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Quoted Micro 28 October 2024

AQUIS STOCK EXCHANGE

Electrification technology developer Equipmake (EQIP) has raised £3m at 3p/share. Chief executive Ian Foley has subscribed for 6.67 million shares, although his stake will be diluted to 34.1%. The cash should last for six months and move the business towards cash breakeven. There was £2.48m in the bank at the end of May 2024. In the year to May 2024, the cash outflow from operations was £6.3m. The company estimates a requirement of £5.5m for working capital over the next 12 months. A potential licensing agreement could bring in £4.6m over a two-year period. Equipmake could reach cash breakeven in 2025-26. The focus is on higher margin work and bus repowering range will be rationalised. Costs are also being reduced, but it is investing in its commercial team.

Igraine (KING) has secured right of first refusal on current and future battery storage projects developed by GEM Energia. AIM-quoted Vela Technologies (VELA) is providing a loan facility with a minimum commitment of £200,000. Igraine will issue 35.5 million shares, which is 29.1% of the company, to GEM in return for the rights. David Levis, the chief executive of GEM, is joining the Igraine board as an executive director. He founded GEM to develop battery energy storage projects in the UK. It develops the projects up to the point where it either sells them or proceeds with the development itself. Igraine will have the right to receive 8% of the sales proceeds of a disposal or be involved in their further development. Initial sites will be sold to generate cash for Igraine and strengthen the balance sheet. Each site requires £150,000-£250,000 to secure grid connections and get to the ready to build stage. Every MW of capacity is valued at £120,000. After costs, a 100MW site could generate cash of more than £7m. There are four sites which are already in progress.

Oscillate (MUSH) has started hydrogen operations in Minnesota. A hydrogen soil-gas sensor has been bought and pre-field work started, which will provide data to enable further progress. Igraine has been diluted from 10.2% to 5.05% following the recent share issue.

Lift Global Ventures (LFT) says investee company Trans-Africa Energy has not received the £12m it was waiting for from an African investor. It is talking to alternative sources of finance for the energy infrastructure project in Ghana. The redemption date on the loan notes held by Lift Global Ventures has been extended to the end of 2024 and in return the value will be increased from £1m to £1.25m.

Ananda Developments (ANA) says two of its potential medicines, MRX2 and MRX2T, will be used in National Institute for Health and Care Research and NHS co-funded phase IIIa epilepsy clinical trials involving up to 500 patients. This could support marketing authorisation applications if the trials are successful.

EDX Medical Group (EDX) has raised £300,000 from a Saudi Arabian investor at 11p/share, which was a 22% premium to the market price.

Corporate businesses developer Macaulay Capital (MCAP) managing director David Horner has doubled his shareholding to 500,000 shares by buying 250,000 shares at 20p each. His family has a 24.9% stake. Marula Mining (MARU) director Jason Brewer has increased his shareholding by 340,000 shares at 5.38p each. That takes his stake, held through Gathoni Muchai Investments to 9.13%. Mike Cass has increased his stake in BWA Group (BWAP) to 15.1%. James and Alexandra Pace have a 5% stake in Shepherd Neame (SHEP).

AIM

Footwear retailer Shoe Zone (SHOE) says that poor weather hit second half sales, but it has traded in line with expectations. Full year revenues were 3% lower at £161.3m with a second half decline wiping out the interim growth. Trading did improve in August and September. Zeus forecasts a fall in pre-tax profit from £16.5m to £9.5m. The full year dividend will slip from 17.4p/share to 6.2p/share.

Disinfection products supplier Tristel (TSTL) beat expectations in the year to June 2024. There were initial revenues from the US, but they will take time to build up. Sales grew in nearly every market, with small dips in Australasia and China. A price increase in the UK, combined with higher volumes, helped hospital medical device decontamination jump 38%. The main growth in sales is in the UK and Europe. In the year to June 2024, revenues improved from £36m to £41.9m, while pre-tax profit rose from £6.2m to £8.2m. There was a reallocation of costs from overheads to cost of sales, so this affected comparatives. The total dividend was raised 29% to 13.52p/share.

Telecoms enterprise software provider Cerillion (CER) continues to grow faster than its underlying market. Revenues were 14% higher in the second half, enabling profit to be better than expected. There are record new orders and this underpins further growth in the next couple of years. The €12.4m order from the previously unnamed Virgin Media Ireland is contributing to the growth. It probably generated £6m last year. This is the first contract with a tier-1 telecoms company and could help to win other contracts with this level of business. In the year to September 2024, revenues were 12% ahead at £43.8m.

Online marketing services provider XL Media (XLM) is selling its North American business for up to $30m in cash, with $20m payable on completion and up to $10m in April – based on revenues and gross profit in 2024. Some cash should be redistributed to shareholders by the end of the year. The company will effectively become a cash shell.

EnergyPathways (EPP) has been asked by the UK government to participate in the Hydrogen Storage Business Model. This will help to define the new investment support scheme. The first Hydrogen Storage Allocation Round should be in 2025.

Seascape Energy Asia (SEA) has been awarded a 28% participating interest in a production sharing contract over the DEWA complex cluster, offshore Sarawak, Malaysia. Enquest owns 42% and Petroleum Sarawak holds 30%. The area has 12 gas discoveries in shallow water near to the coast. Six will be focused on and these have 500bcf of gas in place. Seascape Energy Asia will commit $600,000 for a detailed resource assessment and field development plan.

Specialist recruitment firm Gattaca (GATC) reported an underlying 2023-24 pre-tax profit decline from £3.7m to £2.9m on 5% lower net fee income of £40.1m. There was a 3% increase in net fee income for contract work, but permanent income dropped by one-third. Despite the decline, Gattaca is gaining market share. Costs have been reduced and the US business has been sold. There could be a modest improvement in profit this year.

Prospex Energy (PXEN) recently acquired a 7.2365% working interest in the onshore Spain Viura gas field, which recommenced production last week. The Viura 1B development well has encountered significant gas shows in the Utrillas-A reservoir and a new gas bearing reservoir interval below that. The well, which cost Prospex Energy €375,000, could contribute to production in November Flow testing results for the deeper reservoir will be available next year. There should be a significant upgrade to recoverable reserves. The European gas price is rising.

Musical instruments retailer Gear4Music (G4M) continues to recover with growth in the second quarter nearly offsetting the decline in the first quarter and further improvement in October. In the six months to September 2024, UK sales grew 4%, but European sales declined. Total sales were 1% lower at £61.7m. Gross margin has fallen back, but the interim loss will be reduced. Full year revenues are expected to be higher and pre-tax profit could jump from £1.1m to £2.8m.

Information and data publisher Merit Group (MRIT) has been hit by the ending of project work and the lack of replacement work. Sales resource is being added, but that will take time to boost revenues. Canaccord Genuity has changed its 2024-25 forecast from a £900,000 profit to a loss of £800,000 after a 11% reduction in expected revenues to £18.5m, which is lower than the 2022-23 figure. A return to profit is forecast for next year. There are management changes that are flagged for next year.

Ariana Resources (AAU) has reviewed the data for the Dokwe gold project in Zimbabwe. There are several zones of potential extensions to mineralisation. There are also gold-in-soil anomalies to follow up and drilling is planned. The in-pit resource is 1.2moz in two open pits at Dokwe Central and Dokwe North. Measured and indicated resources are 30Mt at 1.3g/t gold. Ariana Resources believes there could be annual production of up to 100,000 ounces of gold for up to 15 years. A revision of the pre-feasibility study is underway.

At the end of the week, property developer and investor Caledonian Trust (CNN), which has been on AIM for more than 29 years, announced its proposed departure. The direct annual cost of the quotation is £100,000 and liquidity is poor. A general meeting to gain shareholder approval will be held on 18 November. There is already support from holders of 85.3% of the shares. The quotation could end on 26 November. NAV is 195.1p/share.

Adams (ADA) is proposing the cancellation of the AIM quotation and sell off the company’s investments, many of which are also quoted on AIM, to return the cash to shareholders. Prior to this Adams will be buying back shares at 4p each. The estimated NAV is 3.72p/share. Liquidity is limited because Richard Griffiths owns 94% of Adams.  A general meeting will be held on 27 November and, if passed, the cancellation will be on 5 December.

MAIN MARKET

Advanced materials developer HeiQ (LON: HEIQ) has found growing its business difficult, particularly in textiles, flooring and antimicrobials and not recovery is expected until well into 2025. Another restructuring plan will cut costs and focus on certain facilities. Non-core operations will be scaled back. Some parts of the business may be sold, and outside finance is being sought for AeoniQ. Part of the cost cutting is giving up the listing. This should take effect on 19 November. Because the shares are on the transition category of the market since the restructuring of the Main Market, no shareholder vote is required. The shares will be traded by JP Jenkins. Daren Morecombe has increased his stake from 14.5% to 22%.

Bloomsbury Publishing (BMY) grew interim revenues by 32% to £179.8m, while pre-tax profit jumped from £17.7m to £26.6m. This is due to strong consumer division revenues due to strong sales of fantasy fiction and cookery books.

LED lighting and wiring accessories supplier Luceco (LUCE) increased third quarter revenues by 3% with residential EV charging the main growth area. However, excluding acquisitions, like-for-like revenues were 3.6% lower, partly due to phasing of orders so that there is a strong fourth quarter order book. Margins are improving. Net debt was £67m at the end of September 2024.

Andrew Hore

Andrew Hore – Quoted Micro 1 February 2021

AQUIS STOCK EXCHANGE

Property investment company Ace Liberty and Stone (ALSP) more than doubled its interim profit. In the six months to October 2020, rental income was 7% lower at £3.22m, while pre-tax profit was 121% higher at £674,000. The profit improvement was due to lower interest charges, offset by a £200,000 write down on assets held for sale. Rent collections have exceeded 80% each quarter. There were £131,000 of rent concessions written off in the period. NAV is £32.2m. Net debt was £49.6m at the end of October 2020. Loan to value is 53%. There is no interim dividend.

Sativa Wellness (SWEL) plans to achieve UK FSA Novel Foods accreditation by the end of March. This will enable the company to sell CBD products under the Goodbody brand and white labels. An online store will be launched. It will also be completing the integration and simplification of the businesses. Management believes the company can become cash generative from operating businesses this year. Chief executive Henry Lees-Buckley has stepped down from the holding company board.

NQ Minerals (NQMI) has resumed exploration at the Beaconsfield mine, which has 483,000 ounces of JORC compliant mineral resources.

Gunsynd (GUN) increased its stake in Rincon Resources to 17.3%. The company’s employee benefit trust is subscribing for 15 million shares at par and that will raise £12,750. That equates to a 3.7% stake.

World High Life (LIFE) raised £566,000 at 1p a share. First quarter revenues of Love Hemp were 13% ahead of the previous quarter.

Altona Energy (ANR) raised £523,000 at 6.5p a share, although £355,000 is still to be received. The cash will enable the company to complete due diligence on two rare earths mining projects in Africa and a move to the standard list. Two more possible acquisitions of rare earths assets are being negotiated.

Early Equity (EEQP) raised £243,000 at 0.5p a share.

Eastinco Mining and Exploration (EM.P) executive chairman has acquired 650,000 shares at 2.0308p each, which takes his stake to 6%. Arbuthnot Banking (ARBB) chairman and chief executive Sir Henry Angest bought 3,161 non-voting shares in the financial services provider. He owns 56.1% of the voting shares and 64.9% of the non-voting shares.

AIM

Insolvency-related litigation firm Manolete Partners (MANO) has warned that the pipeline of new cases has slowed because of the government’s Covid-19 support for businesses. Case enquiries have fallen sharply, and this is expected to remain the case until the end of March at least. Manolete has already completed twice as many cases as in the year to March 2020. Gross cash collected from cases was £9.3m up until the end of December and the company’s share is £4.8m compared with cash overheads of £3.2m.  Full year realised profit will be higher than expected but the increase in unrealised gains will not be as much as anticipated. There may be a small second half profit. Mithaq Capital took a 16.1% stake on the day of the trading statement. Three non-executives bought shares.

Ideagen (IDEA) increased its annual recurring revenues to £54.8m at the end of October 2020 with organic growth of 7%. The document management and compliance software supplier says that 83% of its revenues are recurring. It is on course to improve full year pre-tax profit from £14.3m to £17.2m.

Dekel Agri-Vision (DKL) has completed a £3.5m fundraising at 5p a share. Dekel plans to spend £1.1m in cash and shares acquiring a further 16.7% of the raw cashew nut processing project in Tiebissou, Cote d’Ivoire. That will take the stake to 70.7%. The rest of the cash will fund the ongoing business.

Cloud-based PCI-compliant payment services provider PCI-Pal (PCIP) increased interim revenues by 56% to £3.2m. Total annual contract value has risen to £8.3m. Net cash was £2.1m at the end of 2020.

Beximco Pharma (BXP) increased interim revenues from £112.6m to £125.8m. Export sales were flat. Pre-tax profit increased from £15.5m to £19.4m. Beximco has received the first consignment of five million doses of the Oxford/ AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine.

CIP Merchant Capital (CIP) has rejected a potential 50p a share cash bid by Corporation Financière Européenne S.A. That compares with the last quoted NAV of 78.05p a share.

MAIN MARKET

Publisher Bloomsbury Publishing (BMY) continued to trade strongly with revenues ahead of expectations. Investec has upgraded forecast 2020-21 revenues by 4% and earnings per share by 19% to 14.1p a share, which is still down on last year. There should be net cash of £50m by the end of February 2021.

IT firm Triad Group (TRD) says that results in the second half will be well ahead of the same period last year.

Associated British Engineering (ASBE) has still not published its accounts for the year to September 2020. Management is considering opportunities that will help to get the share trading suspension lifted.

Andrew Hore

Brand CEO Alan Green talks PowerHouse Energy #PHE, Bloomsbury Publishing #BMY, Salt Lake Potash #SO4 & Vast Resources #VAST on Vox Markets podcast

Brand CEO Alan Green talks PowerHouse Energy #PHE, Bloomsbury Publishing #BMY, Salt Lake Potash #SO4 & Vast Resources #VAST with Justin Waite on the Vox Markets podcast. Interview is 9 minutes 40 seconds in.

Harry Potter still casts a spell over Bloomsbury Publishing #BMY revenues. Buy in run up to FY results next month, says VectorVest.

London based Bloomsbury Publishing Plc (BMY.L) is a leading independent publishing house established in 1986. It has companies in London, New York, Sydney and Delhi. It publishes media and electronic reference material, children books, fiction and non-fiction books, audiobooks, scholarly imprints, library of reference materials, educational books, dictionary and language books, literary, adult non-fiction books, academic books and journals, and sports yearbooks.

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On March 19th2018, BMY published a trading update for the year ended 28 February 2018. The company said that revenues will be slightly ahead of expectations, but profits will be well ahead of the Board’s expectations. This follows excellent sales, particularly in January and February, with lower than anticipated returns, driven by certain titles including Tom Kerridge’s Lose Weight For Good, which has been number one in the Overall Nielsen BookScan UK chart for four weeks since its publication on December 28th 2018. In addition, the net cash balance is now expected to be around £25m, significantly ahead of expectations. Final results for the year will be published on 22 May 2018.

An upward move in the GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) metric was picked up by VectorVest as far back as October 2017. This growth continued all the way through to today’s GRT rating of 22%, which VectorVest considers to be excellent. Although the RS (Relative Safety) metric only registers a fair rating of 1.00 (scale of 0.00 to 2.00), trading at 183p the stock is still way below the current VectorVest valuation of 219p per share.

A weekly chart of BMY.L is shown above over the past two years. The share has recently been revalued positively by the VectorVest program. This is a strong leading indicator of a move in the share price. Technically the share has been trading sideways but charting rising bottoms as shown by the trendline on the chart which suggests a breakout in the share price.

Summary: Historically of course, most of us subconsciously attribute any success enjoyed by BMY to the phenomenally successful Harry Potter series. VectorVest however have long appreciated that BMY is anything but a one trick pony: as publishers of Wisdens, Whos Who, Independent School Yearbooks and a raft of other publishing companies within the group, this is a highly resilient and investable company. The recent trading update provides further evidence of this, and combined with an excellent GRT of 22%, BMY is rated a buy at VectorVest in the run up to the results on May 22nd.

Dr David Paul

April 11th 2018

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