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Andrew Hore – Quoted Micro 30 July 2018

NEX EXCHANGE        

Milamber Ventures (MLVP) has signed heads of terms for the acquisition of health and social care training provider Orchard Rock. Milamber will pay up to £1.9m in cash and shares. If the deal goes ahead then there will be an initial cash payment of £800,000. A further £200,000 is payable when the management handover is completed and up to £900,000 is payable in shares depending on EBITDA. In the year to April 2018, Orchard Rock achieved revenues of £980,000 and EBITDA of £374,000. The deal includes a 15% stake in digital learning business YourHippo in return for £100,000 in shares. At the AGM, shareholders voted through the authorities required for equity and debt funding for the Orchard Rock deal. Two new private investors have acquired 166,668 shares at 9p each.

Smart home products supplier Sandal (SAND) says that its smart home products revenues exceeded £1m in the year to May 2018. This growth did not quite offset the fall in the PowerConnections division due to destocking. Two product ranges have been discontinued at a stock write-off cost of £72,000. According to Equity Development, MiHome revenues could almost double this year and they would represent most of the growth in group revenues and help Sandal to move into profit. In 2019-20, MiHome should be generating the majority of group revenues.

Peru-based VI Mining (VIM) is acquiring the Cushuro gold project for $27.5m in (5.75 million) shares from Karmin Exploration. Karmin has restrictions on selling shares until 2 March 2020. Cushuro is in the same region as the existing two silver and gold projects.

MetalNRG (MNRG) is acquiring the Gold Ridge project in Arizona, which includes three mines that were previously producing gold. MetalNRG will pay $700,000 in cash and shares to Winston Gold Corporation.

South Africa-based social impact investor Inqo Investments Ltd (INQO) had R2.9m in cash at the end of February 2018. There are also loans of R784,000 to offset against that. Full year revenues increased from R17m to R23m, but the lack of other income meant that Inqo has fallen back into loss. The Kazuko game reserve is achieving better room rates and higher occupancy, helped by the weak Rand. Honey producer Bee Sweet Honey generated revenues from the May 2017 harvest but not from the November one because of bad weather. There was also an interest contribution from Four One Financial Services.

Crispin Freeman, non-executive director of Hydro Hotel, Eastbourne (HYDP), has bought 600 shares at 740p each, thereby taking his stake to 6,600 shares.

AIM  

Pennant International Group (PEN) has achieved three-fifths of its 2018 profit forecast in the first half. The defence training services provider expects to report a more than doubled interim profit of £2.1m on the back of a 30% increase in revenues. The order book is worth £30m. A full year profit of £3.5m is forecast. This is without a contribution from the potential Middle East contract.

Geospatial data technology developer 1Spatial (SPA) is raising £8m at 3.75p and this cash will be deployed to repay the overdraft, develop additional technology and win new customers.

APC Technology Group (APC) has raised £2.54m at 6.75p a share in order to help finance the £2.2m acquisition of Aspen Electronics, although £500,000 is being paid in shares. This has sparked a one-third upgrade in the Stockdale 2018-19 earnings per share forecast to 0.75p. Aspen distributes RF and microwave components.

Tern (TERN) is raising £2.9m at 26p a share. This cash will help to develop its investee companies, particularly cyber security business Device Authority. Tern has a 50% stake in Internet of Things business InVMA, which has acquired the IP of AMIHO Technology, which has developed technology for the connectivity for the smart energy sector.

Judges Scientific (JDG) continues to benefit from currency movements and operating profit will show progress at the interim stage. The interims will be published on 18 September. There should be less of second half bias this year. At the end of June 2018, the order book stood at more than 14 weeks.

Holders Technology (HDT) moved back into profit in the six months to May 2018 and both PCB and LED businesses increased their revenues. An interim loss of £53,000 was turned into a profit of £65,000. The interim dividend is unchanged at 0.25p a share. NAV is 96p a share, which is double the current share price.

Online gaming marketing services provider Veltyco (VLTY) has made consistent progress since reversing into an AIM shell but this has come to a halt. Marketing revenues continue to grow but the progress of 51%-owned Bet90 has been slower than expected, sparking the decision to spend more on marketing. This means that group EBITDA will be lower than expected. Altair Entertainment owes Veltyco €3.4m and it has agreed to pay €300,000 a month. Veltyco had €1m in the bank at the end of June 2018.

Financial services provider STM Group (STM) says first half trading was in line with expectations. The Harbour acquisition should be fully integrated with STM Malta by the end of August. STM is recruiting additional directors and management.

Wynnstay Properties (WSP) is acquiring units 10-15 in Petersfield Business Park for £3.83m. The current annual rent is just over £203,000.

Beximco Pharmaceuticals (BXP) is exporting its fourth product to the US. The latest product is an anti-diabetic drug, which is the generic equivalent of Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Glucophage.

MAIN MARKET    

Bioquell (BQE) increased its revenues by 9% to £15.7m in the first half of 2018. The bio decontamination services provider generated like-for-like revenues growth of 15% at constant currency rates. Pre-tax profit is two-fifths higher at £1.96m, although that includes a £76,000 gain on disposal. There is £15m in the bank.

Telecoms services provider Toople (TOOP) had a slightly more successful third quarter. Gross profit was 57% higher than the third quarter of the previous year. That follows flat gross profit at the interim stage. However, gross profit needs to be much higher to cover overheads.

Laurence Orbach has stepped down as a director of book publisher Quarto Group (QRT).

Andrew Hore

Andrew Hore – Quoted Micro 22 January 2018

NEX EXCHANGE

Capital for Colleagues (CFCP) reported a decline in full year revenues from £560,000 to £372,000 and there was no repeat of the realised gains on investments in the previous year. There was an increase in unrealised gains from £71,000 to £317,000. However, there was a £1.32m investment impairment. This meant that a profit of £158,000 was turned into a loss of £1.17m. There is £1.28m in the bank. The employee-owned businesses investor is focusing on managing its portfolio and the advisory business spun off into a joint venture. The NAV is 42.7p a share.

First Sentinel (FSEN) has invested the £1.4m it raised when it joined NEX last year. These investments include fellow NEX-quoted company NQ Minerals, where First Sentinel boss Brian Stockbridge is chairman, AIM-quoted UK Oil and Gas Investments and AIM-quoted Premier African Minerals. There is a £65,000 loan to unquoted tea cafés operator Yumchaa, where Stockbridge is 50% shareholder. The loan has an interest rate of 12% and lasts until October.

Block Energy (BLOK) has further delayed the planned move to AIM. The oil and gas company has a new expected admission date of end-February. Trading remains suspended on NEX.

AIM

Mark Watkin Jones intends to step down as chief executive of student and private rental accommodation developer Watkin Jones (WJG) but he will stay until a successor is identified. In the year to September 2017, revenues were 13% higher at £301.9m and underlying operating profit rose by a similar percentage to £42.7m. The dividend was 6.6p a share, equivalent to a 10% increase if Watkin Jones had been quoted for all the previous year. Investor demand for student accommodation and private rental residential property remains strong.

Van Elle (VNL) has an outstanding debt of £1.6m from failed facilities management and construction company Carillion. finnCap has also assumed lower second half profit of £1.3m relating to expected business from Carillion. The specialist piling contractor has a poor record since floating and this does not help.

Engineering and IT recruitment company Gattaca (GATC) says that most of Carillion’s debt to the company is insured with around £100,000 uninsured. Premier Technical Services (PTSG) says that it has £800,000 of annual revenues with Carillion with £300,000 still owed. Elsewhere, business is in line with expectations. Bilby (BILB) says that it does not think that the contract with CarillionAmey will be impacted.

Sinclair Pharma (SPH) directors have been buying shares on the back of the news that it has received regulatory approval of Ellanse pre-mixed bioresorbable collagen stimulating fillers in Brazil, one of the most important global markets. Ellanse will be soft launched immediately and the full launch is a matter of weeks away. Other Sinclair dermatological products are selling well in Brazil.

K3 Capital (K3C) reported interim figures that were better than forecast. This led to a £1m increase in forecast full year revenues but the pre-tax profit forecast is maintained at £5.4m because of additional costs required to accelerate the growth of the business. The business broker and corporate finance adviser announced an interim dividend of 2.85p a share and a total dividend of 8.2p a share is forecast for the full year.

Full year trading at Midwich (MIDW) was better than expected with revenues 28% ahead at £470m, helped by acquisitions performing ahead of expectations. The audio visual equipment distributor has also improved gross margin. The 2017 results will be published on 13 March.

Utilitywise (UTW) has changed its accounting policy relating to initial revenue recognition of new contracts.

LiDCO (LID) has signed up a new Japanese distributor. Merit Medical has a three year exclusive agreement and there is potential to significantly increase last year’s sales of £117,000. The LiDCOunity version 2 monitor has been approved in Japan.

African Battery Metals (ABM) is the new name for Sula Iron and Gold. Prior to the name change, £1.75m was raised and the Riverfort facility terminated with an associated buy back of shares. ABM is paying $100,000 ($50,000 is still outstanding) for a 70% stake in cobalt licences in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The other shareholder will retain its 30% stake up until a decision is made to mine, so ABM will pay the exploration costs.

Orosur Mining Inc (OMI) produced 7,052 ounces of gold at an average cash operating cost of $867/ounce in the second quarter and plans to produce at least 30,000 ounces in the financial year. Although the South America-focused gold producer and explorer generated $2.16m in cash in the second quarter, there was a $251,000 loss in the period because the all in sustaining cost was higher than the gold price received. Asset Chile has forfeited the 16% stake it earned in Anillo because it did not move into phase 2 of the project.

Shareholders have approved share buybacks by China New Energy Ltd (CNEL) until the end of 2019. Up to one-fifth of the shares can be acquired for less than 2p a share. The bioenergy technology developer and operator increased revenues from £8.85m to £24.7m in 2017 and the order book is worth £13.7m. The company was profitable last year and anticipates it will be in 2018.

Data software company WANdisco (WAND) says bookings increased 45% to $22.5m in 2017 with two-thirds generated by WANdisco Fusion software. There was cash of $27.4m at the end of 2017, with $4m from a new growth capital facility.

Thor Mining (THR) has had its stake in US Lithium diluted to 20.8% due to a A$240,000 fundraising at A$0.12 a share, which is four times the Thor acquisition price. US Lithium plans an ASX-listing.

Veltyco Group (VLTY) is acquiring a 51% stake in Varkasso, which has exclusive rights to use the crypto wallet technology platform 8Crypt, for £265,000 in cash and shares. Veltyco will incorporate the 8Crypt crypto wallet in all the gaming platforms it is involved with.

Newmont Mining has decided not to become involved in the Greatland Gold (GGP)-owned Ernest Giles gold project in Australia. It appears that the project was not in the right place or large enough for Newmont to go ahead with, although it took its time to make a final decision. Greatland benefits from the work conducted by Newmont, which has identified a large gold anomaly. Targeted exploration will be undertaken at Ernest Giles in the first quarter of 2018.

Kodal Minerals (KOD) says that the authorities have approved its exploration licences for the Bougouni lithium project in southern Mali. Triumvirat Mining Company will have a 10% economic interest in the licences, which are for an initial three year life. There has been positive drilling news concerning the Ngoualana and Sogola-Baoule prospects.

Electrical accessories supplier Volex (VLX) moved from the Main Market to AIM on 19 January.

Waste gasification technology business EQTEC (EQT) has partially repaid a five-year, £1.1m loan facility with an annual interest rate of 15%. The remaining balance of £621,000 is repayable in July 2020. The £2m of convertible secured loan note with Altair Group Investment Ltd has been extended until July 2020 and the interest rate doubled to 15%.

Renewable fuels technology developer Velocys (VLS) has raised £14m via a placing at 10p a share and hopes to raise up to £4.4m through an open offer at the same price. Last year, there was a £1.16m share issue at 45p a share. The cash will be used to finance initial development of the Mississippi biorefinery and fund the UK waste-to-renewable jet fuel project which has been around for many years.

Generic drugs supplier Beximco Pharmaceuticals (BXP) expects to complete the £18.2m acquisition of a 85.2% stake in Nuvista Pharma by the end of February.

Gama Aviation (GMAA) says last year’s trading was in line with expectations. The business aviation services provider has incurred $1m of costs relating to legal proceedings and there will be a similar amount to come. There will be around $2.5m of restructuring costs and write-downs. Net debt fell from $19m to $13m.

Although Blancco Technology Group (BLTG) says that first half sales declined this is due to the fact that certain contracts were not repeated in the latest period. The data erasure software business is expected to report continuing full year revenues 6% higher at £28.5m. However, higher overheads mean that there will be little profit.

Cyber security software supplier Crossrider (CROS) says that 2017 trading was in line with expectations and revenues improved 16% to $65.8m, while underlying EBITDA was 29% ahead at $8.3m. Profitability from the core activities more than doubled. There was $69.4m in the bank at the end of 2017.

Legend Gold Corp shareholders have agreed to the arrangement for Altus Strategies (ALS) to acquire the entity that owns the Legend gold projects in Mali in return for 41.1 million Altus shares. The mining projects investor is also applying for a dual listing on the TSX-V. Legend shareholders will be issued three Altus shares for each Legend share that they own, giving them 27.6% of Altus.

Toys supplier Character Group (CCT) says it has exited Christmas with “virtually no excess stocks”. International sales were poor but domestic sales grew. Pokemon products will be launched during the summer.

Caledonia Mining Corporation (CMCL) reported higher than guided annual production at the Blanket gold mine. The prediction was 54,000-56,000 ounces but the outcome was 56,135 ounces.

Sustainable pallets manufacturer RM2 International SA (RM2) had unrestricted cash of $4.1m at the end of 2017, but that could fall to $2m by the end of January. That means that there should be enough cash until the third week in February. Management continues to seek additional finance. There are plenty of potential customers but little in the way of orders.

Tiziana Life Sciences (TILS) has raised a further £150,000 at 150p. This is on top of the £150,000, £275,000 and £200,000 raised at the same price during November and December. There is a warrant with each new share and they are exercisable at 160p a share, although the most recent warrants last until January 2024. The cash is being invested in the phase IIa clinical trial for the Milciclib cancer treatment.
Remote tracking and monitoring products developer Starcom (STAR) says that last year’s turnover improved from $5.1m to $5.5m and lower operating costs mean that it will move from loss to breakeven. Strong orders mean that revenues and margins should improve this year.
Condor Gold (CNR) has obtained a TSX listing.

MAIN MARKET

Path Investments (PATH) is cancelling its standard listing even before finalising its acquisition of a 50% participating interest in the Alfeld-Elze licence and gas field in Germany. The plan is to cancel the standard listing on 19 February and raise money and apply for an AIM quotation in the first quarter of 2018. Path has previously been on AIM in a different guise but if the deal does not go ahead the plan would be to maintain the standard listing.

World Trade Systems (WTS) plans a transaction involving the sale of its assets to a new company that will float on the Channel Islands-based The International Stock Exchange. WTS shareholders will be distributed shares in the new company that will be used to acquire the assets.
Loss-making telecoms firm Toople (TOOP) did not publish a full set of figures on RNS. That is always a giveaway. It did announce that the operating loss declined by 23% to £1.31m in the year to September 2017. Cash flow is much more important for a colander company like Toople.

Technology investment company Sure Ventures (SURE) has joined the Specialist Fund Segment of the Main Market, having raised £3.31m at 100p a share. The main focus is augmented reality, fintech and the Internet of Things.

Challenger Acquisitions Ltd (CHAL) has invested $300,000 in a new giant observation wheel for Dallas, Texas. Challenger also has the opportunity to operate the wheel.

Andrew Hore

Dr David Paul talks VectorVest Composite index, plus AIM stocks BXP, MGNS, DFX, VCP with Jeremy Naylor on IG TV

Dr David Paul discusses the VectorVest Composite index, market timing plus AIM stock picks: Beximco Pharma (BXP), Morgan Sindall (MGNS), Defenx (DFX) and Victoria (VCP) with Jeremy Naylor on IG TV.

Brand CEO Alan Green talks Macron-omics, Beximco Pharma (BXP) & EnQuest (ENQ) on TipTV

Brand CEO Alan Green discusses Macron-omics, Beximco Pharma (BXP) and EnQuest (ENQ) with Zak Mir on TipTV.

Dr David Paul of VectorVest discusses the uptrend in VectorVest Composite UK index on TipTV, plus the early risers portfolio

Dr David Paul, Managing director of VectorVest says the short-term trend and the underlying trends in the ‘VectorVest Composite UK’ index / London market is up, however, caution is advised as more standard indicators like the weekly MACD are suggesting the trend looks matured. “The weekly MACD shows bearish divergence”, says Dr. Paul. Watch the full segment for more info on this week’s VectorVest Early Risers portfolio picks, including Victoria (VCP.L), 3i Group (III.L), Coats (COA.L), Beximco Pharm (BXP.L) & Plus 500 (PLUS.L) &  Dr. Paul’s trade of the day

Buy Beximco Pharmaceuticals (BXP) says VectorVest. Underlying momentum and milestones achieved indicates there is plenty more to come.

Founded in 1976 and based in Dhaka, Bangladesh, Beximco Pharmaceuticals (BXP.L) manufactures and sells generic pharmaceutical formulation products and active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Company also undertakes contract manufacturing for multinational and leading global generic pharmaceutical companies. The Company operates from a 23 acre site in Dhaka and has manufacturing facilities for producing various drugs in different delivery systems such as tablets, capsules, liquids, semi-solids, intravenous fluids, metered dose inhalers, dry powder inhalers, sterile ophthalmic drops, prefilled syringes, injectables, nebuliser solutions and oral soluble films etc. Ensuring access to quality medicines is the powerful aspiration that motivates 3,500 employees of the Company.

On January 27 2017, BXP announced half-year results for the period ended 31 Dec 2016. BXP said net sales increased by 13.6% to BDT 7,630.6m or £79.7m, while profit after tax increased by 17.8% to BDT 1,112.9m or £11.6m in the first half. During the period, the company launched a total of eight new products in the domestic market – three of which were launched for the first time in Bangladesh; Voglibose, Cholecalciferol and Dienogest. It also commenced US export of Carvedilol, a prescription drug for treating hypertension, in August, making it the first Bangladeshi pharmaceutical company to export pharmaceutical products to the US. “With the formal launch of Carvedilol in August, Beximco Pharma became the first Bangladeshi pharmaceutical company to export a prescription drug to US,” explained Beximco managing director Nazmul Hassan. “In addition, we received approval for two more products from US FDA during the period.” Hassan said the company continued to perform well in the domestic market, posting a sales growth of 14.4% over the corresponding period in 2015. “We are confident that we will be able to maintain our growth momentum by achieving our operational and financial targets for the full year.”

The growth in BXP sales in both domestic and export markets, resulted in a series of flags across VectorVest metrics during mid 2016 onwards. The GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) metric, which reflects a company’s 1-3 year forecasted earnings growth rate, flagged at 25.00%, which VectorVest considers to be excellent. In addition the VST (VST-Vector and the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database) rates BXP at 1.26, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. With the growth momentum clearly established, BXP logs a current Value of 84.5p per share, meaning it is undervalued compared to its current price of 69.50p per share.

bxp

The chart of BXP.L is shown above over a period of two years. The price is in candlestick format with the upward trend being clear. The share is undervalued as shown by the price trading below the green line study which is the VectorVest valuation of the stock. In the window below price earnings per share (EPS) is charted via the blue line study and this shows EPS doubling over the period. The share is breaking above a 52 week high and is on a Buy recommendation at VectorVest.

Summary: BXP is currently in a major growth phase, and has passed a number of major milestones over the past year, not least of which is the company’s achievement of becoming the first Bangladeshi pharma company to be approved by the US FDA. The underlying momentum highlighted across VectorVest metrics indicates there is plenty more to come, the share is in a strong upward trend and the probabilities favour a further move upwards to close the valuation gap toward 84.5p.

Dr David Paul

May 3 2017

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