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Quoted Micro 20 January 2025

AQUIS STOCK EXCHANGE

SulNOx Group (SNOX) has signed an agreement with Eastern Pacific Shipping, which will use the SulNOxEco additive on a minimum of 30 vessels for at least 18 months. The data from this evaluation could be used for marketing. Easten Pacific Shipping will introduce other potential shipping company clients, and it is subscribing for up to 11.7 million shares in tranches at 2p each. This will happen over the 18-month period. There will be a subscription of up to 4.72 million additional shares at 2p each, which will be over a three-year period. This could total up to 11.8% of the enlarged share capital.

Marula Mining (MARU) says that the Kinusi coper mine is selling a total of 1,000t to four commodity trading groups. The sales have been delayed but should be completed by the end of January. Metallurgical test work results are expected later in January. Management is seeking to secure offtake agreements and non-dilutive funding.

Kasei Digital Assets (KASH) is conducting a strategic review, which could include a departure from Aquis or return of cash to shareholders. Management believes that the outlook for the market for digital assets is positive. However, costs are negatively affecting performance. There is cash of £782,000 and digital assets of £4.26m.

Visum Technologies (VIS) has raised £100,000 from a convertible loan note issue. The conversion price is 0.5p/share. This will fund due diligence for potential acquisitions.

IntelliAM AI (INT) says David Richards is stepping down as chairman at the beginning of July.

Max Capital reduced its shareholding in WeCap (WCAP) from 8.09% to 7.94%. Brompton Asset Management has increased its stake in Global Connectivity (GCON) to 13.96%. RAJ Bailey bought 7,376 shares in Daniel Thwaites (THW) at 89p each.

AIM

Fortress Investment has raised its recommended bid for pubs and bars operators Loungers (LGRS) from 310p/share to 325p/share. Broker Singer did not believe that the original bid fully reflected the value of the business and argued that 375p/share would be a fairer value. Loungers at £338.3m was forecast to make a 2024-25 pre-tax profit of £18m, up from £13.9m last year, rising to £23.8m in 2025-26.

Fintech Fiinu (BANK) has signed heads of agreement for the first white-label deal for its Plugin Overdraft with a UK bank. It will provide a Banking-as-a-Service platform including Plugin Overdraft and requires regulatory approval and testing. The bank will have exclusivity in the UK for 12-months from launch, which could be in the fourth quarter of 2025. There will be royalty fees based on profit generated by the bank from the Plugin Overdraft.

Thor Explorations (THX) says that the Segilola mine in Nigeria produced 24,6000 ounces of gold, taking the total for 2024 to 85,000 ounces. Guidance for 2025 is 85,000 ounces-95,000 ounces. The all in sustaining costs are expected to be $808/ounce. Thor Explorations has moved into a net cash position. Exploration is focused on extending the life of the mine beyond 2028. Thee were positive results announced earlier in January. There should be news concerning the Nigerian federal authorities into the Osun state authorities allegations of underpayment of tax. The PFS for the Douta project in Senegal should be released in the first quarter of 2025.

Michael Ashcroft wants data and information publisher Merit Group (MRIT) to leave AIM. This follows his success in persuading Jaywing (JWNG) to back his AIM cancellation plan for the marketing services business. He owns 42% of Merit Group, so he has a high chance of success. A general meeting will be set within 21 days.

Deltex Medical Group (DEMG) also announced plans to leave AIM. This will save £200,000/year. Last year’s revenues from sales of heart monitoring systems improved from £1.8m to £2.1m and cash was £240,000 at the end of 2024. Andy Mears will be replaced as chief executive by Natalie Wettler.

Quantum Blockchain Technologies (QBT) has made a breakthrough for its Bitcoin Artificial Intelligence model mining tool. The Method C AI Oracle can skip calculations if it assesses that they will not be successful. This provides a 30% improved performance compared with other methods. The company is ready to demonstrate the technology and is seeking a chip manufacturing partner to produce a commercial product.

Gift wrap supplier IG Design (IGR) customers did not sell as much as expected over the Christmas period and this has hit orders. On top of the weak demand, there are US customers in financial difficulties. The fourth largest customer has re-entered Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and total provisions will be around $15m.The American business is predominantly behind the 10% slump in revenues, although the international business revenues were 1% lower. IG Design is only expected to breakeven in the year to March 2025, compared with forecast pre-tax profit of $32m, and forecasts have been withdrawn by Canaccord Genuity.

Security technology supplier Thruvision (THRU) announced a strategic review. Management believes that additional funding will be required to scale up the business. There is currently cash of £1.5m, which will last until May unless potential orders are secured. The cost base will be assessed. Alternatives include bringing in a partner or selling the business.

Digital healthcare platform developer Trellus Health (TRLS) has entered an agreement with Johnson & Johnson Health Care Systems Inc for a US pilot programme for Trellus Elevate to support severe inflammatory bowel disease. Trellus Health will receive an upfront licence fee and a monthly fee. Net cash was $8m at the end of June 2024 and the additional income could help to extend the cash runway nearer to the end of 2025.

Pawnbroker Ramsdens (RFX) says improved performances from all divisions helped group revenues improve from £83.8m to £95.6m, while pre-tax profit rose from £10.1m to £11.4m. The dividend was raised from 10.4p/share to 11.2p/share. This year has started well. and management has decided to slow the new store opening programme. There will be more focus on the website.

Packaging equipment and automation provider Mpac Group (MPAC) confirms 2024 trading is in line with expectations. Pre-tax profit should recover from £7.1m to £10.5m. Net debt was £37m at the end of 2024. The order book is worth £111m and covers 53% of forecast 2025 revenues.

Telecoms infrastructure products developer Filtronic (FTC) has appointed David Marshall as director of programmes to ensure their efficient delivery. Sarah Shaw becomes General Counsel to manage commercial contracts and other legal affairs. This follows a positive trading statement that led to Cavendish upgrading its 2024-25 pre-tax profit forecast from £9.6m to £11.5m.

Construction recruitment services provider Hercules Site Services (HERC) has decided to sell its suction excavators business to focus on recruitment. The suction excavators were losing money and holding back performance. The disposal will also reduce borrowings. Labour supply revenues increased from £63.8m to £84.1m. Continuing pre-tax profit improved from £1.6m to £2.6m and further improvement to £3.4m is expected for this year.

Bars and leisure operator XP Factory (XPF) grew like-for-like revenues by 8.5% in the third quarter, which is well above the rate for the rest of the year. The figure for the year so far is 5.5%. Immersive escape rooms operator Escape Hunt was 14% ahead and Boom Battle Bars 17% higher over the Christmas period.

Cross-border payment services provider Finseta (FIN) says 2024 EBITDA will be £2m compared to a forecast of £1.9m. There was £2.2m of cash generated from operating activities. The benefits from investment in the business and new products will show through in 2025.

Premier African Minerals (PREM) has raised £1.2m from a placing at 0.0275p/share. A retail offer could raise up to £2.3m more. The cash will be invested in the Zulu project in Zimbabwe and to pay suppliers. The retail offer closes on 20 January. Some creditors may take shares for the money owed. If the cash raised in the placing and offer plus the capitalisation of debts does not get near to £3.5m the placing and offer will not proceed.

Cambridge Nutritional Sciences (CNSL) has settled its dispute with the UK DHSC with no admission of liability. The DHSC will not seek reimbursement of pre-production payments for Covid tests and Cambridge Nutritional Sciences will not claim for losses for failure to replace orders. The company will have legal costs of £200,000, but it will also release £2.5m from deferred income as exceptional income.

Cannabis-based medicines developer Celadon Pharmaceuticals (CEL) says that the strategic collaboration with Valeos Pharma is contributing to its business. This will enable the acceleration of supply of pharmaceutical grade EU-GMP cannabis active pharmaceutical ingredient products. Valeos Pharma will provide up to three tonnes of annual cultivation capacity, which is equivalent to £8.7m of income/year.

Gaming machines hardware and displays supplier Nexteq (NXQ) had net cash of $29.1m at the end of 2024, which is more than 50% of market capitalisation. Trading problems had already been flagged and there was no additional surprise. There was destocking and delayed product launches by customers. Revenues were 24% lower at $86.7m, which was slightly better than forecast. The results will be published on 19 March.

Supercapacitors developer Cap-XX (LON: CPX) has made its first shipment of co-branded products to electronic components distributor SCHURTER’S warehouse in Switzerland. On delivery, an invoice will be raised.

Construction and property asset management software supplier Eleco (ELCO) has acquired maintenance and management software provider PEMAC for €6m in cash with up to €2.4m payable based on achieving performance targets. Clients include Coca Cola and Heineken. This fits well with the existing ShireSysem product.

Argo Group Ltd (ARGO) is making a tender offer at 5p/share as part of its plan to leave AIM. Shareholders owning 71.2% of the company will not tender shares, so everyone else can have their shares acquired in the tender. The tender closes on 14 February.

MAIN MARKET

Packaging manufacturer and distributor Macfarlane Group (MACF) has acquired protective packaging manufacturer Pitreavie for £18m, with a net initial payable after debt movements of £10.6m. Pitreavie made a 2024 pre-tax profit of £1.3m. There should be cost savings from integrating the business.

Online travel hostel agency Hostelworld (HSW) says strong demand for Asian hostels helped 2024 net bookings rise 6% to 6.9 million, although there was a dip in average booking value. That meant that revenues were 1% lower at €92m. Lower marketing spend meant that margins improved. More bookings were made through the company’s app. Pre-tax profit is expected to jump to €17m. Net cash is €2m. There will be an update on strategy in the second quarter.

Bitcoin miner Vinanz (BTC) switched from Aquis to the Main Market on 13 January. The share price opened at 16.5p and rose to 22.5p before falling back to 16.5p at the end of the week.

Argo Blockchain (ARB) has been told it has until 15 July to regain compliance on Nasdaq with the minimum price requirement of $1 for its ADSs.

Andrew Hore

Quoted Micro 21 October 2024

AQUIS STOCK EXCHANGE

ProBiotix Health (PBX) has sent out a circular for the requisitioned general meeting on 1 November. The meeting has been requisitioned by Seneca Partners and related investors that hold 5.46% in total. Seneca Partners is also an investor in AIM-quoted OptiBiotix Health (LON: OPTI), which is also unhappy with the current management, but a relationship agreement means that it could not requisition a general meeting. OptiBiotix Health and related individuals own 37.95% and will vote in favour of the resolutions. ProBiotix Health wants to block these shares from being voted. The first resolution is to remove the chief executive Steen Andersen and the second is to remove non-exec Frederik Bruhn-Petersen, whose firm recently subscribed for shares, a funding that OptiBiotix Health was unhappy about. Seneca Partners and OptiBiotix Health are also unhappy that the chief executive wanted to leave the Aquis Stock Exchange.

Marula Mining (MARU) is finalising negotiations to establish a new joint venture with a Chinese battery manufacturer and lithium offtake partner at the Blesburg lithium and tantalum mine. This would be for a lithium acid leaching processing plant, which could be commissioned by next summer. This will use spodumene from the mine and could produce 2,000 tonnes of high-grade lithium product each year. A subscription of £750,000, which comes through the issue of 15 million shares at 5p each via the AUO Commercial Brokerage LLC subscription agreement, will be used to fund the installation of an ore sorter at Blesburg and the costs of other projects. Gathoni Muchai Investments, where Marula Mining board member Jason Brewer is a director, bought 430,000 shares at 5.96p each.

At the end of the three months to September 2024, Arbuthnot Banking (ARBB) customer deposit balances were £3.8bn and customer loans £2.5bn. Funds under management and administration have grown 18% to more than £2bn in the nine months to September 2024. Arbuthnot Banking has completed its move to new offices in the City of London. Management is assessing the proposed new capital rules and deciding if strategy changes will be required. The Budget could also affect strategy.

Substrate Artificial Intelligence (SAI) intends to leave the Aquis Stock Exchange, although it will remain on the BME growth market in Spain. The cancellation of trading on Aquis will happen on 15 November.

Invinity Energy Systems (IES) is extending the expiry date of the 8.67 million options, exercisable at 175p/share, held by Gamesa Electric to 10 May 2025. Employee share options will be extended until 21 November 2029.

Mendell Helium (MDH) has agreed to sell its plant-based health and wellness business to Orsus Therapeutics, which will leave the seller with a 28% stake plus six million warrants in the buyer. This is conditional on shareholder approval. The Orsus Therapeutics shares may be distributed to Mendell Helium shareholders. Mendell Helium has an option to acquire Kansas-focused M3 Helium.

Inqo Investments (INQO) has made an investment in Empower Clean Cooking. Uganda-based Empower produces biomass pellets for cooking fuel.

Vehicle electrification technology developer Equipmake (EQIP) is supplying its zero emission drivetrain for use in Textron Safeaero 220 airside de-icing vehicles. There were successful trials earlier in the year.

Former Made Tech (MTEC) finance director Deborah Lovegrove has taken on the same role at All Things Considered (ATC).

AIM

Pulsar Helium Inc (PLSR) shares were already trading on TSX-V and the OTCQB Venture Market and the additional cash raised by coming to AIM on 18 October and raising £3.875m at 25p/share. This will fund further exploration in of the Topaz helium project in northern Minnesota, close to the Canadian border. So far, an appraisal well has been drilled and this confirmed the presence of helium. This will be drilled deeper. There were 1.47 million shares traded on the first day. Having opened on 29p the shares closed the day at 27.5p.

Mothercare (MTC) shares returned from suspension following the 2023-24 results publication and refinancing. There is a new £8m two-year loan facility from Gordon Brothers, which receives 43.4 million warrants exercisable at 8.5p/share. There is also a joint venture with Reliance Brands, which will acquire 51% for £16m, covering the Indian sub-continent. In the year to March 2024, underlying pre-tax profit dipped from £3.4m to £3.1m. Overall revenues continue to decline, and Cavendish expects a small loss this year.

Joshua Alliance is offering 40p/share in cash for each share in N Brown Group (BWNG). The share price has not been this high since February 2023. The Alliance family and related parties already own 53.4% of N Brown. The bid values the fashion brands company at £191m. The chief executive and finance director of N Brown will elect for a share alternative.

Motor dealer Vertu Motors (VTU) had a strong September sales period, and it continues to outperform the sector, particularly in electric vehicle sales. Strong aftersales business and a stabilised second hand car market means that the outlook is positive. In the six months to August 2024, revenues were 3% ahead at £2.49bn. Full year revenues are expected to be flat and pre-tax profit slightly higher at £38m. NAV of 112.8p/share is forecast. A further £3m share buy back is planned.

Weak interior design markets, particularly in the UK, hit interim the figures of Sanderson Design Group (SDG). The timing of licensing revenues exacerbated the downturn in underlying pre-tax profit from £6.8m to £2.2m. The dividend has been reduced by one-third to 0.5p/share. Net cash fell to £9.6m at the end of July 2024.Trading continues to weaken with a 10% downturn in revenues so far in this financial year. The aftermath of the UK Budget and the US election could determine the full year outcome. Investec has reduced its pre-tax profit forecast by 8% to £7.5m, down from £12.2m last year.

Digital mental health services provider Kooth (KOO) says the State of Pennsylvania has terminated its contract with the AIM company. The contract started on 11 October 2022 and the end date was extended from June 2024 to June 2025. However, there is a right to terminate with a 30-day notice period. Kooth says that it was negotiating a new contract, and it is unsure what the status of ongoing work will be. When it was announced, the contract was said to be worth $3m in its pilot year.

Approval for further development of the Wressle field in Lincolnshire has been revoked, because of a legal challenge that greenhouse gas emissions were not taken into account in the original decision. Union Jack Oil (UJO) has a 40% interest in the Wressle development and Europa Oil & Gas (EOG) owns 30%. A revised application for Wressle can be made with additional data on emissions. The existing production continues.

Executive search company Norman Broadbent (NBB) says third quarter revenues are 16% lower than last year at £2.7m. Even so, it was the strongest quarter of the year. September was particularly strong.

CloudCoCo (CLCO) is selling its managed IT services business for £9.2m. This will discharge liabilities, including the MXC loan notes, and leave cash of £950,000. If the sale does not go ahead management will need to consider if there is a future for the group. There are also discussions concerning the sale of the Connect business. The focus will be on the product reseller business.

Decision making software provider ActiveOps (AOM) grew first half revenues by 9% to £14.3m. Annualised recurring revenues are £26.2m. Net revenue retention is 1085. There is cash of £13.4m. Demand is being driven by organisations needing to reduce the cost base. Investment in sales will pay off next year.

Iodine supplier Iofina (IOF) is on course to meet iodine production guidance for this year. There was 163.9 metric tonnes produced in the third quarter. Iodine prices have been higher than in the first half when they were $66.84/kg.

Armadale Capital (ACP) proposes a cancellation of the AIM quotation because it believes that being public does not benefit the company because of the costs. Armadale Capital needs to reduce the cash burn and sell non-core assets. The resources company can be more flexible as a private company. A general meeting will be held on 1 November.

Emmerson (EML) says that the regional authority in Morocco have made an unfavourable environmental recommendation relating to the Khemisset potash project. The full decision is not yet available. Emmerson had previously appealed against the regional authority’s decision not to approve the project under environmental grounds.

MAIN MARKET

Online travel hostel agency Hostelworld (HSW) has moved into a net cash position and trading is in line with expectations even though there has been a small fall in revenues in the nine months to September 2024 due to lower average booking values. Direct marketing costs are down from 51% of revenues to 46%, while operating costs are also lower. Four-fifths of bookings are from social media. Capital allocation policy is being assessed.

Kitchenware retailer ProCook Group (PROC) says second quarter trading shows it is outperforming the market. Interim revenues are 8% ahead at £28.3m with like-for-like revenues 4% higher. The fastest growth is in ecommerce, helped by the relaunch on Amazon, but retail is also recovering. Higher inventory levels meant that net debt has moved up to £4.2m.

Property investor Town Centre Securities (TOWN) is no longer a REIT. That means that there is more flexibility for the business. EPRA net tangible assets slipped 2.5% to 277p/share at the end of June 2024. The loan to value ratio is 50.8%. The final dividend is 2.5p/share.

The space sector is attracting more investment and Seraphim Space Investment Trust (SSIT) will benefit. In the year to June 2024, the NAV improved from 92.9p/share to 96.2p/share, helped by share buy backs. Many of the investment portfolio are reaching maturity and Astroscale has floated on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

Shell company Dukemount Capital (DKE) has raised £98,500 from a share issue at 0.025p/share and £51,500 from convertible loan notes with the same conversion price. Loans were previously converted into shares and £300,000 was raised earlier in the year at 0.04p/share. Th outstanding warrants are being repriced to 0.0375p. Richard Edwards has joined the board, and he owns one-quarter of the company.

Andrew Hore

Quoted Micro 23 October 2023

AQUIS STOCK EXCHANGE

Healthy snack foods supplier S-Ventures (SVEN) plans to raise at least £2.5m to pay deferred consideration and provide working capital. The fundraising has been announced ahead of time so that more investors can become involved. In the year to September 2023, gross revenues improved from £8.6m to £16.9m, while net debt is £6.8m. The main growth came from an initial contribution by gluten-free products company Juvela and technology platform Market Rocket. S-Ventures was loss making and the level is likely to depend on impairment charges.

Arbuthnot Banking Group (ARBB) continues to benefit from higher interest rates. Customer deposits grew 7% to £3.5bn, while wealth management assets under management increased from £1.38bn to £1.43bn. The new London office at 20 Finsbury Circus has increased space by 45% to 75,000 square feet. This will increase annual costs by £5m and there will be dual costs until October 2024 when the existing office lease expires.

Technology marketing business Inteliqo Ltd (IQO) generated initial revenues of $558,000 in the year to September 2023 and it moved from a loss of $428,000 to a pre-tax profit of $185,000. There is $384,000 in the bank, after a cash inflow of $195,000. Inteliqo should continue to be profitable this year as it builds up sales of smart translation Ipedia earbuds and the Langaroo language app.

Aquis Exchange (AQX) chief executive Alasdair Haynes bought 10,000 shares at 325p each, while non-exec chairman Glenn Collinson acquired 7,500 shares at 326.5p.

Shepherd Neame (SHEP) director George Barnes bought 1,000 shares at 800p each. Premier Miton has taken a 5.05% stake in Global Connectivity (GCON). Oberon Investments (OBE) chief executive Simon McGivern has sold 11.6 million shares and Joanna McGivern sold 650,000 shares at 3.6p each. Chairman Mike Cuthbert bought 140,000 shares at 3.6p each and finance director Galin Ganchev acquired an initial 138,888 shares at 3.6p/share. Simon McGivern still has a 6.78% stake. Shepherd Neame (SHEP) director George Barnes bought 1,000 shares at 800p each. Premier Miton has taken a 5.05% stake in Global Connectivity (GCON). Andrew Offit has increased his stake in AQRU (AQRU) from 4.77% to 11.9%.

Tap Global Group (TAP) has appointed Tennyson Securities as its broker.

AIM

Shoe Zone (SHOE) has sparked another upgrade with its latest trading statement. The shoe retailer’s sales were slightly ahead of expectations and pre-tax profit will be at least £16m, which is 19% higher than forecast. Lower freight rates improved margins. The dividend estimate has been raised from 9p/share to 10.5p/share on the back of the profit growth. Zeus has increased its 2023-24 pre-tax profit forecast from £12.5m to £15.2m. To put this in perspective, one year ago Zeus forecast a 2022-23 pre-tax profit of £8.5m, not much more than 50% of the outcome. It would be wrong to expect similar upgrades this year, but it indicates that forecasts are generally conservative.

Gama Aviation (GMAA) is selling its Jet East business for $131m. Adjusting for debt and transaction costs the net amount is $100m, which is equivalent to 125p/share. That could allow a 55p/share dividend. The rest of the cash can be reinvested in the remaining aviation services businesses. Gama Aviation recently won air ambulance and offshore helicopter contracts.

CoStar Group Inc is bidding 110p/share for On The Market (OTMP), which values the property listings company at £99m. The February 2018 placing price was 165p. CoStar Group Inc says that On The Market provides a good entry point to the UK residential property market. The purchaser owns US-based Homes.com.

Litigation finance provider Manolete Partners (MANO) is benefiting from the UK government removing Covid-era protections against insolvency. In the six months to September 2023, the number of case investments jumped from 83 to 146. Bounce back loan cases separately increased from 83 to 179.

Craven House Capital (CRV) investee companies Garimon and Honeydog – it has 29.9% of each company – are planning to reverse into the Amigo Holdings shell on the Main Market. These are music streaming and digital publishing businesses.

eDrive systems developer Saietta (SED) shares returned from suspension on Thursday afternoon after it published results to the year to March 2023. There were problems with the accounting for the new agreements with Consolidated Metco Inc, which included an upfront payment of €3.3m and an inventory write-down of £2.1m. Revenues from continuing operations more than doubled to £4.8m, but the group loss was higher. Orders are in place to build up revenues. There was cash of £7.2m left at the end of March 2023, but by September this was down to £400,000. More cash will be required to finance the delivery of orders.

Fashion retailer Sosandar (SOS) has decided to reduce promotional and discounting activity on its website and open retail stores. There will be four shops by next spring. This will hold back short-term revenues but could accelerate progress in 2026-27. Singer has cut its full year revenues forecast by 19% to £46.8m. This means that having made a profit last year, this year Sosandar will be back to breakeven, and it will take two years to beat the £1.6m profit made last year.

Revolution Bars Group (RBG) reported full year figures broadly in line with expectations. The Peach Pubs business is trading well with like-for-like sales 14% ahead, but the Revolution bars have been hit be train strikes. Cavendish retained its flat 2023-24 pre-tax loss forecast of £2m, even though trading has been tough.

WH Ireland has produced its updated research for metallurgical coal producer Bens Creek Group (BEN) suggesting a move into profit this year. This year’s pre-tax profit forecast is slashed from £108m to £7.2m, with the following year’s estimate reduced from £96.2m to £33.4m. This is a scenario rather than a proper forecast. A 3.6 cents/share (3p) dividend is possible in 2024-25.

Cirata (CRTA), formerly known as WANdisco, is trading in line with expectations with bookings of $1.7m in the latest quarter. They are expected to be higher in the fourth quarter and the software company’s management is confident that the prospects are genuine. Cash should be at least $16m at the year end and Cirata could be cash breakeven in 2024.

R&Q Insurance Holdings (RQIH) is selling its program management business, and this should generate $300m of net proceeds. This will be used to pay down debt. The group chief executive and finance director will leave with the disposal.

ECR Minerals (ECR) has terminated its option to acquire the Hurricane project, following the changes in the board. Management does not believe the potential of the project warrants the acquisition cost.

Karelian Diamond Resources (KDR) is raising £250,000 at 2.5p/share and the cash will be used for exploration for nickel, copper, platinum group metals in Northern Ireland and diamonds in Finland. Peterhouse has been appointed as broker.

MAIN MARKET

Cadmium-free quantum dots developer Nanoco (NANO) has concluded its litigation with Samsung, and it has funds to move towards commercial production. The net litigation proceeds are $90m. The second tranche will be received next February. There are plans to return £33m-£40m (10p-12p/share) to shareholders after this. Contract terms are under discussion for the first commercial order, and they should conclude by the end of 2023. In the year to July 2023, revenues jumped from £2.5m to £5.6m with the main growth coming from recognising licence fees related to the Samsung litigation.

Apax Partners is bidding 110p/share for Kin & Carta (KCT), which is a 41% increase on the pre-bid share price. The share price has not been this high since March, but the bid is less than 50% of the 2023 high ahead of the February profit warning. The bid values Kin & Carta at £203m.

Online travel agency Hostelworld (HSW) increased full year guidance in its third quarter trading statement. Nine months revenues are 38% ahead at Euro75.2m. The EBITDA guidance range has been raised from Euro16.5m-Euro17m to Euro17.5m-Euro18m, up from Euro1.3m last year.

Property investor Town Centre Securities (TOWN) announced net tangible assets falling by 15% to 284p in the year to June 2023. It outperformed the benchmark property index. The greatest value declines in the portfolio related to car parks and offices. The loan-to-value has declined to 45.8% following disposals. The total dividend for the year is 5p/share.

Kitchenware retailer ProCook Group (PROC) says revenues fell 4% to £26.3m in the first half. This was helped by a good summer performance, but trading has been tougher in September and October.

Andrew Hore

Brand CEO Alan Green talks markets, Hostelworld (HSW) & Burford Capital (BUR) on TipTV

Alan Green, CEO of Brand communications and Tip TV’s Zak Mir discuss fundamental and technical aspects of Hostelworld (HSW), Burford Capital (BUR), & Tip TV trade of the day – Sell Glencore. Also discussed is the most popular in business/finance, technical view on oil and gold from the Investors Intelligence, Oanda forex market sentiment, broker recommendation

Buy Hostelworld (HSW) – En-route to paying a maiden dividend, VectorVest believes prospects are exceptionally good

UK based Hostelworld Group (HSW.L) operates a hostel-focused online booking platform, facilitating transactions between customers and suppliers of hostels and other forms of budget accommodation. While the Company’s business is focused on the hostels and budget accommodation sector of online travel, it also owns and operates various customer websites and applications through its brand Hostelworld, along with supporting brands Hostelbookers and Hostels.com. The Company offers its services across a hostel database of over 12,600 hostels and approximately 21,000 other forms of budget accommodation available. Travelers can book accommodation across approximately 33,000 properties in various cities of approximately 170 countries.

On January 25th 2017, Hostelworld issued a pre-close trading update, and said that results for the full year to Dec 31st 2016 (due March 28th 2017) are anticipated to be in line with expectations. The Company delivered 21% growth in bookings for its flagship Hostelworld brand in H2 2016, resulting in 18% growth for the year as a whole. Across all brands, overall bookings growth increasing 2% during H2 2016, leading to a 1% decline for the year as a whole. The Company also reported good progress in its mobile business, with mobile (including tablet) now representing over 49% of Hostelworld brand bookings for the year (2015: 41%). The Company continued to generate excellent free cash flow, which contributed to a strong balance sheet at the period end, and as a result expects to announce the first full year final dividend in March, in accordance with the policy stated at the time of the Group’s IPO.

Hostelworld was flagged up as a growth prospect across VectorVest metrics in June 2016, when the stock fell after a fall in Q2 bookings. Since then, Hostelworld has continued to deliver a steady recovery from 126p, but even at the current 228p, it continues to trade well below the VectorVest valuation of 394p. Indeed the VST (VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database) rates HSW.L with a VST rating of 1.26, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings offer the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing.

However the safety of the earnings stream on VectorVest (RS) is showing a value of 0.86. On a scale between 0 and 2, this is poor. The investment should be considered only by those that have proven experience in risk management and position sizing.

hsw

The chart of HSW.L is shown above with the price in candlestick format. The VectorVest valuation is shown by the green line study, while earnings per share (EPS) is shown in the window below the price as a blue line study. Over the past few days, the share has broken above a 13 week high and is also on a VectorVest buy recomendation. The share has also broken and kissed a trendline defining a 5 wave continuation pattern and looks highly probable to break above the last significant at 243 soon.

Summary: As promised, at the time of the IPO and despite the dip in the share price last year, Hostelworld is on schedule to make a maiden dividend payment with its full year results at the end of March. It does this on the back of strong growth in revenues and bookings and excellent free cash flow, and with VectorVest flagging an excellent forecasted GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) of 33.00%, the prospects appear exceptionally good. Aggressive traders should consider the share.

David Paulwatch movie Don’t Breathe now

March 13th 2017

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European Financial Publishing Limited T/A VectorVest UK (VectorVest) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under register number 543038. You should remember that the value of investments and the income derived therefrom may fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount that you invest. Past performance is not a reliable guide to the future. This material is directed only at persons in the UK and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell securities. If investors are in any doubt of the suitability of an investment given their individual circumstances, they are recommended to contact an investment manager or independent financial adviser who may be able to provide tailored advice. Opinions expressed whether in general or both on the performance of individual securities and in a wider economic context represent the views of VectorVest at the time of preparation. They are subject to change and should not be interpreted as investment advice. VectorVest and connected companies, clients, directors, employees and other associates, may have a position in any security, or related financial instrument, issued by a company or organisation mentioned on this site. European Financial Publishing Limited is a company incorporated in Scotland under Company Number SC357322 with its registered address at Exchange Tower, 19 Canning Street, Edinburgh EH3 8EH. Email: support@VectorVest.com
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