UK based Arrow Global Group (ARW.L) is engaged in purchase, collection and servicing of non-performing loans. The Company identifies, acquires and manages secured and unsecured defaulted loan portfolios from financial institutions, such as banks and credit card companies, as well as retail chains, student loans, motor credit, telecommunication firms and utility companies. The Company’s business activities can be divided into three broad phases: Origination and underwriting, Asset management and Repayment-hybrid collections mode. The Company purchases debt at a discount from its face value and use its knowledge in data, analytics, collections, and asset resolution to help establish repayment plans and settlements with its customers. It advises and manages debt portfolios.
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ARW is set to announce its half-year results for the six months ended 30 June 2017 on Thurs 31 August 2017. On 11 May 2017, ARW published Q1 results for the three months ended 31 March 2017, which revealed a 37% increase in underlying PBT to £10.3m, on total revenues up 45% to £64.5m. ARW also issued €400m senior secured notes due 2025, at a coupon of E+2.875% which represents a record low rate for financing in the industry. Group CEO Lee Rochford said a robust pipeline across the ARW geographic footprint “gives us confidence in our ability to meet earnings expectations for the year.” “We also retain confidence in our medium-term objectives of an underlying ROE percentage in the mid-twenties, high teen EPS growth and a progressive dividend policy.”
As you might expect, this impressive profits and revenue growth has not gone unnoticed by the VectorVest stock analysis and portfolio management system. Key VectorVest indicators including Earnings Growth Rate (GRT), (reflects a company’s one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year), log a rating of 17%, which is very good. Additionally, the VST-Vector, a master indicator that combines a number of key VectorVest metrics rates ARW with a VST rating of 1.33, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. Last but by no means least, VectorVest has a valuation rating for ARW of 599p, well ahead of the current 470p. The VectorVest valuation is shown by the green line study in the chart below.
The chart of ARW is shown above, over the past 6 months. During this time earnings per share (EPS) has doubled. This is shown by the blue line study in the window below the price. The share price is trending upwards and making a series of rising bottoms with the share recently breaking above a 52 week high.
Summary: ARW currently offers the discerning investor an almost unrivalled combination of bullish fundamentals and charting features. With the excellent forward visibility taken into account, in the run up to the interim results at the end of August, ARW is on a BUY recommendation on VectorVest.
Dr David Paul
August 18 2017
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