. The money has been invested by Pentland Capital, which has taken a 10% stake, and existing shareholders. The cash will be invested in sales and marketing. Earlier this month, Thruvision revealed that it had not received the expected order from US Customs and Border Protection due to budgetary problems. Forecast revenues for 2023-24 were slashed by two-fifths to £8.1m – £3.5m has been generated in the first half. A full year loss of £3.2m is expected.
Bradda Head Lithium (BHL) interims show a $6.24m cash outflow leaving $1.5m in the bank at the end of August 2023. Since the year end, an updated mineral resource showing contained metal of more than one million tonnes triggered a Lithium Royalty Company payment of $2.5m to Bradda Head Lithium, which was received in October.
Fourth quarter trading at The Mission Group (TMG) has got tougher with clients spending less. This follows a relatively upbeat trading statement at the time of the interims. The cost base was raised in anticipation of additional demand and cost cutting will not be done until next year. Canaccord Genuity slashed its pre-tax profit forecast from £7.9m to £3.1m and net debt is set to rise to £24m, which contravenes debt limits. The interim dividend is cancelled. Interest will be covered just over two times.
Sustainable fuels technology developer Velocys (VLS) has launched its new technology facility in Ohio. Velocys contributed $2m of the $10m capital investment with the rest invested by a subsidiary of The Pagura Company. The equipment will be fully up and running by mid-2024. There should be enough capacity for projected orders stretching out to 2028.
Piling contractor Van Elle (VANL) has Rock and Alluvium for an initial £1.8m and agreed a new five-year trading deal with Galliford Try, which could add more than £10m/year to revenues. This increases the group’s presence in the residential market in Greater London.
MAIN MARKET
BATM Advanced Communications (BVC) investee company ADOR Diagnostics has secured funding of $7.5m and BATM is providing $3.5m of this cash. This is payable in two tranches, one immediately and the other after the achievement of milestones over the next six months.
First Tin (1SN) has published a definitive feasibility study (DFS) update for the Taronga project in Australia. The DFS should be completed in the first quarter of next year. It is already clear that the resource is significantly larger than previously estimated due to additional mineralisation and lower cut-off grade and that means processing capacity will need to be larger. The additional capital investment should improve recovery rates.
Cash shell Mining, Minerals and Metals (MMM) has entered into heads of terms with Georgina Energy, which is exploring for helium, hydrogen and hydrocarbon the Amadeus and Officer Basins in Australia. The transaction to acquire Narnia Mauritius Gas will not go ahead until the renewal of the company’s licences.
Intuitive Investments Group (IIG), which recently moved from AIM to the Specialist Fund Segment, is issuing 1.91 billion shares to acquire Hui10, a Chinese company that owns 33% of Beijing Huishi Dehua IT, which has a digital payment platform for the Chinese lottery and 60% of Lucky World, which has developed a platform that enables China’s lottery shops to access a wider range of consumer goods. The businesses are losing money. Hui10 will not be consolidated in the company’s figures. Investments Group currently has 86.9 million shares currently in issue and, at 11p/share, it is valued at £9.6m. A ten-for-one share consolidation is planned. There is already permission to issue more shares. Chief executive Rob Naylor bought 100,000 shares at 9.5p each.
BSF Enterprise (BSFA) has formed a separate subsidiary called Kerato to develop lab-grown corneas. This company can focus on advancing clinical trials.
Andrew Hore
Brand CEO Alan Green talks Tertiary Minerals #TYM, Andalas Energy #ADL, Northern Bear #NTBR & ECR Minerals #ECR on Vox Markets podcast
Brand CEO Alan Green discusses Tertiary Minerals #TYM, Andalas Energy & Power #ADL, Northern Bear #NTBR and ECR Minerals #ECR. The interview begins after 8 minutes.
Buy Northern Bear #NTBR says VectorVest. Opportunity for near term gains backed by bullish price action and fundamentals.
Newcastle-based Northern Bear (NTBR.L) is a provider of specialist building services. The company was floated on AIM in December 2006, and provides services ranging from general building work, fire protection, roofing works, fork lift truck sales/hire and health and safety consultancy. There are currently 11 businesses in the group which together employ over 300 people.
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On July 16th 2018, NTBR announced preliminary results for the year ended 31 March 2018. During the year the group completed the acquisition of H Peel & Sons (Holdings) Limited. Turnover from continuing operations rose to £53.6m (2017: £45.6m), with adjusted operating profit from continuing operations up to £3.1m (2017: £2.5m). Adjusted EPS rose to 12.5p from 11.3p, and the group increased the proposed final dividend to 3.0p per share (2017: 2.5p), plus a special dividend of 1.0p per share. Exec Chairman Steve Roberts said he was “delighted to be reporting on another great set of results. With a strong current order book, I am hopeful of another good year to come and would like to thank my fellow Directors and the management teams and staff at all of our companies for the efforts they put into making the Group such a success story. “ “We are pleased to be back on the acquisition trail and will continue to look at opportunities as and when they arise.”
VectorVest valuation metrics for NTBR had occasionally flickered into life in early 2018, but it was the run up to the June trading update that saw the RT (Relative Timing) metric, (a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock’s price trend), flag up an opportunity. Now in mid July, despite a bullish move higher in the share price, the NTBR RT metric still logs 1.27, which is rated as very good on a scale of 0.00 – 2.00. Other high scoring metrics include a GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) of 19%, which VectorVest also considers very good. The stock continues to add gains, but even at 82p, VectorVest believes the stock is still underperforming against a valuation of 108p.
A weekly chart of NTBR.L is shown above in my normal format. After a strongly trending upward move, in the first seven months of 2017, the share has traded sideways to down. Chartists refer to this type of pattern as a continuation pattern. Recently the share has broken the trendline defining the highs of the continuation pattern on rising volume. This is very bullish price action and bodes well for a push to at least the last high made on August 2017.
Summary: With over 85% of NTBR turnover coming from repeat business, its management can rightly be praised for a discerning approach to finding and bedding in quality acquisitions. Income investors will note that NTBR offers regular dividend payments, but with Exec Chairman Steve Roberts bullish over forward prospects for the group, VectorVest also sees an opportunity for near term capital gains. We rate the stock as buy, with a price target of 108p.
Dr David Paul
July 17th 2018
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Stanley Gibbons Throws in the Towel
Stanley Gibbons SGI has completed a restructuring programme which included a complete overhaul of the board and the executive leadership, costs have been reduced by some £10m and parts of one division have already been sold off but in the end it looks like things are so bad that value for shareholders can only be unlocked if the company puts itself up for sale and that is what it has now done, announcing this morning a formal sales process which could result in a sale of the company. Interested parties are invited to contact the company.
Mitie Group MTO is not paying a final dividend meaning a slump of 66% in dividends for the year and all the Chief Executive can say by way of explanation is that it has been a challenging year. In fact it was so challenging that the company managed to turn last years profit of £107.6m into an operating loss of of £42.9m. Basic earnings per share of 20.1p in 2016 were turned into a loss of 14.7p. Revenue for the year to 31st March fell by 1%.
Accounting adjustments are said to be responsible but why is the Chief Executive so tight lipped with his excuses. What were the challenges, shareholders may ask, which management failed to meet. The share price has stood up fairly well during the course of the year. After a sudden drop to 180p last September it recovered to 245p. and has jumped another 30p on opening this morning.
Eckoh ECK revenue rose by 30% and gross profit by 21% for the year to 31st March, making it the fourth consecutive year of double digit growth in both revenue and gross profit. In what the company describes as a breakthrough year, revenuei n the US jumped by 145%. The final dividend is to be increased from 0.45p to 0.48p per share. A strong start has been made to the new financial year, with monthly revenue averaging £2m.
Northern Bear NTBR claims excellent results which will be ahead of prior year results and management expectations for continuing operations in the year to 31st March. The order book for the new financial year is particularly strong and it is proposed to increase the final dividend from last years 2p. per share.