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Prairie Mining Ltd (PDZ) September 2018 Quarterly Report
Highlights from and subsequent to the quarter end:
Possible Prairie and JSW Co-Operation
- During the quarter, Prairie and JSW continued to exchange technical and commercial information in order to facilitate substantial and more advanced discussions regarding any potential co-operation or transaction(s) options in respect of Prairie’s Polish coking coal projects.
- Further discussions were held between Prairie and JSW while Prairie has made available information to JSW in relation to both the Debiensko and Jan Karski projects to allow JSW to conduct assessments of their feasibility and economics.
- Subsequent to the quarter, Prairie and JSW jointly reported that JSW’s due diligence had confirmed semi-soft coking coal quality at Jan Karski which JSW could potentially utilise, and had also indicated the technical feasibility and potential synergies in accessing Debiensko via JSW’s existing infrastructure. JSW estimates such synergies could potentially enable production within 18 months from all relevant permits and concession amendments being granted.
- There can be no certainty as to whether any transaction(s) will be agreed, or the potential form of such transaction(s). The Company will continue to comply with its continuous disclosure obligations and will make announcements to the market as required.
Debiensko Mine
- Prairie continued to analyse drill hole data which will be used for engineering design of foundations of structures associated with the shafts, coal handling and preparation plant and other surface facilities.
- Mine site redevelopment planning continued including ongoing demolition works at Debiensko and the preparation of an infill drill program to increase JORC Measured and Indicated Resources.
Corporate
- Prairie remains in a financially strong position with cash reserves of A$9.7 million on hand.
For further information, please contact:
Prairie Mining Limited |
+44 20 7478 3900 |
Ben Stoikovich, Chief Executive Officer |
|
Sapan Ghai, Head of Corporate Development |
DEBIENSKO MINE
The Debiensko Mine (“Debiensko”) is a permitted, hard coking coal project located in the Upper Silesian Coal Basin in the south west of the Republic of Poland. It is approximately 40 km from the city of Katowice and 40 km from the Czech Republic.
Debiensko is bordered by the Knurow-Szczyglowice Mine in the north west and the Budryk Mine in the north east, both owned and operated by Jastrzębska Spółka Węglowa SA (“JSW”), Europe’s leading producer of hard coking coal.
The Debiensko mine was originally opened in 1898 and was operated by various Polish mining companies until 2000 when mining operations were terminated due to a major government led restructuring of the coal sector caused by a downturn in global coal prices. In early 2006 New World Resources Plc (“NWR”) acquired Debiensko and commenced planning for Debiensko to comply with Polish mining standards, with the aim of accessing and mining hard coking coal seams. In 2008, the MoE granted a 50-year mine license for Debiensko.
In October 2016, Prairie Mining Limited (“Prairie” or “Company”) acquired Debiensko with a view that a revised development approach would potentially allow for the early mining of profitable premium hard coking coal seams, whilst minimising upfront capital costs. Prairie has proven expertise in defining commercially robust projects and applying international standards in Poland. The fact that Debiensko is a former operating mine and its proximity to two neighbouring coking coal producers in the same geological setting, reaffirms the significant potential to successfully bring Debiensko back into operation.
Preparation for the Next Phase of Project Studies
Prairie continues to analyse the drill hole data which will be used for engineering design of foundations of structures associated with the shafts, coal handling and preparation plant and other surface facilities. These holes are essential in order to assess the soil conditions, properly design structural foundations and thus provide more accurate pricing in the tenders as required for a feasibility study.
Prairie’s team have also designed an infill drilling program that when undertaken will upgrade more of the resource base at Debiensko to the Measured and Indicated resource categories and support JORC compliant reserve estimation.
JAN KARSKI MINE
The Jan Karski Mine (“Jan Karski”) is a large scale semi-soft coking coal project located in the Lublin Coal Basin in south east Poland. The Lublin Coal Basin is an established coal producing province which is well serviced by modern and highly efficient infrastructure, offering the potential for low capital intensity mine development. Jan Karski is situated adjacent to the Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka (“Bogdanka”) coal mine which has been in commercial production since 1982 and is the lowest cost hard coal producer in Europe.
Prairie’s use of modern exploration techniques continues to transform Jan Karski with latest drill results re-affriming the capability of the the project to produce high value ultra-low ash semi-soft coking coal (“SSCC”), known as Type 34 coal in Poland whilst confirming Jan Karski as a globally significant SSCC / Type 34 coking coal deposit with the potential to produce a high value ultra-low ash SSCC with a coking coal product split of up to 75%.
Key benefits for the local community and the Lublin and Chelm regions associated with the development, construction and operation of Jan Karski have been recognised as the following:
- creation of 2,000 direct employment positions and 10,000 indirect jobs for the region once operational;
- increasing skills of the workforce and through the implementation of International Standard training programmes;
- stimulating the development of education, health services and communications within the region; and
- building a mine that creates new employment for generations to come and career paths for families to remain in the region.
Polish Civil Court Grants Injunction in Prairie’s Favour against Poland’s Ministry of Environment
In April 2018, Prairie commenced legal proceedings against Poland’s Ministry of Environment (“MoE”) due to its failure to grant Prairie a Mining Usufruct Agreement over the concessions which form the Jan Karski Mine and in order to protect the Company’s security of tenure over the project.
Pursuant to the initiated legal proceedings:
- the Polish Civil Court ruled in Prairie’s favour by granting an injunction preventing the MoE from granting prospecting, exploration or mining concessions and concluding usufruct agreements with any other party until full court proceedings are concluded;
- the decision provides security of tenure over the Jan Karski concessions and effectively safeguards Prairie’s rights at the project until full court proceedings have concluded.
The Regional Civil Court in Warsaw has issued a verdict that forms an injunction preventing the MoE from concluding exploration or mining usufruct agreement(s) regarding the Jan Karski Mine area (including the “Lublin” deposit, as well as the former K-4-5, K-6-7, K-8 and K-9 concession areas) with any party, other than PD Co Sp. z. o.o. (Prairie Mining’s wholly owned Polish subsidiary). The Court has also ordered that the MoE does not grant any concessions (for prospecting, exploration and/or mining) to any party other than PD Co Sp. z. o.o. This highly favourable court ruling was issued in response to Prairie’s application submitted as part of the legal proceedings commenced by Prairie to protect its tenure at Jan Karski.
As a result of the ruling by the Regional Civil Court in Warsaw, security of tenure over the Jan Karski concessions will be safeguarded until full court proceedings have concluded. It is anticipated that full court proceedings could take 12 months or more to complete.
In the justification to the Court’s ruling, the judge stated that: “Based on the evidence one may at this point state that the plaintiff [Prairie] enjoys the right to request conclusion of the requested mining usufruct agreement for the “Lublin” hard coal area (otherwise known as Jan Karski) resulting from Article 15 of the Geological and Mining Law.”
Prairie has provided the MoE with all documents required by Polish Law to conclude a Mining Usufruct Agreement, including the Geological Documentation approval and an official application for a Mining Usufruct Agreement.
To date the MoE has still not provided Prairie with a Mining Usufruct Agreement for Jan Karski.
Based on professional advice, Prairie considers that the MoE breached the GML and Polish law and is defending its position having commenced legal proceedings against the MoE through the Polish courts to protect its tenure at Jan Karski.
The Company will also consider any other actions necessary to ensure its concession rights are reserved which may result in the Company taking further action against the MoE including invoking the protection afforded to the Company under any relevant bi-lateral or multi-lateral investment treaties or such other actions as the Company may consider appropriate at the relevant time.
Regional Director for the Environment extends timing for Environmental Proceedings
Prairie completed an Environmental and Social Impact Assessment and made submissions to the Lublin Regional Director for the Environment (“RDOS”) for an Environmental Consent decision for Jan Karski in October 2017. In the previous quarter, the RDOS issued a notice indicating that the Environmental Proceedings would be delayed further, subject to the receipt of additional information requested by the RDOS which the Company, together with its appointed environmental consultants, are working to provide. During the previous quarter, there was a change of personnel fulfilling the functions of the Chairman and Deputy Chairman of the Lublin RDOS.
CORPORATE
Possible Co-Operation between Prairie and JSW
Discussions continued throughout the quarter and remain ongoing between Prairie and JSW. JSW’s due diligence process at Jan Karski has confirmed that part of the “Lublin” deposit contains semi-soft coking coal (Type 34), which can be potentially utilised by JSW.
Due diligence at Debiensko has also indicated the technical feasibility and potential synergies of accessing initial seams at the Debiensko deposit utilising the existing infrastructure at JSW’s adjacent Knurow-Szczyglowice mine. Exploiting those synergies would require modifications to project configuration and obtaining relevant approvals, including concession modifications. JSW estimates that access via the Szczyglowice mine potentially enables the production of hard coking coal (Type 35) from Debiensko in up to 18 months from the time that relevant administrative permits and concession amendments are granted.
There can be no certainty as to whether any transaction(s) or co-operation will be agreed, or the potential form of such transaction(s) or co-operation. It is emphasised that any potential transaction(s), should they occur, may be subject to a number of conditions including, but not limited to, obtaining necessary corporate approvals, consents and approvals related to funding, consents from Poland’s Office of Competition and Consumer Protection (UOKiK) if required, and any other requirements that may relate to the strategy, objectives and regulatory regimes applicable to the respective issuers.
Financial Position and Balance Sheet
Prairie has cash reserves of A$9.7 million. With CD Capital’s right to invest a further A$68 million as a cornerstone investor, Prairie is in a strong financial position to progress with its planned activities at Debiensko and Jan Karski.
Forward Looking Statements
This release may include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on Prairie’s expectations and beliefs concerning future events. Forward looking statements are necessarily subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of Prairie, which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. Prairie makes no undertaking to subsequently update or revise the forward-looking statements made in this release, to reflect the circumstances or events after the date of that release.
Competent Person Statements
The information in this announcement that relates to Exploration Results was extracted from Prairie’s announcement dated 21 February 2018 entitled “Drill Results Affirm Jan Karski’s Status as a Globally Significant Semi-Soft (Type 34) Coking Coal Project”. The information in the original announcement is based on, and fairly represents information compiled or reviewed by Mr Jonathan O’Dell, a Competent Person who is a Member of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. Mr O’Dell is a part time consultant of the Company. Mr O’Dell has sufficient experience that is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the ‘Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves’. Prairie confirms that: a) it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the original announcements; b) all material assumptions and technical parameters included in the original announcements continue to apply and have not materially changed; and c) the form and context in which the relevant Competent Persons’ findings are presented in this presentation have not been materially modified from the original announcements.
APPENDIX 1 – EXPLORATION TENEMENT INFORMATION
As at 30 September 2018, the Company has an interest in the following tenements:
Location |
Tenement |
Percentage Interest |
Status |
Tenement Type |
Jan Karski, Poland |
Jan Karski Mine Plan Area (K-4-5, K-6-7, K-8 and K-9)* |
100 |
Granted |
Exclusive Right to apply for a mining concession |
Jan Karski, Poland |
Kulik (K-4-5) |
100 |
Granted |
Exploration |
Jan Karski, Poland |
Syczyn (K-8) |
100 |
Granted |
Exploration |
Jan Karski, Poland |
Kopina (K-9) |
100 |
Granted |
Exploration |
Debiensko, Poland |
Debiensko 1** |
100 |
Granted |
Mining |
Debiensko, Poland |
Kaczyce 1 |
100 |
Granted |
Mining & Exploration (includes gas rights) |
* In July 2015, Prairie announced that it had secured the Exclusive Right to apply for a Mining Concession for Jan Karski as a result of its Geological Documentation for the Jan Karski deposit being approved by Poland’s MoE. The approved Geological Documentation covers areas of all four original Exploration Concessions granted to Prairie (K-4-5, K-6-7, K-8 and K-9) and includes the full extent of the targeted resources within the mine plan for Jan Karski. As a result of the Exclusive Right, Prairie was the only entity with a legal right to lodge a Mining Concession application over Jan Karski for the period up and until 2 April 2018. Under the Polish GML, a Mining Concession application comprises the submission of a Deposit Development Plan (“DDP”), approval of a spatial development plan (rezoning of land for mining use) and an Environmental Consent decision. Prairie has previously announced that the DDP and spatial development plans for Jan Karski have already been approved.
However, as of the date of this report, Prairie has not yet received the required Environmental Consent decision, which remains pending. Prairie completed an Environmental and Social Impact Assessment and made submissions to RDOS for an Environmental Consent decision in October 2017. Prairie has not been able to apply for a Mining Concession for Jan Karski due to the delay in the issuance of an Environmental Consent decision. However, the Environmental Consent proceedings continue to progress and the Company has received notice from the RDOS to provide supplementary information to the originally submitted Environmental & Social Impact Assessment.
The approval of Prairie’s Geological Documentation in 2015 also conferred upon Prairie the legal right to apply for a Mining Usufruct Agreement over Jan Karski for an additional 12-month period beyond April 2018, which precludes any other parties being granted any licence over all or part of the Jan Karski concessions. Under Polish law, the MoE is strictly obligated, within three months of Prairie making an application for a Mining Usufruct Agreement, to grant the agreement. It should be noted that the MoE confirmed Prairie’s priority right in two written statements (i.e. in a final administrative decision dated 11 February 2016 and in a formal letter dated 13 April 2016). Prairie applied to the MoE for a Mining Usufruct Agreement over Jan Karski in late December 2017. As of the date of this report the MoE has not made available to Prairie a Mining Usufruct Agreement for Jan Karski, therefore breaching the three-month obligatory period for the agreement to be concluded. Legal advice provided to Prairie concludes that failure of the MoE to grant Prairie the Mining Usufruct Agreement is a breach of Polish law. Accordingly, the Company commenced legal proceedings against the MoE through the Polish courts in order to protect the Company’s security of tenure over the Jan Karski concessions. Since the MoE has not provided a decision within three months regarding Prairie’s Mining Usufruct application, the Polish civil court has the power to enforce conclusion of a Usufruct Agreement in place of the MoE. In the event that a Mining Usufruct Agreement is not made available to the Company on acceptable terms or the Company does not enter into a Mining Usufruct Agreement for any other reason, other parties may be able to apply for exploration or mining rights for all or part of the Jan Karski concession area. However, given that the Civil Court has approved Prairie’s motion for an injunction against the MoE, as described above, the MoE is now prevented from entering into a Usufruct agreement or concession with any other party besides Prairie until the full court proceeding has concluded.
As previously disclosed by the Company, since April 2015, Bogdanka has made a number of applications and appeals to the Polish authorities seeking a Mining Concession application over the Company’s K-6-7 Exploration Concession and priority right (only one Exploration Concession which comprises of the Jan Karski Mine). All applications and appeals previously made by Bogdanka have been outright rejected. However, Bogdanka has made a further appeal to the Supreme Administrative Court. A court hearing for this appeal has now been scheduled for mid-November. The Supreme Administrative Court has no authority to grant Bogdanka a Mining Concession but it may however cancel the MoE’s previous rejection decision.
If the Supreme Administrative Court does cancel the MoE’s decision, the MoE will be required to re-assess Bogdanka’s Mining Concession application. As discussed above Bogdanka has in the past raised several appeals challenging the Company’s title to the Exploration Concessions and Geological Documentation comprising the Jan Karski Mine. There is therefore no guarantee that Bogdanka will not seek to file further appeals to future decisions taken by government departments in the course of the Jan Karski Mine development timeline. Furthermore, Bogdanka has filed a another Mining Concession application for the K-6-7 area subsequent to the MoE not providing Prairie with a Mining Usufruct Agreement as discussed above. However, given that the Civil Court has approved Prairie’s motion for an injunction against the MoE, the MoE is unable to grant a Mining Concession for K-6-7 to Bogdanka (or any other party other than Prairie) until full court proceedings are concluded.
** Under the terms of the Debiensko Mining Concession issued in 2008 by the MoE (which is valid for 50 years from grant date), commencement of production was to occur by 1 January 2018. In December 2016, following the acquisition of Debiensko, Prairie applied to the MoE to amend the 50 year Debiensko Mining Concession. The purpose of the concession amendment was to extend the time stipulated in the Mining Concession for first production of coal from 2018 to 2025. Prairie has now received an initial and appealable, first instance decision from the MoE that has denied the Company’s amendment application. However, Prairie continues to have valid tenure and ownership of land at Debiensko. Not meeting the production timeframe stipulated in the concession does not immediately infringe on the validity and expiry date of the Debiensko Mining Concession, which is June 2058. Prairie also holds a valid environmental consent decision enabling mine construction. Prairie will appeal the MoE’s decision on the basis that its justification for denial is fundamentally flawed for a number of reasons including failure to take into account the requirements of the law and public interest in Poland, and the relevant facts of the Company and its amendment application. Prairie will strongly defend its position and continue to take relevant actions to pursue its legal rights regarding the Debiensko concession. Prairie’s legal team is in the process of preparing this appeal, which will point out the deficiencies of the MoE’s first instance decision. However, if Prairie’s appeal is unsuccessful, then this may lead to the commencement of proceedings by the MoE to limit or withdraw the Debiensko concession. Prairie also has the right of further appeal to Poland’s administrative courts. The Company will consider any other actions necessary to ensure its concession rights are preserved, which may result in the Company taking further action against the MoE including invoking the protection afforded to the Company under any relevant bi-lateral or multi-lateral investment treaties or such other actions as the Company may consider appropriate at the relevant time.
+Rule 5.5
Appendix 5B
Mining exploration entity and oil and gas exploration entity quarterly report
Introduced 01/07/96 Origin Appendix 8 Amended 01/07/97, 01/07/98, 30/09/01, 01/06/10, 17/12/10, 01/05/13, 01/09/16
Name of entity |
||
PRAIRIE MINING LIMITED |
||
ABN |
Quarter ended (“current quarter”) |
|
23 008 677 852 |
30 September 2018 |
Consolidated statement of cash flows |
Current quarter $A’000 |
Year to date (3 months) |
||
1. |
Cash flows from operating activities |
– |
– |
|
1.1 |
Receipts from customers |
|||
1.2 |
Payments for |
(780) |
(780) |
|
(a) exploration & evaluation |
||||
(b) development |
– |
– |
||
(c) production |
– |
– |
||
(d) staff costs |
(336) |
(336) |
||
(e) administration and corporate costs |
(292) |
(292) |
||
1.3 |
Dividends received (see note 3) |
– |
– |
|
1.4 |
Interest received |
61 |
61 |
|
1.5 |
Interest and other costs of finance paid |
– |
– |
|
1.6 |
Income taxes paid |
– |
– |
|
1.7 |
Research and development refunds |
– |
– |
|
1.8 |
Other (provide details if material) (a) Business development costs (b) Property rental and gas sales |
(57) 94 |
(57) 94 |
|
1.9 |
Net cash from / (used in) operating activities |
(1,310) |
(1,310) |
|
2. |
Cash flows from investing activities |
– |
– |
|
2.1 |
Payments to acquire: |
|||
(a) property, plant and equipment |
||||
(b) tenements (see item 10) |
– |
– |
||
(c) investments |
– |
– |
||
(d) other non-current assets |
– |
– |
||
2.2 |
Proceeds from the disposal of: |
– |
– |
|
(a) property, plant and equipment |
||||
(b) tenements (see item 10) |
– |
– |
||
(c) investments |
– |
– |
||
(d) other non-current assets |
– |
– |
||
2.3 |
Cash flows from loans to other entities |
– |
– |
|
2.4 |
Dividends received (see note 3) |
– |
– |
|
2.5 |
Other (provide details if material) |
– |
– |
|
2.6 |
Net cash from / (used in) investing activities |
– |
– |
|
3. |
Cash flows from financing activities |
– |
– |
|
3.1 |
Proceeds from issues of shares |
|||
3.2 |
Proceeds from issue of convertible notes |
– |
– |
|
3.3 |
Proceeds from exercise of share options |
– |
– |
|
3.4 |
Transaction costs related to issues of shares, convertible notes or options |
(37) |
(37) |
|
3.5 |
Proceeds from borrowings |
– |
– |
|
3.6 |
Repayment of borrowings |
– |
– |
|
3.7 |
Transaction costs related to loans and borrowings |
– |
– |
|
3.8 |
Dividends paid |
– |
– |
|
3.9 |
Other (provide details if material) |
– |
– |
|
3.10 |
Net cash from / (used in) financing activities |
(37) |
(37) |
|
4. |
Net increase / (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents for the period |
11,016 |
11,016 |
|
4.1 |
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period |
|||
4.2 |
Net cash from / (used in) operating activities (item 1.9 above) |
(1,310) |
(1,310) |
|
4.3 |
Net cash from / (used in) investing activities (item 2.6 above) |
– |
– |
|
4.4 |
Net cash from / (used in) financing activities (item 3.10 above) |
(37) |
(37) |
|
4.5 |
Effect of movement in exchange rates on cash held |
1 |
1 |
|
4.6 |
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
9,670 |
9,670 |
|
5. |
Reconciliation of cash and cash equivalents |
Current quarter |
Previous quarter |
5.1 |
Bank balances |
2,170 |
3,016 |
5.2 |
Call deposits |
7,500 |
8,000 |
5.3 |
Bank overdrafts |
– |
– |
5.4 |
Other (provide details) |
– |
– |
5.5 |
Cash and cash equivalents at end of quarter (should equal item 4.6 above) |
9,670 |
11,016 |
6. |
Payments to directors of the entity and their associates |
Current quarter |
6.1 |
Aggregate amount of payments to these parties included in item 1.2 |
(175) |
6.2 |
Aggregate amount of cash flow from loans to these parties included in item 2.3 |
Nil |
6.3 |
Include below any explanation necessary to understand the transactions included in items 6.1 and 6.2 |
|
Payments include executive remuneration (including bonuses), director fees, superannuation and provision of a fully serviced office. |
7. |
Payments to related entities of the entity and their associates |
Current quarter |
7.1 |
Aggregate amount of payments to these parties included in item 1.2 |
– |
7.2 |
Aggregate amount of cash flow from loans to these parties included in item 2.3 |
– |
7.3 |
Include below any explanation necessary to understand the transactions included in items 7.1 and 7.2 |
|
Not applicable
|
8. |
Financing facilities available |
Total facility amount at quarter end |
Amount drawn at quarter end |
8.1 |
Loan facilities |
– |
– |
8.2 |
Credit standby arrangements |
– |
– |
8.3 |
Other (please specify) |
– |
– |
8.4 |
Include below a description of each facility above, including the lender, interest rate and whether it is secured or unsecured. If any additional facilities have been entered into or are proposed to be entered into after quarter end, include details of those facilities as well. |
||
9. |
Estimated cash outflows for next quarter |
$A’000 |
9.1 |
Exploration and evaluation |
(500) |
9.2 |
Development |
– |
9.3 |
Production |
– |
9.4 |
Staff costs |
(300) |
9.5 |
Administration and corporate costs |
(200) |
9.6 |
Other (provide details if material) |
(50) |
9.7 |
Total estimated cash outflows |
(1,050) |
10. |
Changes in tenements |
Tenement reference and location |
Nature of interest |
Interest at beginning of quarter |
Interest at end of quarter |
10.1 |
Interests in mining tenements and petroleum tenements lapsed, relinquished or reduced |
– |
– |
– |
– |
10.2 |
Interests in mining tenements and petroleum tenements acquired or increased |
– |
– |
– |
– |
Compliance statement
1 This statement has been prepared in accordance with accounting standards and policies which comply with Listing Rule 19.11A.
2 This statement gives a true and fair view of the matters disclosed.
[lodged electronically without signature]
Sign here: …………………………………………………… Date: 31 October 2018
(Director/Company secretary)
Print name: Dylan Browne
Notes
- The quarterly report provides a basis for informing the market how the entity’s activities have been financed for the past quarter and the effect on its cash position. An entity that wishes to disclose additional information is encouraged to do so, in a note or notes included in or attached to this report.
- If this quarterly report has been prepared in accordance with Australian Accounting Standards, the definitions in, and provisions of, AASB 6: Exploration for and Evaluation of Mineral Resources and AASB 107: Statement of Cash Flows apply to this report. If this quarterly report has been prepared in accordance with other accounting standards agreed by ASX pursuant to Listing Rule 19.11A, the corresponding equivalent standards apply to this report.
- Dividends received may be classified either as cash flows from operating activities or cash flows from investing activities, depending on the accounting policy of the entity.
END
Prairie Mining #PDZ – EU Confirms Coking Coal as a Critical Raw Material while Market Fundamentals Continue to Improve
EU Confirms Coking Coal as a Critical Raw Material while Market Fundamentals Continue to Improve
- European Commission continues to designate coking coal as a Critical Raw Material in its 2017 review
- Coking coal continues to enjoy a strong market and spot price environment with hard coking coal prices above US$200/t FOB Australia
- Market analysts forecast underinvestment in new coking coal mine development has potential to result in sustained high coking coal prices
- European coking coal supply and demand fundamentals continue to improve with recovery of the steel making sector and increased reliance on imported coking coal as European production declines
- Polish Government strongly supports development of new, modernised coal mines in order to meet future demand
- Increasing demand for electric vehicles is expected to drive growth in steel supply to the European automobile industry
- Large infrastructure development programs across Europe including High Speed 2 Rail in the UK, Poland’s transportation redevelopment plan, and China’s Belt and Road Initiative to contribute to European steel consumption
Prairie Mining Limited notes market fundamentals continue to improve for Prairie’s two large-scale Tier One coking coal projects as the European Commission reaffirms coking coal as a “Critical Raw Material” for Europe.
Prairie remains ideally positioned to supply coking coal to meet Europe’s steel demand in the future.
Prairie’s Chief Executive Officer Ben Stoikovich commented “The outlook for increased coking coal demand from Europe’s steel producers coupled with reducing European supply is creating a ‘perfect storm’ for Prairie to become the go-to supplier of the critical raw material. Europe’s steel producers which supply the vast automobile industry are now noting the potential increase in demand for steel due to the move towards vehicle electrification over the coming decades. We are well positioned to supply the required coking coal to produce the steel from the heart of Europe’s steel making industry.”
COKING COAL REMAINS A CRITICAL RAW MATERIAL FOR EUROPE
The European Commission has confirmed coking coal’s status as a Critical Raw Material in its 2017 list, which features 27 raw materials and updates the 2014 list. The primary purpose of the list is to identify the raw materials with a high supply-risk and a high economic importance to which reliable and unhindered access is a concern for European industry and value chains.
Following an objective methodology, the list provides a factual tool for trade, innovation and industrial policy measures to strengthen the competitiveness of European industry in line with the renewed industrial strategy for Europe, for instance by:
- identifying investment needs which can help alleviate Europe’s reliance on imports of raw materials;
- guiding support to innovation on raw materials supply under the EU’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme; and
- drawing attention to the importance of critical raw materials for the transition to a low-carbon, resource-efficient and more circular economy.
Importantly for both of Prairie’s projects, it is expected that the list will incentivise the European production of critical raw materials through facilitating the launching of new mining activities.
Table 1: 2017 Critical Raw Materials |
|||
Antimony |
Baryte |
Beryllium |
Bismuth |
Borate |
Cobalt |
Coking Coal |
Fluorspar |
Gallium |
Germanium |
Hafnium |
Helium |
HREEs |
Iridium |
LREEs |
Magnesium |
Natural graphite |
Natural rubber |
Niobium |
PGMs |
Phosphate rock |
Phosphorus |
Scandium |
Silicon metal |
Tantalum |
Tungsten |
Vanadium |
European steel makers – including the newly-formed ThyssenKrupp Tata Steel Joint Venture – are now looking ahead to supply a changing automobile industry with the introduction of electric vehicles and concurrently supply numerous major European infrastructure programs.
- Increasing demand for ultra-low emission vehicles is expected to drive growth in steel supply to the European automobile industry. Almost 0.5 tonnes of coking coal are required to produce the structural, electrical and plated steel for each electric car. Specifically, steel is an important component of the electric vehicle structure and will be in the powertrain, enhancing the electric motor’s efficiency, range and power. Further, lithium-ion batteries commonly used in electric vehicles will require steel while infrastructure including the production of machinery, charging units and “refuelling hubs” for electric vehicles will also require steel.
- According to BHP Billiton, China’s Belt and Road Initiative to advance globalisation and trading – which includes several European countries including Poland – could result in up to 150 million tonnes of incremental steel demand.
- UK infrastructure projects including the High Speed 2 Rail Line and the construction of the Hinkley Point C Nuclear Power Station are expected to use over 3 million tonnes of steel – equivalent to 375 London Olympic Stadiums.
STRONG COKING COAL ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES
Hard coking coal prices have returned to levels above US$200/t FOB Australia mainly attributable to proactive buying in the seaborne market by steel producers concerned about future potential supply disruptions from Australia due to weather.
Longer term, market analysts have suggested recent and sustained underinvestment in new mine development has the potential to result in a lack of new supply in coming years which may sustain higher coking coal prices even in a lower demand scenario. According to industry analysts there is an expected decrease in supply of 0.5% per annum until 2020.
POLISH ECONOMISTS AND INDUSTRY EXPERTS ACKNOWLEDGE PRAIRIE AS CLEAR FUTURE SUPPLIER
A key independent adviser to the Polish Government, the Polish Academy of Sciences1, recently published a report confirming Prairie’s Jan Karski and Debiensko Mines as obvious sources of future coking coal supply for the European steel industry. The Polish Academy of Sciences is a statutory institution which provides expert advice to the Polish Government and is one the most prestigious and reputable academic institutes in Poland. The report suggested:
“Both domestic and European demand for coking coal is also expected to increase. However, the supply of this raw material is low – 85% of coking coal used in the EU in 2016 was imported. Therefore, Polish authorities are interested in promoting both the material and domestic steel industry, in order to secure a bigger share of European market to Poland – especially in Central Europe.
It is necessary to open new seams at existing mines, or building new mines, to guarantee the energy security of the country and to ensure sufficient supply of material for the steel industry (in Poland and in European Union).”
Importantly, the report concluded that private mining businesses such as Prairie would indeed complement, rather than compete, with state-controlled mining companies.
“The Polish mining sector faces a great opportunity, as foreign private companies shall bring in the best innovative technologies and international practices in undertaking and implementing modern mining projects, thus leading to the natural transfer of innovative technologies to Polish industry.”
The findings of the report are in line with the Polish Commercial and Industrial Chamber of the Metallurgical Sector which in a recent paper acknowledged:
“One of the most important cost components, decisive for the economic standing of the steel sector, is the price of coking coal, and resulting prices of coke. It is worth remembering that undisturbed and attractively priced supplies of such materials from Polish mining and coking plants shall continue to be the base for development and competitive advantage of Polish steel industry and operation of directly and indirectly connected sectors.
Polish coking coal is attractive to the steel sector due to its price, resulting from high quality and geographic rent. In the event of insufficient supply of domestic coal, necessary imports (from countries like Australia and the USA) could have significant impact on both prices and flexibility of production in the sector2“.
POLISH GOVERNMENT HIGHLIGHTS THE NEED FOR NEW COAL MINES SUCH AS PRAIRIE’S PROJECTS
In December 2017, Vice Minister of Energy Mr. Grzegorz Tobiszowski publicly discussed the requirement of investment into the Polish coal mining industry which included the construction of new coal mines:
“To be effective we should invest in new technologies, using modern equipment, but also consider building new shafts and new mines – and then we will be able to mine coal effectively”
During a speech in the same month, Minister of Energy, Mr. Krzystof Tchorzewski discussed the need for at least two new coal mines in Poland. The Minister stated:
“…today we face this challenge. There is a requirement for investment…into new longwalls, but also the necessity to build new mines is looming”
Prairie will pioneer the introduction of international best practice in mine design, production organisation and technology to deliver substantial operational and product quality improvements in the development of its Jan Karski Semi-Soft Coking Coal Mine in the Lublin Basin and its Debiensko Hard Coking Coal Mine in Upper Silesia.
Coal mining technology in Poland has not kept pace with international best practices, thereby negatively impacting efficiency of existing mines. Prairie will start with a “clean slate”, drawing on modern international experience in all areas of development including:
- Modern exploration techniques – provide more accurate and reliable estimation of resources and improved mine planning
- Optimized targeting of coal seams – focuses on maximizing net present value by targeting highest quality coal seams first
- Modern mine design – reduces operating costs, improves coal yields and optimizes logistics
- New technologies – focuses on increased automation, improved productivity and safety
- Improved Labour Organisation – flexible shift structures, bonuses based on production targets aimed at increasing productivity, reducing costs and aligning staff interests with corporate goals
To view this announcement in full including all illustrations and figures, please refer to www.pdz.com.au
For further information, please contact:
Prairie Mining Limited |
Tel: +44 207 478 3900 |
Ben Stoikovich, Chief Executive Officer |
Email: info@pdz.com.au |
Sapan Ghai, Head of Corporate Development |
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