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Cadence Minerals #KDNC – PFS Level Economic Study for the Amapa Iron Ore Project Increases Net Present Value to US$1.97 Billion
Cadence Minerals (AIM: KDNC), the AIM-quoted investment company, is pleased to announce an updated Pre-Feasibility Study (“PFS”) on the Amapá Iron Ore Project (“Amapá”, “Project” or “Amapá Project”), in northern Brazil. Cadence owns an equity stake of 34.6% in the Project. The updated PFS is based on the Direct Reduction grade (“DR-grade”) flow sheet announced on AIM: 26 November 2024.
Highlights:
- 73%[1] increase of post-tax Net Present Value (“NPV10%“) to US$1.97 billion and 56% internal rate of return (“IRR”).
- Average annual free cash flow from start-up to closure is estimated to be US$342 million.
- The Project is estimated to generate a total of US$9 billion in gross revenues, US$4.9 billion in net operating profit and US$4.6 billion in free cash flow over its 15-year mine life.
- Revised processing plant design to produce 5% Iron (“Fe”) DR-grade iron ore concentrate at an average[2] rate of 5.5 million metric tonnes per annum (“Mtpa”).
- Free on Board (“FOB”) C1 Cash Costs US$33.7 per dry metric ton (“DMT”) at the port of Santana. Cost and Freight (“CFR”) C1 Cash Costs US$61.9/DMT in China.
- Pre-production capital of US$377 million, and the payback period is reduced to 3 years due to higher free cash flows.
Cadence CEO Kiran Morzaria commented: “This significant update to the Amapá Prefeasibility Study, which includes the DR-grade concentrate flow sheet, reinforces our firm belief that the project can add substantial value to Cadence. The increased net present value of $1.97 billion and improved post-tax internal rate of return reflect significant advancements in the project’s robust economics.
The Amapá Project represents a well-developed and largely de-risked opportunity, featuring established mineral reserves, advanced environmental permitting, and complete control of integrated rail and port infrastructure. This ownership and control of the infrastructure contribute to the project’s low-cost base and will enable the pursuit of regional expansion opportunities, with substantial resources located within 30 kilometres of the existing rail line. In addition to the DR-grade flow sheet, the project will use 100% renewable energy sources. We anticipate this will help us achieve one of the lowest carbon footprints in the region while still delivering a robust and highly profitable project.
We are excited about the potential of the Amapá Iron Ore Project and look forward to providing further updates on our progress.”
Chairman Andrew Suckling added: “The Amapa Project is now emerging as a material “green iron” project, backed by product quality and highly competitive economic metrics. We are at this juncture due to the tireless efforts of the Board and Project team, and I’d like to put on record my thanks and gratitude to them and our shareholders and stakeholders. I look forward to Amapa playing its part in “green steel” production and the decarbonisation of the iron and steel industry.“
Table 1 Key Project Metrics (100% project basis)
Metric | Unit | Revised PFS July 2024 | Updated DR Grade PFS Nov 2024 |
Total ore feed to the plant | Mt (dry) | 176.93 | 176.93 |
Life of Mine | Years | 15 | 15 |
Fe grade of ore feed to the plant | % | 39.34 | 39.34 |
Recovery | % | 76.27 | 75.27 |
62.0% iron ore concentrate production | Mtpa | 0.95 | – |
65.4% iron ore concentrate production | Mtpa | 4.51 | – |
67.5% iron ore concentrate production | Mtpa | – | 5.52 |
C1 Cash Costs FOB * | US$/DMT | 33.50 | 33.75 |
C1 Cash Costs CFR ** | US$/DMT | 62.19 | 61.93 |
Pre-Production capital investment*** | US$M | 343 | 377 |
Sustaining capital investment over life of mine**** | US$M | 245 | 220 |
AISC Cash Costs FOB***** | US$/DMT | 45.22 | 47.38 |
Platts TSI IODEX 65% Fe CFR used | US$/DMT | 118.75 | 120.00 |
Post-tax NPV10% | US$M | 1,145 | 1,977 |
Post-tax IRR | % | 42 | 56 |
Project payback | Years | 4 | 3 |
Total profit after tax (net operating profit) | US$B | 3.14 | 4.96 |
* | Means operating cash costs, including mining, processing, geology, occupational health and safety environment, rail, port and site G&A, divided by the tonnes of iron ore concentrate produced. It excludes royalties and is quoted on a FOB basis (excluding shipping to the customer). |
** | This means the same as C1 Cash Costs FOB; however, it includes shipping to the customer in China (CFR). |
*** | Includes direct tax credit rebate over 48 months |
**** | Includes both sustaining capital and deferred capital expenditure, specifically, improvements to the railway, the installation of a slurry pipeline and mine site to rail load out |
***** | Includes all the C1 Cash Cost, plus royalties, pre-production capital investment and sustaining capital investment over the life of the mine and is quoted on a FOB basis |
Introduction
The Project comprises an open-pit iron ore mine, a processing and beneficiation plant, a railway line, and an export port terminal. The Amapá Project is 100% owned by DEV Mineração S.A. (“DEV”) and its subsidiaries. DEV is owned by Pedra Branca Alliance Pte. Ltd. (“PBA”), a joint venture (“JV”) between Cadence and Indo Sino Trade Pte Ltd (“Indo Sino”).
The Project ceased operations in 2014 after the port facility suffered a geotechnical failure, which limited iron ore export. Before the cessation of operations, the Project generated an underlying profit of US$54 million in 2012 and US$120 million in 2011. Operations commenced in December 2007, and in 2008, the Project produced 712 thousand tonnes of iron ore concentrate. Production steadily increased, producing 4.8 Mt and 6.1 Mt of iron ore concentrate products in 2011 and 2012, respectively.
Cadence and Indo Sino, through their JV, acquired 100% of DEV’s shareholding in 2022 through the submission of a judicial restructuring plan approved by the unsecured creditors. As part of this plan, DEV sought to redevelop the Amapá Project. This strategy includes a plan to resume operations after plant revitalisation and modifications, aimed at improving product quality and increasing recovery, along with recovery of the port, railway, and support areas.
It should be noted that Indo Sino and Cadence have managed this PFS, and it represents an update to the PFS published on AIM: 3 January 2023 and the revised PFS published on AIM: 9 July 2024. In particular, this updated PFS has been prepared to reflect the 67.5% Fe concentrate flow sheet.
Location
The Project is in Amapá state. Amapá is Brazil’s second least populous state and the eighteenth largest by area. Most of the Amapá state territory is rainforested, while the remaining areas are covered with savannah and plains. The State capital and largest city is Macapá (pop. circa 500,000), with the municipality of Santana (pop. circa 120,000) located just 14km to the southwest.
The Amapá mine is some 125km northeast of the state capital, Macapá, and the port facility is located on the Amazon River in the municipality of Santana, close to Macapá, as shown in (Figure 1). The port site in Santana is located 170km from the mouth of the Amazon River. The nearest populace centre to the Amapá mine is Pedra Branca Do Amapari, some 11km west, with the larger town of Serra do Navio 18 km northwest.
Figure 1 Location of the Amapá Project
Amapá Project Components
The Amapá Project PFS encompasses four distinct but completely integrated operational components that formed part of the original PFS. The four areas are:
Amapá Mining Complex: An open-pit iron ore mine with various open pits, an iron ore concentration and beneficiation plant, associated waste rock dumps, and a tailings management facility.
Railway Line: Integrated 194 km railway line connecting Serra do Navio to the port terminal at Santana. The rail passes via Pedra Branca do Amapari (180 km from the port), located 13 km from the Amapá mine and the plant.
Export Port Terminal: An integrated industrial port site, privately owned and controlled by DEV, is located in Santana. The terminal had the capacity for loading the Supramax and Handymax vessels.
Transhipment Solution: A Capesize vessel is partially loaded at the berth in Santana port and topped off in the open ocean, 200 nautical miles from the berth.
Updated Pre-Feasibility Study
As announced on AIM: 26 November 2024, the Amapá Iron Ore Project completed its metallurgy test work and successfully produced a DR-grade iron ore concentrate. The updated PFS investigates all the design, engineering, and business parameters required to implement the DR-grade flow sheet at a rate of 5.5 Mtpa (dry basis)/6.03 Mtpa (wet basis). This comprises the mine schedule published in July 2024 and the processing plant and associated infrastructure required for DR-grade concentrate production.
Mining Schedule
The improved flow sheet’s annual feed rate (“ROM”) is 13.99 Mtpa (wet base). The mining schedule prepared for the revised PFS published earlier in the year was utilised for this purpose. The mine engineering and design work for this PFS, including equipment requirements and mining strategy, have been undertaken by Wardell Armstrong International. These works have been conducted at the PFS level and incorporate an Ore Reserve Estimate for open pit mining, which was prepared under the guidelines of the JORC Code (2012). The Ore Reserve for the Amapá Project is at 195.8 million tonnes, with an average grade of 39.34% Fe and a cut-off grade of 25% Fe.
A Life of Mine (“LOM”) production plan was scheduled using the Deswik.Blend® Scheduler Optimiser. The solids used in the mine schedule were based on the final pit design, with a Selective Mining Unit of 100m x 200m x 4m. The LOM schedule allows for 15 years of production with the current economic values and cut-off of 25% Fe.
The resultant LOM strip ratio is approximately 0.4:1 (tonnes waste: tonnes ore), and the average ore mine delivered to the plant is 13.99 Mtpa. A site plan of the pits and phases is outlined in (Figure 2).
Figure 2 Open Pit Design Phases
Processing Plant
Pei Si Engineering Incorporated conducted the test work and designed the flow sheet. The metallurgical test work established that the optimal flow sheet utilised a regrind, which feeds into a low-intensity magnetic separator. This process produces two streams: the first stream goes to a reverse flotation circuit, while the second stream is sent to a high-intensity magnetic separator, followed by a second reverse flotation circuit. As a result of the above, the following main changes were made to the original PFS flow sheet published in January 2023.
- Removing the jigging circuit, with the iron being recovered via the grinding, magnetic, and flotation circuits. This improves the iron recovery rate.
- Replacing hydrocyclone desliming with thickeners, improving classification efficiency and lowering power consumption.
- The 67.5% flow sheet will remove the 62% product stream, eliminating the spiral circuit. This will shorten the process flow and reduce power consumption.
- Adding a flow sheet to improve iron concentrates from 65.4% to 67.5% via regrinding the material from the magnetic separator, meaning finer particles can be further liberated, improving iron concentrate grade to 67.5%.
- Replacement of all slurry, water, and reagent pumps involved in the beneficiation process.
- Due to a single concentrate product, the conveyor transport is replaced by a slurry pipeline and filtrate water return pipeline, reducing operating and capital costs.
- The particle size of the concentrate after the tower mills is too fine to be filtered by the existing vacuum disc filters. Therefore, horizontal press filters are required to ensure the moisture content of the filter cake is no greater than 8%.
- A train loading system will be built in the train loading area.
An outline of the plant layout is shown in (Figure 3)
Figure 3 DR-Grade Plant Layout
Cost Estimates
To evaluate the project’s economics, an updated PFS financial model, which included the updated mining schedule, capital costs (“CAPEX”), operational costs (“OPEX”), and revised product price, was developed. All other aspects of the financial analysis remained the same as per the revised PFS published in July 2024.
The CAPEX estimate is based on the layout for all areas of the Project and is supported by mechanical equipment lists and engineering drawings. The costs for these items have been derived from informal vendor quotes for the equipment and materials or consultant engineering databases. Parts of the CAPEX estimate are after tax (with the duties and taxes deemed recoverable calculated separately), include contingency, and exclude escalation. The CAPEX estimate includes all the direct and indirect costs, local taxes and duties and appropriate contingencies for the facilities required to bring the Project into production, as defined by a PFS-level engineering study. As this is a PFS, the cost accuracy is estimated at ± 25% and has a base date of June 2022 and November 2024. Pre-production, deferred and sustaining summaries of the capital cost estimates are provided below. Pre-production CAPEX has increased due to the equipment required to achieve the DR-grade product. However, the variance in the total CAPEX has been reduced. This is a result of producing one product stream, which uses a slurry pipeline to transport the concentrate from the mine to the rail loadout station rather than a conveyor.
Table 2 Pre-Production Capital Cost Estimates
Description | Revised PFS July 2024 (US$M) | Updated DR GradePFS Nov 2024 (US$M) |
Direct Capex Mining | 2.8 | 2.8 |
Direct Capex Beneficiation Plant | 104.4 | 133.7 |
Direct Capex Rail | 28.5 | 28.5 |
Direct Capex Port | 113.9 | 113.9 |
Sub-total Direct Capex | 249.6 | 278.9 |
Sub-total Indirect Capex | 55.7 | 56.4 |
Environment and Community Cost | 7.1 | 6.8 |
Deduct Tax Credit | -14.6 | -14.0 |
Contingency | 44.7 | 49.2 |
Pre-Production Capex Costs | 343.2 | 377.5 |
Table 3 Deferred, sustaining, and closure capital costs over LOM.
Description | Revised PFS July 2024 (US$M) | Updated DR Grade PFS Nov 2024 (US$M) |
Railway (2nd Phase) | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Tailings Storage Facility | 9.8 | 9.8 |
Pipeline Construction / Conveyor | 60.5 | 33.6 |
Pipeline Construction – EIA/RIMA | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Contingency | – | 9.6 |
Stay in Business | 90.7 | 84.4 |
Closure Costs | 62.8 | 62.8 |
Total Deferred Capital Costs | 244.5 | 220.5 |
OPEX for the Project has been prepared based on the Project physicals, detailed estimates of the consumption of key consumables based on those physicals, and the unit cost of consumables.
The periods considered are annual, and production follows the production plan produced by DEV, based on a yearly output of 5.5 Mtpa of DR-grade (dry basis) / 6.03 Mtpa (wet basis). OPEX comprises physicals, labour, reagents and operating consumables, freight and power costs, mobile equipment, utilities, maintenance and mining contract costs, external contractor costs, environmental, and miscellaneous/other General and Administrative (G&A) expenses. OPEX estimates were prepared or advised by independent consulting engineers. The estimate is supported by engineering, benchmarking, and pricing of key consumables and costs derived from past production figures and informal quotes from suppliers. The table below illustrates the operating costs developed by discipline during the PFS. The project FOB and CFR average cash cost per tonne of dry product over the LOM is summarised below. Overall cash costs have been reduced primarily due to the use of the slurry pipeline, which has reduced the plant costs. Mining costs have increased due to the lower recovery rate.
Table 4 FOB and CFR average cash cost per tonne of dry product over the LOM
Cash Cost Per Discipline | Revised PFS July 2024 | Updated DR Grade PFS Nov 2024 |
US$/DMT | US$/DMT | |
Mine | 16.73 | 17.65 |
TSF | 0.08 | 0.09 |
Beneficiation Plant, Pipeline, Transfer & Rail Loading | 10.94 | 10.50 |
Rail Freight | 2.43 | 2.26 |
Port | 1.55 | 1.52 |
G & A | 1.77 | 1.74 |
FOB Cash Costs | 33.50 | 33.75 |
Marine Logistics | 28.70 | 28.18 |
CFR Cash Costs | 62.20 | 61.93 |
DR-Grade Pricing Mechanism
Steel contributes about 8% of global carbon emissions, potentially reaching 12% by 2035. The industry is shifting from traditional Blast Furnace and Basic Oxygen Furnace (“BF/BOF”) methods to Direct Reduced Iron and Electric Arc Furnace (“DRI/EAF”) processes to promote greener production. While BF/BOF emits around 2.2 tons of CO2 per ton of steel, DRI/EAF can reduce this to 0.3-1 per ton with hydrogen. Wood Mackenzie projects EAF’s share will grow from 28% to 38% by 2033, supported by significant government funding to reduce emissions and increase DRI/EAF capacity.
Due to its strong slag rejection capabilities, the BF/BOF process efficiently processes a wide range of iron ore grades. In contrast, the EAF is sensitive to impurities, making low-grade iron ore with high impurity levels problematic for yield and increasing electricity consumption and slag production. Thus, the EAF requires iron ore with over 67% purity and gangue elements like SiO2 and Al2O3 below 2.5%, as shown in (Figure 4).
Figure 4 Summary of Iron Ore Content and Gangue[3]
The drive to decarbonise industries and the rise in DRI and EAF steel production are increasing demand for DR-grade pellet feed, like that envisaged to be produced at Amapá. CRU, a globally recognised consulting firm, estimates that 2050 demand for DR-grade pellet feed is expected to reach 310 million tonnes. In Europe, regulatory pressures to cut emissions further drive demand. However, a significant supply shortfall of about 100 million tonnes is anticipated, necessitating new DR-Grade iron ore projects.
Iron ore is primarily traded on a CFR or FOB basis. CFR transactions transfer ownership upon unloading at the destination and include shipping costs. Due to the lack of transparent indices for products like Amapá’s, the industry recommends using a comparable index with adjustments. The Platts TSI IODEX 65% Fe CFR China is the closest benchmark for assessing Amapá’s DR-Grade product, with an additional premium for the DR-grade material.
The 65% Fe Index for the updated PFS was evaluated using various methods. Price forecasts available in the public domain from Wood Mackenzie (US$92.50/DMT), CRU (US$96.00/DMT), and Fastmarkets (US$120.00/DMT) were considered. Historically, the 3-year trailing price averages US$152.20/DMT, and the 5-year average is US$135.70/DMT1. Based on these considerations, Amapá has used US$120.00/DMT, an increase of US$1/DMT compared to the Project’s previously published PFS.
It is generally agreed that DR-grade iron ores should command a premium over the 65% Fe Index. It is anticipated that the Amapá DR-Grade, given its beneficial properties, will qualify for this premium. One recognised industry assessment technique for product premiums involves utilising a Value in Use (“VIU”) methodology. This approach entails determining a premium or discount by considering Fe, SiO2, and Al2O3 variations compared to the 65% Fe. Amapá has used the premium attributed to the Kamistiatusset Iron Ore Property (“Kami”) in Newfoundland as a guide to determine and assist the Value in Use (VIU) analysis. This analysis suggests a premium of about US$24.8/DMT, though this may not fully account for green premiums or carbon savings.
Table 5 Comparative product specification between Kami and Amapá iron ore projects.
Product | TFe% | SiO2% | Al2O3% | P% | TiO2% | CaO% | MgO% | US$ Premium / DMT |
Amapá Concentrate | 67.5 | 0.6 | 0.84 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 27.6 |
Kami Concentrate | 67.6 | 2.1 | 0.25 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.3 | 0.35 | 24.8 |
Project Financial Analysis
A PFS financial model was developed to evaluate the project’s economics. Summary results from the financial model outputs, including financial analysis, are presented in tables within this section. The financial model considers 100% equity funding for the Project, although, in reality, the financing of the Project will be a mix of debt and equity. However, the existing obligations in terms of principal repayment and current interest liabilities payable have been included in the financial model.
The product change and increased premium associated with DR-grade iron ore concentrate are primary economic drivers to changes in the financial model compared to the revised PFS published in July 2024.
Table 6 Summary of key financial information for the Project.
Item Over Life of Mine | Unit | RevisedPFS July 2024 | Updated DR GradePFS Nov 2024 |
Gross revenue | US$M | 9,389 | 11,242 |
Freight (Maine Logistics) | US$M | (2,351) | (2,188) |
Net Revenue | US$M | 7,038 | 9,054 |
Operating costs | US$M | (2,744) | (2,621) |
Royalties and taxes (excluding income tax) | US$M | (373) | (460) |
EBITDA | US$M | 3,922 | 5,973 |
EBIT | US$M | 3,547 | 5,586 |
Net Taxes and Interest | US$M | (390) | (621) |
Net Operating Profit | US$M | 2,144 | 4,964 |
Initial, Sustaining capital costs & repayments | US$M | (645) | (656) |
Free Cash Flow | US$M | 2,672 | 4,696 |
Item | Unit | RevisedPFS June 2024 | Updated DR Grade PFS Nov 2024 |
Life of mine | Years | 15 | 15 |
Discount rate | % | 10 | 10 |
NPV10% | US$M | 1,145 | 1,977 |
IRR | % | 42 | 56 |
Project Payback | Years | 4 | 3 |
Project Sensitivity Analysis
A sensitivity analysis was performed on key parameters within the financial model to assess the impact of changes on the project’s post-tax NPV (debt-free). To examine the sensitivity of the Project base case NPV, each cost factor’s economic and operational conditions were independently varied within a range of +/—25%, and discount rates were changed within the 8%-15% range.
Project sensitivity analysis demonstrates that the Amapá Project is most sensitive to a change in iron ore concentrate price, followed by logistics costs (marine shipment charges) and operating costs. It was least sensitive to deviation in CAPEX (Figure 5)
Figure 5 Project Sensitivity Analysis (NPV10%)
Cadence Ownership
As of the end of November 2024, Cadence’s total investment in the Amapá Project is approximately US$14.3 million, and its equity stake in the project stands at 34.6%.
For further information contact:
|
|
Cadence Minerals plc | +44 (0) 20 3582 6636 |
Andrew Suckling | |
Kiran Morzaria | |
Zeus (NOMAD & Broker) | +44 (0) 20 3829 5000 |
James Joyce | |
Darshan Patel
|
|
Fortified Securities – Joint Broker | +44 (0) 20 3411 7773 |
Guy Wheatley | |
Brand Communications | +44 (0) 7976 431608 |
Public & Investor Relations | |
Alan Green |
Qualified Person
Kiran Morzaria B.Eng. (ACSM), MBA, has reviewed and approved the information contained in this announcement. Kiran holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Industrial Geology) from the Camborne School of Mines and an MBA (Finance) from CASS Business School.
Cautionary and Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this announcement are or may be considered forward-looking. Forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as “believe”, “could”, “should”, “envisage”, “estimate”, “intend”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, or the negative of those variations or comparable expressions including references to assumptions. These forward-looking statements are not based on historical facts but rather on the Directors’ current expectations and assumptions regarding the company’s future growth results of operations performance, future capital, and other expenditures (including the amount, nature, and sources of funding thereof) competitive advantages business prospects and opportunities. Such forward-looking statements reflect the Directors’ current beliefs and assumptions and are based on information currently available to the Directors. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements, including risks associated with vulnerability to general economic and business conditions, competition, environmental and other regulatory changes actions by governmental authorities, the availability of capital markets reliance on crucial personnel uninsured and underinsured losses and other factors many of which are beyond the control of the company. Although any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are based upon what the Directors believe to be reasonable assumptions. The company cannot assure investors that results will be consistent with such forward-looking statements.
[1] Compared with revised PFS published on AIM: 9 July 2024
[2] Average after one year ramp up until year 14 of mine life
[3]. Champion Iron Limited Pre-feasibility Study for the Kamistiatusset (Kami) Iron Ore Property. [online] Available at: https://company-announcements.afr.com/asx/cia/1e8c4153-e249-11ee-b0cc-26a478d59520.pdf [Accessed 1 Dec. 2024]
Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Amapa Iron Ore Project Confirms Ability to Produce +67% Fe High Purity, Direct Reduction Iron Concentrates
Cadence Minerals (AIM: KDNC) is pleased to announce the metallurgical test results confirming the ability to produce high-purity, Direct Reduction grade (“DR-grade”) iron concentrates at the Amapá Iron Ore Project (“Amapá” or the “Project”) in northern Brazil.
Highlights:
· DR grade concentrate produced at 67.5% Fe with total silica and alumina below 1.5%.
· The process flowsheet has been confirmed to have a PFS level of accuracy.
· DR concentrate was achieved with a finer grind, magnetic separation and reverse flotation, as outlined in the announcement on 17 September 2024.
· The forecast premium for DR-Grade concentrate is projected to rise to around US$20 for each 1% iron content above 65% Fe benchmark.
· A revised economic model based on the DR-Grade sheet is being prepared.
CEO, Kiran Morzaria, commented: “We are excited to announce a significant milestone in the development of the Amapá Project. We have successfully produced a DR-Grade grade concentrate of 67.5% iron, characterised by low silica and alumina levels. The production of DR-grade products at Amapá will substantially improve the project’s economics and allow us to further our discussion with potential collaborators and joint venture partners.”
“The demand for DR-grade products is essential for steel production methods that significantly lower carbon emissions. The demand for DR-grade feed is anticipated to increase by more than five-fold by 2050, reflecting the steel industry’s commitment to decarbonisation. Despite the current limited supply of these products, DR-grade offerings are already commanding substantial price premiums, highlighting their value in the market.”
Chairman, Andrew Suckling, added: “On behalf of myself and the Board, I’d like to record our thanks and gratitude to our shareholders and stakeholders for their patience as we complete each milestone on the road to recommissioning Amapa. Our ability to produce this DR-grade concentrate adds a new value dimension to our flagship project. It gives the Board huge confidence that Amapa can play a role in “green steel” production and the decarbonisation of the iron and steel industry.”
Metallurgical Test Work Programme
Cadence previously announced that Amapá had developed a process flow sheet for producing Direct Reduction (“DR grade”) concentrates with combined SiO2 (“silica”) and Al2O3 (“alumina”) levels below the steel industry’s DR grade standard of 2.5%. The initial results from the test work program have validated the Project’s process flowsheet’s ability to produce DR-grade concentrates.
The test results produced a weighted average final product with a concentrate grade of 67.5% Fe and impurity levels of 0.6% SiO2and 0.8% Al2O3. Furthermore, the iron concentrate grade is expected to be higher and exceed 68% Fe by appropriately adjusting the flotation reagent process parameters.
Pei Si Engineering Incorporated (“PSEI”) conducted the test work and designed the flow sheet. The primary section of the flow sheet, which aims to upgrade the 65% product to 67%, involves regrinding, magnetic separation, and flotation. The test work was carried out on a +65% iron ore concentrate produced from the Amapá Project.
The metallurgical test work established that the optimal flowsheet utilised a regrind, which feeds into a low-intensity magnetic separator (“LIMS”). This process produces two streams: the first stream goes to a reverse flotation circuit, while the second stream is sent to a high-intensity magnetic separator (“HIMS”), followed by a second reverse flotation circuit.
The results indicate that using a fine grinding process (with a fineness of -0.045mm at 79.5%)-LIMS-HIMS-flotation, two types of flotation iron concentrates were obtained: Concentrate I and Concentrate II. Concentrate I achieved a yield of 12.31%, a grade of 69.36% Fe, with SiO2 and Al2O3 contents of 0.10% and 0.39%, respectively, and a total iron recovery rate of 12.89%. Concentrate II yielded 70.57%, with a grade of 67.15% Fe, SiO2 content of 0.71%, Al2O3 content of 0.92%, and a total iron recovery rate of 71.55%. The iron concentrate grade is expected to exceed 68% with appropriate adjustments to the flotation reagent process parameters. The test results are presented in Table 1.
Table 1 Grinding-LIMS-HIMS-Flotation Test Results (%)
Product |
Yield |
Grade |
Fe Recovery Rate |
|||
Fe |
SiO2 |
Al2O3 |
P |
|||
Flotation Con I |
12.31 |
69.36 |
0.10 |
0.39 |
0.039 |
12.89 |
Flotation Con II |
70.57 |
67.15 |
0.71 |
0.92 |
0.089 |
71.55 |
Flotation Middling |
0.96 |
67.14 |
2.32 |
2.87 |
0.118 |
0.98 |
Flotation Tailings |
6.25 |
65.92 |
3.29 |
3.13 |
0.22 |
6.22 |
HIMS Tailings |
9.91 |
55.94 |
3.12 |
3.42 |
0.27 |
8.36 |
Feed |
100.00 |
66.23 |
1.05 |
1.26 |
0.11 |
100.00 |
Product Analysis
The head assays of concentrate I, concentrate II, and the calculated product are shown in Table 2 below:
Table 2 The head assays of Concentrate I and Concentrate II (%)
Product |
Fe |
SiO2 |
Al2O3 |
S |
P |
Cu |
TiO2 |
CaO |
MgO |
Concentrate I |
69.36 |
0.10 |
0.39 |
0.0014 |
0.039 |
0.001 |
0.014 |
0.02 |
0.020 |
Concentrate II |
67.15 |
0.71 |
0.92 |
0.0017 |
0.089 |
0.002 |
0.025 |
0.03 |
0.026 |
Product |
67.48 |
0.62 |
0.84 |
0.0020 |
0.082 |
0.002 |
0.023 |
0.03 |
0.025 |
Upon microscopic examination of the sample, it was observed that the iron minerals were highly liberated, reaching over 90%, with occasional intergrowths of gangue minerals, such as quartz, alongside iron minerals like hematite. Fine grinding can further enhance liberation, which is beneficial for mineral processing to reduce the silica and alumina impurity content in the iron concentrate. It was also noted that phosphorus primarily adsorbs onto hematite, resulting in isomorphous substitutions. Given the iron content (above 67% Fe) and the low levels of silica and alumina impurities (totalling less than 2.5%), this product can be marketed as direct reduced (“DR”) grade iron ore concentrate[1].
“Dr Grade” Concentrate Market and Price
The DR-grade feed suitable for low-emission steelmaking represents 3% of global seaborne iron ore production. Its availability is crucial for transitioning to “green steel” and decarbonising the iron and steel industry. DR-grade concentrates are used as feedstock for new Direct Reduced Iron / Electric Arc Furnace (DRI-EAF) facilities, replacing older, coal-dependent Blast Furnace / Basic Oxygen Furnace (BF-BOF) operations.
High-grade Blast Furnace feed (over 66% iron) is increasingly sought during this transition, as it lowers carbon emissions when blended with lower-grade Direct Shipping Ores (under 62% iron). The metallurgical tests focus on producing DR-grade Concentrates. These concentrates typically contain over 67.5% iron and low levels of impurities like silica, alumina, phosphorus, and sulphur, with a total of below 3%.
The current premium for DR-grade iron ore is approximately US$5 for each 1% iron content above 65%[2]. In comparison, this premium is projected to rise to around US$20 for each 1% iron content above 65%[3]. This change would have a positive impact on the Project’s net present value (“NPV”) of US$1.14 billion. We anticipate an improvement in the NPV in our updated economic model.
Next Steps
Testing has been conducted at the pre-feasibility study (“PFS”) level. PSEI is currently reviewing the flow sheet outlined in Figure 1 below. The goal is to publish a revised economic analysis at the PFS level incorporating a product stream with an expected purity of 67.5% and an updated NPV.
Figure 1 Amapa Process Flowsheet
About the Amapá Project and Cadence Ownership
The Amapá Project is a brownfield integrated iron ore project in the Amapá State of Brazil. It has Mineral Resources of 276 million tonnes (“Mt”) at 38.33% Iron (“Fe”) and Ore Reserves of 196 Mt at 39.34%. The Project consists of the mine, processing plant, wholly owned port and a 194km railway, all operated by PBA.
As of 31 August 2024, Cadence’s total investment in the Amapá million was approximately US$14.2 million, and its equity stake in the project stands at 34.5%, an increase of approximately US$0.57 million since 30 June 2024
For further information contact:
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|
Cadence Minerals plc |
+44 (0) 20 3582 6636 |
Andrew Suckling |
|
Kiran Morzaria |
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Zeus Capital Limited (NOMAD & Broker) |
+44 (0) 20 3829 5000 |
James Joyce |
|
Darshan Patel |
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Fortified Securities – Joint Broker |
+44 (0) 20 3411 7773 |
Guy Wheatley |
|
Brand Communications |
+44 (0) 7976 431608 |
Public & Investor Relations |
|
Alan Green |
Qualified Person
Kiran Morzaria B.Eng. (ACSM), MBA, has reviewed and approved the information contained in this announcement. Kiran holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Industrial Geology) from the Camborne School of Mines and an MBA (Finance) from CASS Business School.
Cautionary and Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this announcement are or may be considered forward-looking. Forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as “believe”, “could”, “should”, “envisage”, “estimate”, “intend”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, or the negative of those variations or comparable expressions including references to assumptions. These forward-looking statements are not based on historical facts but rather on the Directors’ current expectations and assumptions regarding the company’s future growth results of operations performance, future capital, and other expenditures (including the amount, nature, and sources of funding thereof) competitive advantages business prospects and opportunities. Such forward-looking statements reflect the Directors’ current beliefs and assumptions and are based on information currently available to the Directors. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements, including risks associated with vulnerability to general economic and business conditions, competition, environmental and other regulatory changes actions by governmental authorities, the availability of capital markets reliance on crucial personnel uninsured and underinsured losses and other factors many of which are beyond the control of the company. Although any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are based upon what the Directors believe to be reasonable assumptions. The company cannot assure investors that results will be consistent with such forward-looking statements
Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Fundraise to raise £750,000 for further Amapa Project activities
Cadence Minerals (AIM: KDNC) announces that it has successfully raised, subject to Admission, £625,000 before expenses (the “Placing”) by the way of a placing arranged by Fortified Securities of 25,000,000 new ordinary shares (the “New Ordinary Shares”) in the capital of the Company at a price of 2.5 pence per Ordinary Share (the “Issue Price”).
In addition to the above subscription, Andrew Suckling, Kiran Morzaria, and Donald Strang (together, the “Subscriber Directors”) have also agreed to subscribe for an aggregate of 5,000,000 New Ordinary Shares at the Issue Price, raising gross proceeds of £125,000 (“Subscription”).
The Issue Price represents a discount of approximately 18 per cent to the closing price of 3.05 pence per ordinary share on 11 July 2024, being the latest practicable business day prior to the publication of this Announcement.
Use of Funds
The net proceeds of the fundraise will be used to fund Cadence’s investment in the Amapá Iron Ore Project in Brazil (“Amapá”, “Project” or “Amapá Project”), specifically:
- The continued testing of the 67% Fe “Green Iron” product flow sheet, to a PFS level or accuracy.
- Prepare and publish a revised PFS economic model should the 67% flow sheet be successful that reflects the increase pricing anticipated from the product and any change in capital or operating expenditure in the revised flowsheet.
- General working capital at the Amapá Project and ongoing funding for the licensing for the tailing storage facility.
Related Party Transactions
As the Directors of the Company, being the Subscribing Directors, are considered to be “related parties” as defined under the AIM Rules, their participation in the Subscription constitutes a related party transaction for the purposes of Rule 13 of the AIM Rules.
Director | Subscription Amount | No. of New Ordinary Shares subscribed for | Resulting shareholding in the Company | % shareholding in the Company’s issued share capital as enlarged by the Placing |
Andrew Suckling
(Non-Executive Chair) |
£40,000 | 1,600,000 | 1,981,602 | 0.87% |
Kiran Morzaria
(Chief Executive Officer) |
£45,000 | 1,800,000 | 3,373,240 | 1.48% |
Donald Strang
(Finance Director) |
£40,000 | 1,600,000 | 2,557,545 | 1.12% |
Adrian Fairbourn
(Non-Executive Director) |
Nil | Nil | 731,005 | 0.32% |
Total | £125,000 | 5,000,000 | 8,643,392 | 3.79% |
Adrian Fairbourn, being a Director of the Company independent of the fundraise, having consulted with Cadence Mineral’s Nominated Adviser, WH Ireland Limited, consider the terms of the fundraise to be fair and reasonable insofar as the Company’s shareholders are concerned.
Application will be made for the admission to trading on the AIM market (“AIM”) of London Stock Exchange plc (“LSE”) for the New Ordinary Shares (“Admission”). Admission is expected to occur at 8.00 a.m. on or around 19 July 2024. The New Ordinary Shares will represent approximately 13.2 per cent. of the Company’s issued share capital immediately following Admission.
Following Admission, the Company’s issued and fully paid share capital will consist of 227,637,704 Ordinary Shares, all of which carry one voting right per share. The Company does not hold any Ordinary Shares in treasury. The figure of 227,637,704 Ordinary Shares may be used by shareholders as the denominator for the calculation by which they will determine if they are required to notify their interest in, or a change to their interest in, the share capital of the Company under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules of the Financial Conduct Authority.
The New Ordinary Shares will be issued fully paid and will rank pari passu in all respects with the Company’s existing Ordinary Shares.
For further information contact:
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Cadence Minerals plc | +44 (0) 20 3582 6636 |
Andrew Suckling | |
Kiran Morzaria | |
WH Ireland Limited (NOMAD & Broker) | +44 (0) 20 7220 1666 |
James Joyce | |
Darshan Patel
Isaac Hooper |
|
Fortified Securities – Joint Broker | +44 (0) 20 3411 7773 |
Guy Wheatley | |
Brand Communications | +44 (0) 7976 431608 |
Public & Investor Relations | |
Alan Green |
In accordance with Article 19 of the UK Market Abuse Regulation, detailed information is set out below.
1 | Details of the person discharging managerial responsibilities/person closely associated | ||||
a) | Name: | Andrew Suckling | |||
2 | Reason for the notification | ||||
a) | Position/Status: | Non-Executive Chair | |||
b) | Initial Notification/Amendment: | Initial Notification | |||
3 | Details of the issuer, emission allowance market participation, auction platform, auctioneer or auction monitor | ||||
a) | Name: | Cadence Minerals plc | |||
b) | LEI: |
|
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4. | Details of transaction(s); section to be repeated for (i) each type of instrument; (ii) each type of transaction; (iii) each date; and (iv) each place where transactions have been conducted. | ||||
a) | Description of the financial instrument:
Identification code: |
Ordinary shares of £0.01
ISIN: GB00BJP0B151 |
|||
b) | Nature of the transaction: | Purchase of Shares | |||
c) | Price(s) and volume(s): | Price(s) | Volume(s) | ||
2.5p | 1,600,000 | ||||
d) | Aggregated volume:
Price: |
1,600,000
£40,000 |
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e) | Date of the Transaction: | 11 July 2024 | |||
f) | Place of the Transaction: | London Stock Exchange |
1 | Details of the person discharging managerial responsibilities/person closely associated | ||||
a) | Name: | Kiran Morzaria | |||
2 | Reason for the notification | ||||
a) | Position/Status: | Chief Executive Officer | |||
b) | Initial Notification/Amendment: | Initial Notification | |||
3 | Details of the issuer, emission allowance market participation, auction platform, auctioneer or auction monitor | ||||
a) | Name: | Cadence Minerals plc | |||
b) | LEI: |
|
|||
4. | Details of transaction(s); section to be repeated for (i) each type of instrument; (ii) each type of transaction; (iii) each date; and (iv) each place where transactions have been conducted. | ||||
a) | Description of the financial instrument:
Identification code: |
Ordinary shares of £0.01
ISIN: GB00BJP0B151 |
|||
b) | Nature of the transaction: | Purchase of Shares | |||
c) | Price(s) and volume(s): | Price(s) | Volume(s) | ||
2.5p | 1,800,000 | ||||
d) | Aggregated volume:
Price: |
1,800,000
£45,000 |
|||
e) | Date of the Transaction: | 11 July 2024 | |||
f) | Place of the Transaction: | London Stock Exchange |
1 | Details of the person discharging managerial responsibilities/person closely associated | ||||
a) | Name: | Donald Strang | |||
2 | Reason for the notification | ||||
a) | Position/Status: | Finance Director | |||
b) | Initial Notification/Amendment: | Initial Notification | |||
3 | Details of the issuer, emission allowance market participation, auction platform, auctioneer or auction monitor | ||||
a) | Name: | Cadence Minerals plc | |||
b) | LEI: |
|
|||
4. | Details of transaction(s); section to be repeated for (i) each type of instrument; (ii) each type of transaction; (iii) each date; and (iv) each place where transactions have been conducted. | ||||
a) | Description of the financial instrument:
Identification code: |
Ordinary shares of £0.01
ISIN: GB00BJP0B151 |
|||
b) | Nature of the transaction: | Purchase of Shares | |||
c) | Price(s) and volume(s): | Price(s) | Volume(s) | ||
2.5p | 1,600,000 | ||||
d) | Aggregated volume:
Price: |
1,600,000
£40,000 |
|||
e) | Date of the Transaction: | 11 July 2024 | |||
f) | Place of the Transaction: | London Stock Exchange |
Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Annual Results for the year ended 31 December 2023
Cadence Minerals (AIM/NEX: KDNC) is pleased to announce its final results for the year ending 31 December 2023. The full Annual Report and Audited Financial Statements will be available on the Company’s website at https://www.cadenceminerals.com/ and posted to shareholders by 30 June 2024.
CHAIRMAN’S STATEMENT
I am pleased to present the Company’s Annual Report and Audited Financial Statements for the year ended 31 December 2023.
On behalf of the Cadence Minerals board and management, I want to express my deep gratitude to all our consultants, advisors, service providers, and especially our shareholders. Your support throughout this challenging year has been invaluable to us.
Since our company’s inception, your board has strived to build a portfolio with enough balance and diversity to weather and thrive in challenging market conditions.
However, the year to December 2023 provided Cadence with a particularly unique set of challenges due to severe price movements in many of the underlying commodities we are focused on as a Company. More specifically, we have seen adverse price movements in lithium, rare earths, and iron ore beyond most analyst expectations and fundamental predictions.
Cadence has always taken a long-term view of prices, and our models always suggested such dramatic swings would reverse. However, this has not stopped severe and sudden pressure on our share price, coupled with an impact on our ability to raise capital in constrained markets. These factors have weighed heavily on our valuation as a Company during the period in question, and both the board and I are incredibly frustrated that the potential of our portfolio is in no way reflected in our share price performance.
Challenging conditions remain across the commodities and resources space. But we are not deterred. We see the potential for significant improvements in the underlying commodities and our key investments and are determined to see this potential translate into a higher share price.
On a more optimistic note, analysts continue to see constraints to supply and continued demand from an ever-growing green EV revolution, ranging from infrastructure expansion to cleaner iron ore production and targets for EV penetration reflected in greater demand for Lithium. Added to this, the challenge to control costs as new production is brought to market, combined with expectations that acquisition is the way forward to grow production, are factors that will continue to underpin prices of commodities exposed to the EV sector and the Cadence Minerals portfolio.
With this blueprint in place for the foreseeable future, as our portfolio matures and develops, your board will continue to seek new investment opportunities and potential new companies to focus efforts on.
The Cadence board sends the best of wishes to all portfolio companies, hoping we can all continue to weather the resource storm and arrive in calmer seas soon. I look forward to a year when commodity prices rebound and our share price start to reflect the fundamental benefits of a diversified portfolio and its potential.
Lastly, I would like to thank my fellow board members, staff, partners of the Cadence Community, and all shareholders for their continued support and confidence in our company.
Andrew Suckling
For further information contact:
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|
Cadence Minerals plc |
+44 (0) 20 3582 6636 |
Andrew Suckling |
|
Kiran Morzaria
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|
WH Ireland Limited (NOMAD & Broker) |
+44 (0) 20 7220 1666 |
James Joyce |
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Darshan Patel Isaac Hooper
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Fortified Securities – Joint Broker |
+44 (0) 20 3411 7773 |
Guy Wheatley
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Brand Communications |
+44 (0) 7976 431608 |
Public & Investor Relations |
|
Alan Green |
Link here for the CEO statement and financial statements
Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Strategic Development and Financing MOU Signed for the Amapa Iron Ore Project. Increase in Cadence Amapa Project Equity Stake
Cadence Minerals (AIM/NEX: KDNC; OTC: KDNCY) is pleased to announce that our joint venture company Pedra and Branca Alliance (“PBA“) and DEV Mineração S.A. (“DEV“) have entered into a memorandum of understanding (“MOU“) with Sinoma Tianjin Cement Industry Design & Research Institute Co., Ltd. a wholly owned subsidiary of Sinoma International Engineering Co., Ltd. (“TCIDR“). Through its wholly owned subsidiary, DEV, PBA owns and operates the Amapa Iron Ore Project in Brazil (“Amapá Project“).
The MOU is the result of our ongoing discussions between the parties to progress the development of the Amapá Project jointly.
Development Programme
Under the MOU, TCIDR will provide a final proposal to complete the Definitive Feasibility Study (“DFS“), and on completion of a successful DFS, will submit a fixed price Engineering Procurement and Construction (“EPC“) contract for the Amapá Project. The DFS, EPC contact and any other services provided by TCIDR are subject to both the services being provided on a competitive basis and to PBA’s and DEV’s commercial evaluation and approval. TCIDR will be appointed the General EPC contractor for the Amapá Project once these approvals have been granted and the provision of TCIDR-facilitated project financing is secured. This will require the execution of legally binding documents.
Project Financing
Under the MOU, TCIDR will use its best commercial efforts to secure the required financing for the construction and re-development of the Amapá Project, including the necessary guarantees, project finance insurance and debt financing. In this regard, TCIDR is in discussion with SinoSure China Export & Credit Insurance Corporation and China Development Bank.
PBA, DEV and TCIDR will now develop a roadmap to seek to secure the financing for the DFS and subsequent project financing for the Amapá Project, and a fixed price EPC contract between DEV and TCIDR that will have the project finance, export credit insurance and credit support by TCIDR.
Cadence Increase in Ownership in the Amapá Project
Up to the end of September 2023, Cadence’s total investment in the Amapá Project stood at approximately US$12.1 million; as a result, Cadence’s equity stake in the project has increased to 32.6%.
Cadence Chairman Andrew Suckling commented: “This Cadence Minerals management team, of which I am proud to be part, have worked tirelessly with PBA and DEV, local Government and contractors to bring Amapá to this point. Investments of this nature are rarely straightforward, but our management and shareholders are now starting to see a tangible return from bringing this large and complex infrastructure back to life. Along with Kiran, I have witnessed firsthand the rejuvenating effect the recommissioning process has had on the region and community, and now, with this MOU, there is a real sense that we can re-develop this project back to its name plate capacity.
Cadence CEO Kiran Morzaria added: “From a strategic standpoint, for Cadence and PBA, the MOU with TCIDR represents a potential one-stop shop solution, coupling our requirements for final project funding with engineering, construction and technical expertise. Following this, our next steps will be the completion of the remaining optimisation studies followed by the DFS.”
“Our investment to date has resulted in an increased shareholding, which now stands at 32.6%, and I am both pleased and proud that having first submitted a judicial restructuring plan to creditors in 2019, we are now making rapid progress. I and my colleagues look forward to the completion and recommissioning of this substantial project.”
About the Amapá Iron Ore Project
The Amapá Project is a brownfield integrated iron ore project in the Amapá State of Brazil. It has Mineral Resources of 276 million tonnes (Mt) at 38.33% Iron (Fe) and Ore Reserves of 196 Mt at 39.34%. The project consists of the mine, processing plant, wholly owned port and a 194km railway, all of which will be operated by DEV. A Pre-Feasibility Study (“PFS”) was published in January 2023. The PFS delivered a Post-tax Net Present Value of US$949 million (“M”) at a discount rate of 10% and a post-tax Internal Rate of Return of 34%, with an average annual life of mine EBITDA of US$235 M annually. After ramp-up, the planned yearly average production will be 5.7 million wet metric tonnes per annum (“Mtpa”) of Fe concentrate, consisting of 4.7 Mtpa at 65.4% Fe and 1 Mtpa at 62% Fe concentrate.
About Sinoma Tianjin Cement Industry Design & Research Institute Co., Ltd
TCIDR is a wholly owned subsiduairy of SINOMA International Engineering Co., Ltd. (“SINOMA International”) is the technology and engineering platform under the Fortune Global 500 Group – China National Building Material Group Co., Ltd. It is also the world’s leading service provider for cement technology, equipment and engineering system integration, a high-tech and technological innovation demonstration enterprise of China, as well as one of the “Going Global” benchmarking enterprises recognized by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council.
In 2001, SINOMA International was established by integrating the quality assets of China’s cement technology, equipment and engineering business. In 2005, it was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (600970 SH). Through technology import, assimilation, and independent innovation, the company has developed and built a series of production lines starting from China’s first production line with a daily output of 1,000 tons to the world’s largest production line with a daily output of 14,000 tons.
Over the past 20 years, SINOMA International has positioned itself as an “innovative, international and value-oriented” company, SINOMA International has so far won contracts for nearly 300 cement productions lines in more than 80 countries .
For further information contact:
|
|
Cadence Minerals plc | +44 (0) 20 3582 6636 |
Andrew Suckling | |
Kiran Morzaria | |
WH Ireland Limited (NOMAD & Broker) | +44 (0) 20 7220 1666 |
James Joyce | |
Darshan Patel | |
Fortified Securities – Joint Broker | +44 (0) 20 3411 7773 |
Guy Wheatley | |
Brand Communications | +44 (0) 7976 431608 |
Public & Investor Relations | |
Alan Green |
Qualified Person
Kiran Morzaria B.Eng. (ACSM), MBA, has reviewed and approved the information contained in this announcement. Kiran holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Industrial Geology) from the Camborne School of Mines and an MBA (Finance) from CASS Business School.
Cautionary and Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this announcement are or may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as “believe”, “could”, “should”, “envisage”, “estimate”, “intend”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, or the negative of those variations or comparable expressions including references to assumptions. These forward-looking statements are not based on historical facts but rather on the Directors’ current expectations and assumptions regarding the company’s future growth results of operations performance, future capital, and other expenditures (including the amount, nature, and sources of funding thereof) competitive advantages business prospects and opportunities. Such forward-looking statements reflect the Directors’ current beliefs and assumptions and are based on information currently available to the Directors. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements, including risks associated with vulnerability to general economic and business conditions, competition, environmental and other regulatory changes actions by governmental authorities, the availability of capital markets reliance on key personnel uninsured and underinsured losses and other factors many of which are beyond the control of the company. Although any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are based upon what the Directors believe to be reasonable assumptions. The company cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with such forward-looking statements.
The information contained within this announcement is deemed by the company to constitute Inside Information as stipulated under the Market Abuse Regulation (E.U.) No. 596/2014, as it forms part of U.K. domestic law under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018, as amended. Upon the publication of this announcement via a regulatory information service, this information is considered to be in the public domain.
Cadence Minerals #KDNC – Annual Results year ended 31 December 2022
Cadence Minerals (AIM/NEX: KDNC) is pleased to announce its final results for the year ending 31 December 2022. The full Annual Report and Audited Financial Statements will be available on the Company’s website at https://www.cadenceminerals.com/ and posted to shareholders by 30 June 2023.
CHAIRMAN’S STATEMENT
I am pleased to present the Company’s Annual Report and Audited Financial Statements for the year ended 31 December 2022.
The global macroeconomic outlook continues to be unpredictable and difficult to navigate. The expected recovery and bounce back from pandemic-era conditions have largely been tempered by fast-rising interest rate and inflation forecasts. Coupled with an increasing focus on China’s status as an adversary rather than just a competitor, the global outlook remains mixed and confusing. Over a year has passed, and the Ukraine invasion has now become an entrenched war, with many of the initial supply disruptions looking set to become semi-permanent dislocations. The Cadence Minerals portfolio is both balanced, diversified and constructed to anticipate supply and demand shocks. As such it should be well placed to weather this ongoing uncertainty.
Although the above suggests caution and a degree of pessimism, there are actual positives emerging. Recent economic forecasts suggest continued stimulus and support for infrastructure projects globally. Inflation, by some metrics, may have peaked, and the transformation to an EV world is gaining even more momentum. Recent merger and acquisition activity suggests an increasing awareness among multinational companies to integrate critical and strategic materials into their respective portfolios.
Market observers will be aware of an increase in the number of potential nationalisations across specific strategic industries and the resources sector. The net result is of course a greater focus on the resource sector, particularly while major resource companies continue to ramp up capital allocation into the EV material space to meet the sea change in demand for raw materials.
On behalf of the Board of Directors (Board) and management, I thank all our advisors, consultants, service providers, and especially our shareholders for their support throughout the year. The Board and company have continued site visits, viewed potential investment opportunities, and attended many industry conferences.
I am always reminded never to approach a marathon by counting every inch; it is a very hard way to keep and maintain perspective. Investing in the resource space really is a marathon versus a sprint. In every area, it continues to surprise how long permitting, licenses approvals, environmental studies, and raising capital can take.
Many times, the Board has stated “we will look for opportunities to unlock and discover value across our portfolio.” I am particularly grateful that our patience has been rewarded with the continued success and maturing of many of our portfolio companies. The successful listing on the ASX of Evergreen Lithium is a good case in point and the Board sends its congratulations to all who made that listing possible.
The Board sees further potential within our private and public holdings for further listings and potential transactional activity to bolster Company returns. In the wake of such a challenging year, we send our congratulations and support to our portfolio companies for their continued success. As the Cadence investment portfolio continues to mature, we will continue our search for new, accretive investments with the same methodology and rigorous diligence as before in order to assure a continued supply of diversified growth opportunities.
We have a clear path ahead for our flagship Iron Ore investment at Amapa, Brazil. The publication of initial and preliminary studies, and the DEV team’s liaison with federal, state, and local authorities, continues to unlock the potential of this project. The Board thanks our JV partner, lawyers, and consultants for their hard work in negotiations, settlements, and the operational success emanating from this investment.
The challenge of a dislocated economic recovery and the prospect of a slowing Chinese economy, highlighted by the likelihood of steel production at or below one billion tons, has proved to be a continual challenge to the Cadence share price. However, due to the likelihood of support and stimulus coupled with acquisition and investment in the resources sector, (particularly related to the EV transition), we expect the constitution of the Cadence portfolio to remain robust and focussed on the strategic and critical sectors of the economy.
I would like to personally thank my fellow Board members, staff, and partners, all of whom constitute the Cadence Community and, of course, all of our shareholders for their encouragement and continued confidence in the company
Andrew Suckling
Non-Executive Chairman
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER SUMMARY
I am pleased to present the audited results for the year ended 31 December 2022, along with the Strategic Report that provides a comprehensive review of our business activities during the year. It is important to note that these results reflect the historical position of the Company’s progress and financial standing, and we have included additional information on key post-year-end events in the Strategic Report.
In reviewing the performance of Cadence during the year, it would be fair to say that our two portfolios performed quite differently despite the solid operational performance of the underlying assets and the long-term outlook of the commodities these projects intend to extract. While we delivered excellent operational results and strong investment returns within our private portfolio, our public traded portfolio decreased substantially, despite the underlying assets delivering to their goals.
In our private portfolio, the Amapá iron ore project remained the primary focus for Cadence’s management. In my capacity as a director of the joint venture, Cadence was heavily involved in the operational progress we have seen to date, which cumulated in the delivery of a robust Pre-Feasibility Study (“PFS”), which confirmed the project’s strong economics. To date, our investment has been circa US$9.3 million for 30% of the Amapá iron ore project; the net present value of 100% was estimated in the PFS at US$949 million.
In addition to the progress made at Amapá, the Company increased the investment returns by converting some of its passive private investments into public traded equity. These returns were achieved via two asset sales, firstly our 31.5% interests in Lithium Technology Pty Ltd and Lithium Supplies Pty Ltd (“LT and LS”) were sold to Evergreen Lithium, and secondly, our 30% interest in licenses within the Yangibana Rare Earth Project (“Yangibana Project”) were sold to owner/operator Hastings Technology Metals. These transactions were completed after a year-end, so the financial returns are not reflected in these financial statements. Cadence has invested approximately £1.7 million in these assets, and our sale price into the equity of the two public companies was the equivalent of £7.4 million, representing a 335% cumulative return on our investments.
In contrast to these achievements, the performance of our publicly listed portfolio tracked our largest holding, European Metals Holdings (“EMH”), which was down some 49% over the year despite the excellent progress made in developing the asset. EMH’s price depreciation came off multi-year highs achieved during 2021 and followed the general trend of the AIM basic resource index, which was also down year on year, reflecting the risk-off approach we have seen with investors since mid-Aug 2021.
These negative year-over-year returns contradict the fundamental drivers in our portfolio, namely the incredible growth of the lithium raw material market and the stabilisation of the iron ore market. Therefore, the driver for the lacklustre performance appears to be a weakening in equity funds flow. Investment fund flows were the weakest in eight years as investors turned their backs on UK equity funds in 2022, selling a record £8.38 billion. In summary, Investors have sold UK equity and sought the safest havens, taking refuge in cash and perceived lower-risk investments.
As previously stated, the lithium market has continued to expand rapidly. The global lithium-ion battery manufacturing industry’s expansion to feed the transportation sector’s electrification fuelled this growth. This expansion results from a concerted shift toward decarbonisation and net zero targets set by the private sector and governments worldwide. The IEA predicts that demand for EV batteries will rise from around 340 Gigawatt hours (GWh) today to over 3,500 GWh by 2030, with the industry requiring 50 additional lithium mines by then. These macro drivers should continue to support the fundamentals behind our lithium and rare earth investments.
Within the iron ore market, although we saw a softening in the first of the year, it recovered by the end of 2022, with the 62% Fe Platts closing at circa US$117 per dry metric tonne (“dmt”). Both short and longer-term prospects for iron ore are driven by China, given that the nation is the world’s biggest steel producer and currently buys about 70% of global seaborne iron ore.
In the coming year, we look forward to further developing the Amapa Iron Ore project, progressing the permitting pathway, and, if possible, securing a joint venture partner to co-develop the asset.
With our other investments, we look forward to developments at Evergreen Lithium, which given its proximity to the Finnis project, represents the most prospective investment in our portfolio. Hastings and EMH are well advanced in their development cycle, and we look forward to seeing the construction of the beneficiation plant at Hastings in Q3 of this year and the publication of the EMH Definitive Feasibility Study in Q4 of this year.
As discussed in the Investment Review, Cadence’s ambition is to mitigate the need for external capital by growing and reinvesting the profits from our assets under management. We believe we are on our way to achieving this goal with our investments over the last three years of £8.64 million being funded by £7.77 million of sales in our public portfolio and £0.87 million from equity capital. Excluding the equity funding for our investments over the last three years Cadence has raised a total net funding from external sources of £3.72 million. At the time of writing, the realised profit since inception from the current public portfolio is £5.27 million and a total unrealised and realised gain is 338%.
I want to express my gratitude to the Cadence team and our investee companies, who have all worked tirelessly to bring the Company and its investment to their current position. We believe concentrating risk across a few crucial assets and commodities will pay off.
Kiran Morzaria
Chief Executive Officer
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