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Ian Pollard – Bonmarche #BON Rejects Takeover Bid – But Only Asks For Talks
Bonmarche Holdings BON which had seen trading become significantly weaker than expected sine the beginning of March, has rejected a takeover bid from Phillip Day’s Spectre Holdings, on the basis that it undervalues the business and its future prospects. These included a rise in the underlying loss for the year from a possible £4.0m. to between £5.0m. and £6.0m. 2 April, Mr Day, who owns Edinburgh Woollen Mill Group, acquired 26 million Bonmarché shares at 11.445p a share, which brought his stake up to 52.4% and a warning that he expected a “material reduction” in staff. The Bonmarche Board was left with nothing but the expression of a wish to hold discussions, which would be for the benefit of all shareholders, including no doubt, themselves. So far they appear to be unable to find a reason why shareholders would benefit from their continued presence in the governance of the company, especially having regard to its recent continued decline under their stewardship.
Games Workshop Group GAW has today declared a dividend of 35 pence per share, in line with the Company’s policy of distributing truly surplus cash and to be paid on 31 May.This takes the total dividend declared and paid during the year ending 2 June 2019 to £1.55 per share. Trading has continued well since the half year report in January with sales and profits ahead of last year. The Board’s current expectations are that profit before tax for the year to June 2019 will be c. £80 million.
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Plus 500 Ltd PLUS updates that financial markets in the three months to the end of March were extremely subdued and revenue.fell by 65%. New customers were down by 10%. The company that It is impossible to predict market conditions for the rest of the year and conclusions can not be drawn about the full year outcome based on the Group’s first quarter performance.
Mobile Streams plc MOS has had to undergo a comprehensive cost-cutting exercise, in fact so comprehensive that both Non-Executive Directors have had to volunteer a deferral of 50% of their respective remuneration. Sizable one-off redundancy and severance payments have had to be made, to employees, many of whom were of long service. With falling revenue, decisive steps became necessary to allow the company to preserve and protect its remaining cash balances.
National Express NEX has acquired a 60% stake in WeDriveU an employee shuttle company serving many of the world’s largest and fastest growing companies in Silicon Valley and other fast growing US cities.. The deal also includes an Option to acquire the remaining shares in tranches over the next three years.
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Ian Pollard – Persimmon #PSN new house price inflation falls to 1%
Persimmon plc PSN claims to have delivered another strong trading performance in 2018 with total Group revenues of £3.74bn., 4% higher than the previous year. A little cloud in the sky appeared in the shape of the average selling price increased by only 1%, which from memory is the lowest for many a year and not something which housebuilders welcome because they think it indicates the market is weak and they can not sell their houses. Housebuyers however can see it as a very good thing which eases the burden of above inflation price increases which the builders used to impose with such glee. Forward sales at 31 December were 3% ahead of 2017 which shows the benefit for the builders of more stable prices. Pre-tax profits for 2018 are expected to follow a similar pattern and be modestly ahead of current market consensus.
Savills plc SVS experienced a robust closing quarter and produced growth in both revenue and underlying profits for the full year. The residential business continued to perform well in challenging market conditions. These achievements came against a backdrop of heightened uncertainty through the last quarter as Brexit, US trade policy produced concerns.
Games Workshop GAW continues to be in great shape says the CEO as the interim dividend is increased from 61p to 65p for the six months to the 2nd December after Revenue rose from £109m. to £125m. Basic earnings per share for the half year have grown from 96p per share to 100.8p
Spirent Comm PLC SPT updates for the final quarter to the 31 December and for the year in full. Revenue for the full year grew by 6% and good momentum continued into the final quarter.On an adjusted basis operating profit is expected to show a 30% increase on the previous year, exceeding market expectations and demonstrating a year of strong profitable growth.
Telit Communications TCM expects revenue for the year to the end of December to show strong profitable growth Aadjusted operating profit is expected to exceed market expectations with a rise of some 30% on the previous year. Shareholder approval for the proposed sale of the automotive division is expected to be obtained on the 29th January and completed on the 31st January.The Executive Chairman claims that over the last few months, the Group has delivered double-digit revenue growth, and improved profitability over the year. The financial performance is expected to be improved further in 2019.
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Ian Pollard – Games Workshop Group #GAW – “Truly” Surplus Cash & Not “Truly” Surplus Cash
Games Workshop Group GAW updates that at the end of the six months to the 2nd December, it has a lot of cash which is truly surplus, presumably as opposed to cash which is not “truly” surplus. . The company can not find anything else to do with it so it is giving it to the shareholders, well at least a sum equal to 30p. per share.The results are in line with expectations for the year to 2nd June so the largesse must have been in the planning all along. Indeed it admits that this is in line with the Company’s policy of how to distribute truly surplus cash, as opposed to non “truly’ surplus cash.
Associated British Foods ABF The unheard of has happened and Primark has had to admit that in November trading was challenging and the retail market was tough. However improved margins helped to save the day, and expectations for Primarks profits to increase, remain unchanged. The problems at AB sugar continue and profits will be significantly lower, reflecting the full year effect of EU sugar prices.
CH Bailey plc BLEY saw group revenue fall by 4% in the 6 months to the 30th September but profit was up by 43% and EBITDA by 18%. The UK engineering business, is continuing to grow, with revenues up by 10% and the order book for the second half of the year looking solid.
James Halstead plc JHD is aware that there is much speculation on the future trading relationship of the UK with Europe but maintains that it is a global trading company and the Board is confident of growth albeit mindful of potential short term issues. Both turnover and profits for the first five months are ahead of last year..
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Ian Pollard – Games Workshop #GAW issues secret warning
Games Workshop Group GAW Issues a strange update covering the short period to the 7th October from the date of the last update in September. Sales are ahead and profits are at a similar level to last year, so why the need for an update. Well there seems to be a big “but” in that suddenly the Board decided that it should warn that there are some uncertainties and it remains aware of them.i.e. it has not just discovered them, since September and these uncertainties, are not just any old uncertainties, they are uncertainties about future trading which the Board is keeping secret.So why issue a warning and keep secret the reason for the warning.That makes it sound serious. An update about the update will be given “as appropriate” makes it sound even more mysterious.
RWS Holdings plc RWS has enjoyed its best year ever, with group revenues in the year to the 30th September having risen by 85%. Adjusted profit before tax is also expected to have been slightly ahead of market expectations. The Chairman eulogises that this has been a transformational year underpinned by a strong financial performance and increasing momentum.
Zytronic plc ZYT Preliminary results for the year to the 30th September showed that trading in the second half of the year produced a 10% improvement in revenues over the first half, resulting in total revenues for the year of £22.3m which is in-line with market expectations.The cost of new designs and production techniques however, resulted in lower than expected margins, and in particular a spurious patent claim was settled for £72k, plus legal costs of triple that amount, resulted in full year profits before tax being behind market expectations. Query, why settle a patent claim if it is spurious.
Renishaw plc RSW Saw revenue for the 3 months to the 30th Setember rise by 8% on a like for like basis. Despite a 27% rise in Healthcare adjusted profit before tax for the quarter declined by 9%
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Ian Pollard – BT lines crossed; sacrificial lamb chosen; board saved
BT Group plc BT.A Todays announcement from BT that the Chief Executive is to make an unexpected and unplanned exit illustrates that the Board and the Chairman may have a problem which in turn illustrates that BT has a problem. The problem appears to be that the top management is confused and incapable of expressing itself logically. Reaction to recent results, bemoans the Chairman, has thoroughly demonstrated both to him and to the outgoing Chief Executive that there is need for a change of leadership to deliver the strategy set out by the Chief Executive and his team. So the Chief Executive is to go, whether stabbed in the back or falling on his sword, one know not but this is where the Chairman and the Board just tie themselves into knots. There is nothing wrong it appears with the Chief Executives strategy. It has the full support of the board says the Chairman “The Board is fully supportive of the strategy recently set out by Gavin and his team.”
So why has Gavin alone been selected for the chop. It does seem slightly illogical that the board should escape Scot free from the consequences of something to which it gave its full support. Sacrificial lambs, this way, please.
Games Workshop Group GAW has today announced a dividend of 30p per share, payable on the 27th July, as the sales and profit growth previously announced has continued to the and of the year on the 3rd June. Group profit before tax for the year is expected to be not less than 74m.
Hargreaves Services plc HSP updates that trading has been satisfactory during the year to the 31st May and results are expected to be in line with expectations.
Distil plc DIS Both sales volume and revenue continued to grow strongly across all channels during the year to the 31st March.Turnover and gross profit both rose by 23% and the company expects to build on its success during the coming year.
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David Paul of VectorVest discusses Taptica #TAP, Games Workshop #GAW, Volex #VLX, Prudential #PRU & Victoria #VCP on Core Finance TV
Before you can define the trend, you have to define the timeframe; but more important than that are Equity Valuations. On VectorVest, they have 5 different measures. Here David Paul, MD of VectorVest UK, discusses the shortest and longest term measure and how the valuations are useful in trading equities. Over the whole market the long term trend turned down last week, but the short term trend is up.
Stocks covered in this clip include
- Taptica International (TAP.L)
- Games Workshop (GAW.L)
- Volex (VLX.L)
- Prudential (PRU.L)
- Victoria (VCP.L)
Round the Clock Trader today features Dr David Paul of VectorVest and Brand CEO Alan Green
Round the Clock Trader today is hosted by Simon Campbell and Zak Mir. Dr David Paul of VectorVest talks market timing, Games Workshop #GAW, Prudential #PRU, Volex #VLX. His slot is 20 minutes in. Brand CEO Alan Green talks Feedback #FDBK, Advanced Oncotherapy #AVO and Petrofac #PFC. His slot is 52 minutes 30 seconds in .
Daily Actions – UK Main & AIM markets 14042016
Daily Actions is a daily summary analysis of changes in short term actions from our Daily Recs – AIM and Daily Recs Main markets reports. This report is typically distributed before the open of trading in London
AIM Market
| ST Rec. changed | ||
| From | To | |
| Banks & Investment Banks | ||
| London Capital Group Holding | Neutral | Sell |
| Basic Resources | ||
| Altona Energy | Neutral | Buy |
| Arian Silver | Neutral | Buy |
| Centamin | Sell | Neutral |
| Churchill Mining | Buy | Neutral |
| MX Oil | Buy | Neutral |
| Financial Services | ||
| Conygar Investment Company | Buy | Neutral |
| LMS Capital | Buy | Neutral |
| Health Care | ||
| Proteome Sciences | Buy | Neutral |
| Industrial Good & Services | ||
| Accsys Technologies | Neutral | Buy |
| TP Group | Buy | Neutral |
| Elektron Technology | Neutral | Buy |
| Falkland Islands Holdings | Buy | Neutral |
| Maintel Holdings | Sell | Neutral |
| RWS Holdings | Sell | Neutral |
| Tanfield Group | Neutral | Buy |
| Tricorn Group | Neutral | Sell |
| Oil & Gas – Explorers | ||
| Serica Energy | Neutral | Buy |
| Technology | ||
| Toumaz | Buy | Neutral |
| Travel & Leisure | ||
| Tasty | Neutral | Buy |
Main Market
| ST Rec. changed | ||
| From | To | |
| Aerospace & Defence | ||
| Cobham | Buy | Neutral |
| Banks | ||
| HSBC | Buy | Neutral |
| Royal Bank of Scotland | Buy | Neutral |
| Standard Chartered | Neutral | Sell |
| Building Materials & Fittings | ||
| Titon Holdings | Neutral | Sell |
| Heavy Construction | ||
| Galliford Try | Buy | Neutral |
| House Construction | ||
| Redrow | Buy | Neutral |
| Household Goods & Textiles | ||
| Games Workshop | Neutral | Buy |
| Real Estate – REIT | ||
| Land Securities Group | Neutral | Sell |
| Speciality & Other Finance | ||
| Intermediate Capital Group | Neutral | Sell |
| Rathbone Brothers | Buy | Neutral |
| Support Services | ||
| VP | Sell | Neutral |
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