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Alan Green joins the UK Investor Magazine podcast to discuss the commodities super cycle – Mast Energy Developments #MAST, Advance Energy #ADV and Caerus Mineral Resources #CMRS
Alan Green discussed the commodities super cycle on the UK Investor Magazine Podcast as it began at the beginning of 2021. Since then, major commodities indices have increased dramatically with copper touching 10 year highs and Oil breaching $70.
Demand for commodities is increasing as economies reopen after the pandemic and under investment in commodity exploration and development has caught supply off guard leading to higher prices. This is particularly evident in Lumber markets which has seen $25,000 added to the cost of constructing the average US home.
With the Federal Reserve hinting QE tapering is some way off, meaning interest rate increases won’t be happening for some time, the path is clear for further commodity price rises. We explore what this means for equity markets and how commodities shares could outperform over the next decade.
We discuss Mast Energy Developments (LON:MAST), Advance Energy (LON:ADV) and Caerus Mineral Resources (LON:CMRS).
Andrew Hore – Quoted Micro 12 April 2021
Virgata Services is making a 50p a share cash offer for Walls & Futures REIT (WAFR) and that is a 52% discount to net assets at the end of September 2020. It is a premium to the market price prior to the announcement, but management recommends shareholders take no action. The bid values Walls & Futures REIT at £1.9m. Six shareholders own more than 80% of the company. Roy Nominees holds 33.2% and Standard Life Trustee Co Ltd holds 22.9%. Virgata is owned by the family office of the Goetstouwers family, and it has a property portfolio worth €80m, plus stakes in developments in the Netherlands. All the interests are outside of the UK.
Love Hemp (LIFE) plans to move to the Main Market later this year and has raised £5m at 3.5p a share. The cash will finance a global market campaign for its CBD and hemp products.
Sativa Wellness Inc (SWEL) has raised C$3.6m from the first tranche of its private placement. Sativa is offering two and eight day quarantine tests for travellers returning to the UK.
Good Energy (GOOD) is appointing Nigel Pocklington as chief executive. He is the former chief commercial director at Moneysupermarket.com. He starts on 1 May. Good Energy is making a further £1m investment, via a convertible, in electric vehicle mapping services provider Zap-Map’s parent company Next Green Car. Good Energy already owns 50.1% of Next Green Car. Zap-Map covers more than 95% of the UK public electric vehicle charging points.
KR1 (KR1) has invested a further $150,000 in Moonbeam Network for 30,000 GLMR tokens, taking the total owned to 130,000 tokens.
On 6 April, Coinsilium (COIN) $3.13m of cryptocurrency and tokens, up from $1.98m two months earlier.
Gunsynd (GUN) says that investee company Low 6 is on course to float in the second quarter of 2021. The B2B pool betting firm has 122,000 users.
Clean Invest Africa (CIA) has signed a memorandum of understanding Exagogi for the development of opportunities in India for CoalTech. India has high stockpiles of coal fines waste, which CoalTech can clean-up.
A general meeting has been requisitioned by shareholders at Early Equity (EEQP).
Evrensel Capital Partners has not subscribed the £250,000 for shares in Truspine Technologies (TSP) that it promised last September. TruSpine has raised £35,000 at 10p a share, taking the total raised in the latest fundraising to £620,500.
Tectonic Gold (TTAU) has raised £634,000 following the exercise of warrants at 0.7p each. Tectonic has raised A$215,000 from selling part of its holding in VOX Royalty Corp.
EPE Special Opportunities (ESO) had a nav of 448.15p a share at the end of March 2021.
Chris Akers has reduced his stake in Quetzal Capital (QTZ) from 17.2% to 12.3%.
Gowin New Energy (GWIN) has appointed Novum Securities as corporate adviser and trading in the shares has recommenced.
AIM
Minds + Machines (LSE: MMX) is selling its business and assets to GoDaddy for $120m (£87m) and this is equivalent to 8.8p a share, after transaction costs. ICANN needs to provide approval for the transfer of the top level domains. The company will become a shell.
Mobile phone and technology recycler and reseller musicMagpie could have an enterprise value of between £180m and £220m when it plans to join AIM later in April. The company buys and resells smartphones, computers, CDs, DVDs, books and other products that might have ended up in landfill. The market for pre-owned technology and media is estimated to be growing at 10% a year. In the year to November 2020, revenues were £153.4m and EBITDA was £13.9m.
Demand remains strong from the rail sector for software and consultancy services from Tracsis (TRCS), although the data and events businesses had a tougher time. Interim profit declined in the first half. finnCap forecasts a recovery in full year pre-tax profit from £8.3m to £9.1m, before a much larger increase in 2021-22 assuming trading is nearer to past levels. The Williams rail review is due to be published and this could provide additional opportunities for Tracsis.
International payment services provider Equals (EQLS) increased business revenues in 2020, but a slump in consumer revenues due to the lack of travel. Total revenues were 4% ahead at £29m and Equals made a small profit. In the first quarter of 2021, revenues were flat at £8m and again this masks business growth, plus the comparatives were strong in this period. Canaccord Genuity has upgraded its 2021 pre-tax profit forecast from £3.8m to £4.2m.
FIH Group (FIH) lost money in the UK last year, but this was more than offset by profits in the Falklands. The art distribution and Portsmouth Ferry operations were hit by Covid-19 lockdowns.
Oil palm plantation operator Dekel Agri-Vision (DKL) produced 71,500MT in the first quarter. Crude palm oil sales were 27% higher at 13,921MT and average realised prices are one-fifth higher. Dekel is on course to make a pre-tax profit in 2021.
Arena Events (ARE) has been successful in its bid for the business and assets of Aztec Schaffer. Arena will pay $3.35m for a 50% stake in a new joint venture owner of the assets and there will be a debt financing package of $18.25m.
MAIN MARKET
Sales of new and used cars by Lookers (LOOK) fell by 10% last year. However, it appears to have gained market share in new cars. Peel Hunt has increased its 2021 pre-tax profit forecast by £11m to £34.8m.
Stranger Holdings (STHP) has signed heads of terms to acquire Technology Minerals, which itself is involved in acquisitions of businesses producing battery raw materials and recycling batteries. These include Recyclus Group, which Stranger has previously considered buying. League of Angels founder Barney Battles has been appointed as a non-executive director.
Caerus Mineral Resources (CMRS) is acquiring PR Ploutonic Resources. This includes the Troulli, Kokkinapetra and St Nicholas copper and gold licences. Caerus is paying £750,000 in shares.
Argo Blockchain (ARB) says March revenues were at a record level of £6.57m. This reflects the installation of additional equipment and a higher bitcoin price.
Tirupati Graphite (TGR) achieved record graphite production in the first quarter of 2021. Work continues on increasing capacity at the Sahamamy project in Madagascar.
Anemoi International (AMOI) has raised £240,000 at 4p per depositary interest.
Andrew Hore
Alan Green on China & Equities, plus Echo Energy #ECHO, Union Jack Oil #UJO & Caerus Minerals #CMRS on UK Investor Magazine podcast
Alan Green joins the Podcast as news filters through Burberry has been the first British luxury brand to feel the wrath of China over pressure on their human rights abuses. This follows similar action against Nike which sent the sports brand share price spiralling.
In a Podcast packed full of commodities companies we look at the potential for China to damage the business model’s of FTSE 100 miners who export commodities from Australia to China. China has recently put restrictions on Australian exports and has managed to find alternatives from other neighbours.
If they decide to ramp up restrictions as part of a backlash against the West, the impact for the FTSE 100 could be devastating.
We discuss Echo Energy (LON:ECHO), Union Jack Oil (LON:UJO) and Caerus Mineral Resources (LON:CMRS)
Andrew Hore – Quoted Micro 22 March 2021
Rogue Baron (SHNJ) has sold a shipment of 857 cases of Shinju Japanese whisky in the US. Each case of six bottles sells for up to $150. There was a total of 9,000 bottles of Shinju sold in 2020. US sales are growing so quickly that the company has decided to focus on the market and delay moves into other markets.
KR1 (KR1) has invested a further $150,000 in Vega Protocol in exchange for 194,999.17 VEGA tokens and made an initial $200,000 investment in the Starks Network. KR1 has also generated a further 77,542.92 Polkadot tokens and they were sold for $1.85m. KR1 still has nearly 3.5 million Polkadot tokens. Mona Elisa has been appointed as a non-executive director.
Block Commodities (BLCC) and Century Cobalt Corporation have entered an option agreement to acquire a 70% interest in a medicinal cannabis licence granted to Magnus Cannabis Group in Zimbabwe. Each of the buyers will hold a 35% interest. The option fee is £50,000. The payment for the interest will be £1.5m in Block shares at 0.07p each and £1.5m of Century Cobalt shares. Block no longer intends to acquire Sierra Leone-based Greenbelt Company.
Chris Akers has increased his stake in Quetzal Capital (WENP) from 9.4% to 15.2%.
Love Hemp (LIFE) has signed a five-year sponsorship agreement with UFC.
David Rigoli is joining the board of Veni Vidi Vici (VVV) and he has an interest in electric vehicle commodities.
AfriAg Global (AFRI) is holding a general meeting on 12 April to gain shareholder approval for the reverse takeover of Apollon Formularies Ltd. AfriAg will change its name to Apollon Formularies.
Wheelsure Holdings (WHLP) has raised £25,000 at 13.5p a share.
AIM
Online fashion retailer In The Style (ITS) joined AIM last week. The share price increased from the 200p placing price to 235p. Existing shareholders raised £46.8m from share sales, while there was £9.1m net raised by the company. There will be more investment in the technology platform and there are plans for an international version of the company’s app.
Underlying 2020 revenues at digital payments business Boku (BOKU) were one-fifth higher at $56.4m helped by a six-month contribution from Fortumo. Profit grew even though there was a higher loss from the identity division. There was net cash of more than $50m at the end of 2020, although that includes cash held on behalf of others. In 2021, there should be further growth in digital payments and an improved performance by the identity division.
Trading at document management and technology recycling business Restore (REST) has continued to improve since the second quarter of last year. In 2020, revenues fell from £216m to 3183m, while pre-tax profit dipped from £36m to £23m. This year pre-tax profit should be getting back towards the 2019 level. There are opportunities for further add-on acquisitions.
Futura Medical (FUM) says that erectile dysfunction topical gel formulation MED3000 should be certified as a class 2B medical device which can be obtained without a prescription. This could happen by May. US approval is also progressing.
Diagnostic data provider and analyser Diaceutics (DXRX) was able to launch its DXRX platform at the end of 2020 and it is already winning projects and building up recurring revenues. In 2020, revenues declined from £13.4m to £12.7m and Diaceutics fell into loss. It should return to profit this year.
Renewable energy company Bion (BION) has opened an office in the UK in order to expand in Europe. Two biogas plants in Malaysia are selling electricity generated from biogas produced from palm oil mill effluent. Another two plants will be generating electricity in the next few months.
Trans-Siberian Gold (TSG) has recommended a 118p a share mandatory cash offer from Horvik, which has already agreed to acquire a 51.2% stake.
Telit Communications (TCM) is releasing DBAY Advisers from its restriction on making a bid within six months of previously ending bid talks.
Waterford Finance and Investment is making a mandatory offer for former AIM company Gulfsands Petroleum having bought the stake previously owned by ME Investments for £3.43m. Waterford is also taking ownership of the convertible loan notes owned by ME. Waterford had a 37.3% stake in Gulfsands and it is deemed to be acting in concert with Blake Holdings, owned by Richard Griffiths and James Ede-Golightly. The Waterford stake in the Syria-focused oil and gas company has increased to 52.45% and the combined stake is 83.93%. The bid is 4.035p a share.
CEPS (CEPS) subsidiary Hickton Group has acquired gas and electrical safety consultancy Millington Lord for up to £1.1m.
Dye and Durham no longer intends to bid for IDOX (IDOX), which has sold its Netherlands grants consultancy.
Tremor International (TRMR) has made a filing with the SEC ahead of a potential US listing. Tremor believes it would get a rating more in line with US Ad Tech companies.
Kodal Minerals (KOD) has raised £3.5m at 0.125p a share. This will be used to develop the Bougouni lithium project in Mali and to fund exploration of three gold projects.
MAIN MARKET
Caerus Mineral Resources (CMRS) joined the standard list last Friday after raising £1.92m net at 10p a share. The share price rose to 13p. Caerus is exploring for copper, gold and silver in Cyprus, having acquired New Cyprus Copper, which owns 70% of a company with 12 exploration licences in four project areas in Cyprus. Completion of a work programme will earn a further 20% stake in the subsidiary with the opportunity to acquire the other 10% within 12 months of the work programme for A$2m.
Supply@ME (SYME) has signed heads of agreement to acquire Singapore-based commodities trade enabler TradeFlow Capital Management.
Standard list shell Marwyn Acquisitions Company 1 (MAC1) is raising £130m at 100p a share. Vin Murria has joined the board and she will be investing £17.5m for a 13.1% stake. Murria is likely to seek a large international software acquisition for this vehicle.
Sanofi is terminating its licence agreement with Oxford Biomedica (OXB) but there should not be any significant impact on medium-term revenues.
Toople (TOOP) continues to reduce monthly cash burn. The proceeds of a sale of 1.05 million shares at 0.06p each by the wife of the boss of a subsidiary will be used to repay a £462,000 loan.
OTAQ (OTAQ) has invested $150,000 and converted its loan notes in Minnowtech, which has developed an imaging product using OTAQ sonar technology. This gives OTAQ a 15.2% stake.
CML Microsystems (CML) says shareholders should receive 50p a share in cash by 26 March. Net cash will be more than £30m after this payment, which comes out of the proceeds of the disposal of the storage division. The continuing communications business generated slightly higher revenues in the second half than in the first half. Orders are improving.
Antimicrobial materials technology developer HeiQ (HEIQ) has signed a five-year contract with ICP, which develops thin film coatings for packaging. ICP will use HeiQ Viroblock in its coatings. This could be worth $8m in the first two years. Over five years the royalty revenues should be $30m. This follows a deal with Berger Paints, which could generate $600,000 over one year.
BATM Advanced Communications (BVC) has received around $29m for the completed disposal of NGSoft. The cash will be reinvested in network function virtualisation and molecular diagnostics.
Andrew Hore